PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Memphis vs Baylor Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 06 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 21:30
Final 78-71
37-34 41-37
Position#277
Record3-4
FormLLLWW
Points / game75.7
Allowed / game74.6
Memphis 🏆
USA
vs
Baylor
USA
Position#200
Record6-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game90.1
Allowed / game81.4
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Memphis winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Baylor winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MemphisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tulane
#139
W
78-77
78
77
+1
H15/03
NCAA
UAB
#91
W
84-72
84
72
+12
H16/03
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
L
70-78
70
78
-8
H21/03
NCAA
San Francisco
#191
W
76-70
76
70
+6
H08/11
NCAA
Ole Miss
#259
L
77-83
77
83
-6
A12/11
NCAA
UNLV
#192
L
78-92
78
92
-14
H16/11
NCAA
Purdue
#31
L
71-80
71
80
-9
A20/11
NCAA
Wake Forest
#190
L
68-69
68
69
-1
H22/11
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
W
74-58
74
58
+16
H27/11
NCAA
New Orleans
#226
W
86-70
86
70
+16
H04/12
NCAA
1H
2H
39-32
39-45
32-35
52-37
36-31
34-47
36-22
40-48
33-42
44-41
36-49
42-43
35-36
36-44
33-27
35-42
42-29
32-29
48-28
38-42
151.1Avg total
76.2Scored
74.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)75.774.6150.3+1.143%
Season at home (5)76.471.8148.2+4.660%
Season away (2)74.081.5155.5-7.50%
Last 10 (10)76.274.9151.1+1.350%
Last 5 (5)75.473.8149.2+1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)72.569.0141.5+3.550%
vs Similar (15)80.172.4152.5+7.773%
vs Weaker (13)79.873.4153.2+6.485%
This opponent (Baylor) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaylorUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas Tech
#33
L
74-76
74
76
-2
A13/03
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#116
W
75-72
75
72
+3
A21/03
NCAA
Duke
#7
L
66-89
66
89
-23
A23/03
NCAA
UTRGV
#137
W
96-81
96
81
+15
H04/11
NCAA
Washington
#218
W
78-69
78
69
+9
H10/11
NCAA
Tarleton
#255
W
94-81
94
81
+13
H15/11
NCAA
Creighton
#238
W
81-74
81
74
+7
H24/11
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
L
81-96
81
96
-15
H25/11
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
W
91-81
91
81
+10
A27/11
NCAA
Sacramento State
#324
W
110-88
110
88
+22
H03/12
NCAA
1H
2H
39-52
35-24
37-32
38-40
30-47
36-42
46-37
50-44
38-32
40-37
55-42
39-39
44-36
37-38
34-43
47-53
40-36
51-45
52-47
58-41
165.3Avg total
84.6Scored
80.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)90.181.4171.6+8.786%
Season at home (6)90.081.5171.5+8.583%
Season away (1)91.081.0172.0+10.0100%
Last 10 (10)84.680.7165.3+3.970%
Last 5 (5)91.484.0175.4+7.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)63.375.5138.8-12.20%
vs Similar (13)77.974.3152.2+3.662%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)78.670.2148.8+8.582%
This opponent (Memphis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +3.9+3.91st half: +1.1+1.12nd half2nd half: -2.6-2.62nd half: +2.8+2.8
-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +3.9+3.91st half: +1.1+1.12nd half2nd half: -2.6-2.62nd half: +2.8+2.8
MemphisBaylor
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
MemphisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tulane
#139
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H15/03
NCAA
UAB
#91
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H16/03
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H21/03
NCAA
San Francisco
#191
W
36-22
36
22
+14
H08/11
NCAA
Ole Miss
#259
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A12/11
NCAA
UNLV
#192
L
36-49
36
49
-13
H16/11
NCAA
Purdue
#31
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A20/11
NCAA
Wake Forest
#190
W
33-27
33
27
+6
H22/11
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H27/11
NCAA
New Orleans
#226
W
48-28
48
28
+20
H04/12
NCAA
70.1Avg total
37.0Scored
33.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.033.070.1+4.063%-
Last 30 at home (19)37.432.569.9+4.868%-
Last 30 away (11)36.533.970.4+2.555%-
