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Marshall vs South Alabama Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 31 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 21:00
Scheduled
Position#302
Record1-3
FormLWLLL
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game76.0
vs
Position#259
Record2-3
FormLWLWL
Points / game74.6
Allowed / game76.0
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Marshall v South Alabama
31 Dec 2026
MARS v SOUT
upcoming
16 Feb 2026
MARS84
SOUT80
13 Jan 2024
MARS85
SOUT91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Marshall win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
South Alabama win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MarshallUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Alabama
#120
W
84-80
84
80
+4
H17/02
NCAA
Appalachian State
#119
W
94-93
94
93
+1
A19/02
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#127
L
75-79
75
79
-4
A21/02
NCAA
Old Dominion
#300
W
97-88
97
88
+9
H25/02
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#142
L
82-99
82
99
-17
H28/02
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#142
L
78-82
78
82
-4
H09/03
NCAA
Buffalo
#282
W
92-65
92
65
+27
H03/11
NCAA
Toledo
#264
L
76-81
76
81
-5
H07/11
NCAA
Ohio State
#225
L
74-84
74
84
-10
A09/11
NCAA
Youngstown State
#242
L
71-74
71
74
-3
A14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
48-35
36-45
41-52
53-41
24-36
51-43
49-42
48-46
40-38
42-61
35-42
43-40
45-24
47-41
38-27
38-54
27-45
47-39
34-28
37-46
164.8Avg total
82.3Scored
82.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)78.276.0154.2+2.225%
Season at home (2)84.073.0157.0+11.050%
Season away (2)72.579.0151.5-6.50%
Last 10 (10)82.382.5164.8-0.240%
Last 5 (5)78.277.2155.4+1.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)71.580.0151.5-8.50%
vs Similar ◀ (20)78.278.9157.1-0.850%
vs Weaker (7)85.377.6162.9+7.757%
This opponent (South Alabama) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
South AlabamaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas State
#125
L
82-90 OT
82
90
-8
H20/02
NCAA
Troy
#84
W
65-54
65
54
+11
H21/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#369
W
89-54
89
54
+35
H26/02
NCAA
Southern Miss
#174
L
55-68
55
68
-13
H28/02
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#142
L
85-94
85
94
-9
H07/03
NCAA
Ohio
#170
L
77-86
77
86
-9
H03/11
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#216
W
83-80 OT
83
80
+3
H06/11
NCAA
UCF Knights
#73
L
69-76
69
76
-7
A11/11
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#300
W
79-72
79
72
+7
H13/11
NCAA
North Texas
#100
L
65-66
65
66
-1
A14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
33-40
42-35
33-26
32-28
42-14
47-40
29-35
26-33
43-40
42-54
35-34
42-52
23-32
43-34
34-32
35-44
39-34
40-38
29-33
36-33
148.9Avg total
74.9Scored
74.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)74.676.0150.6-1.440%
Season at home (3)79.779.3159.0+0.367%
Season away (2)67.071.0138.0-4.00%
Last 10 (10)74.974.0148.9+0.940%
Last 5 (5)74.676.0150.6-1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)72.277.0149.2-4.840%
vs Similar ◀ (18)73.673.7147.3-0.144%
vs Weaker (6)75.864.7140.5+11.283%
This opponent (Marshall) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +1.2+1.21st half: +2.0+2.02nd half2nd half: -1.4-1.42nd half: -0.6-0.6
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +1.2+1.21st half: +2.0+2.02nd half2nd half: -1.4-1.42nd half: -0.6-0.6
MarshallSouth Alabama
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
MarshallLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Alabama
#120
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H17/02
NCAA
Appalachian State
#119
L
41-52
41
52
-11
A19/02
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#127
L
24-36
24
36
-12
A21/02
NCAA
Old Dominion
#300
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H25/02
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#142
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H28/02
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#142
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H09/03
NCAA
