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Dakovo vs Marsonia Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 14:30
Final 87-69
31-14 19-13 18-17 19-25
Position#10
Record-
FormLLLWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Dakovo 🏆
Croatia
vs
Marsonia
Croatia
Position#9
Record-
FormLLWLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 1· Sportska Dvorana
Other2025-26
Meetings · Dakovo v Marsonia
11 Oct 2025
DAKO87
MARS69
02 Mar 2025
DAKO93
MARS75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dakovo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Marsonia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DakovoCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDakovo
Date
Competition
Skrljevo
#4
L
68-94
68
94
-26
59avg 70
H15/02
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
L
65-90
65
90
-25
53avg 70
A23/02
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#6
W
93-75
93
75
+18
94avg 70
H02/03
Prva Liga
Kastela
#3
L
74-108
74
108
-34
64avg 70
A08/03
Prva Liga
Hermes
#14
L
61-91
61
91
-30
46avg 70
A16/03
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#8
L
79-82
79
82
-3
66avg 70
H23/03
Prva Liga
Mladost
#2
L
74-75
74
75
-1
71avg 70
H29/03
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#11
L
62-64
62
64
-2
52avg 70
H06/04
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#9
W
75-73
75
73
+2
80avg 70
A12/04
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
90-82
90
82
+8
91avg 70
H16/04
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-31
21-22
15-22
17-19
5-20
20-25
20-24
20-21
28-15
24-25
15-15
26-20
21-28
20-28
12-26
21-26
19-26
11-19
15-21
16-25
19-21
19-29
24-24
17-8
18-17
21-21
20-15
15-22
12-17
24-15
17-11
9-21
16-22
19-12
17-22
23-17
14-22
25-21
32-12
19-27
157.5Avg total
74.1Scored
83.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)74.183.4157.5-9.330%
Last 5 (5)76.075.2151.2+0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)76.187.6163.7-11.419%
vs Similar ◀ (6)74.274.3148.5-0.250%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Marsonia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MarsoniaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMarsonia
Date
Competition
Jazine
#5
W
89-86
89
86
+3
78avg 72
H16/02
Prva Liga
Kastela
#3
L
70-86
70
86
-16
49avg 72
A23/02
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#12
L
75-93
75
93
-18
61avg 72
A02/03
Prva Liga
Hermes
#14
W
80-66
80
66
+14
65avg 72
H09/03
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#8
L
75-97
75
97
-22
61avg 72
A15/03
Prva Liga
Mladost
#2
L
83-91
83
91
-8
70avg 72
H23/03
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#11
L
75-85
75
85
-10
55avg 72
A30/03
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#9
W
79-64
79
64
+15
72avg 72
H06/04
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
L
77-84
77
84
-7
57avg 72
A13/04
Prva Liga
Samobor
#1
W
98-77
98
77
+21
90avg 72
H17/04
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-22
27-17
16-29
19-18
12-21
12-18
22-24
24-23
15-28
25-24
15-15
20-26
12-14
17-27
30-15
21-10
24-22
12-29
20-22
19-24
22-22
24-23
16-19
21-27
14-25
18-24
15-17
28-19
20-16
15-9
25-26
19-13
11-31
17-11
22-25
27-17
32-21
22-19
22-21
22-16
163.0Avg total
80.1Scored
82.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)80.182.9163.0-2.840%
Last 5 (5)82.480.2162.6+2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)81.287.4168.7-6.233%
vs Similar ◀ (11)83.685.3168.9-1.645%
vs Weaker (9)88.878.4167.2+10.367%
This opponent (Dakovo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -5.2-5.2Q1: -3.3-3.3Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: +2.7+2.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -5.2-5.2Q1: -3.3-3.3Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: +2.7+2.7
DakovoMarsonia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
DakovoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Skrljevo
#4
L
36-53
36
53
-17
H15/02
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
L
25-45
25
45
-20
A23/02
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#6
W
52-40
52
40
+12
H02/03
Prva Liga
Kastela
#3
L
41-56
41
56
-15
A08/03
Prva Liga
Hermes
#14
L
30-45
30
45
-15
A16/03
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#8
L
38-50
38
50
-12
H23/03
Prva Liga
Mladost
#2
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H29/03
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#11
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H06/04
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#9
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A12/04
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H16/04
Prva Liga
