Melbourne United vs Gold Coast Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Dec 2010

Tip-off: 08:30

Final 82-78

25-28 17-15 22-27 18-8

Position#7

Record1-7

FormLLLWL

Points / game76.5

Allowed / game88.4

Melbourne United 🏆

Gold Coast

Position#6

Record3-5

FormLLLLW

Points / game83.2

Allowed / game87.4

NBLRound 8

Other2010-11

Meetings · Melbourne United v Gold Coast

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Melbourne United winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Gold Coast winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Melbourne United Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Wolves

82-94

-12

A12/02

NBL

Gold Coast

73-91

-18

H13/02

NBL

Sydney

68-84

-16

H15/10

NBL

Perth

66-91

-25

H24/10

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

79-84

-5

A28/10

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

82-86

-4

H07/11

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

82-93

-11

A14/11

NBL

Perth

84-93

-9

H19/11

NBL

Gold Coast

85-82

A21/11

NBL

Townsville

66-94

-28

A26/11

NBL

15-22

21-23

18-25

28-24

17-19

15-30

13-22

28-20

13-23

22-20

14-17

19-24

17-24

22-22

15-23

12-22

21-20

25-31

22-13

11-20

19-20

25-12

13-34

25-20

20-29

21-23

25-20

16-21

24-32

20-20

25-17

15-24

21-13

25-13

15-28

24-28

16-28

16-21

19-29

15-16

165.9Avg total

76.7Scored

89.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (8)	76.5	88.4	164.9	-11.9	12%
Season at home (4)	75.0	88.5	163.5	-13.5	0%
Season away (4)	78.0	88.2	166.2	-10.2	25%
Last 10 (10)	76.7	89.2	165.9	-12.5	10%
Last 5 (5)	79.8	89.6	169.4	-9.8	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	81.0	89.4	170.4	-8.4	14%
vs Similar ◀ (16)	83.2	84.6	167.8	-1.4	50%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Gold Coast) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Gold Coast Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Perth

68-81

-13

A18/02

NBL

Perth

78-82

-4

H23/02

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

77-83

-6

A15/10

NBL

Townsville

94-90 OT

H24/10

NBL

Cairns

92-81

+11

H29/10

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

81-96

-15

H06/11

NBL

Cairns

76-96

-20

A13/11

NBL

Melbourne United

82-85

-3

H21/11

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

79-100

100

-21

A25/11

NBL

Sydney

85-68

+17

H03/12

NBL

15-21

11-17

25-24

17-19

17-15

28-23

19-14

14-30

16-22

26-22

11-14

24-25

12-17

18-28

27-24

23-11

15-29

29-18

21-14

27-20

15-32

23-20

16-24

26-33

18-25

16-18

16-20

13-21

13-25

28-15

28-24

20-26

21-26

16-25

22-23

19-16

17-21

26-16

23-15

167.4Avg total

81.2Scored

86.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (8)	83.2	87.4	170.6	-4.1	38%
Season at home (5)	86.8	84.0	170.8	+2.8	60%
Season away (3)	77.3	93.0	170.3	-15.7	0%
Last 10 (10)	81.2	86.2	167.4	-5.0	30%
Last 5 (5)	80.6	89.0	169.6	-8.4	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	80.0	98.0	178.0	-18.0	0%
vs Similar ◀ (26)	86.3	85.8	172.2	+0.5	54%
vs Weaker (2)	74.0	67.0	141.0	+7.0	100%

This opponent (Melbourne United) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Melbourne UnitedGold Coast

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	21.1	41.7	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.1	21.4	43.4	+0.7	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.9	20.9	39.7	-2.0	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	23.0	41.3	-4.7	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	24.4	44.4	-4.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	20.7	22.8	43.5	-2.1	36%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	20.4	19.7	40.1	+0.8	44%	-
vs Weaker	no games

