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Maryland vs USC Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 21 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 88-71
37-27 51-44
Position#35
Record20-6
FormWLWWW
Points / game83.5
Allowed / game67.2
vs
Position#215
Record14-11
FormWLLWL
Points / game76.6
Allowed / game72.9
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Maryland v USC
05 Jan 2027
MARY v USC
upcoming
20 Feb 2025
MARY88
USC71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Maryland winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
USC winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MarylandUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota
#226
W
77-71
77
71
+6
H13/01
NCAA
Northwestern
#191
L
74-76 OT
74
76
-2
A17/01
NCAA
Nebraska
#158
W
69-66
69
66
+3
H19/01
NCAA
Illinois
#100
W
91-70
91
70
+21
A24/01
NCAA
Indiana
#132
W
79-78
79
78
+1
A26/01
NCAA
Wisconsin
#43
W
76-68
76
68
+8
H30/01
NCAA
Ohio State
#172
L
70-73
70
73
-3
A07/02
NCAA
Rutgers
#224
W
90-81
90
81
+9
H09/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#158
W
83-75
83
75
+8
A14/02
NCAA
Iowa
#192
W
101-75
101
75
+26
H16/02
NCAA
1H
2H
32-35
45-36
37-38
31-30
37-35
32-31
38-35
53-35
38-37
41-41
32-31
44-37
41-32
29-41
49-38
41-43
42-35
41-40
47-51
54-24
154.3Avg total
81.0Scored
73.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)83.567.2150.7+16.377%
Season at home (18)86.062.9148.9+23.194%
Season away (8)77.976.6154.5+1.238%
Last 10 (10)81.073.3154.3+7.780%
Last 5 (5)84.074.4158.4+9.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)62.586.0148.5-23.50%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)82.667.1149.8+15.575%
This opponent (USC) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
USCUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois
#100
W
82-72
82
72
+10
A11/01
NCAA
Iowa
#192
W
99-89
99
89
+10
H15/01
NCAA
Wisconsin
#43
L
69-84
69
84
-15
H18/01
NCAA
Nebraska
#158
W
78-73
78
73
+5
A23/01
NCAA
UCLA
#66
L
76-82
76
82
-6
H28/01
NCAA
Michigan State
#17
W
70-64
70
64
+6
H01/02
NCAA
Northwestern
#191
L
75-77
75
77
-2
A05/02
NCAA
Purdue
#72
L
72-90
72
90
-18
A08/02
NCAA
Penn State
#185
W
92-67
92
67
+25
H12/02
NCAA
Minnesota
#226
L
66-69
66
69
-3
H15/02
NCAA
1H
2H
35-38
47-34
48-32
51-57
27-42
42-42
31-33
47-40
37-42
39-40
35-32
35-32
31-33
44-44
36-48
36-42
40-31
52-36
38-29
28-40
154.6Avg total
77.9Scored
76.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)76.672.9149.5+3.756%
Season at home (18)76.771.4148.1+5.361%
Season away (7)76.376.9153.1-0.643%
Last 10 (10)77.976.7154.6+1.250%
Last 5 (5)75.073.4148.4+1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)72.071.5143.5+0.547%
vs Similar (13)79.974.9154.8+5.069%
vs Weaker (2)83.067.0150.0+16.0100%
This opponent (Maryland) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +2.6+2.61st half: -0.2-0.22nd half2nd half: +5.3+5.32nd half: +1.4+1.4
-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +2.6+2.61st half: -0.2-0.22nd half2nd half: +5.3+5.32nd half: +1.4+1.4
MarylandUSC
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
MarylandLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota
#226
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H13/01
NCAA
Northwestern
#191
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A17/01
NCAA
Nebraska
#158
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H19/01
NCAA
Illinois
#100
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A24/01
NCAA
Indiana
#132
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A26/01
NCAA
Wisconsin
#43
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H30/01
NCAA
Ohio State
#172
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A07/02
NCAA
Rutgers
#224
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H09/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#158
