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Illinois vs USC Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 72-82
38-35 34-47
Position#100
Record12-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game87.9
Allowed / game66.2
Illinois
USA
vs
USC 🏆
USA
Position#215
Record9-6
FormWWWLL
Points / game75.7
Allowed / game70.4
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Illinois v USC
27 Jan 2027
ILLI v USC
upcoming
11 Jan 2025
ILLI72
USC82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illinois winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
USC winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

IllinoisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UALR
#145
W
92-34
92
34
+58
H26/11
NCAA
Arkansas
#118
W
90-77
90
77
+13
H28/11
NCAA
Northwestern
#191
L
66-70 OT
66
70
-4
A07/12
NCAA
Wisconsin
#43
W
86-80
86
80
+6
H11/12
NCAA
Tennessee
#23
L
64-66
64
66
-2
H14/12
NCAA
Missouri
#89
W
80-77
80
77
+3
A22/12
NCAA
Chicago State
#368
W
117-64
117
64
+53
H29/12
NCAA
Oregon
#52
W
109-77
109
77
+32
A03/01
NCAA
Washington
#287
W
81-77
81
77
+4
A05/01
NCAA
Penn State
#185
W
91-52
91
52
+39
H09/01
NCAA
1H
2H
51-19
41-15
49-34
41-43
27-24
29-32
39-35
47-45
30-31
34-35
37-32
43-45
60-24
57-40
45-38
64-39
42-31
39-46
45-21
46-31
155.0Avg total
87.6Scored
67.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)87.966.2154.1+21.780%
Season at home (11)89.362.9152.2+26.482%
Season away (4)84.075.2159.2+8.875%
Last 10 (10)87.667.4155.0+20.280%
Last 5 (5)95.669.4165.0+26.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)52.077.0129.0-25.00%
vs Similar (12)85.274.1159.3+11.275%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)89.170.2159.4+18.988%
This opponent (USC) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
USCUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Grambling St.
#318
W
80-69
80
69
+11
H25/11
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#14
L
36-71
36
71
-35
H29/11
NCAA
New Mexico
#25
L
73-83
73
83
-10
A30/11
NCAA
Oregon
#52
L
60-68
60
68
-8
H05/12
NCAA
Washington
#287
W
85-61
85
61
+24
A07/12
NCAA
Montana State
#238
W
89-63
89
63
+26
H16/12
NCAA
CS Northridge
#60
W
90-69
90
69
+21
H19/12
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#106
W
82-51
82
51
+31
H22/12
NCAA
Michigan
#44
L
74-85
74
85
-11
H05/01
NCAA
Indiana
#132
L
69-82
69
82
-13
A09/01
NCAA
1H
2H
37-38
43-31
21-32
15-39
30-39
43-44
30-23
30-45
51-25
34-36
47-21
42-42
40-39
50-30
41-27
41-24
38-42
36-43
38-38
31-44
144.0Avg total
73.8Scored
70.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)75.770.4146.1+5.360%
Season at home (12)75.869.2144.9+6.667%
Season away (3)75.775.3151.0+0.333%
Last 10 (10)73.870.2144.0+3.650%
Last 5 (5)80.870.0150.8+10.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)70.770.3141.0+0.342%
vs Similar (15)75.373.4148.7+1.960%
vs Weaker (3)77.772.0149.7+5.767%
This opponent (Illinois) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-17-8+0+8+171st half1st half: +13.6+13.61st half: +4.9+4.92nd half2nd half: +7.0+7.02nd half: -1.3-1.3
-17-8+0+8+171st half1st half: +13.6+13.61st half: +4.9+4.92nd half2nd half: +7.0+7.02nd half: -1.3-1.3
IllinoisUSC
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
IllinoisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UALR
#145
W
51-19
51
19
+32
H26/11
NCAA
Arkansas
#118
W
49-34
49
34
+15
H28/11
NCAA
Northwestern
#191
W
27-24
27
24
+3
A07/12
NCAA
Wisconsin
#43
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H11/12
NCAA
Tennessee
#23
L
30-31
30
31
-1
H14/12
NCAA
Missouri
#89
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A22/12
NCAA
Chicago State
#368
W
60-24
60
24
+36
H29/12
NCAA
Oregon
#52
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A03/01
NCAA
Washington
#287
W
42-31
42
31
+11
A05/01
NCAA
Penn State
#185
W
45-21
45
21
+24
H09/01
NCAA
71.4Avg total
42.5Scored
28.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.332.774.0+8.587%-
Last 30 at home (20)43.032.975.8+10.185%-
Last 30 away (10)37.932.470.3+5.590%-
Last 10 (10)42.528.971.4+13.690%-
Last 5 (5)45.829.275.0+16.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)23.028.051.0-5.00%-
vs Similar (12)40.335.075.3+5.375%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)43.031.474.4+11.6100%-
This opponent (USC) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
USCLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Grambling St.