80.7Avg total
37.1Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)38.143.181.2-5.043%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.643.484.1-2.850%-
Last 30 away (14)35.642.878.4-7.136%-
Last 10 (10)37.143.680.7-6.540%-
Last 5 (5)37.439.476.8-2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)38.245.083.2-6.833%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)37.035.272.2+1.883%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Marsonia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MarsoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jazine
#5
W
54-39
54
39
+15
H16/02
Prva Liga
Kastela
#3
L
24-39
24
39
-15
A23/02
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#12
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A02/03
Prva Liga
Hermes
#14
L
29-41
29
41
-12
H09/03
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#8
L
36-51
36
51
-15
A15/03
Prva Liga
Mladost
#2
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H23/03
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#11
L
32-49
32
49
-17
A30/03
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#9
W
35-25
35
25
+10
H06/04
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
L
28-42
28
42
-14
A13/04
Prva Liga
Samobor
#1
W
54-40
54
40
+14
H17/04
Prva Liga
80.1Avg total
37.8Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.642.183.7-0.647%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.437.981.3+5.560%-
Last 30 away (15)39.746.486.1-6.733%-
Last 10 (10)37.842.380.1-4.540%-
Last 5 (5)39.040.279.2-1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)39.043.282.2-4.233%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)41.542.083.5-0.545%-
vs Weaker (9)43.840.784.4+3.167%-
This opponent (Dakovo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Dakovotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dakovo: 73.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀62%
🏀🏀🏀21%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.4 pts a game · 62% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.3 pts a game · 21% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
51%
33%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.922.7
46.4%
53.0%45.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.35.1
25.1%
32.7%15.3
🏀 Free throws18.012.8
71.1%
71.6%12.8
They take 69.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 29% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Marsoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Marsonia: 79.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.7 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
51%
33%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.019.9
53.8%
53.0%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.99.9
31.0%
32.7%29.7
🏀 Free throws14.79.7
66.0%
71.6%9.7
They take 68.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Dakovo
WWLLLLLWLL
Marsonia
WLWLLLWLLW
#10
League position
#9
-11.4
Net rating
-4.3
94.2
Offensive rating
102.3
105.6
Defensive rating
106.6
43.9%
Effective FG%
50.4%
51.1%
Opp. effective FG%
55.7%
19.5%
Turnover %
14.9%
33.9%
Off. rebound %
22.9%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.21
25.1%
3-point %
31.0%
65.5%
Assist %
42.6%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence94.2 · 102.3Defence105.6 · 106.6Shooting43.9% · 50.4%3-point %25.1% · 31.0%Ball care19.5% · 14.9%Off. rebounds33.9% · 22.9%Free throws0.26 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Dakovo   ■ Marsonia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Dakovo wins
1
Marsonia wins
DateGameScore
02/03/25Dakovo v Marsonia93-75
17/11/24Marsonia v Dakovo80-64
Dakovolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/04/25HOmis90-82
12/04/25ASonik Puntamika75-73
06/04/25HCrikvenica62-64
29/03/25HMladost74-75
23/03/25HKK Zagreb79-82
16/03/25AHermes61-91
08/03/25AKastela74-108
02/03/25HMarsonia93-75
23/02/25AJazine65-90
15/02/25HSkrljevo68-94
Marsonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/04/25HSamobor98-77
13/04/25AOmis77-84
06/04/25HSonik Puntamika79-64
30/03/25ACrikvenica75-85
23/03/25HMladost83-91
15/03/25AKK Zagreb75-97
09/03/25HHermes80-66
02/03/25ADakovo75-93
23/02/25AKastela70-86
16/02/25HJazine89-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dakovo
Prva Liga 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Marsonia
Prva Liga 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Mladost110100%93.056.0+37.0
2 Kastela110100%89.079.0+10.0
3 Gorica1010%79.089.0-10.0
4 Osijek1010%56.093.0-37.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Dakovo3119181987
Marsonia1413172569
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