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Maribor W vs Cinkarna Celje W Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 19 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Projected 59-78
Projected total 136.5
Scheduled
Position#4
Record2-3
FormLWLWL
Points / game51.4
Allowed / game54.6
Maribor W
Slovenia
Vs
95%
■ MARI 5%■ CINK 95%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
4.0/10
Below normal
4.6/10
Around normal
Cinkarna Celje W
Slovenia
Position#1
Record5-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game48.4
Slovenia1 SKL WRound 8· Dvorana Tabor
Women2026-27
Meetings · Maribor W v Cinkarna Celje W
23 Jan 2027
MARI v CINK
upcoming
19 Nov 2026
MARI v CINK
upcoming
03 Apr 2026
MARI66
CINK90
24 Mar 2026
MARI54
CINK95
12 Dec 2025
MARI67
CINK91
09 Apr 2025
MARI63
CINK70
18 Mar 2025
MARI54
CINK100
07 Dec 2024
MARI69
CINK89
10 Apr 2024
MARI53
CINK86
27 Mar 2024
MARI52
CINK127
09 Dec 2023
MARI65
CINK91
01 Feb 2023
MARI60
CINK94
30 Sep 2022
MARI65
CINK101
20 Apr 2022
MARI57
CINK103
09 Feb 2022
MARI52
CINK111
29 Mar 2021
MARI62
CINK101
06 Oct 2020
MARI57
CINK94
17 Jan 2020
MARI45
CINK124
24 Jan 2019
MARI66
CINK77
10 Dec 2018
MARI53
CINK112
06 May 2018
MARI48
CINK109
11 Apr 2018
MARI50
CINK119
09 Dec 2017
MARI60
CINK106
03 Apr 2017
MARI43
CINK94
17 Feb 2017
MARI55
CINK105
Sections
Game preview & prediction

Maribor W will host Cinkarna Celje W on 19 November 2026 in the 1 SKL W, and the Pythia model names Cinkarna Celje W the clear favourite, assigning it a 95% chance of victory largely because of their undefeated 5-0 season record, 75.0 points per game and 48.4 points allowed per game, while Maribor W sits 4-th with a 2-3 record, 51.4 points per game and 54.6 allowed per game. Cinkarna Celje W have won every one of their five games, including a 74.0 points per game average on the road, and have never lost to Maribor W in their ten meetings, the most recent being a 64-38 win on 17 October 2026. Maribor W have struggled at home, losing their only home game 42.0 to 47.0, and have won only two of their last five games, with a recent loss to Cinkarna Celje W 38-64. The Pythia model projects a 59-78 score, a total of 136.5 points, and a 1% chance of overtime. The home team's line is 5-point and the model gives a 5% probability that Maribor W will cover it.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Maribor W win
5.3%fair 19.02
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Cinkarna Celje W win
94.7%fair 1.06
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 10 Nov 07:33 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Maribor WSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Triglav W
#3
W
73-58
73
58
+15
60avg 52
H14/03
1 SKL W
Domel Skofja Loka W
#6
W
86-75
86
75
+11
76avg 52
H17/03
1 SKL W
Cinkarna Celje W
#1
L
54-95
54
95
-41
33avg 52
H24/03
1 SKL W
Cinkarna Celje W
#1
L
68-114
68
114
-46
56avg 52
A01/04
1 SKL W
Cinkarna Celje W
#1
L
66-90
66
90
-24
56avg 52
H03/04
1 SKL W
Triglav W
#2
L
42-47
42
47
-5
14avg 52
H03/10
1 SKL W
Jezica W
#5
W
56-51
56
51
+5
45avg 52
A10/10
1 SKL W
Cinkarna Celje W
#1
L
38-64
38
64
-26
29avg 52
A17/10
1 SKL W
Domel Skofja Loka W
#6
W
62-43
62
43
+19
57avg 52
A29/10
1 SKL W
Ilirija W
#3
L
59-68
59
68
-9
49avg 52
A31/10
1 SKL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-14
22-19
13-21
19-4
26-14
28-20
11-23
21-18
16-26
14-22
10-22
14-25
12-29
20-29
16-26
20-30
11-31
17-21
20-13
18-25
5-18
14-8
11-12
12-9
14-17
12-9
14-14
16-11
6-15
3-18
14-15
15-16
17-9
17-8
13-8
15-18
15-18
13-18
12-15
19-17
130.9Avg total
60.4Scored
70.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)51.454.6106.0-3.240%
Season at home (1)42.047.089.0-5.00%
Season away (4)53.856.5110.2-2.850%
Last 10 (10)60.470.5130.9-10.140%
Last 5 (5)51.454.6106.0-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)61.180.3141.4-19.214%
vs Similar (7)61.464.0125.4-2.643%
vs Weaker (9)75.660.4136.0+15.189%
This opponent (Cinkarna Celje W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cinkarna Celje WSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Ilirija W
#3
W
72-50
72
50
+22
66avg 70
H03/10
1 SKL W
Tresnjevka 2009 W
#9
W
83-53
83
53
+30
85avg 70
H07/10
WABA League Women
Domel Skofja Loka W
#6
W
91-50
91
50
+41
100avg 70
H10/10
1 SKL W
Campobasso W
#12
L
53-75
53
75
-22
8avg 70
A14/10
EuroCup Women
Maribor W
#4
W
64-38
