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Memphis vs Vanderbilt Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 18 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 70-77 (OT)
22-28 40-34 8-15
Position#277
Record4-5
FormLWWWL
Points / game75.7
Allowed / game76.9
vs
Position#37
Record10-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game95.4
Allowed / game72.9
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Memphis v Vanderbilt
17 Dec 2025
MEMP70
VAND77
23 Dec 2023
MEMP77
VAND75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Memphis winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Vanderbilt winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MemphisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Colorado State
#49
L
70-78
70
78
-8
H21/03
NCAA
San Francisco
#191
W
76-70
76
70
+6
H08/11
NCAA
Ole Miss
#259
L
77-83
77
83
-6
A12/11
NCAA
UNLV
#192
L
78-92
78
92
-14
H16/11
NCAA
Purdue
#31
L
71-80
71
80
-9
A20/11
NCAA
Wake Forest
#190
L
68-69
68
69
-1
H22/11
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
W
74-58
74
58
+16
H27/11
NCAA
New Orleans
#226
W
86-70
86
70
+16
H04/12
NCAA
Baylor
#200
W
78-71
78
71
+7
H06/12
NCAA
Louisville
#53
L
73-99
73
99
-26
A13/12
NCAA
1H
2H
36-31
34-47
36-22
40-48
33-42
44-41
36-49
42-43
35-36
36-44
33-27
35-42
42-29
32-29
48-28
38-42
37-34
41-37
37-57
36-42
152.1Avg total
75.1Scored
77.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)75.776.9152.6-1.244%
Season at home (6)76.771.7148.3+5.067%
Season away (3)73.787.3161.0-13.70%
Last 10 (10)75.177.0152.1-1.940%
Last 5 (5)75.873.4149.2+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)74.077.0151.0-3.050%
vs Similar (13)78.873.4152.2+5.569%
vs Weaker (13)79.873.4153.2+6.485%
This opponent (Vanderbilt) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VanderbiltUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lipscomb
#121
W
105-61
105
61
+44
H04/11
NCAA
UCF Knights
#92
W
105-93
105
93
+12
A08/11
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#313
W
92-62
92
62
+30
H13/11
NCAA
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#280
W
104-75
104
75
+29
H15/11
NCAA
Texas Southern
#281
W
109-74
109
74
+35
H21/11
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
W
83-78
83
78
+5
A26/11
NCAA
VCU Rams
#27
W
89-74
89
74
+15
A27/11
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#16
W
96-71
96
71
+25
H28/11
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
W
88-69
88
69
+19
H04/12
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#83
W
83-72
83
72
+11
H13/12
NCAA
1H
2H
56-26
49-35
52-36
53-57
45-27
47-35
43-31
61-44
60-33
49-41
40-35
43-43
43-41
46-33
51-34
45-37
48-38
40-31
47-31
36-41
168.3Avg total
95.4Scored
72.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)95.472.9168.3+22.5100%
Season at home (7)96.769.1165.9+27.6100%
Season away (3)92.381.7174.0+10.7100%
Last 10 (10)95.472.9168.3+22.5100%
Last 5 (5)87.872.8160.6+15.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)75.181.5156.6-6.425%
vs Similar (12)76.479.2155.7-2.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)91.571.9163.4+19.6100%
This opponent (Memphis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-19-10+0+10+191st half1st half: +1.8+1.81st half: +15.3+15.32nd half2nd half: -3.7-3.72nd half: +7.2+7.2
-19-10+0+10+191st half1st half: +1.8+1.81st half: +15.3+15.32nd half2nd half: -3.7-3.72nd half: +7.2+7.2
MemphisVanderbilt
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
MemphisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Colorado State
#49
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H21/03
NCAA
San Francisco
#191
W
36-22
36
22
+14
H08/11
NCAA
Ole Miss
#259
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A12/11
NCAA
UNLV
#192
L
36-49
36
49
-13
H16/11
NCAA
Purdue
#31
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A20/11
NCAA
Wake Forest
#190
W
33-27
33
27
+6
H22/11
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H27/11
NCAA
New Orleans
#226
W
48-28
48
28
+20
H04/12
NCAA
Baylor
#200
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H06/12
NCAA
Louisville
#53
L
37-57
37
57
-20
A13/12
NCAA
72.8Avg total
37.3Scored
35.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.833.870.6+3.060%-
Last 30 at home (19)37.332.469.7+4.968%-
Last 30 away (11)36.036.272.2-0.245%-
