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Maryland vs Bucknell Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 03 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Projected 76-67
Projected total 142.6
Final 96-67
44-30 52-37
Position#275
Record-
FormLLLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Maryland 🏆
USA
Vs
80%
20%
■ MARY 80%■ BUCK 20%
Pythia win probability
Bucknell
USA
Position#398
Record-
FormLWLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Maryland v Bucknell
02 Nov 2026
MARY96
BUCK67
27 Nov 2024
MARY91
BUCK67
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Maryland hosts Bucknell on 2 November 2026 in the NCAA, and the Pythia model names Maryland the clear favourite, rating them 80% to win because of their dominant recent form and higher projected points. Maryland's last five games include a win over Oregon 70-60 away on 10 March 2026, a loss to Iowa 64-75 away on 11 March 2026, and a loss to Illinois 72-78 at home on 8 March 2026, giving them one win and four losses in that span. Bucknell's recent five games feature two wins and three losses, including a win over Army 65-55 at home on 3 March 2026, a loss to Navy 69-74 away on 5 March 2026, and a loss to Lehigh 79-89 away on 28 February 2026. In their only prior meeting, Maryland beat Bucknell 91-67 on 27 November 2024, giving Maryland a 1-0 edge. Pythia projects a 76-67 score, 142.6 total points, and an 80% chance for Maryland to win. The home team's line is 147.5 with a 38% probability of the over, and the game has a 4% chance of overtime. Maryland's projected 76 points reflect their higher offensive output, while Bucknell's 67 points show a more modest attack. The game will decide whether Maryland can translate its recent success into a decisive victory over Bucknell.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Maryland winWon
79.6%fair 1.26
Best odds1.01
Implied94.4%
Edge-14.8pp
Bucknell winLost
20.4%fair 4.91
Best odds100.00
Implied5.6%
Edge+14.8pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 01 Nov 07:04 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MarylandUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iowa
#81
W
77-70
77
70
+7
H11/02
NCAA
Rutgers
#267
L
57-68
57
68
-11
A15/02
NCAA
Northwestern
#251
L
74-78
74
78
-4
A19/02
NCAA
Washington
#218
W
64-60
64
60
+4
H21/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#21
L
61-74
61
74
-13
A26/02
NCAA
Rutgers
#267
L
65-69
65
69
-4
H01/03
NCAA
Wisconsin
#57
L
45-78
45
78
-33
A05/03
NCAA
Illinois
#35
L
72-78
72
78
-6
H08/03
NCAA
Oregon
#293
W
70-60
70
60
+10
A10/03
NCAA
Iowa
#81
L
64-75
64
75
-11
A11/03
NCAA
1H
2H
37-32
40-38
27-27
30-41
34-35
40-43
34-32
30-28
27-33
34-41
20-39
45-30
21-34
24-44
34-37
38-41
33-12
37-48
26-25
38-50
135.9Avg total
64.9Scored
71.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)64.971.0135.9-6.130%
Last 5 (5)63.272.0135.2-8.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)69.279.9149.2-10.732%
vs Similar (5)68.466.8135.2+1.640%
vs Weaker ◀no games
This opponent (Bucknell) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BucknellUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
American University
#204
W
60-59
60
59
+1
A05/02
NCAA
Colgate
#168
L
59-78
59
78
-19
H07/02
NCAA
Navy
#24
L
60-76
60
76
-16
H09/02
NCAA
Boston University
#211
L
69-82
69
82
-13
A14/02
NCAA
American University
#204
L
57-75
57
75
-18
H19/02
NCAA
Holy Cross
#321
L
63-72
63
72
-9
H22/02
NCAA
Army
#318
W
75-73
75
73
+2
A25/02
NCAA
Lehigh
#197
L
79-89
79
89
-10
A28/02
NCAA
Army
#318
W
65-55
65
55
+10
H04/03
NCAA
Navy
#24
L
69-74
