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Marsonia vs Novi Zagreb Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 23 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 73-76
25-15 20-21 7-20 21-20
Position#9
Record0-6
FormLLLLL
Points / game65.5
Allowed / game81.0
vs
Position#11
Record3-3
FormWWWLL
Points / game75.7
Allowed / game68.2
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 7· Sports Hall Viju
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Marsonia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Novi Zagreb winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MarsoniaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMarsonia
Date
Competition
Crikvenica
#11
L
75-85
75
85
-10
55avg 68
A30/03
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#9
W
79-64
79
64
+15
72avg 68
H06/04
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
L
77-84
77
84
-7
57avg 68
A13/04
Prva Liga
Samobor
#1
W
98-77
98
77
+21
90avg 68
H17/04
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#10
L
69-87
69
87
-18
54avg 68
A11/10
Prva Liga
Kastela
#2
L
72-77
72
77
-5
63avg 68
A18/10
Prva Liga
Jazine
#6
L
55-63
55
63
-8
40avg 68
H25/10
Prva Liga
Omis
#4
L
69-102
69
102
-33
59avg 68
A31/10
Prva Liga
Mladost
#3
L
67-72
67
72
-5
56avg 68
H09/11
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#1
L
61-85
61
85
-24
45avg 68
A15/11
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-25
18-24
15-17
28-19
20-16
15-9
25-26
19-13
11-31
17-11
22-25
27-17
32-21
22-19
22-21
22-16
14-31
13-19
17-18
25-19
19-27
20-19
21-14
12-17
14-15
12-20
14-16
15-12
14-24
14-19
21-31
20-28
16-13
15-14
13-24
23-21
12-22
8-17
18-25
23-21
151.8Avg total
72.2Scored
79.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)65.581.0146.5-15.50%
Season at home (2)61.067.5128.5-6.50%
Season away (4)67.887.8155.5-20.00%
Last 10 (10)72.279.6151.8-7.420%
Last 5 (5)64.879.8144.6-15.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)73.585.7159.3-12.218%
vs Similar ◀ (11)82.584.6167.1-2.245%
vs Weaker (7)86.676.1162.7+10.471%
This opponent (Novi Zagreb) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Novi ZagrebCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZagreb
Date
Competition
Sonik Puntamika
#12
L
75-76
75
76
-1
67avg 71
A12/10
Prva Liga
Amfora
#13
W
92-76
92
76
+16
95avg 71
H19/10
Prva Liga
Osijek
#14
W
89-51
89
51
+38
86avg 71
A26/10
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#8
W
72-65 OT
72
65
+7
65avg 71
H02/11
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#7
L
54-61
54
61
-7
44avg 71
A08/11
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#10
L
72-80
72
80
-8
69avg 71
H16/11
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-26
14-21
18-19
19-10
26-16
13-17
27-21
26-22
23-15
19-12
18-16
29-8
21-9
11-19
17-21
13-13
12-16
17-20
14-10
11-15
23-17
14-25
19-19
16-19
143.8Avg total
75.7Scored
68.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)75.768.2143.8+7.550%
Season at home (3)78.773.7152.3+5.067%
Season away (3)72.762.7135.3+10.033%
Last 10 (6)75.768.2143.8+7.550%
Last 5 (5)75.866.6142.4+9.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (3)66.068.7134.7-2.733%
vs Weaker (3)85.367.7153.0+17.767%
This opponent (Marsonia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.9-5.9Q1: +5.0+5.0Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: -4.3-4.3Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: +4.5+4.5
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.9-5.9Q1: +5.0+5.0Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: -4.3-4.3Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: +4.5+4.5
MarsoniaNovi Zagreb
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MarsoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crikvenica
#11
L
32-49
32
49
-17
A30/03
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#9
W
35-25
35
25
+10
H06/04
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
L
28-42
28
42
-14
A13/04
Prva Liga
Samobor
#1
W
54-40
54
40
+14
H17/04
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#10
L
27-50
27
50
-23
A11/10
Prva Liga
Kastela
#2
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A18/10
Prva Liga
Jazine
#6
L
26-35
26
35
-9
H25/10
Prva Liga
Omis
#4
L
28-43
28
43
-15
A31/10
Prva Liga
Mladost
#3
W
31-27
31
27
+4
H09/11
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#1
L
20-39
20
39
-19
A15/11
Prva Liga
71.6Avg total
32.0Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.441.479.7-3.043%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.436.777.1+3.657%-
Last 30 away (16)36.645.482.1-8.831%-
Last 10 (10)32.039.671.6-7.630%-