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	23.2	43.2	-3.2	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.9	21.8	40.7	-2.8	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.3	24.9	46.1	-3.6	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.0	22.0	40.0	-4.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	23.2	44.2	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	23.5	23.0	46.5	+0.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (26)	19.5	23.3	42.9	-3.8	35%	-
vs Weaker (2)	23.0	21.5	44.5	+1.5	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	21.4	42.4	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.1	21.2	42.3	-0.1	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.8	21.6	42.4	-0.9	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	21.5	42.7	-0.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	17.8	39.2	+3.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	21.2	21.9	43.1	-0.7	21%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	20.8	20.9	41.7	-0.2	56%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.4	22.6	45.0	-0.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.4	22.6	44.1	-1.2	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	23.5	22.5	46.0	+1.0	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	23.7	43.3	-4.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	25.8	42.6	-9.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	18.0	29.0	47.0	-11.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (26)	23.1	22.5	45.6	+0.6	50%	-
vs Weaker (2)	17.5	17.0	34.5	+0.5	50%	-

Melbourne UnitedLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Wolves

36-45

-9

A12/02

NBL

Gold Coast

32-49

-17

H13/02

NBL

Sydney

35-43

-8

H15/10

NBL

Perth

39-46

-7

H24/10

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

46-51

-5

A28/10

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

44-32

+12

H07/11

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

41-52

-11

A14/11

NBL

Perth

44-52

-8

H19/11

NBL

Gold Coast

46-26

+20

A21/11

NBL

Townsville

32-49

-17

A26/11

NBL

84.0Avg total

39.5Scored

44.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.5	42.5	84.1	-1.0	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	43.2	42.6	85.8	+0.6	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.6	42.5	82.1	-2.9	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.5	44.5	84.0	-5.0	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.4	42.2	83.6	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	41.9	44.7	86.6	-2.8	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	41.2	40.6	81.8	+0.6	44%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Gold Coast) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Gold CoastLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Perth

26-38

-12

A18/02

NBL

Perth

45-38

H23/02

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

42-44

-2

A15/10

NBL

Townsville

30-45

-15

H24/10

NBL

Cairns

44-47

-3

H29/10

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

42-52

-10

H06/11

NBL

Cairns

44-58

-14

A13/11

NBL

Melbourne United

26-46

-20

H21/11

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

41-52

-11

A25/11

NBL

Sydney

36-37

-1

H03/12

NBL

83.3Avg total

37.6Scored

45.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.4	45.8	88.2	-3.3	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.4	44.4	84.8	-4.0	25%	-
Last 30 away (14)	44.8	47.4	92.1	-2.6	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.6	45.7	83.3	-8.1	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.8	49.0	86.8	-11.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	41.5	52.0	93.5	-10.5	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (26)	42.7	45.8	88.5	-3.2	35%	-
vs Weaker (2)	40.5	38.5	79.0	+2.0	50%	-

This opponent (Melbourne United) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	21.8	41.4	-2.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.8	20.2	39.9	-0.4	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.4	23.6	43.0	-4.3	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.9	22.8	40.7	-4.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	25.6	45.0	-6.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	20.5	22.5	43.0	-2.0	57%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	18.8	21.2	39.9	-2.4	38%	-
vs Weaker	no games

