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Marshall vs South Alabama Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 17 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 84-80
48-35 36-45
Position#124
Record16-10
FormWWLWL
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game76.0
vs
Position#120
Record17-9
FormWLWWW
Points / game73.8
Allowed / game69.3
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Marshall v South Alabama
31 Dec 2026
MARS v SOUT
upcoming
16 Feb 2026
MARS84
SOUT80
13 Jan 2024
MARS85
SOUT91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Marshall winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
South Alabama winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MarshallUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia State
#332
L
73-81
73
81
-8
A10/01
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#127
L
83-85
83
85
-2
H15/01
NCAA
James Madison
#169
W
77-72
77
72
+5
H17/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#369
W
115-60
115
60
+55
H22/01
NCAA
Texas State
#125
L
68-72
68
72
-4
A29/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#98
W
70-61
70
61
+9
A31/01
NCAA
Southern Miss
#174
W
81-77
81
77
+4
H05/02
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#5
L
74-90
74
90
-16
H07/02
NCAA
Old Dominion
#300
W
81-79
81
79
+2
A12/02
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#142
L
87-101
87
101
-14
A15/02
NCAA
1H
2H
38-38
35-43
32-39
51-46
36-32
41-40
65-36
50-24
29-39
39-33
41-38
29-23
34-38
47-39
31-49
43-41
34-47
47-32
42-59
45-42
158.7Avg total
80.9Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)80.276.0156.2+4.262%
Season at home (14)84.874.4159.1+10.479%
Season away (12)74.977.9152.8-3.042%
Last 10 (10)80.977.8158.7+3.150%
Last 5 (5)78.681.6160.2-3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)73.885.2159.0-11.50%
vs Similar ◀ (18)77.174.8151.9+2.267%
vs Weaker (7)87.673.1160.7+14.486%
This opponent (South Alabama) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
South AlabamaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia Southern
#142
W
87-71
87
71
+16
H10/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#98
W
91-87 OT
91
87
+4
H16/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#320
L
56-59
56
59
-3
H17/01
NCAA
James Madison
#169
W
90-83
90
83
+7
A23/01
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#127
W
53-48
53
48
+5
H30/01
NCAA
Georgia State
#332
W
69-67
69
67
+2
H01/02
NCAA
Appalachian State
#119
L
57-65
57
65
-8
A04/02
NCAA
Buffalo
#180
W
81-69
81
69
+12
H07/02
NCAA
Southern Miss
#174
W
84-78
84
78
+6
A13/02
NCAA
Arkansas State
#98
W
92-88 OT
92
88
+4
A14/02
NCAA
1H
2H
44-32
43-39
32-36
49-45
25-26
31-33
36-40
54-43
15-24
38-24
36-33
33-34
23-29
34-36
40-24
41-45
42-36
42-42
32-41
51-42
147.5Avg total
76.0Scored
71.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)73.869.3143.1+4.565%
Season at home (13)73.664.9138.5+8.769%
Season away (13)74.073.7147.7+0.362%
Last 10 (10)76.071.5147.5+4.580%
Last 5 (5)76.673.4150.0+3.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)65.091.0156.0-26.00%
vs Similar ◀ (16)73.271.4144.6+1.856%
vs Weaker (11)74.168.8142.9+5.373%
This opponent (Marshall) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -3.3-3.31st half: +0.4+0.42nd half2nd half: +6.4+6.42nd half: +3.3+3.3
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -3.3-3.31st half: +0.4+0.42nd half2nd half: +6.4+6.42nd half: +3.3+3.3
MarshallSouth Alabama
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
MarshallLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia State
#332
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A10/01
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#127
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H15/01
NCAA
James Madison
#169
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H17/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#369
W
65-36
65
36
+29
H22/01
NCAA
Texas State
#125
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A29/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#98
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A31/01
NCAA
Southern Miss
#174
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H05/02
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#5
L
31-49
31
49
-18
H07/02
NCAA
Old Dominion
#300
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A12/02