64
38
+26
65avg 70
H17/10
1 SKL W
KP Brno W
#38
W
92-62
92
62
+30
94avg 70
H22/10
EuroCup Women
Nyon W
#30
L
57-63
57
63
-6
42avg 70
A28/10
EuroCup Women
Jezica W
#5
W
73-45
73
45
+28
71avg 70
A31/10
1 SKL W
Campobasso W
#12
W
63-59
63
59
+4
no box
H04/11
EuroCup Women
Ilirija W
#3
W
75-59
75
59
+16
no box
A06/11
1 SKL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-16
12-9
17-15
24-10
22-9
23-11
19-17
19-16
21-11
29-0
15-22
26-17
16-17
11-23
15-17
11-18
15-6
18-3
15-14
16-15
19-17
26-21
21-12
26-12
13-20
17-18
13-10
14-15
15-15
17-5
22-21
19-4
13-12
19-15
10-18
21-14
23-11
17-16
21-17
14-15
127.7Avg total
72.3Scored
55.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)75.048.4123.4+26.6100%
Season at home (3)75.746.0121.7+29.7100%
Season away (2)74.052.0126.0+22.0100%
Last 10 (10)72.355.4127.7+16.980%
Last 5 (5)72.057.6129.6+14.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)62.267.5129.8-5.250%
vs Similar (1)66.069.0135.0-3.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)77.854.2131.9+23.692%
This opponent (Maribor W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 126.5
Over 126.5
73.2%
Under 126.5
26.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 131.5
Over 131.5
62.1%
Under 131.5
37.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 136.5
Over 136.5
49.9%
Under 136.5
50.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Maribor W total 62.5
Over 62.5
35.1%
Under 62.5
64.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maribor W total 66.5
Over 66.5
21.8%
Under 66.5
78.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maribor W total 70.5
Over 70.5
12.2%
Under 70.5
87.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cinkarna Celje W total 61
Over 61
95.8%
Under 61
4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cinkarna Celje W total 65
Over 65
90.8%
Under 65
9.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cinkarna Celje W total 69
Over 69
82.1%
Under 69
17.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Maribor W -3
MARI -3
3.4%
CINK +3
96.6%
Best 5 market prices
MARI
No market prices yet.
CINK
No market prices yet.
Spread Maribor W 0
MARI 0
5.3%
CINK 0
94.7%
Best 5 market prices
MARI
No market prices yet.
CINK
No market prices yet.
Spread Maribor W +3
MARI +3
7.5%
CINK -3
92.5%
Best 5 market prices
MARI
No market prices yet.
CINK
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -5.0-5.0Q1: +4.2+4.2Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: +6.8+6.8Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +5.4+5.4
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -5.0-5.0Q1: +4.2+4.2Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: +6.8+6.8Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +5.4+5.4
Maribor WCinkarna Celje W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Maribor WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Triglav W
#3
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H14/03
1 SKL W
Domel Skofja Loka W
#6
W
54-34
54
34
+20
H17/03
1 SKL W
Cinkarna Celje W
#1
L
30-48
30
48
-18
H24/03
1 SKL W
Cinkarna Celje W
#1
L
32-58
32
58
-26
A01/04
1 SKL W
Cinkarna Celje W
#1
L
28-52
28
52
-24
H03/04
1 SKL W
Triglav W
#2
L
19-26
19
26
-7
H03/10
1 SKL W
Jezica W
#5
D
26-26
26
26
+0
A10/10
1 SKL W
Cinkarna Celje W
#1
L
9-33
9
33
-24
A17/10
1 SKL W
Domel Skofja Loka W
#6
W
34-17
34
17
+17
A29/10
1 SKL W
Ilirija W
#3
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A31/10
1 SKL W
66.4Avg total
30.1Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.134.968.0-1.837%-
Last 30 at home (13)35.836.071.8-0.238%-
Last 30 away (17)31.134.165.2-3.135%-
Last 10 (10)30.136.366.4-6.230%-
Last 5 (5)23.227.650.8-4.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)29.139.668.8-10.514%-
vs Similar (7)30.331.061.3-0.729%-
vs Weaker (9)41.430.772.1+10.878%-
This opponent (Cinkarna Celje W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cinkarna Celje WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ilirija W
#3
W
31-25
31
25
+6
H03/10
1 SKL W
Tresnjevka 2009 W
#9
W
45-20
45
20
+25
H07/10
WABA League Women
Domel Skofja Loka W
#6
W
50-11
50
11
+39
H10/10
1 SKL W
Campobasso W
#12
L
27-40
27
40
-13
A14/10
EuroCup Women
Maribor W
#4
W
33-9
33
9
+24
H17/10
1 SKL W
KP Brno W
#38
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H22/10
EuroCup Women
Nyon W
#30
