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Memphis vs Virginia Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 20 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 77-54
38-32 39-22
Position#57
Record8-2
FormLLWWW
Points / game79.6
Allowed / game74.4
Memphis 🏆
USA
vs
Position#66
Record9-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game66.8
Allowed / game53.3
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Memphis winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virginia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MemphisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jackson State
#253
W
94-77
94
77
+17
H07/11
NCAA
Missouri
#345
W
70-55
70
55
+15
A11/11
NCAA
Alabama State
#281
W
92-75
92
75
+17
H18/11
NCAA
Michigan
#347
W
71-67
71
67
+4
A22/11
NCAA
Arkansas
#224
W
84-79
84
79
+5
H23/11
NCAA
Villanova
#174
L
63-79
63
79
-16
A24/11
NCAA
Ole Miss
#109
L
77-80
77
80
-3
A02/12
NCAA
VCU Rams
#96
W
85-80 OT
85
80
+5
A07/12
NCAA
Texas A&M
#139
W
81-75
81
75
+6
A10/12
NCAA
Clemson
#74
W
79-77
79
77
+2
H16/12
NCAA
1H
2H
47-36
47-41
26-33
44-22
47-36
45-39
37-25
34-42
42-37
42-42
16-44
47-35
37-30
40-50
32-36
40-36
38-29
43-46
32-39
47-38
154.0Avg total
79.6Scored
74.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)79.674.4154.0+5.280%
Season at home (4)87.277.0164.2+10.2100%
Season away (6)74.572.7147.2+1.867%
Last 10 (10)79.674.4154.0+5.280%
Last 5 (5)77.078.2155.2-1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)67.267.5134.8-0.225%
vs Similar ◀ (10)78.577.8156.3+0.770%
vs Weaker (16)83.871.4155.2+12.394%
This opponent (Virginia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VirginiaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tarleton
#42
W
80-50
80
50
+30
H07/11
NCAA
Florida
#73
W
73-70
73
70
+3
H11/11
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#356
W
80-51
80
51
+29
H15/11
NCAA
Texas Southern
#210
W
62-33
62
33
+29
H17/11
NCAA
Wisconsin
#117
L
41-65
41
65
-24
A20/11
NCAA
West Virginia
#338
W
56-54
56
54
+2
H22/11
NCAA
Texas A&M
#139
W
59-47
59
47
+12
H30/11
NCAA
Syracuse
#110
W
84-62
84
62
+22
H02/12
NCAA
N. Carolina Central
#142
W
77-47
77
47
+30
H06/12
NCAA
Northeastern
#298
W
56-54
56
54
+2
H16/12
NCAA
1H
2H
43-19
37-31
39-35
34-35
49-19
31-32
26-14
36-19
18-28
23-37
26-23
30-31
27-26
32-21
37-24
47-38
41-17
36-30
24-30
32-24
120.1Avg total
66.8Scored
53.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)66.853.3120.1+13.590%
Season at home (9)69.752.0121.7+17.7100%
Season away (1)41.065.0106.0-24.00%
Last 10 (10)66.853.3120.1+13.590%
Last 5 (5)66.452.8119.2+13.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)77.047.0124.0+30.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (17)66.459.4125.8+7.171%
vs Weaker (12)66.058.8124.8+7.292%
This opponent (Memphis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +0.9+0.91st half: +9.5+9.52nd half2nd half: +3.8+3.82nd half: +4.0+4.0
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +0.9+0.91st half: +9.5+9.52nd half2nd half: +3.8+3.82nd half: +4.0+4.0
MemphisVirginia
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
MemphisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jackson State
#253
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H07/11
NCAA
Missouri
#345
L
26-33
26
33
-7
A11/11
NCAA
Alabama State
#281
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H18/11
NCAA
Michigan
#347
W
37-25
37
25
+12
A22/11
NCAA
Arkansas
#224
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H23/11
NCAA
Villanova
#174
L
16-44
16
44
-28
A24/11
NCAA
Ole Miss
#109
W
37-30
37
30
+7
A02/12
NCAA
VCU Rams
#96
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A07/12
NCAA
Texas A&M
#139
W
38-29
38
29
+9
A10/12
NCAA
Clemson
#74
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H16/12
NCAA
69.9Avg total