69
74
-5
A06/03
NCAA
1H
2H
24-29
36-30
23-39
36-39
24-35
36-41
27-42
42-40
30-36
27-39
30-31
33-41
36-26
39-47
40-47
39-42
26-25
39-30
39-36
30-38
138.9Avg total
65.6Scored
73.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)65.673.3138.9-7.730%
Last 5 (5)70.272.6142.8-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)66.380.6146.9-14.318%
vs Similar (8)68.967.5136.4+1.450%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Maryland) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 142.5Actual: Over 142.5
Over 142.5
49.7%
@ 1.50-13.2pp
Under 142.5
50.3%
@ 2.60+13.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.50
Bet365
1.45
Under
Bet365
2.60
Betano
2.40
Over/Under 147.5 · main lineActual: Over 147.5
Over 147.5
37.7%
@ 1.93-12.3pp
Under 147.5
62.3%
@ 1.92+12.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.93
Marathon Be
1.92
Bet365
1.90
WilliamHill
1.85
BetVictor
1.83
Under
SBO
1.92
Bet365
1.90
Betano
1.85
WilliamHill
1.85
1xBet
1.83
Over/Under 152.5Actual: Over 152.5
Over 152.5
26.9%
@ 2.60-9.3pp
Under 152.5
73.1%
@ 1.45+9.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.60
Betano
2.52
Under
Betano
1.45
Bet365
1.45

📊 3. Team Totals

Maryland total 85Actual: Maryland over 85
Over 85
17.5%
Under 85
82.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maryland total 89 · main lineActual: Maryland over 89
Over 89
9.0%
@ 1.85-41.0pp
Under 89
91.0%
@ 1.85+41.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.85
Under
Marathon Be
1.85
Maryland total 92.5Actual: Maryland over 92.5
Over 92.5
no forecast
@ 2.30
Under 92.5
no forecast
@ 1.50
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.30
Under
Betano
1.50
Bucknell total 53.5Actual: Bucknell over 53.5
Over 53.5
no forecast
@ 1.39
Under 53.5
no forecast
@ 2.60
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.39
Under
Betano
2.60
Bucknell total 58 · main lineActual: Bucknell over 58
Over 58
80.7%
@ 1.85+30.7pp
Under 58
19.3%
@ 1.85-30.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.85
Under
BetVictor
1.85
Bucknell total 62Actual: Bucknell over 62
Over 62
67.6%
Under 62
32.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Maryland -34.5Actual: Bucknell +34.5
MARY -34.5
no forecast
@ 2.22
BUCK +34.5
no forecast
@ 1.60
Best 5 market prices
MARY
Bet365
2.22
Betano
2.18
BUCK
Betano
1.60
Bet365
1.58
Spread Maryland -31.5 · main lineActual: Bucknell +31.5
MARY -31.5
no forecast
@ 1.90
BUCK +31.5
no forecast
@ 1.90
Best 5 market prices
MARY
Betano
1.90
Bet365
1.90
Marathon Be
1.87
SBO
1.87
1xBet
1.83
BUCK
Bet365
1.90
Marathon Be
1.87
Betano
1.87
SBO
1.87
1xBet
1.83
Spread Maryland -28.5Actual: Maryland -28.5
MARY -28.5
no forecast
@ 1.60
BUCK +28.5
no forecast
@ 2.22
Best 5 market prices
MARY
Betano
1.60
Bet365
1.58
BUCK
Bet365
2.22
Betano
2.18

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -1.3-1.31st half: -4.7-4.72nd half2nd half: -4.8-4.82nd half: -3.0-3.0
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -1.3-1.31st half: -4.7-4.72nd half2nd half: -4.8-4.82nd half: -3.0-3.0
MarylandBucknell
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
MarylandLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iowa
#81
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H11/02
NCAA
Rutgers
#267
D
27-27
27
27
+0
A15/02
NCAA
Northwestern
#251
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A19/02
NCAA
Washington
#218
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H21/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#21
L
27-33
27
33
-6
A26/02
NCAA
Rutgers
#267
L
20-39
20
39
-19
H01/03
NCAA
Wisconsin
#57
L
21-34
21
