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Mechelen W vs Donza W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 14:15
Final 99-52
22-18 26-11 27-16 24-7
Position#2
Record12-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game89.8
Allowed / game56.2
Mechelen W 🏆
Belgium
vs
Donza W
Belgium
Position#8
Record5-7
FormWWWLW
Points / game66.7
Allowed / game71.5
BelgiumTop Division Women· Stedelijke Sporthal Winketkaai
Women2024-25
Meetings · Mechelen W v Donza W
18 Oct 2026
MECH96
DONZ68
19 Apr 2026
MECH98
DONZ44
06 Mar 2026
MECH82
DONZ62
05 Jan 2025
MECH99
DONZ52
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mechelen W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Donza W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mechelen WBelgiumLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Donza W
#8
W
101-69
101
69
+32
99avg 80
A02/11
Top Division Women
Liege W
#10
W
77-36
77
36
+41
78avg 80
A14/11
Top Division Women
Brunehaut W
#12
W
129-56
129
56
+73
135avg 80
H17/11
Top Division Women
Sassari W
#14
L
60-64
60
64
-4
56avg 80
A20/11
EuroCup Women
Namur W
#3
W
80-58
80
58
+22
76avg 80
A23/11
Top Division Women
TTT Riga W
#44
W
77-71
77
71
+6
69avg 80
A28/11
EuroCup Women
Braine W
#1
W
69-54
69
54
+15
65avg 80
H30/11
Top Division Women
Charleroi W
#7
W
95-62
95
62
+33
97avg 80
A05/12
Top Division Women
Kortrijk W
#6
W
94-62
94
62
+32
90avg 80
H15/12
Top Division Women
Jeugd Gentson W
#9
W
78-44
78
44
+34
82avg 80
A21/12
Top Division Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-15
22-15
21-14
29-25
17-8
17-9
23-8
20-11
36-19
30-9
41-13
22-15
20-16
8-21
18-13
14-14
14-20
27-14
23-13
16-11
20-18
23-22
12-8
22-23
10-13
22-21
19-8
18-12
19-19
33-18
25-14
18-11
22-13
25-16
22-14
25-19
25-10
17-11
23-16
13-7
143.6Avg total
86.0Scored
57.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)89.856.2146.0+33.5100%
Season at home (6)92.560.5153.0+32.0100%
Season away (6)87.052.0139.0+35.0100%
Last 10 (10)86.057.6143.6+28.490%
Last 5 (5)82.658.6141.2+24.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)63.577.2140.8-13.80%
vs Similar (1)69.054.0123.0+15.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)88.655.1143.8+33.596%
This opponent (Donza W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Donza WBelgiumLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Lummen W
#11
W
84-64
84
64
+20
78avg 53
A05/10
Top Division Women
Jeugd Gentson W
#9
L
53-66
53
66
-13
33avg 53
A19/10
Top Division Women
Phantoms W
#5
L
56-90
56
90
-34
32avg 53
A26/10
Top Division Women
Mechelen W
#2
L
69-101
69
101
-32
52avg 53
H02/11
Top Division Women
Namur W
#3
L
57-67
57
67
-10
43avg 53
H16/11
Top Division Women
Kortrijk W
#6
W
80-77
80
77
+3
71avg 53
A23/11
Top Division Women
Brunehaut W
#12
W
70-49
70
49
+21
60avg 53
H30/11
Top Division Women
Liege W
#10
W
72-61
72
61
+11
66avg 53
A07/12
Top Division Women
Waregem W
#4
L
55-57
55
57
-2
42avg 53
H14/12
Top Division Women
Lummen W
#11
W
69-65
69
65
+4
56avg 53
H21/12
Top Division Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-21
18-12
19-10
21-21
8-12
17-12
6-23
22-19
13-20
12-22
9-21
22-27
15-29
15-22
14-21
25-29
9-18
23-17
17-19
8-13
16-21
25-20
19-30
20-6
15-10
20-12
17-15
18-12
17-7
18-15
12-22
25-17
16-10
9-16
17-16
13-15
14-14
12-15
20-20
23-16
136.2Avg total
66.5Scored
69.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)66.771.5138.2-4.842%
Season at home (6)61.868.7130.5-6.833%
Season away (6)71.574.3145.8-2.850%
Last 10 (10)66.569.7136.2-3.250%
Last 5 (5)69.261.8131.0+7.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)61.377.5138.8-16.217%
vs Similar (2)78.074.5152.5+3.550%
vs Weaker (4)69.061.0130.0+8.075%
This opponent (Mechelen W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-13-7+0+7+13Q1Q1: +6.1+6.1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +6.8+6.8Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +10.6+10.6Q3: -4.7-4.7Q4Q4: +4.9+4.9Q4: +2.2+2.2
-13-7+0+7+13Q1Q1: +6.1+6.1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +6.8+6.8Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +10.6+10.6Q3: -4.7-4.7Q4Q4: +4.9+4.9Q4: +2.2+2.2
Mechelen WDonza W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mechelen WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Donza W
#8
W
51-30
51
30
+21
A02/11
Top Division Women
Liege W
#10
W
34-17
34
17
+17
A14/11
Top Division Women
Brunehaut W
#12
W
66-28
66
28
+38
H17/11
Top Division Women
Sassari W
#14
L
28-37
28
37
-9
A20/11
EuroCup Women
Namur W
#3
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A23/11
Top Division Women
TTT Riga W
#44
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A28/11
EuroCup Women
Braine W
#1
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H30/11
Top Division Women
Charleroi W
#7
W
52-37
52
37
+15
A05/12
Top Division Women
Kortrijk W
#6
W
47-29
47
29
+18
H15/12
Top Division Women
Jeugd Gentson W
#9
W
42-21
42
21
+21
A21/12
Top Division Women
74.3Avg total
43.6Scored
30.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)42.430.973.3+11.482%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.932.275.1+10.679%-
Last 30 away (14)41.929.671.5+12.286%-