#318
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H25/11
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#14
L
21-32
21
32
-11
H29/11
NCAA
New Mexico
#25
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A30/11
NCAA
Oregon
#52
W
30-23
30
23
+7
H05/12
NCAA
Washington
#287
W
51-25
51
25
+26
A07/12
NCAA
Montana State
#238
W
47-21
47
21
+26
H16/12
NCAA
CS Northridge
#60
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H19/12
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#106
W
41-27
41
27
+14
H22/12
NCAA
Michigan
#44
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H05/01
NCAA
Indiana
#132
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A09/01
NCAA
69.7Avg total
37.3Scored
32.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.034.970.9+1.153%-
Last 30 at home (19)36.933.170.0+3.968%-
Last 30 away (11)34.338.172.4-3.827%-
Last 10 (10)37.332.469.7+4.950%-
Last 5 (5)40.833.474.2+7.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)32.831.664.4+1.367%-
vs Similar (15)37.737.975.6-0.147%-
vs Weaker (3)39.733.373.0+6.333%-
This opponent (Illinois) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Illinois wins
0
USC wins
No previous meetings.
Illinoislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/01/25HPenn State91-52
05/01/25AWashington81-77
03/01/25AOregon109-77
29/12/24HChicago State117-64
22/12/24AMissouri80-77
14/12/24HTennessee64-66
11/12/24HWisconsin86-80
07/12/24ANorthwestern66-70 OT
28/11/24HArkansas90-77
26/11/24HUALR92-34
USClast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/01/25AIndiana69-82
05/01/25HMichigan74-85
22/12/24HSouthern Univ.82-51
19/12/24HCS Northridge90-69
16/12/24HMontana State89-63
07/12/24AWashington85-61
05/12/24HOregon60-68
30/11/24ANew Mexico73-83
29/11/24HSt. Marys (CA)36-71
25/11/24HGrambling St.80-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illinois
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW80%
HomeWWLWW82%
AwayLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games15114
Win %80%82%75%
Points / game87.989.384.0
Allowed / game66.262.975.2
Point differential+21.7+26.4+8.8
Avg total154.1152.2159.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%73%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %7%0%25%
USC
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL60%
HomeLWWWL67%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games15123
Win %60%67%33%
Points / game75.775.875.7
Allowed / game70.469.275.3
Point differential+5.3+6.6+0.3
Avg total146.1144.9151.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oregon1614288%79.269.5+9.7
2 Michigan State1513287%81.565.9+15.7
3 Wisconsin1613381%83.170.6+12.6
4 Indiana1613381%79.170.2+8.9
5 Illinois1512380%87.966.2+21.7
6 Michigan1512380%84.767.7+17.1
7 Nebraska1512380%77.566.7+10.8
8 Maryland1612475%85.163.3+21.8
9 Penn State1612475%84.669.9+14.7
10 Purdue1612475%76.868.6+8.2
11 Iowa1511473%89.977.8+12.1
12 UCLA1611569%75.062.6+12.4
13 Northwestern1510567%74.166.2+7.9
14 Ohio State1610662%81.171.1+10.0
15 USC159660%75.770.4+5.3
16 Washington159660%72.971.1+1.7
17 Rutgers168850%76.474.6+1.9
18 Minnesota168850%68.267.5+0.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Illinois383472
USC354782
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