Melilla vs Palencia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 26 Oct 2025

Tip-off: 11:00

Final 80-75

22-23 20-16 10-17 28-19

Position#17

Record0-4

FormLLLLL

Points / game73.2

Allowed / game87.2

Melilla 🏆

Palencia

Position#3

Record4-0

FormWWWWW

Points / game91.0

Allowed / game66.0

Primera FEBRound 5

Other2025-26

Meetings · Melilla v Palencia

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Melilla winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Palencia winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Melilla

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormMelilla

Date

Competition

Salou

#20

88-80

no box

A27/04

Segunda FEB

Salou

#20

113-88

113

+25

no box

H04/05

Segunda FEB

La Salud Archena

#13

79-86

-7

no box

A10/05

Segunda FEB

La Salud Archena

#13

97-67

+30

no box

H18/05

Segunda FEB

Sant Antoni

107-85

107

+22

no box

H25/05

Segunda FEB

Sant Antoni

76-93 OT

-17

no box

A31/05

Segunda FEB

Tizona Burgos

#13

91-106

106

-15

75avg 63

A26/09

Primera FEB

Fuenlabrada

73-82

-9

64avg 63

A04/10

Primera FEB

Estudiantes

70-82

-12

62avg 63

H12/10

Primera FEB

Obradoiro CAB

59-79

-20

50avg 63

A18/10

Primera FEB

23-33

28-12

23-20

14-15

36-17

27-20

24-29

26-22

12-22

20-22

23-22

24-20

25-17

18-19

19-21

35-10

21-32

30-26

33-16

23-11

17-29

12-18

24-18

14-24

20-27

21-20

24-28

26-31

18-24

25-20

12-20

18-18

13-22

19-20

18-29

20-11

16-21

16-18

9-24

18-16

170.1Avg total

85.3Scored

84.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (4)	73.2	87.2	160.5	-14.0	0%
Season at home (1)	70.0	82.0	152.0	-12.0	0%
Season away (3)	74.3	89.0	163.3	-14.7	0%
Last 10 (10)	85.3	84.8	170.1	+0.5	40%
Last 5 (5)	73.8	88.4	162.2	-14.6	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	73.2	87.2	160.5	-14.0	0%
vs Similar (6)	80.5	76.2	156.7	+4.3	50%
vs Weaker (20)	87.3	79.5	166.8	+7.8	65%

This opponent (Palencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Palencia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormPalencia

Date

Competition

Obradoiro CAB

76-77

-1

66avg 80

A12/04

Primera FEB

Tizona Burgos

102-79

102

+23

93avg 80

H19/04

Primera FEB

Ourense

#10

84-94

-10

72avg 80

A23/04

Primera FEB

Moron

#18

81-68

+13

74avg 80

H26/04

Primera FEB

Castello

#17

96-101 OT

101

-5

86avg 80

A02/05

Primera FEB

Real Betis

87-68

+19

82avg 80

H09/05

Primera FEB

Palmer Basket

#15

78-69

66avg 80

A28/09

Primera FEB

Cartagena

#16

90-73

+17

77avg 80

H03/10

Primera FEB

Estela

#12

107-58

107

+49

106avg 80

A11/10

Primera FEB

Hestia Menorca

89-64

+25

86avg 80

H17/10

Primera FEB

12-18

22-17

18-13

24-29

22-24

31-22

29-16

20-17

17-30

30-20

22-24

15-20

22-21

21-6

9-20

29-21

19-20

21-22

27-23

19-21

28-18

25-18

17-17

17-15

19-21

20-17

13-17

26-14

22-12

26-18

20-20

22-23

28-11

32-13

22-24

25-10

18-18

30-13

17-21

24-12

164.1Avg total

89.0Scored

75.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (4)	91.0	66.0	157.0	+25.0	100%
Season at home (2)	89.5	68.5	158.0	+21.0	100%
Season away (2)	92.5	63.5	156.0	+29.0	100%
Last 10 (10)	89.0	75.1	164.1	+13.9	70%
Last 5 (5)	90.2	66.4	156.6	+23.8	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	85.0	87.0	172.0	-2.0	0%
vs Similar (6)	85.7	83.7	169.3	+2.0	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	88.8	77.9	166.7	+11.0	78%