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A28/10
EuroCup Women
Jezica W
#5
W
32-20
32
20
+12
A31/10
1 SKL W
Campobasso W
#12
W
32-27
32
27
+5
H04/11
EuroCup Women
Ilirija W
#3
W
40-27
40
27
+13
A06/11
1 SKL W
62.0Avg total
36.5Scored
25.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)38.629.668.2+9.172%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.627.966.5+10.881%-
Last 30 away (13)38.631.670.2+7.062%-
Last 10 (10)36.525.562.0+11.080%-
Last 5 (5)35.830.065.8+5.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)30.533.263.8-2.850%-
vs Similar (1)32.034.066.0-2.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)40.228.869.0+11.579%-
This opponent (Maribor W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Maribor Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Maribor W: 58.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.0 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.2 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 59.2 points a game
55%
28%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.516.5
47.8%
46.7%33.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.25.4
22.3%
27.1%16.2
🏀 Free throws12.29.0
73.8%
69.5%9.0
They take 58.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cinkarna Celje Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cinkarna Celje W: 70.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 59.2 points a game
55%
28%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.418.2
54.5%
46.7%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.87.8
34.2%
27.1%23.4
🏀 Free throws16.210.4
64.2%
69.5%10.4
They take 56.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Maribor W
LWLWLLLLWW
Cinkarna Celje W
WWWLWWLWWW
#4
League position
#1
-16.7
Net rating
+25.4
68.5
Offensive rating
86.7
85.2
Defensive rating
61.3
41.9%
Effective FG%
53.2%
51.3%
Opp. effective FG%
37.0%
21.2%
Turnover %
19.9%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.29
22.3%
3-point %
34.2%
65.3%
Assist %
75.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence68.5 · 86.7Defence85.2 · 61.3Shooting41.9% · 53.2%3-point %22.3% · 34.2%Ball care21.2% · 19.9%Free throws0.21 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)40% · 80%
■ Maribor W   ■ Cinkarna Celje W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Maribor W wins
10
Cinkarna Celje W wins
DateGameScore
17/10/26Cinkarna Celje W v Maribor W64-38
03/04/26Maribor W v Cinkarna Celje W66-90
01/04/26Cinkarna Celje W v Maribor W114-68
24/03/26Maribor W v Cinkarna Celje W54-95
11/02/26Cinkarna Celje W v Maribor W69-57
12/12/25Maribor W v Cinkarna Celje W67-91
31/10/25Cinkarna Celje W v Maribor W107-79
09/04/25Maribor W v Cinkarna Celje W63-70
05/04/25Cinkarna Celje W v Maribor W96-55
18/03/25Maribor W v Cinkarna Celje W54-100
Maribor Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/26AIlirija W59-68
29/10/26ADomel Skofja Loka W62-43
17/10/26ACinkarna Celje W38-64
10/10/26AJezica W56-51
03/10/26HTriglav W42-47
03/04/26HCinkarna Celje W66-90
01/04/26ACinkarna Celje W68-114
24/03/26HCinkarna Celje W54-95
17/03/26HDomel Skofja Loka W86-75
14/03/26HTriglav W73-58
Cinkarna Celje Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/11/26AIlirija W75-59
04/11/26HCampobasso W63-59
31/10/26AJezica W73-45
28/10/26ANyon W57-63
22/10/26HKP Brno W92-62
17/10/26HMaribor W64-38
14/10/26ACampobasso W53-75
10/10/26HDomel Skofja Loka W91-50
07/10/26HTresnjevka 2009 W83-53
03/10/26HIlirija W72-50

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Maribor W
1 SKL W 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL40%
HomeL0%
AwayWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games514
Win %40%0%50%
Points / game51.442.053.8
Allowed / game54.647.056.5
Point differential-3.2-5.0-2.8
Avg total106.089.0110.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cinkarna Celje W
1 SKL W 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game75.075.774.0
Allowed / game48.446.052.0
Point differential+26.6+29.7+22.0
Avg total123.4121.7126.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cinkarna Celje W550100%75.048.4+26.6
2 Triglav W440100%66.550.5+16.0
3 Ilirija W52340%65.067.2-2.2
4 Maribor W52340%51.454.6-3.2
5 Jezica W52340%57.662.4-4.8
6 Domel Skofja Loka W6060%50.574.8-24.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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