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Melilla vs Cartagena Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 11 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 11:00
Final 84-91
27-30 12-19 19-19 26-23
Position#17
Record2-12
FormLLLLL
Points / game76.1
Allowed / game87.1
vs
Position#16
Record2-12
FormLLLLL
Points / game71.2
Allowed / game85.9
SpainPrimera FEBRound 16
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Melilla winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cartagena winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MelillaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMelilla
Date
Competition
Palencia
#3
W
80-75
80
75
+5
87avg 68
H26/10
Primera FEB
Estela
#12
L
72-76
72
76
-4
66avg 68
A01/11
Primera FEB
Alicante
#10
L
79-90
79
90
-11
75avg 68
H09/11
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
L
89-101
89
101
-12
80avg 68
A14/11
Primera FEB
Palmer Basket
#15
W
90-76
90
76
+14
89avg 68
H23/11
Primera FEB
Ourense
#11
L
75-98
75
98
-23
65avg 68
A06/12
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#14
L
72-79
72
79
-7
57avg 68
H14/12
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
L
62-84
62
84
-22
54avg 68
A17/12
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#8
L
65-95
65
95
-30
60avg 68
H21/12
Primera FEB
Zamora
#9
L
88-97
88
97
-9
74avg 68
A04/01
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-23
20-16
10-17
28-19
20-24
21-13
18-17
13-22
16-28
15-11
24-20
24-31
22-25
20-27
26-21
21-28
20-22
18-16
20-13
32-25
19-32
16-24
22-24
18-18
13-25
22-23
12-22
25-9
21-30
11-20
15-14
15-20
20-28
17-24
14-25
14-18
20-27
21-24
28-26
19-20
164.3Avg total
77.2Scored
87.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)76.187.1163.2-11.114%
Season at home (6)76.082.8158.8-6.833%
Season away (8)76.190.4166.5-14.20%
Last 10 (10)77.287.1164.3-9.920%
Last 5 (5)72.490.6163.0-18.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)75.289.0164.2-13.88%
vs Similar ◀ (6)87.380.3167.7+7.067%
vs Weaker (12)89.579.2168.7+10.367%
This opponent (Cartagena) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CartagenaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCartagena
Date
Competition
Hestia Menorca
#8
L
61-97
61
97
-36
52avg 63
A25/10
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
L
68-95
68
95
-27
53avg 63
H01/11
Primera FEB
Ourense
#11
L
65-91
65
91
-26
54avg 63
A08/11
Primera FEB
Obradoiro CAB
#1
L
68-94
68
94
-26
62avg 63
H15/11
Primera FEB
Zamora
#9
L
71-90
71
90
-19
no box
A22/11
Primera FEB
Palmer Basket
#15
L
68-77
68
77
-9
54avg 63
A14/12
Primera FEB
Estela
#12
L
68-74
68
74
-6
59avg 63
H17/12
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
L
80-89
80
89
-9
68avg 63
H20/12
Primera FEB
Alicante
#10
L
77-95
77
95
-18
66avg 63
A28/12
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#6
L
75-88
75
88
-13
63avg 63
H04/01
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-18
13-31
18-23
16-25
10-24
20-20
13-23
25-28
15-24
20-25
22-24
8-18
15-28
17-23
20-26
16-17
19-23
19-22
19-19
14-26
24-13
11-24
22-10
11-30
10-16
20-18
17-12
21-28
14-23
22-24
19-21
25-21
14-25
18-29
25-21
20-20
20-19
19-37
17-17
19-15
159.1Avg total
70.1Scored
89.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)71.285.9157.1-14.714%
Season at home (7)73.384.0157.3-10.729%
Season away (7)69.187.9157.0-18.70%
Last 10 (10)70.189.0159.1-18.90%
Last 5 (5)73.684.6158.2-11.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)72.785.8158.5-13.123%
vs Similar ◀ (7)76.779.3156.0-2.643%
vs Weaker (1)68.064.0132.0+4.0100%
This opponent (Melilla) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -7.1-7.1Q1: -5.8-5.8Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: -7.4-7.4Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -5.3-5.3
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -7.1-7.1Q1: -5.8-5.8Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: -7.4-7.4Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -5.3-5.3
MelillaCartagena
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MelillaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Palencia
#3
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H26/10
Primera FEB
Estela
#12
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A01/11
Primera FEB
Alicante
#10
L
31-39
31
39
-8
H09/11
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
L
42-52
42
52
-10
A14/11
Primera FEB
Palmer Basket
#15
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H23/11
Primera FEB
Ourense
#11
L
35-56
35
56
-21
A06/12
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#14
L
35-48
35
48
-13
H14/12
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
L
32-50
32
50
-18
A17/12
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#8
L
37-52
37
52
-15
H21/12
Primera FEB
Zamora
#9
L
41-51
41
51
-10
A04/01
Primera FEB
83.6Avg total
37.4Scored
46.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.842.483.3-1.640%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.239.582.7+3.760%-
Last 30 away (15)38.545.383.8-6.920%-
Last 10 (10)37.446.283.6-8.820%-
Last 5 (5)36.051.487.4-15.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)36.946.683.5-9.78%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)39.040.879.8-1.850%-
vs Weaker (12)45.739.184.8+6.667%-
