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Memphis vs South Florida Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 06 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 89-96
0-0 46-51 0-0 43-45
Position#277
Record12-17
FormLLLLL
Points / game74.2
Allowed / game75.2
Memphis
USA
vs
South Florida 🏆
USA
Position#40
Record21-8
FormWWWWW
Points / game88.3
Allowed / game76.7
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Memphis v South Florida
05 Mar 2026
MEMP89
SOUT96
07 Mar 2025
MEMP84
SOUT68
18 Jan 2024
MEMP73
SOUT74
29 Dec 2022
MEMP93
SOUT86
29 Dec 2020
MEMP58
SOUT57
08 Feb 2020
MEMP73
SOUT75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Memphis winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
South Florida winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MemphisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida Atlantic
#164
W
92-65
92
65
+27
H30/01
NCAA
Tulane
#173
L
76-78
76
78
-2
H01/02
NCAA
UAB
#99
W
90-80
90
80
+10
A06/02
NCAA
Charlotte
#216
W
77-54
77
54
+23
H08/02
NCAA
North Texas
#138
L
69-76
69
76
-7
A13/02
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
75-99
75
99
-24
A15/02
NCAA
South Florida
#40
L
66-87
66
87
-21
A20/02
NCAA
UAB
#99
L
67-78
67
78
-11
H22/02
NCAA
Wichita State
#71
L
82-88
82
88
-6
H27/02
NCAA
East Carolina
#310
L
68-84
68
84
-16
A01/03
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
41-33
0-0
51-32
0-0
31-39
0-0
45-39
0-0
44-35
0-0
46-45
0-0
37-17
0-0
40-37
0-0
32-33
0-0
37-43
0-0
34-48
0-0
41-51
0-0
31-47
0-0
35-40
0-0
30-46
0-0
37-32
0-0
35-40
0-0
47-48
0-0
30-44
0-0
38-40
155.1Avg total
76.2Scored
78.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)74.275.2149.5-1.041%
Season at home (16)76.269.2145.4+7.062%
Season away (13)71.882.7154.5-10.815%
Last 10 (10)76.278.9155.1-2.730%
Last 5 (5)71.687.2158.8-15.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)71.976.8148.6-4.935%
vs Similar (11)76.272.9149.1+3.345%
vs Weaker (2)81.576.5158.0+5.050%
This opponent (South Florida) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
South FloridaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida Atlantic
#164
W
89-75
89
75
+14
H25/01
NCAA
Tulane
#173
W
97-83
97
83
+14
A29/01
NCAA
Temple
#205
L
78-79
78
79
-1
A01/02
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#365
W
109-88
109
88
+21
H05/02
NCAA
Tulsa
#23
W
80-74
80
74
+6
H08/02
NCAA
Wichita State
#71
W
66-58
66
58
+8
A12/02
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#164
W
83-81 OT
83
81
+2
A15/02
NCAA
Memphis
#277
W
87-66
87
66
+21
H20/02
NCAA
Rice
#268
W
75-56
75
56
+19
A26/02
NCAA
Tulane
#173
W
90-62
90
62
+28
H01/03
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
33-36
0-0
56-39
0-0
52-39
0-0
45-44
0-0
38-39
0-0
40-40
0-0
48-50
0-0
61-38
0-0
39-35
0-0
41-39
0-0
26-33
0-0
40-25
0-0
36-38
0-0
36-34
0-0
47-31
0-0
40-35
0-0
39-31
0-0
36-25
0-0
49-38
0-0
41-24
157.6Avg total
85.4Scored
72.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)88.376.7165.0+11.672%
Season at home (17)89.573.8163.3+15.676%
Season away (12)86.680.8167.3+5.867%
Last 10 (10)85.472.2157.6+13.290%
Last 5 (5)80.264.6144.8+15.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)82.979.5162.4+3.450%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)88.376.7165.0+11.676%
This opponent (Memphis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q2: +3.7+3.7Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +9.3+9.3
-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q2: +3.7+3.7Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +9.3+9.3
MemphisSouth Florida
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MemphisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida Atlantic
#164
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H30/01
NCAA
Tulane
#173
L
31-39
31
39
-8
H01/02
NCAA
UAB
#99
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A06/02
NCAA
Charlotte
#216
W
37-17
37
17
+20
H08/02
NCAA
North Texas
#138
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A13/02
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A15/02
NCAA
South Florida
#40
L
31-47
31
47
-16
A20/02
NCAA
UAB
#99
L
30-46
30
46
-16
H22/02
NCAA
Wichita State
#71
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H27/02
NCAA
East Carolina
#310
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A01/03
NCAA
72.7Avg total
