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Baylor vs Tarleton Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 15 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 94-81
55-42 39-39
Position#200
Record2-0
FormLWLWW
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game75.0
Baylor 🏆
USA
vs
Tarleton
USA
Position#255
Record2-2
FormLLLWW
Points / game74.2
Allowed / game82.8
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Baylor v Tarleton
14 Nov 2025
BAYL94
TARL81
17 Nov 2024
BAYL104
TARL41
06 Dec 2022
BAYL80
TARL57
15 Dec 2020
BAYL v TARL
upcoming
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Baylor winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tarleton winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BaylorUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cincinnati
#159
L
67-69
67
69
-2
A26/02
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#233
W
71-61
71
61
+10
H02/03
NCAA
TCU
#210
W
61-58
61
58
+3
A05/03
NCAA
Houston
#9
L
61-65
61
65
-4
H09/03
NCAA
Kansas State
#216
W
70-56
70
56
+14
H12/03
NCAA
Texas Tech
#33
L
74-76
74
76
-2
A13/03
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#116
W
75-72
75
72
+3
A21/03
NCAA
Duke
#7
L
66-89
66
89
-23
A23/03
NCAA
UTRGV
#137
W
96-81
96
81
+15
H04/11
NCAA
Washington
#218
W
78-69
78
69
+9
H10/11
NCAA
1H
2H
26-39
41-30
26-24
45-37
35-35
26-23
29-26
32-39
41-24
29-32
39-52
35-24
37-32
38-40
30-47
36-42
46-37
50-44
38-32
40-37
141.5Avg total
71.9Scored
69.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)87.075.0162.0+12.0100%
Season at home (2)87.075.0162.0+12.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)71.969.6141.5+2.360%
Last 5 (5)77.877.4155.2+0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)63.375.5138.8-12.20%
vs Similar (14)77.770.7148.4+7.064%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)77.563.9141.4+13.680%
This opponent (Tarleton) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TarletonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Seattle
#252
W
67-64
67
64
+3
H16/02
NCAA
UT Arlington
#277
L
57-67
57
67
-10
A23/02
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#208
W
67-52
67
52
+15
H28/02
NCAA
California Baptist
#179
L
48-68
48
68
-20
A07/03
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#32
L
66-71
66
71
-5
H09/03
NCAA
California Baptist
#179
L
51-55
51
55
-4
A14/03
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
L
76-96
76
96
-20
A04/11
NCAA
LSU
#230
L
60-96
60
96
-36
A06/11
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#163
W
85-77
85
77
+8
H09/11
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#66
W
76-62
76
62
+14
H12/11
NCAA
1H
2H
32-32
35-32
29-23
28-44
37-25
30-27
28-36
20-32
36-35
30-36
21-30
30-25
38-48
38-48
31-47
29-49
47-28
38-49
34-31
42-31
136.1Avg total
65.3Scored
70.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)74.282.8157.0-8.550%
Season at home (2)80.569.5150.0+11.0100%
Season away (2)68.096.0164.0-28.00%
Last 10 (10)65.370.8136.1-5.540%
Last 5 (5)69.677.2146.8-7.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)61.270.3131.5-9.226%
vs Similar (9)68.466.3134.8+2.167%
vs Weaker (2)95.066.5161.5+28.5100%
This opponent (Baylor) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: -0.1-0.11st half: -0.2-0.22nd half2nd half: +2.4+2.42nd half: -5.3-5.3
-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: -0.1-0.11st half: -0.2-0.22nd half2nd half: +2.4+2.42nd half: -5.3-5.3
BaylorTarleton
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
BaylorLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cincinnati
#159
L
26-39
26
39
-13
A26/02
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#233
W
26-24
26
24
+2
H02/03
NCAA
TCU
#210
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A05/03
NCAA
Houston
#9
W
29-26
29
26
+3
H09/03
NCAA
Kansas State
#216
W
41-24
41
24
+17
H12/03
NCAA
Texas Tech
#33
L
39-52
39
52
-13
A13/03
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#116
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A21/03
NCAA
Duke
#7
L
30-47
30
47
-17
A23/03
NCAA
UTRGV
#137
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H04/11
NCAA
Washington
#218