Last 10 (10)37.335.572.8+1.860%-
Last 5 (5)39.435.074.4+4.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)37.839.076.8-1.250%-
vs Similar (13)36.933.670.5+3.369%-
vs Weaker (13)36.532.468.8+4.154%-
This opponent (Vanderbilt) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VanderbiltLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lipscomb
#121
W
56-26
56
26
+30
H04/11
NCAA
UCF Knights
#92
W
52-36
52
36
+16
A08/11
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#313
W
45-27
45
27
+18
H13/11
NCAA
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#280
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H15/11
NCAA
Texas Southern
#281
W
60-33
60
33
+27
H21/11
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A26/11
NCAA
VCU Rams
#27
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A27/11
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#16
W
51-34
51
34
+17
H28/11
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H04/12
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#83
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H13/12
NCAA
81.7Avg total
48.5Scored
33.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.634.674.2+4.967%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.833.874.6+6.965%-
Last 30 away (13)38.035.773.7+2.369%-
Last 10 (10)48.533.281.7+15.3100%-
Last 5 (5)45.835.881.6+10.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)34.235.569.8-1.250%-
vs Similar (12)37.937.175.0+0.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)45.831.076.8+14.8100%-
This opponent (Memphis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Memphis wins
0
Vanderbilt wins
DateGameScore
23/12/23Memphis v Vanderbilt77-75
08/11/22Vanderbilt v Memphis67-76
Memphislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/12/25ALouisville73-99
06/12/25HBaylor78-71
04/12/25HNew Orleans86-70
27/11/25HSouthern Illinois74-58
22/11/25HWake Forest68-69
20/11/25APurdue71-80
16/11/25HUNLV78-92
12/11/25AOle Miss77-83
08/11/25HSan Francisco76-70
21/03/25HColorado State70-78
Vanderbiltlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/12/25HCentral Arkansas83-72
04/12/25HSMU Mustangs88-69
28/11/25HSt. Marys (CA)96-71
27/11/25AVCU Rams89-74
26/11/25AWestern Kentucky83-78
21/11/25HTexas Southern109-74
15/11/25HArkansas-Pine Bluff104-75
13/11/25HEastern Kentucky92-62
08/11/25AUCF Knights105-93
04/11/25HLipscomb105-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Memphis
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL44%
HomeLLWWW67%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games963
Win %44%67%0%
Points / game75.776.773.7
Allowed / game76.971.787.3
Point differential-1.2+5.0-13.7
Avg total152.6148.3161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Vanderbilt
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1073
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game95.496.792.3
Allowed / game72.969.181.7
Point differential+22.5+27.6+10.7
Avg total168.3165.9174.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+90%100%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

American Conference conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tulsa1110191%90.069.7+20.3
2 Florida Atlantic118373%83.971.3+12.6
3 North Texas118373%69.164.4+4.7
4 UAB117464%82.671.9+10.7
5 Tulane117464%75.578.5-3.1
6 South Florida106460%88.679.6+9.0
7 Wichita State116555%76.566.7+9.7
8 Temple116555%79.873.1+6.7
9 Rice126650%77.371.2+6.1
10 Memphis94544%75.776.9-1.2
11 UTSA Roadrunners104640%71.772.8-1.1
12 Charlotte114736%69.871.9-2.1
13 East Carolina114736%67.976.3-8.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Vanderbilt10100100%95.472.9+22.5
2 Georgia109190%98.370.6+27.7
3 LSU109190%88.570.6+17.9
4 Missouri1210283%86.869.8+16.9
5 Arkansas119282%89.973.2+16.7
6 Texas A&M118373%92.976.7+16.2
7 Tennessee118373%81.165.6+15.5
8 Oklahoma118373%85.174.4+10.7
9 Auburn118373%86.576.8+9.6
10 Alabama107370%93.180.9+12.2
11 Texas128467%87.471.3+16.1
12 Kentucky117464%84.366.4+17.9
13 Florida117464%83.871.2+12.6
14 South Carolina117464%78.468.2+10.2
15 Mississippi St.117464%80.977.1+3.8
16 Ole Miss106460%74.967.9+7.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
Memphis2240870
Vanderbilt28341577
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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