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#142
L
42-59
42
59
-17
A15/02
NCAA
79.7Avg total
38.2Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.037.873.8-1.840%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.935.572.4+1.553%-
Last 30 away (13)34.840.875.5-6.023%-
Last 10 (10)38.241.579.7-3.330%-
Last 5 (5)36.446.282.6-9.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)32.245.077.2-12.80%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)34.836.571.3-1.750%-
vs Weaker (7)39.738.678.3+1.129%-
This opponent (South Alabama) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
South AlabamaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia Southern
#142
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H10/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#98
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H16/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#320
L
25-26
25
26
-1
H17/01
NCAA
James Madison
#169
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A23/01
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#127
L
15-24
15
24
-9
H30/01
NCAA
Georgia State
#332
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H01/02
NCAA
Appalachian State
#119
L
23-29
23
29
-6
A04/02
NCAA
Buffalo
#180
W
40-24
40
24
+16
H07/02
NCAA
Southern Miss
#174
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A13/02
NCAA
Arkansas State
#98
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A14/02
NCAA
64.6Avg total
32.5Scored
32.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.832.265.9+1.647%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.230.564.7+3.753%-
Last 30 away (15)33.333.967.2-0.540%-
Last 10 (10)32.532.164.6+0.440%-
Last 5 (5)34.632.667.2+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)31.036.067.0-5.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)32.031.863.8+0.238%-
vs Weaker (11)33.932.766.6+1.255%-
This opponent (Marshall) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Marshall wins
2
South Alabama wins
DateGameScore
14/02/25South Alabama v Marshall91-82 OT
13/01/24Marshall v South Alabama85-91
Marshalllast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/26AGeorgia Southern87-101
12/02/26AOld Dominion81-79
07/02/26HMiami (Ohio)74-90
05/02/26HSouthern Miss81-77
31/01/26AArkansas State70-61
29/01/26ATexas State68-72
22/01/26HLouisiana Monroe115-60
17/01/26HJames Madison77-72
15/01/26HCoastal Carolina83-85
10/01/26AGeorgia State73-81
South Alabamalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/26AArkansas State92-88 OT
13/02/26ASouthern Miss84-78
07/02/26HBuffalo81-69
04/02/26AAppalachian State57-65
01/02/26HGeorgia State69-67
30/01/26HCoastal Carolina53-48
23/01/26AJames Madison90-83
17/01/26HLouisiana Lafayette56-59
16/01/26HArkansas State91-87 OT
10/01/26HGeorgia Southern87-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Marshall
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL62%
HomeLWWWL79%
AwayLLWWL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261412
Win %62%79%42%
Points / game80.284.874.9
Allowed / game76.074.477.9
Point differential+4.2+10.4-3.0
Avg total156.2159.1152.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%29%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)80% (5)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
South Alabama
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW65%
HomeWLWWW69%
AwayLWLWW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %65%69%62%
Points / game73.873.674.0
Allowed / game69.364.973.7
Point differential+4.5+8.7+0.3
Avg total143.1138.5147.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%31%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (12)57% (7)80% (5)
Overtime %12%8%15%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 South Alabama2617965%73.869.3+4.5
2 Appalachian State28181064%71.264.3+6.9
3 Troy27171063%81.774.7+7.0
4 Marshall26161062%80.276.0+4.2
5 Texas State28171161%74.470.9+3.6
6 Arkansas State27161159%82.577.5+5.0
7 Coastal Carolina27161159%73.572.1+1.4
8 Georgia Southern27151256%81.179.9+1.2
9 James Madison27141352%73.974.6-0.7
10 Southern Miss28141450%73.473.3+0.1
11 Old Dominion28101836%74.876.6-1.9
12 Georgia State2791833%70.574.3-3.8
13 Louisiana Lafayette2791833%62.969.6-6.6
14 Louisiana Monroe2742315%72.283.3-11.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Marshall483684
South Alabama354580
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