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	17.8	38.8	+3.1	70%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.8	16.0	37.8	+5.8	94%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.0	19.9	39.9	+0.1	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	18.4	39.6	+2.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	18.8	40.6	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	19.5	22.5	42.0	-3.0	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (26)	21.4	17.8	39.2	+3.6	69%	-
vs Weaker (2)	16.0	13.5	29.5	+2.5	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	21.5	41.8	-1.1	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.9	21.0	40.9	-1.1	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.9	22.0	42.9	-1.1	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	21.9	41.2	-2.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	21.8	40.8	-2.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	18.1	21.3	39.4	-3.2	21%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	22.4	21.6	44.0	+0.8	56%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	21.3	42.2	-0.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.9	20.8	43.7	+2.1	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.5	21.9	40.4	-3.4	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	21.1	42.1	-0.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	21.2	42.2	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	19.0	23.5	42.5	-4.5	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (26)	21.2	21.7	42.9	-0.4	46%	-
vs Weaker (2)	17.5	15.0	32.5	+2.5	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.9	43.3	83.2	-3.3	30%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	39.6	41.2	80.8	-1.6	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	40.3	45.6	85.9	-5.4	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.2	44.7	81.9	-7.5	0%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.4	47.4	85.8	-9.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	38.6	43.8	82.4	-5.2	14%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	41.1	42.8	83.9	-1.7	44%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.8	39.2	80.9	+2.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	44.6	36.8	81.4	+7.8	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.5	41.9	80.4	-3.4	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.2	39.5	81.7	+2.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.8	40.0	82.8	+2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	38.5	46.0	84.5	-7.5	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (26)	42.7	39.5	82.1	+3.2	54%	-
vs Weaker (2)	33.5	28.5	62.0	+5.0	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Melbourne United wins

Gold Coast wins

Date	Game	Score
21/11/10	Gold Coast v Melbourne United	82-85
13/02/10	Melbourne United v Gold Coast	73-91
30/01/10	Gold Coast v Melbourne United	99-91 OT
28/10/09	Melbourne United v Gold Coast	94-88
14/10/09	Gold Coast v Melbourne United	98-86

Melbourne Unitedlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
26/11/10	A	Townsville	66-94
21/11/10	A	Gold Coast	85-82
19/11/10	H	Perth	84-93
14/11/10	A	Illawarra Hawks	82-93
07/11/10	H	Illawarra Hawks	82-86
28/10/10	A	New Zealand Breakers	79-84
24/10/10	H	Perth	66-91
15/10/10	H	Sydney	68-84
13/02/10	H	Gold Coast	73-91
12/02/10	A	Wolves	82-94

Gold Coastlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
03/12/10	H	Sydney	85-68
25/11/10	A	New Zealand Breakers	79-100
21/11/10	H	Melbourne United	82-85
13/11/10	A	Cairns	76-96
06/11/10	H	New Zealand Breakers	81-96
29/10/10	H	Cairns	92-81
24/10/10	H	Townsville	94-90 OT
15/10/10	A	Illawarra Hawks	77-83
23/02/10	H	Perth	78-82
18/02/10	A	Perth	68-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Melbourne United

NBL 2010-11

Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWL	12%
Home	LLLL	0%
Away	LLWL	25%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	8	4	4
Win %	12%	0%	25%
Points / game	76.5	75.0	78.0
Allowed / game	88.4	88.5	88.2
Point differential	-11.9	-13.5	-10.2
Avg total	164.9	163.5	166.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (3)	0% (1)	50% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Gold Coast

NBL 2010-11

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLW	38%
Home	WWLLW	60%
Away	LLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	8	5	3
Win %	38%	60%	0%
Points / game	83.2	86.8	77.3
Allowed / game	87.4	84.0	93.0
Point differential	-4.1	+2.8	-15.7
Avg total	170.6	170.8	170.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	25%	40%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	50% (2)	-
Overtime %	12%	20%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Illawarra Hawks	8	7	1	88%	84.4	76.1	+8.2
2	New Zealand Breakers	8	6	2	75%	84.0	83.5	+0.5
3	Cairns	7	5	2	71%	82.4	75.0	+7.4
4	Perth	9	5	4	56%	86.9	80.2	+6.7
5	Townsville	9	5	4	56%	79.9	78.3	+1.6
6	Adelaide	8	3	5	38%	78.9	81.2	-2.4
7	Gold Coast	8	3	5	38%	83.2	87.4	-4.1
8	Sydney	7	1	6	14%	72.4	79.4	-7.0
9	Melbourne United	8	1	7	12%	76.5	88.4	-11.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Melbourne United	25	17	22	18	82
Gold Coast	28	15	27	8	78

← all games of the day

Melbourne United vs Gold Coast Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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