This opponent (Melilla) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

MelillaPalencia

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	20.6	41.0	-0.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.2	19.1	42.4	+4.1	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.9	21.9	39.8	-4.1	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	24.4	44.5	-4.3	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	24.6	41.4	-7.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	16.8	23.5	40.2	-6.8	0%	-
vs Similar (6)	17.0	21.2	38.2	-4.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (20)	22.1	19.9	42.0	+2.2	55%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	19.5	40.9	+2.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.1	17.7	39.8	+4.3	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.8	21.2	42.0	-0.4	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	19.3	40.0	+1.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	16.0	39.0	+7.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	24.0	21.0	45.0	+3.0	100%	-
vs Similar (6)	18.8	20.3	39.2	-1.5	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	22.0	19.2	41.2	+2.8	52%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.7	18.8	40.5	+2.9	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	24.1	17.4	41.5	+6.6	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.6	20.0	39.6	-0.4	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	19.5	41.1	+2.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	19.2	37.8	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	20.2	19.5	39.8	+0.8	50%	-
vs Similar (6)	17.3	18.2	35.5	-0.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (20)	23.2	18.9	42.1	+4.4	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.7	19.4	43.1	+4.3	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.8	18.0	41.8	+5.8	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.7	20.8	44.5	+2.9	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.8	16.6	42.4	+9.2	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.6	15.8	42.4	+10.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	20.0	18.0	38.0	+2.0	100%	-
vs Similar (6)	26.7	22.0	48.7	+4.7	83%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	23.1	18.8	41.9	+4.3	61%	-

MelillaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Salou

#20

51-45

A27/04

Segunda FEB

Salou

#20

63-37

+26

H04/05

Segunda FEB

La Salud Archena

#13

32-44

-12

A10/05

Segunda FEB

La Salud Archena

#13

43-36

H18/05

Segunda FEB

Sant Antoni

51-58

-7

H25/05

Segunda FEB

Sant Antoni

29-47

-18

A31/05

Segunda FEB

Tizona Burgos

#13

41-47

-6

A26/09

Primera FEB

Fuenlabrada

43-44

-1

A04/10

Primera FEB

Estudiantes

32-42

-10

H12/10

Primera FEB

Obradoiro CAB

32-39

-7

A18/10

Primera FEB

85.6Avg total

41.7Scored

43.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.0	39.4	81.5	+2.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	47.3	36.6	83.9	+10.7	86%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.4	41.9	79.4	-4.5	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.7	43.9	85.6	-2.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.4	43.8	79.2	-8.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	37.0	43.0	80.0	-6.0	0%	-
vs Similar (6)	34.3	39.3	73.7	-5.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (20)	45.4	38.8	84.1	+6.6	65%	-

This opponent (Palencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

PalenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Obradoiro CAB

34-35

-1

A12/04

Primera FEB

Tizona Burgos

53-46

H19/04

Primera FEB

Ourense

#10

47-50

-3

A23/04

Primera FEB

Moron

#18

43-27

+16

H26/04

Primera FEB

Castello

#17

40-42

-2

A02/05

Primera FEB

Real Betis

53-36

+17

H09/05

Primera FEB

Palmer Basket

#15

39-38

A28/09

Primera FEB

Cartagena

#16

48-30

+18

H03/10

Primera FEB

Estela

#12

60-24

+36

A11/10

Primera FEB

Hestia Menorca

48-31

+17

H17/10

Primera FEB

82.4Avg total

46.5Scored

35.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.2	38.9	84.0	+6.3	70%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	45.9	35.7	81.6	+10.1	93%	-
Last 30 away (15)	44.5	42.0	86.5	+2.5	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.5	35.9	82.4	+10.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	49.6	31.8	81.4	+17.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	44.0	39.0	83.0	+5.0	100%	-
vs Similar (6)	45.5	42.3	87.8	+3.2	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	45.1	38.0	83.1	+7.2	74%	-

This opponent (Melilla) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	20.6	41.8	+0.6	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.7	21.7	44.4	+1.0	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.9	19.6	39.6	+0.3	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	22.7	43.6	-1.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	23.8	41.2	-6.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	15.8	25.2	41.0	-9.5	0%	-
vs Similar (6)	25.0	18.5	43.5	+6.5	83%	-
vs Weaker (20)	21.2	20.3	41.5	+0.9	60%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	19.4	40.0	+1.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.4	19.9	41.3	+1.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.9	18.9	38.8	+1.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	19.5	38.9	-0.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	19.8	37.6	-2.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	18.0	22.0	40.0	-4.0	0%	-
vs Similar (6)	18.0	19.5	37.5	-1.5	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	21.5	19.2	40.7	+2.3	52%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	19.7	40.2	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.0	17.0	40.0	+6.0	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.3	22.1	40.4	-3.8	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	17.8	39.6	+4.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	20.0	39.2	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	20.5	19.0	39.5	+1.5	50%	-
vs Similar (6)	19.7	17.7	37.3	+2.0	67%	-
vs Weaker (20)	20.8	20.4	41.2	+0.3	45%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.9	20.6	42.5	+1.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.3	20.3	42.7	+2.0	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.5	20.9	42.3	+0.6	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.1	18.2	40.3	+3.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	14.8	37.6	+8.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	23.0	26.0	49.0	-3.0	0%	-
vs Similar (6)	22.2	21.8	44.0	+0.3	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	21.8	20.0	41.8	+1.7	52%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.7	40.3	82.0	+1.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	45.7	38.7	84.4	+7.0	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	38.2	41.7	79.9	-3.4	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.7	40.5	83.2	+2.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.6	43.8	80.4	-7.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	36.2	44.2	80.5	-8.0	0%	-
vs Similar (6)	44.7	36.2	80.8	+8.5	67%	-
vs Weaker (20)	42.0	40.8	82.7	+1.2	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.6	40.0	82.5	+2.6	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.7	40.2	83.9	+3.5	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.4	39.7	81.1	+1.7	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.5	37.7	79.2	+3.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.6	34.6	75.2	+6.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	41.0	48.0	89.0	-7.0	0%	-
vs Similar (6)	40.2	41.3	81.5	-1.2	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	43.3	39.3	82.5	+4.0	65%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Melillatheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Palenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Palencia: 79.2 points a game scored