34
-13
A05/03
NCAA
Illinois
#35
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H08/03
NCAA
Oregon
#293
W
33-12
33
12
+21
A10/03
NCAA
Iowa
#81
W
26-25
26
25
+1
A11/03
NCAA
59.9Avg total
29.3Scored
30.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 70
Last 30 (30)32.035.267.2-3.230%40%
Last 30 at home (14)35.134.169.3+1.050%43%
Last 30 away (16)29.236.165.3-6.912%38%
Last 10 (10)29.330.659.9-1.340%10%
Last 5 (5)26.829.456.2-2.640%20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)31.836.768.6-4.928%44%
vs Similar (5)32.627.660.2+5.040%20%
vs Weaker ◀no games
This opponent (Bucknell) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BucknellLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
American University
#204
L
24-29
24
29
-5
A05/02
NCAA
Colgate
#168
L
23-39
23
39
-16
H07/02
NCAA
Navy
#24
L
24-35
24
35
-11
H09/02
NCAA
Boston University
#211
L
27-42
27
42
-15
A14/02
NCAA
American University
#204
L
30-36
30
36
-6
H19/02
NCAA
Holy Cross
#321
L
30-31
30
31
-1
H22/02
NCAA
Army
#318
W
36-26
36
26
+10
A25/02
NCAA
Lehigh
#197
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A28/02
NCAA
Army
#318
W
26-25
26
25
+1
H04/03
NCAA
Navy
#24
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A06/03
NCAA
64.5Avg total
29.9Scored
34.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 70
Last 30 (30)30.035.565.5-5.530%30%
Last 30 at home (14)30.434.464.8-4.136%29%
Last 30 away (16)29.836.466.2-6.725%31%
Last 10 (10)29.934.664.5-4.730%20%
Last 5 (5)34.233.067.2+1.260%40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)29.237.266.4-8.018%32%
vs Similar (8)32.430.963.2+1.562%25%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Maryland) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: Maryland win
MARY win
no forecast
@ 1.04
BUCK win
no forecast
@ 11.50
1st half Spread Maryland -16 · main lineActual: Bucknell +16
MARY -16
no forecast
@ 1.88
BUCK +16
no forecast
@ 1.82
1st half Over/Under 70 · main lineActual: Over 70
Over
no forecast
@ 1.83
Under
no forecast
@ 1.87
Maryland 1st half total 43 · main lineActual: Maryland over 43
Over
no forecast
@ 1.85
Under
no forecast
@ 1.85
Bucknell 1st half total 26.5 · main lineActual: Bucknell over 26.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.85
Under
no forecast
@ 1.85
1st half Over/Under 68.5Actual: Over 68.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.82
Under
no forecast
@ 1.95
1st half Over/Under 71.5Actual: Over 71.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.27
Under
no forecast
@ 1.55
1st half Spread Maryland -17.5Actual: Bucknell +17.5
MARY -17.5
no forecast
@ 2.12
BUCK +17.5
no forecast
@ 1.62
1st half Spread Maryland -14.5Actual: Bucknell +14.5
MARY -14.5
no forecast
@ 1.72
BUCK +14.5
no forecast
@ 2.07
1st half Over/Under 66.5Actual: Over 66.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.55
Under
no forecast
@ 2.25
1st half Over/Under 73.5Actual: Over 73.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.82
Under
no forecast
@ 1.44
1st half Spread Maryland -18.5Actual: Bucknell +18.5
MARY -18.5
no forecast
@ 2.32
BUCK +18.5
no forecast
@ 1.53
1st half Spread Maryland -13.5Actual: Maryland -13.5
MARY -13.5
no forecast
@ 1.57
BUCK +13.5
no forecast
@ 2.22
1st half Over/Under 64.5Actual: Over 64.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.40
Under
no forecast
@ 2.72
1st half Spread Maryland -19.5Actual: Bucknell +19.5
MARY -19.5
no forecast
@ 2.52
BUCK +19.5
no forecast
@ 1.45
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Maryland (regulation)
MARY
no forecast
@ 1.05
Draw
no forecast
@ 41.00
BUCK
no forecast
