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Melilla vs Oviedo Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 11 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 79-87
21-21 22-20 24-19 12-27
Position#17
Record3-18
FormLLLLW
Points / game75.9
Allowed / game88.0
vs
Oviedo 🏆
Spain
Position#5
Record11-11
FormLWLWW
Points / game82.7
Allowed / game80.2
SpainPrimera FEBRound 24
Other2025-26
Meetings · Melilla v Oviedo
11 Mar 2026
MELI79
OVIE87
09 Feb 2024
MELI84
OVIE81
02 Dec 2022
MELI67
OVIE70
16 Jan 2022
MELI79
OVIE78
23 Jan 2021
MELI72
OVIE80
10 Jan 2020
MELI76
OVIE46
15 Feb 2019
MELI74
OVIE69
16 Mar 2018
MELI61
OVIE64
30 Nov 2016
MELI71
OVIE51
27 Nov 2015
MELI95
OVIE65
06 Feb 2015
MELI83
OVIE64
10 Jan 2014
MELI81
OVIE75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Melilla winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Oviedo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MelillaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMelilla
Date
Competition
Gipuzkoa
#7
L
62-84
62
84
-22
54avg 68
A17/12
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#8
L
65-95
65
95
-30
60avg 68
H21/12
Primera FEB
Zamora
#9
L
88-97
88
97
-9
74avg 68
A04/01
Primera FEB
Cartagena
#16
L
84-91
84
91
-7
78avg 68
H11/01
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#5
L
70-101
70
101
-31
no box
A17/01
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
L
72-105
72
105
-33
67avg 68
H01/02
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#14
L
78-84
78
84
-6
75avg 68
A08/02
Primera FEB
Alicante
#10
L
71-78
71
78
-7
57avg 68
A11/02
Primera FEB
Obradoiro CAB
#1
L
70-92
70
92
-22
62avg 68
H15/02
Primera FEB
Estela
#12
W
83-77
83
77
+6
74avg 68
H22/02
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-30
11-20
15-14
15-20
20-28
17-24
14-25
14-18
20-27
21-24
28-26
19-20
27-30
12-19
19-19
26-23
25-16
17-27
12-28
16-30
11-28
22-25
26-19
13-33
23-21
24-21
18-16
13-26
11-14
20-19
13-22
27-23
19-26
21-22
14-21
16-23
23-22
17-22
21-16
22-17
164.7Avg total
74.3Scored
90.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)75.988.0163.9-12.114%
Season at home (10)76.586.2162.7-9.730%
Season away (11)75.389.6164.9-14.40%
Last 10 (10)74.390.4164.7-16.110%
Last 5 (5)74.887.2162.0-12.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)74.489.9164.2-15.56%
vs Similar (6)85.383.0168.3+2.350%
vs Weaker (7)94.380.9175.1+13.471%
This opponent (Oviedo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OviedoSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOviedo
Date
Competition
Ourense
#11
W
75-73
75
73
+2
73avg 73
H28/12
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#14
W
83-64
83
64
+19
80avg 73
H04/01
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
L
69-74
69
74
-5
55avg 73
A11/01
Primera FEB
Melilla
#17
W
101-70
101
70
+31
no box
H17/01
Primera FEB
Obradoiro CAB
#1
L
68-86
68
86
-18
50avg 73
A31/01
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
L
84-89
84
89
-5
74avg 73
H07/02
Primera FEB
Estela
#12
W
87-79
87
79
+8
70avg 73
A11/02
Primera FEB
Palencia
#3
L
61-76
61
76
-15
46avg 73
H15/02
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#13
W
89-82
89
82
+7
81avg 73
A20/02
Primera FEB
Cartagena
#16
W
92-80
92
80
+12
83avg 73
H07/03
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-23
13-16
22-16
16-18
29-14
12-18
18-6
24-26
24-22
19-19
17-17
9-16
16-25
27-17
28-12
30-16
11-19
21-22
22-23
14-22
26-24
17-18
18-19
23-28
26-18
23-23
7-23
31-15
8-18
22-15
14-26
17-17
26-16
16-26
14-21
33-19
24-20
17-21
23-22
28-17
158.2Avg total
80.9Scored
77.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)82.780.2162.9+2.550%
Season at home (11)83.278.7161.9+4.555%
Season away (11)82.281.6163.8+0.545%
Last 10 (10)80.977.3158.2+3.660%
Last 5 (5)82.681.2163.8+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)73.183.3156.4-10.10%
vs Similar (6)77.080.0157.0-3.033%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)87.075.9162.9+11.176%
This opponent (Melilla) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.2-4.2Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: -4.1-4.1Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: -5.2-5.2Q4: +3.1+3.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.2-4.2Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: -4.1-4.1Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: -5.2-5.2Q4: +3.1+3.1
MelillaOviedo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MelillaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gipuzkoa
#7
L
32-50
32
50
-18
A17/12
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#8
L
37-52
37
52
-15
H21/12
Primera FEB
Zamora
#9
L
41-51
41
51
-10
A04/01
Primera FEB
Cartagena
#16
L
39-49
39
49
-10
H11/01
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#5
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A17/01
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
L
33-53
33
53
-20
H01/02
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#14
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A08/02
Primera FEB
Alicante
#10
L
31-33
31
33
-2
A11/02
Primera FEB
Obradoiro CAB
#1
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H15/02
Primera FEB
Estela
#12
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H22/02
Primera FEB
84.7Avg total
38.2Scored
46.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.244.284.4-4.027%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.943.585.4-1.733%-
Last 30 away (15)38.644.983.5-6.320%-
Last 10 (10)38.246.584.7-8.310%-
Last 5 (5)38.244.082.2-5.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)37.445.883.2-8.412%-
vs Similar (6)39.745.585.2-5.817%-
vs Weaker (7)47.639.386.9+8.371%-