This opponent (Cartagena) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CartagenaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hestia Menorca
#8
L
27-49
27
49
-22
A25/10
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
L
30-44
30
44
-14
H01/11
Primera FEB
Ourense
#11
L
35-49
35
49
-14
A08/11
Primera FEB
Obradoiro CAB
#1
L
32-51
32
51
-19
H15/11
Primera FEB
Zamora
#9
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A22/11
Primera FEB
Palmer Basket
#15
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A14/12
Primera FEB
Estela
#12
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H17/12
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
L
36-47
36
47
-11
H20/12
Primera FEB
Alicante
#10
L
32-54
32
54
-22
A28/12
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#6
L
39-56
39
56
-17
H04/01
Primera FEB
80.0Avg total
33.4Scored
46.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.544.680.1-9.113%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.343.880.1-7.513%-
Last 30 away (15)34.745.480.1-10.713%-
Last 10 (10)33.446.680.0-13.20%-
Last 5 (5)34.445.680.0-11.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)35.146.381.5-11.29%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)38.140.378.4-2.129%-
vs Weaker (1)24.037.061.0-13.00%-
This opponent (Melilla) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Melillatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Melilla: 88.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.0 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.0 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
45%
36%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.027.0
55.1%
51.5%54.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.08.0
30.8%
33.9%24.0
🏀 Free throws15.010.0
66.7%
73.4%10.0
They take 75.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cartagenatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cartagena: 75.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀25%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.0 pts a game · 25% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
45%
36%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.019.0
65.5%
51.5%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.06.0
17.1%
33.9%18.0
🏀 Free throws23.019.0
82.6%
73.4%19.0
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 55% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 1/1 games with a box score before 11 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Melilla
LLLLLWLLLW
Cartagena
LLLLLLLLLL
#17
League position
#16
-10.8
Net rating
-18.1
105.3
Offensive rating
104.2
116.1
Defensive rating
122.3
52.0%
Effective FG%
43.8%
53.3%
Opp. effective FG%
63.8%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.20
Free-throw rate
0.36
30.8%
3-point %
17.1%
40.0%
Assist %
48.0%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
0%

Profile

Offence105.3 · 104.2Defence116.1 · 122.3Shooting52.0% · 43.8%3-point %30.8% · 17.1%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.20 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)20% · 0%
■ Melilla   ■ Cartagena
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Melilla wins
0
Cartagena wins
No previous meetings.
Melillalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/26AZamora88-97
21/12/25HHestia Menorca65-95
17/12/25AGipuzkoa62-84
14/12/25HFibwi Palma72-79
06/12/25AOurense75-98
23/11/25HPalmer Basket90-76
14/11/25ALeyma Coruna89-101
09/11/25HAlicante79-90
01/11/25AEstela72-76
26/10/25HPalencia80-75
Cartagenalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/26HFuenlabrada75-88
28/12/25AAlicante77-95
20/12/25HLeyma Coruna80-89
17/12/25HEstela68-74
14/12/25APalmer Basket68-77
22/11/25AZamora71-90
15/11/25HObradoiro CAB68-94
08/11/25AOurense65-91
01/11/25HEstudiantes68-95
25/10/25AHestia Menorca61-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Melilla
Primera FEB 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL14%
HomeWLWLL33%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1468
Win %14%33%0%
Points / game76.176.076.1
Allowed / game87.182.890.4
Point differential-11.1-6.8-14.2
Avg total163.2158.8166.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cartagena
Primera FEB 2025-26
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL14%
HomeLLLLL29%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %14%29%0%
Points / game71.273.369.1
Allowed / game85.984.087.9
Point differential-14.7-10.7-18.7
Avg total157.1157.3157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Leyma Coruna1413193%92.678.1+14.5
2 Obradoiro CAB1512380%91.979.3+12.6
3 Estudiantes1411379%87.179.4+7.6
4 Alicante1410471%87.179.1+8.1
5 Palencia159660%83.174.1+8.9
6 Gipuzkoa148657%79.575.6+3.9
7 Hestia Menorca147750%82.277.9+4.4
8 Oviedo147750%83.480.6+2.9
9 Ourense147750%83.182.1+1.0
10 Fibwi Palma147750%77.981.1-3.3
11 Zamora157847%86.988.2-1.3
12 Fuenlabrada136746%80.285.2-5.0
13 Estela156940%77.385.4-8.1
14 Tizona Burgos1441029%84.589.1-4.6
15 Palmer Basket1531220%69.585.3-15.8
16 Melilla1421214%76.187.1-11.1
17 Cartagena1421214%71.285.9-14.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Melilla2712192684
Cartagena3019192391
← all games of the day
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