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A14/02
NCAA
Iowa
#192
L
47-51
47
51
-4
H16/02
NCAA
76.0Avg total
39.3Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.731.672.3+9.180%-
Last 30 at home (20)42.629.372.0+13.385%-
Last 30 away (10)36.836.373.1+0.570%-
Last 10 (10)39.336.776.0+2.670%-
Last 5 (5)42.237.479.6+4.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)29.041.570.5-12.50%-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)41.530.972.5+10.686%-
This opponent (USC) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
USCLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois
#100
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A11/01
NCAA
Iowa
#192
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H15/01
NCAA
Wisconsin
#43
L
27-42
27
42
-15
H18/01
NCAA
Nebraska
#158
L
31-33
31
33
-2
A23/01
NCAA
UCLA
#66
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H28/01
NCAA
Michigan State
#17
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H01/02
NCAA
Northwestern
#191
L
31-33
31
33
-2
A05/02
NCAA
Purdue
#72
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A08/02
NCAA
Penn State
#185
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H12/02
NCAA
Minnesota
#226
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H15/02
NCAA
71.8Avg total
35.8Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.534.370.8+2.253%-
Last 30 at home (20)37.533.470.9+4.170%-
Last 30 away (10)34.436.270.6-1.820%-
Last 10 (10)35.836.071.8-0.240%-
Last 5 (5)36.034.670.6+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)32.834.367.1-1.547%-
vs Similar (13)40.035.275.2+4.862%-
vs Weaker (2)41.528.570.0+13.050%-
This opponent (Maryland) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Maryland wins
0
USC wins
No previous meetings.
Marylandlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/02/25HIowa101-75
14/02/25ANebraska83-75
09/02/25HRutgers90-81
07/02/25AOhio State70-73
30/01/25HWisconsin76-68
26/01/25AIndiana79-78
24/01/25AIllinois91-70
19/01/25HNebraska69-66
17/01/25ANorthwestern74-76 OT
13/01/25HMinnesota77-71
USClast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/25HMinnesota66-69
12/02/25HPenn State92-67
08/02/25APurdue72-90
05/02/25ANorthwestern75-77
01/02/25HMichigan State70-64
28/01/25HUCLA76-82
23/01/25ANebraska78-73
18/01/25HWisconsin69-84
15/01/25HIowa99-89
11/01/25AIllinois82-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Maryland
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW77%
HomeWWWWW94%
AwayLWWLW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games26188
Win %77%94%38%
Points / game83.586.077.9
Allowed / game67.262.976.6
Point differential+16.3+23.1+1.2
Avg total150.7148.9154.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)67% (3)20% (5)
Overtime %4%0%12%
USC
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL56%
HomeLLWWL61%
AwayLWWLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games25187
Win %56%61%43%
Points / game76.676.776.3
Allowed / game72.971.476.9
Point differential+3.7+5.3-0.6
Avg total149.5148.1153.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%44%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Michigan State2621581%79.167.4+11.7
2 Wisconsin2621581%82.070.6+11.4
3 Michigan2520580%81.671.0+10.6
4 Maryland2620677%83.567.2+16.3
5 UCLA2719870%75.064.7+10.2
6 Purdue2719870%78.270.0+8.2
7 Oregon2719870%76.671.7+4.8
8 Illinois27171063%83.972.4+11.5
9 Nebraska27171063%75.772.0+3.7
10 Indiana26151158%75.673.2+2.5
11 USC25141156%76.672.9+3.7
12 Ohio State27151256%78.872.0+6.8
13 Iowa26141254%83.979.5+4.4
14 Minnesota26141254%68.869.3-0.4
15 Penn State27141352%79.873.5+6.3
16 Northwestern27141352%73.469.7+3.7
17 Rutgers27131448%76.075.9+0.1
18 Washington25121348%72.274.2-2.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Maryland375188
USC274471
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