🏀🏀51%

🏀🏀🏀32%

🏀17%

🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 51% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 32% of the points

🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 17% of the points

League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game

45%

36%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.5	20.1	52.2%	51.5%	40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.6	8.4	34.1%	33.9%	25.2
🏀 Free throws	18.3	13.8	75.4%	73.4%	13.8

They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	32.0	17.8	55.6%	51.5%	35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.2	11.0	36.4%	33.9%	33.0
🏀 Free throws	22.8	19.3	84.6%	73.4%	19.3

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.3	19.0	52.5%	51.5%	38.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.5	8.7	34.3%	33.9%	26.2
🏀 Free throws	19.6	14.6	74.4%	73.4%	14.6

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.7	19.7	53.7%	51.5%	39.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.3	10.2	37.5%	33.9%	30.7
🏀 Free throws	21.3	16.8	78.9%	73.4%	16.8

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Melilla wins

Palencia wins

Date	Game	Score
19/05/23	Palencia v Melilla	115-86
20/01/23	Melilla v Palencia	78-89
29/04/22	Palencia v Melilla	84-77
26/02/22	Melilla v Palencia	88-75
22/12/20	Melilla v Palencia	58-71
16/10/20	Palencia v Melilla	81-50
17/01/20	Melilla v Palencia	74-66
27/09/19	Palencia v Melilla	69-81
26/04/19	Palencia v Melilla	76-84
04/01/19	Melilla v Palencia	77-74

Melillalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
18/10/25	A	Obradoiro CAB	59-79
12/10/25	H	Estudiantes	70-82
04/10/25	A	Fuenlabrada	73-82
26/09/25	A	Tizona Burgos	91-106
31/05/25	A	Sant Antoni	76-93 OT
25/05/25	H	Sant Antoni	107-85
18/05/25	H	La Salud Archena	97-67
10/05/25	A	La Salud Archena	79-86
04/05/25	H	Salou	113-88
27/04/25	A	Salou	88-80

Palencialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
17/10/25	H	Hestia Menorca	89-64
11/10/25	A	Estela	107-58
03/10/25	H	Cartagena	90-73
28/09/25	A	Palmer Basket	78-69
09/05/25	H	Real Betis	87-68
02/05/25	A	Castello	96-101 OT
26/04/25	H	Moron	81-68
23/04/25	A	Ourense	84-94
19/04/25	H	Tizona Burgos	102-79
12/04/25	A	Obradoiro CAB	76-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Melilla

Primera FEB 2025-26

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLL	0%
Home	L	0%
Away	LLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	4	1	3
Win %	0%	0%	0%
Points / game	73.2	70.0	74.3
Allowed / game	87.2	82.0	89.0
Point differential	-14.0	-12.0	-14.7
Avg total	160.5	152.0	163.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Palencia

Primera FEB 2025-26

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWW	100%
Home	WW	100%
Away	WW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	4	2	2
Win %	100%	100%	100%
Points / game	91.0	89.5	92.5
Allowed / game	66.0	68.5	63.5
Point differential	+25.0	+21.0	+29.0
Avg total	157.0	158.0	156.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	75%	100%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Palencia	4	4	0	100%	91.0	66.0	+25.0
2	Leyma Coruna	5	5	0	100%	91.2	74.4	+16.8
3	Fuenlabrada	4	4	0	100%	91.0	79.5	+11.5
4	Estudiantes	4	4	0	100%	91.0	81.8	+9.2
5	Alicante	3	2	1	67%	83.3	79.3	+4.0
6	Zamora	4	2	2	50%	91.0	87.2	+3.8
7	Obradoiro CAB	4	2	2	50%	83.5	84.5	-1.0
8	Ourense	4	2	2	50%	79.5	81.8	-2.2
9	Hestia Menorca	5	2	3	40%	81.6	80.0	+1.6
10	Fibwi Palma	5	2	3	40%	76.8	81.0	-4.2
11	Cartagena	5	2	3	40%	71.4	82.0	-10.6
12	Estela	5	2	3	40%	75.8	88.2	-12.4
13	Gipuzkoa	4	1	3	25%	80.2	84.2	-4.0
14	Oviedo	4	1	3	25%	82.5	87.5	-5.0
15	Tizona Burgos	5	1	4	20%	90.4	95.0	-4.6
16	Palmer Basket	3	0	3	0%	71.0	83.7	-12.7
17	Melilla	4	0	4	0%	73.2	87.2	-14.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Melilla	22	20	10	28	80
Palencia	23	16	17	19	75

← all games of the day

Melilla vs Palencia Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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