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H10/11
NCAA
69.5Avg total
34.7Scored
34.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.132.766.7+1.460%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.429.265.6+7.281%-
Last 30 away (14)31.436.668.1-5.236%-
Last 10 (10)34.734.869.5-0.160%-
Last 5 (5)38.040.078.0-2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)29.538.367.8-8.817%-
vs Similar (14)33.733.567.2+0.264%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)37.328.165.4+9.280%-
This opponent (Tarleton) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TarletonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Seattle
#252
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H16/02
NCAA
UT Arlington
#277
W
29-23
29
23
+6
A23/02
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#208
W
37-25
37
25
+12
H28/02
NCAA
California Baptist
#179
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A07/03
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#32
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H09/03
NCAA
California Baptist
#179
L
21-30
21
30
-9
A14/03
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A04/11
NCAA
LSU
#230
L
31-47
31
47
-16
A06/11
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#163
W
47-28
47
28
+19
H09/11
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#66
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H12/11
NCAA
66.8Avg total
33.3Scored
33.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.832.164.9+0.653%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.129.966.1+6.273%-
Last 30 away (15)29.434.363.7-4.933%-
Last 10 (10)33.333.566.8-0.250%-
Last 5 (5)34.236.871.0-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)29.934.364.2-4.432%-
vs Similar (9)34.328.262.6+6.189%-
vs Weaker (2)53.029.082.0+24.0100%-
This opponent (Baylor) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Baylor wins
0
Tarleton wins
DateGameScore
18/11/24Baylor v Tarleton104-41
07/12/22Baylor v Tarleton80-57
Baylorlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/25HWashington78-69
04/11/25HUTRGV96-81
23/03/25ADuke66-89
21/03/25AMississippi St.75-72
13/03/25ATexas Tech74-76
12/03/25HKansas State70-56
09/03/25HHouston61-65
05/03/25ATCU61-58
02/03/25HOklahoma State71-61
26/02/25ACincinnati67-69
Tarletonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/25HMerrimack Warriors76-62
09/11/25HTexas A&M-CC85-77
06/11/25ALSU60-96
04/11/25ASMU Mustangs76-96
14/03/25ACalifornia Baptist51-55
09/03/25HUtah Valley State66-71
07/03/25ACalifornia Baptist48-68
28/02/25HAbilene Christian67-52
23/02/25AUT Arlington57-67
16/02/25HSeattle67-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Baylor
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game87.087.0-
Allowed / game75.075.0-
Point differential+12.0+12.0-
Avg total162.0162.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Tarleton
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWW50%
HomeWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game74.280.568.0
Allowed / game82.869.596.0
Point differential-8.5+11.0-28.0
Avg total157.0150.0164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma State330100%92.067.0+25.0
2 Houston330100%72.750.0+22.7
3 Arizona330100%90.067.7+22.3
4 Brigham Young330100%84.762.3+22.3
5 Kansas State330100%96.777.0+19.7
6 Cincinnati330100%80.763.0+17.7
7 West Virginia440100%70.853.8+17.0
8 Arizona State220100%81.065.0+16.0
9 Baylor220100%87.075.0+12.0
10 Utah Utes330100%87.777.7+10.0
11 Colorado220100%93.087.5+5.5
12 Texas Tech43175%88.270.2+18.0
13 UCF Knights43175%89.579.2+10.2
14 Iowa State32167%90.069.3+20.7
15 Kansas32167%81.761.3+20.3
16 TCU32167%85.368.7+16.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Western Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Abilene Christian330100%89.763.0+26.7
2 California Baptist220100%78.068.0+10.0
3 UT Arlington32167%88.058.3+29.7
4 Utah Valley State32167%94.765.3+29.3
5 Tarleton42250%74.282.8-8.5
6 Utah Tech52340%79.879.4+0.4
7 Southern Utah31233%84.778.7+6.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Baylor553994
Tarleton423981
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