@ 12.00

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
MARY win + total 147.5
🔒 Pro
BUCK win + total 147.5
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: MARY leads at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: level at half
🔒 Pro
🔒 4 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Bucknell +2490.3%3.40
Bet365
3.40		----+63.1ppLost
Bucknell +23.589.0%3.50
Bet365
3.50		----+62.4ppLost
Bucknell +2591.6%3.05
Bet365
3.05		----+61.1ppLost
Bucknell +24.590.5%2.96
Bet365
3.15
Betano
2.77		---+59.1ppLost
Maryland under 84.580.3%2.60
Betano
2.60		----+45.5ppLost
Maryland under 85.583.0%2.40
Betano
2.40		----+45.3ppLost
Maryland under 86.585.4%2.20
Betano
2.20		----+44.4ppLost
Maryland under 87.587.6%2.05
Betano
2.05		----+43.4ppLost
Maryland under 88.589.5%1.95
Betano
1.95		----+42.2ppLost
Maryland under 89.591.2%1.85
1xBet
1.87
WilliamHill
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
Betano
1.82		-+41.2ppLost
Maryland under 8991.0%1.85
Marathon Bet
1.85		----+41.0ppLost
Maryland under 90.592.7%1.70
Betano
1.70		----+38.4ppLost
Maryland under 91.594.0%1.57
Betano
1.57		----+36.5ppLost
Bucknell over 60.572.2%2.25
Betano
2.25		----+31.8ppWon
Bucknell over 59.575.4%2.07
Betano
2.07		----+31.8ppWon
Bucknell over 57.581.2%1.84
1xBet
1.90
Marathon Bet
1.86
Betano
1.82
WilliamHill
1.80		-+30.9ppWon
Bucknell over 58.578.4%1.94
Betano
1.98
WilliamHill
1.91		---+30.7ppWon
Bucknell over 5880.7%1.85
BetVictor
1.85		----+30.7ppWon
Bucknell over 56.583.8%1.70
Betano
1.70		----+29.1ppWon
Bucknell over 55.586.1%1.57
Betano
1.57		----+28.3ppWon
Under 15272.6%1.50
Bet365
1.50		----+10.1ppLost
Under 15170.5%1.54
Bet365
1.54		----+10.0ppLost
Under 151.571.1%1.51
Bet365
1.52
Betano
1.50		---+9.8ppLost
Under 15374.6%1.43
Bet365
1.43		----+9.6ppLost
Under 152.573.1%1.45
Betano
1.45
Bet365
1.45		---+9.3ppLost
Under 15476.5%1.37
Bet365
1.37		----+9.0ppLost
Under 153.575.1%1.39
Betano
1.40
Bet365
1.38		---+8.6ppLost
Under 154.576.9%1.35
Betano
1.35
Bet365
1.34		---+8.1ppLost
Under 15578.3%1.32
Bet365
1.32		----+7.9ppLost
Under 155.578.7%1.29
Bet365
1.29		----+6.8ppLost
Maryland (regulation)77.4%1.01
Betano
1.01		-----13.5ppWon
Maryland win79.6%1.01
Betano
1.01		-----14.8ppWon
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Maryland wins
0
Bucknell wins
DateGameScore
27/11/24Maryland v Bucknell91-67
Marylandlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/26AIowa64-75
10/03/26AOregon70-60
08/03/26HIllinois72-78
05/03/26AWisconsin45-78
01/03/26HRutgers65-69
26/02/26ANebraska61-74
21/02/26HWashington64-60
19/02/26ANorthwestern74-78
15/02/26ARutgers57-68
11/02/26HIowa77-70
Bucknelllast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/26ANavy69-74
04/03/26HArmy65-55
28/02/26ALehigh79-89
25/02/26AArmy75-73
22/02/26HHoly Cross63-72
19/02/26HAmerican University57-75
14/02/26ABoston University69-82
09/02/26HNavy60-76
07/02/26HColgate59-78
05/02/26AAmerican University60-59

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Maryland
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over 147.5---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Bucknell
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over 147.5---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Michigan110100%84.068.0+16.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Patriot League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Loyola Maryland1010%58.080.0-22.0
2 Army1010%50.084.0-34.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Maryland445296
Bucknell303767
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