This opponent (Oviedo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OviedoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ourense
#11
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H28/12
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#14
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H04/01
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A11/01
Primera FEB
Melilla
#17
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H17/01
Primera FEB
Obradoiro CAB
#1
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A31/01
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H07/02
Primera FEB
Estela
#12
W
49-41
49
41
+8
A11/02
Primera FEB
Palencia
#3
L
30-33
30
33
-3
H15/02
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#13
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A20/02
Primera FEB
Cartagena
#16
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H07/03
Primera FEB
79.5Avg total
40.1Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.839.481.2+2.450%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.337.979.2+3.456%-
Last 30 away (14)42.441.183.5+1.243%-
Last 10 (10)40.139.479.5+0.750%-
Last 5 (5)41.039.880.8+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)36.140.676.7-4.414%-
vs Similar (6)42.841.284.0+1.750%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)43.838.382.1+5.565%-
This opponent (Melilla) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Melillatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Melilla: 81.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.5 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.2 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.0 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
45%
36%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.520.2
51.3%
51.5%40.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.510.8
35.2%
33.9%32.2
🏀 Free throws12.89.0
70.6%
73.4%9.0
They take 70.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Oviedotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oviedo: 80.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.6 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
45%
36%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.415.8
48.8%
51.5%31.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.010.4
28.9%
33.9%31.2
🏀 Free throws22.217.4
78.4%
73.4%17.4
They take 68.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 53% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 4/5 games with a box score before 11 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Melilla
WLLLLLLLLL
Oviedo
WWLWLLWLWW
#17
League position
#5
-14.0
Net rating
+4.0
106.3
Offensive rating
107.9
120.3
Defensive rating
103.9
52.0%
Effective FG%
45.9%
56.3%
Opp. effective FG%
50.5%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.18
Free-throw rate
0.32
35.2%
3-point %
28.9%
56.5%
Assist %
55.0%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence106.3 · 107.9Defence120.3 · 103.9Shooting52.0% · 45.9%3-point %35.2% · 28.9%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.18 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)10% · 60%
■ Melilla   ■ Oviedo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Melilla wins
5
Oviedo wins
DateGameScore
17/01/26Oviedo v Melilla101-70
09/02/24Melilla v Oviedo84-81
11/11/23Oviedo v Melilla71-79
01/04/23Oviedo v Melilla69-78
02/12/22Melilla v Oviedo67-70
13/05/22Oviedo v Melilla81-79
16/01/22Melilla v Oviedo79-78
23/01/21Melilla v Oviedo72-80
01/11/20Oviedo v Melilla82-76
10/01/20Melilla v Oviedo76-46
Melillalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/02/26HEstela83-77
15/02/26HObradoiro CAB70-92
11/02/26AAlicante71-78
08/02/26AFibwi Palma78-84
01/02/26HLeyma Coruna72-105
17/01/26AOviedo70-101
11/01/26HCartagena84-91
04/01/26AZamora88-97
21/12/25HHestia Menorca65-95
17/12/25AGipuzkoa62-84
Oviedolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/26HCartagena92-80
20/02/26ATizona Burgos89-82
15/02/26HPalencia61-76
11/02/26AEstela87-79
07/02/26HLeyma Coruna84-89
31/01/26AObradoiro CAB68-86
17/01/26HMelilla101-70
11/01/26AGipuzkoa69-74
04/01/26HFibwi Palma83-64
28/12/25HOurense75-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Melilla
Primera FEB 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW14%
HomeLLLLW30%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %14%30%0%
Points / game75.976.575.3
Allowed / game88.086.289.6
Point differential-12.1-9.7-14.4
Avg total163.9162.7164.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%10%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Oviedo
Primera FEB 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW50%
HomeWWLLW55%
AwayLLLWW45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %50%55%45%
Points / game82.783.282.2
Allowed / game80.278.781.6
Point differential+2.5+4.5+0.5
Avg total162.9161.9163.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%45%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)33% (3)25% (4)
Overtime %5%0%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Leyma Coruna2221195%92.577.6+14.9
2 Obradoiro CAB2219386%92.576.9+15.5
3 Palencia2317674%84.072.5+11.4
4 Gipuzkoa2315865%81.074.2+6.8
5 Estudiantes2214864%84.781.5+3.2
6 Hestia Menorca2112957%82.377.7+4.6
7 Alicante23131057%83.781.4+2.3
8 Fuenlabrada23121152%79.483.0-3.6
9 Oviedo22111150%82.780.2+2.5
10 Ourense22101245%82.081.2+0.9
11 Estela2291341%77.884.1-6.3
12 Fibwi Palma2391439%77.881.7-3.9
13 Zamora2391439%83.788.0-4.3
14 Palmer Basket2151624%72.284.3-12.0
15 Cartagena2251723%72.286.0-13.7
16 Tizona Burgos2351822%82.289.3-7.1
17 Melilla2131814%75.988.0-12.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Melilla2122241279
Oviedo2120192787
← all games of the day
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