34.5Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.334.969.2-0.643%-
Last 30 at home (17)35.631.166.8+4.571%-
Last 30 away (13)32.539.872.4-7.38%-
Last 10 (10)34.538.272.7-3.730%-
Last 5 (5)32.045.077.0-13.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)33.136.269.4-3.135%-
vs Similar (11)35.732.267.9+3.555%-
vs Weaker (2)36.538.575.0-2.050%-
This opponent (South Florida) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
South FloridaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida Atlantic
#164
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H25/01
NCAA
Tulane
#173
W
52-39
52
39
+13
A29/01
NCAA
Temple
#205
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A01/02
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#365
L
48-50
48
50
-2
H05/02
NCAA
Tulsa
#23
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H08/02
NCAA
Wichita State
#71
L
26-33
26
33
-7
A12/02
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#164
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A15/02
NCAA
Memphis
#277
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H20/02
NCAA
Rice
#268
W
39-31
39
31
+8
A26/02
NCAA
Tulane
#173
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H01/03
NCAA
77.7Avg total
40.7Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.536.277.7+5.357%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.634.877.5+7.865%-
Last 30 away (13)40.037.977.9+2.146%-
Last 10 (10)40.737.077.7+3.750%-
Last 5 (5)39.434.273.6+5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)39.535.575.0+4.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)41.336.778.0+4.757%-
This opponent (Memphis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Memphis wins
3
South Florida wins
DateGameScore
20/02/26South Florida v Memphis87-66
08/03/25Memphis v South Florida84-68
14/02/25South Florida v Memphis65-80
19/01/24Memphis v South Florida73-74
09/02/23South Florida v Memphis81-99
30/12/22Memphis v South Florida93-86
04/03/22South Florida v Memphis64-73
03/03/21South Florida v Memphis52-73
30/12/20Memphis v South Florida58-57
08/02/20Memphis v South Florida73-75
Memphislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/26AEast Carolina68-84
27/02/26HWichita State82-88
22/02/26HUAB67-78
20/02/26ASouth Florida66-87
15/02/26AUtah State75-99
13/02/26ANorth Texas69-76
08/02/26HCharlotte77-54
06/02/26AUAB90-80
01/02/26HTulane76-78
30/01/26HFlorida Atlantic92-65
South Floridalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/26HTulane90-62
26/02/26ARice75-56
20/02/26HMemphis87-66
15/02/26AFlorida Atlantic83-81 OT
12/02/26AWichita State66-58
08/02/26HTulsa80-74
05/02/26HUTSA Roadrunners109-88
01/02/26ATemple78-79
29/01/26ATulane97-83
25/01/26HFlorida Atlantic89-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Memphis
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL41%
HomeWLWLL62%
AwayWLLLL15%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291613
Win %41%62%15%
Points / game74.276.271.8
Allowed / game75.269.282.7
Point differential-1.0+7.0-10.8
Avg total149.5145.4154.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%38%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)33% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %3%6%0%
South Florida
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW72%
HomeWWWWW76%
AwayWLWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291712
Win %72%76%67%
Points / game88.389.586.6
Allowed / game76.773.880.8
Point differential+11.6+15.6+5.8
Avg total165.0163.3167.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%59%42%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)0% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %14%18%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

American Conference conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tulsa3024680%86.372.3+14.0
2 South Florida2921872%88.376.7+11.6
3 Wichita State30201067%77.970.5+7.4
4 UAB30191163%78.973.2+5.7
5 North Texas31181358%70.466.6+3.8
6 Florida Atlantic30171357%79.874.4+5.4
7 Tulane30171357%71.875.1-3.4
8 Temple30161453%74.470.8+3.6
9 Charlotte30151550%73.774.1-0.4
10 Memphis29121741%74.275.2-1.0
11 Rice30121840%73.774.7-1.0
12 East Carolina30111937%71.177.0-5.9
13 UTSA Roadrunners2952417%69.480.8-11.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Memphis04604389
South Florida05104596
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