Last 10 (10)43.630.774.3+12.980%-
Last 5 (5)43.232.275.4+11.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)31.540.572.0-9.025%-
vs Similar (1)32.034.066.0-2.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)44.729.173.8+15.696%-
This opponent (Donza W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Donza WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lummen W
#11
W
44-33
44
33
+11
A05/10
Top Division Women
Jeugd Gentson W
#9
W
25-24
25
24
+1
A19/10
Top Division Women
Phantoms W
#5
L
25-42
25
42
-17
A26/10
Top Division Women
Mechelen W
#2
L
30-51
30
51
-21
H02/11
Top Division Women
Namur W
#3
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H16/11
Top Division Women
Kortrijk W
#6
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A23/11
Top Division Women
Brunehaut W
#12
W
35-22
35
22
+13
H30/11
Top Division Women
Liege W
#10
W
35-22
35
22
+13
A07/12
Top Division Women
Waregem W
#4
L
25-26
25
26
-1
H14/12
Top Division Women
Lummen W
#11
L
26-29
26
29
-3
H21/12
Top Division Women
64.3Avg total
31.8Scored
32.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (12)33.033.066.0+0.042%-
Last 30 at home (6)30.331.762.0-1.333%-
Last 30 away (6)35.734.370.0+1.350%-
Last 10 (10)31.832.564.3-0.740%-
Last 5 (5)32.428.060.4+4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)31.237.068.2-5.817%-
vs Similar (2)39.533.072.5+6.550%-
vs Weaker (4)32.527.059.5+5.575%-
This opponent (Mechelen W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mechelen Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mechelen W: 85.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.4 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 72.2 points a game
56%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.725.2
50.7%
45.3%50.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.57.2
36.9%
29.2%21.6
🏀 Free throws19.313.7
71.0%
68.4%13.7
They take 69.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 28% of their shots are threes (league average: 33%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Donza Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Donza W: 66.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers14.4 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 72.2 points a game
56%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.019.5
46.4%
45.3%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.94.8
21.0%
29.2%14.4
🏀 Free throws18.812.9
68.6%
68.4%12.9
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 33%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mechelen W
WWWWWWLWWW
Donza W
WLWWWLLLLW
#2
League position
#8
+34.5
Net rating
-3.2
110.2
Offensive rating
83.9
75.7
Defensive rating
87.1
52.0%
Effective FG%
41.1%
38.4%
Opp. effective FG%
42.5%
21.2%
Turnover %
20.8%
43.2%
Off. rebound %
24.4%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.29
36.9%
3-point %
21.0%
62.0%
Assist %
42.4%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence110.2 · 83.9Defence75.7 · 87.1Shooting52.0% · 41.1%3-point %36.9% · 21.0%Ball care21.2% · 20.8%Off. rebounds43.2% · 24.4%Free throws0.28 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)90% · 50%
■ Mechelen W   ■ Donza W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Mechelen W wins
0
Donza W wins
DateGameScore
02/11/24Donza W v Mechelen W69-101
Mechelen Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/24AJeugd Gentson W78-44
15/12/24HKortrijk W94-62
05/12/24ACharleroi W95-62
30/11/24HBraine W69-54
28/11/24ATTT Riga W77-71
23/11/24ANamur W80-58
20/11/24ASassari W60-64
17/11/24HBrunehaut W129-56
14/11/24ALiege W77-36
02/11/24ADonza W101-69
Donza Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/24HLummen W69-65
14/12/24HWaregem W55-57
07/12/24ALiege W72-61
30/11/24HBrunehaut W70-49
23/11/24AKortrijk W80-77
16/11/24HNamur W57-67
02/11/24HMechelen W69-101
26/10/24APhantoms W56-90
19/10/24AJeugd Gentson W53-66
05/10/24ALummen W84-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mechelen W
Top Division Women 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game89.892.587.0
Allowed / game56.260.552.0
Point differential+33.5+32.0+35.0
Avg total146.0153.0139.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+92%83%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Donza W
Top Division Women 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW42%
HomeLLWLW33%
AwayWLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %42%33%50%
Points / game66.761.871.5
Allowed / game71.568.774.3
Point differential-4.8-6.8-2.8
Avg total138.2130.5145.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%17%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Mechelen W12120100%89.856.2+33.5
2 Braine W1312192%88.554.5+34.0
3 Namur W1310377%73.162.2+10.8
4 Kortrijk W138562%71.567.8+3.7
5 Charleroi W138562%71.474.5-3.1
6 Phantoms W137654%83.968.8+15.2
7 Waregem W137654%75.970.9+5.0
8 Donza W125742%66.771.5-4.8
9 Jeugd Gentson W135838%60.875.9-15.1
10 Liege W1321115%59.872.7-12.9
11 Brunehaut W131128%53.191.5-38.4
12 Lummen W130130%58.484.1-25.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mechelen W2226272499
Donza W181116752
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