Buffalo
#282
W
45-24
45
24
+21
H03/11
NCAA
Toledo
#264
W
38-27
38
27
+11
H07/11
NCAA
Ohio State
#225
L
27-45
27
45
-18
A09/11
NCAA
Youngstown State
#242
W
34-28
34
28
+6
A14/11
NCAA
75.0Avg total
38.1Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.837.374.1-0.543%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.135.674.6+3.559%-
Last 30 away (13)33.939.573.5-5.623%-
Last 10 (10)38.136.975.0+1.260%-
Last 5 (5)35.833.269.0+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)30.040.070.0-10.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)35.438.073.4-2.640%-
vs Weaker (7)41.636.177.7+5.457%-
This opponent (South Alabama) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
South AlabamaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas State
#125
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H20/02
NCAA
Troy
#84
W
33-26
33
26
+7
H21/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#369
W
42-14
42
14
+28
H26/02
NCAA
Southern Miss
#174
L
29-35
29
35
-6
H28/02
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#142
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H07/03
NCAA
Ohio
#170
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H03/11
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#216
L
23-32
23
32
-9
H06/11
NCAA
UCF Knights
#73
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A11/11
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#300
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H13/11
NCAA
North Texas
#100
L
29-33
29
33
-4
A14/11
NCAA
66.0Avg total
34.0Scored
32.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.132.565.7+0.650%-
Last 30 at home (17)33.430.664.0+2.859%-
Last 30 away (13)32.835.167.8-2.338%-
Last 10 (10)34.032.066.0+2.060%-
Last 5 (5)32.033.065.0-1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)31.233.464.6-2.240%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)33.133.466.6-0.344%-
vs Weaker (6)34.229.864.0+4.367%-
This opponent (Marshall) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Marshall wins
2
South Alabama wins
DateGameScore
17/02/26Marshall v South Alabama84-80
14/02/25South Alabama v Marshall91-82 OT
13/01/24Marshall v South Alabama85-91
Marshalllast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AYoungstown State71-74
09/11/26AOhio State74-84
07/11/26HToledo76-81
03/11/26HBuffalo92-65
09/03/26HGeorgia Southern78-82
28/02/26HGeorgia Southern82-99
25/02/26HOld Dominion97-88
21/02/26ACoastal Carolina75-79
19/02/26AAppalachian State94-93
17/02/26HSouth Alabama84-80
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ANorth Texas65-66
13/11/26HLoyola Marymount79-72
11/11/26AUCF Knights69-76
06/11/26HJacksonville State83-80 OT
03/11/26HOhio77-86
07/03/26HGeorgia Southern85-94
28/02/26HSouthern Miss55-68
26/02/26HLouisiana Monroe89-54
21/02/26HTroy65-54
20/02/26HTexas State82-90 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Marshall
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLL25%
HomeWL50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game78.284.072.5
Allowed / game76.073.079.0
Point differential+2.2+11.0-6.5
Avg total154.2157.0151.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
South Alabama
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL40%
HomeLWW67%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %40%67%0%
Points / game74.679.767.0
Allowed / game76.079.371.0
Point differential-1.4+0.3-4.0
Avg total150.6159.0138.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %20%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Texas State440100%89.862.8+27.0
2 Old Dominion550100%77.058.4+18.6
3 Appalachian State42250%69.060.2+8.8
4 Southern Miss42250%72.070.8+1.2
5 Arkansas State42250%80.279.5+0.8
6 Coastal Carolina42250%72.573.5-1.0
7 Georgia State52340%84.272.4+11.8
8 South Alabama52340%74.676.0-1.4
9 Louisiana Lafayette31233%59.060.3-1.3
10 James Madison31233%76.078.7-2.7
11 Marshall41325%78.276.0+2.2
12 Georgia Southern41325%77.882.8-5.0
13 Troy41325%66.078.0-12.0
14 Louisiana Monroe61517%75.087.7-12.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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