Last 5 (5)28.838.066.8-9.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)34.740.875.5-6.136%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)39.641.781.4-2.145%-
vs Weaker (7)41.040.981.9+0.157%-
This opponent (Novi Zagreb) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Novi ZagrebLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sonik Puntamika
#12
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A12/10
Prva Liga
Amfora
#13
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H19/10
Prva Liga
Osijek
#14
W
42-27
42
27
+15
A26/10
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#8
W
32-28
32
28
+4
H02/11
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#7
L
29-36
29
36
-7
A08/11
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#10
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H16/11
Prva Liga
71.7Avg total
36.2Scored
35.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (6)36.235.571.7+0.750%-
Last 30 at home (3)36.034.370.3+1.767%-
Last 30 away (3)36.336.773.0-0.333%-
Last 10 (6)36.235.571.7+0.750%-
Last 5 (5)35.833.269.0+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (3)32.735.368.0-2.733%-
vs Weaker (3)39.735.775.3+4.067%-
This opponent (Marsonia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Marsoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Marsonia: 71.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.3 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
51%
33%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.018.2
46.7%
53.0%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.88.5
30.6%
32.7%25.5
🏀 Free throws14.19.3
66.0%
71.6%9.3
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Novi Zagrebtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Novi Zagreb: 74.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
51%
33%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.315.5
46.5%
53.0%31.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.39.3
31.8%
32.7%28.0
🏀 Free throws22.515.7
69.6%
71.6%15.7
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/6 games with a box score before 23 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Marsonia
LLLLLLWLWL
Novi Zagreb
LLWWWL
#9
League position
#11
-10.7
Net rating
+9.8
95.3
Offensive rating
97.5
106.0
Defensive rating
87.7
46.3%
Effective FG%
47.1%
56.2%
Opp. effective FG%
44.2%
17.4%
Turnover %
23.1%
27.1%
Off. rebound %
33.6%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.36
30.6%
3-point %
31.8%
47.6%
Assist %
73.2%
20%
Form (last 10/6)
50%

Profile

Offence95.3 · 97.5Defence106.0 · 87.7Shooting46.3% · 47.1%3-point %30.6% · 31.8%Ball care17.4% · 23.1%Off. rebounds27.1% · 33.6%Free throws0.21 · 0.36Form (last 10/6)20% · 50%
■ Marsonia   ■ Novi Zagreb
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Marsonia wins
0
Novi Zagreb wins
No previous meetings.
Marsonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/25ASkrljevo61-85
09/11/25HMladost67-72
31/10/25AOmis69-102
25/10/25HJazine55-63
18/10/25AKastela72-77
11/10/25ADakovo69-87
17/04/25HSamobor98-77
13/04/25AOmis77-84
06/04/25HSonik Puntamika79-64
30/03/25ACrikvenica75-85
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/11/25HDakovo72-80
08/11/25AKK Zagreb54-61
02/11/25HCrikvenica72-65 OT
26/10/25AOsijek89-51
19/10/25HAmfora92-76
12/10/25ASonik Puntamika75-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Marsonia
Prva Liga 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game65.561.067.8
Allowed / game81.067.587.8
Point differential-15.5-6.5-20.0
Avg total146.5128.5155.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Novi Zagreb
Prva Liga 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Losses (last 6)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL50%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%67%33%
Points / game75.778.772.7
Allowed / game68.273.762.7
Point differential+7.5+5.0+10.0
Avg total143.8152.3135.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %17%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kastela770100%88.065.3+22.7
2 Skrljevo76186%96.773.9+22.9
3 Gorica75271%86.073.3+12.7
4 Mladost75271%79.467.4+12.0
5 Dakovo74357%84.381.3+3.0
6 KK Zagreb74357%68.673.0-4.4
7 Novi Zagreb63350%75.768.2+7.5
8 Amfora63350%83.389.2-5.8
9 Omis73443%80.378.6+1.7
10 Jazine73443%73.781.3-7.6
11 Crikvenica62433%72.879.2-6.3
12 Sonik Puntamika72529%69.474.9-5.4
13 Marsonia6060%65.581.0-15.5
14 Osijek7070%60.1100.4-40.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Marsonia252072173
Novi Zagreb1521202076
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