Last 10 (10)37.033.170.1+3.960%-
Last 5 (5)38.833.872.6+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)38.532.571.0+6.050%-
vs Similar (15)37.333.771.0+3.773%-
vs Weaker (13)36.532.468.8+4.154%-
This opponent (Baylor) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaylorLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas Tech
#33
L
39-52
39
52
-13
A13/03
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#116
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A21/03
NCAA
Duke
#7
L
30-47
30
47
-17
A23/03
NCAA
UTRGV
#137
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H04/11
NCAA
Washington
#218
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H10/11
NCAA
Tarleton
#255
W
55-42
55
42
+13
H15/11
NCAA
Creighton
#238
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H24/11
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H25/11
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A27/11
NCAA
Sacramento State
#324
W
52-47
52
47
+5
H03/12
NCAA
81.9Avg total
41.5Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.634.969.5-0.457%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.133.470.6+3.775%-
Last 30 away (14)31.636.668.3-5.036%-
Last 10 (10)41.540.481.9+1.170%-
Last 5 (5)45.040.885.8+4.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)29.538.367.8-8.817%-
vs Similar (13)33.335.568.8-2.254%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)38.832.471.2+6.582%-
This opponent (Memphis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Memphis wins
0
Baylor wins
No previous meetings.
Memphislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/12/25HNew Orleans86-70
27/11/25HSouthern Illinois74-58
22/11/25HWake Forest68-69
20/11/25APurdue71-80
16/11/25HUNLV78-92
12/11/25AOle Miss77-83
08/11/25HSan Francisco76-70
21/03/25HColorado State70-78
16/03/25HUAB84-72
15/03/25HTulane78-77
Baylorlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/12/25HSacramento State110-88
27/11/25ASan Diego State91-81
25/11/25HSt. John's (N.Y.)81-96
24/11/25HCreighton81-74
15/11/25HTarleton94-81
10/11/25HWashington78-69
04/11/25HUTRGV96-81
23/03/25ADuke66-89
21/03/25AMississippi St.75-72
13/03/25ATexas Tech74-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Memphis
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW43%
HomeWLLWW60%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games752
Win %43%60%0%
Points / game75.776.474.0
Allowed / game74.671.881.5
Point differential+1.1+4.6-7.5
Avg total150.3148.2155.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Baylor
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW86%
HomeWWWLW83%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games761
Win %86%83%100%
Points / game90.190.091.0
Allowed / game81.481.581.0
Point differential+8.7+8.5+10.0
Avg total171.6171.5172.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%50%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

American Conference conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tulsa98189%87.868.1+19.7
2 North Texas97278%71.965.1+6.8
3 UAB107370%82.470.5+11.9
4 Tulane96367%75.477.7-2.2
5 Florida Atlantic85362%78.171.8+6.4
6 Wichita State95456%78.867.1+11.7
7 South Florida95456%89.480.1+9.3
8 UTSA Roadrunners84450%74.867.9+6.9
9 Temple84450%76.476.2+0.1
10 Charlotte94544%72.070.9+1.1
11 Memphis73443%75.774.6+1.1
12 Rice104640%75.773.2+2.5
13 East Carolina93633%68.978.0-9.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Arizona770100%87.367.0+20.3
2 Oklahoma State880100%92.276.2+16.0
3 Colorado880100%88.876.9+11.9
4 Iowa State98189%92.866.3+26.4
5 Brigham Young87188%85.268.0+17.2
6 Houston87188%74.959.1+15.8
7 UCF Knights87188%88.276.9+11.4
8 Baylor76186%90.181.4+8.7
9 West Virginia97278%73.356.6+16.8
10 Texas Tech86275%81.471.5+9.9
11 Arizona State86275%80.976.6+4.2
12 Cincinnati96367%75.365.1+10.2
13 Kansas96367%74.064.1+9.9
14 Utah Utes96367%80.378.0+2.3
15 TCU85362%80.468.5+11.9
16 Kansas State95456%84.380.3+4.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Memphis374178
Baylor343771
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.