35.4Scored
34.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.733.671.2+4.170%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.733.573.2+6.180%-
Last 30 away (15)35.733.669.3+2.160%-
Last 10 (10)35.434.569.9+0.960%-
Last 5 (5)31.035.666.6-4.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)33.533.867.2-0.250%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)36.234.770.9+1.560%-
vs Weaker (16)39.632.872.4+6.881%-
This opponent (Virginia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VirginiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tarleton
#42
W
43-19
43
19
+24
H07/11
NCAA
Florida
#73
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H11/11
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#356
W
49-19
49
19
+30
H15/11
NCAA
Texas Southern
#210
W
26-14
26
14
+12
H17/11
NCAA
Wisconsin
#117
L
18-28
18
28
-10
A20/11
NCAA
West Virginia
#338
W
26-23
26
23
+3
H22/11
NCAA
Texas A&M
#139
W
27-26
27
26
+1
H30/11
NCAA
Syracuse
#110
W
37-24
37
24
+13
H02/12
NCAA
N. Carolina Central
#142
W
41-17
41
17
+24
H06/12
NCAA
Northeastern
#298
L
24-30
24
30
-6
H16/12
NCAA
56.5Avg total
33.0Scored
23.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.626.157.7+5.573%-
Last 30 at home (22)32.424.356.7+8.082%-
Last 30 away (8)29.431.060.4-1.650%-
Last 10 (10)33.023.556.5+9.580%-
Last 5 (5)31.024.055.0+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)41.017.058.0+24.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)30.126.556.5+3.665%-
vs Weaker (12)32.926.359.2+6.683%-
This opponent (Memphis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Memphis wins
0
Virginia wins
No previous meetings.
Memphislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/23HClemson79-77
10/12/23ATexas A&M81-75
07/12/23AVCU Rams85-80 OT
02/12/23AOle Miss77-80
24/11/23AVillanova63-79
23/11/23HArkansas84-79
22/11/23AMichigan71-67
18/11/23HAlabama State92-75
11/11/23AMissouri70-55
07/11/23HJackson State94-77
Virginialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/23HNortheastern56-54
06/12/23HN. Carolina Central77-47
02/12/23HSyracuse84-62
30/11/23HTexas A&M59-47
22/11/23HWest Virginia56-54
20/11/23AWisconsin41-65
17/11/23HTexas Southern62-33
15/11/23HN. Carolina A&T80-51
11/11/23HFlorida73-70
07/11/23HTarleton80-50

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Memphis
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW80%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWLLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %80%100%67%
Points / game79.687.274.5
Allowed / game74.477.072.7
Point differential+5.2+10.2+1.8
Avg total154.0164.2147.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%50%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %10%0%17%
Virginia
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW90%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1091
Win %90%100%0%
Points / game66.869.741.0
Allowed / game53.352.065.0
Point differential+13.5+17.7-24.0
Avg total120.1121.7106.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

American Conference conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Florida Atlantic119282%83.568.1+15.4
2 Tulane108280%91.782.5+9.2
3 Memphis108280%79.674.4+5.2
4 Wichita State118373%77.570.7+6.7
5 Tulsa96367%76.370.0+6.3
6 Temple106460%78.774.0+4.7
7 South Florida95456%75.669.4+6.1
8 East Carolina116555%74.170.4+3.7
9 UAB116555%76.274.9+1.3
10 North Texas105550%67.259.8+7.4
11 Charlotte105550%65.863.9+1.9
12 Rice115645%73.774.5-0.7
13 UTSA Roadrunners115645%78.879.8-1.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virginia109190%66.853.3+13.5
2 Clemson109190%78.569.3+9.2
3 Pittsburgh118373%82.864.8+18.0
4 Virginia Tech118373%74.065.3+8.7
5 Miami (FL)118373%80.772.3+8.5
6 Boston College118373%78.971.0+7.9
7 Syracuse118373%77.770.1+7.6
8 Duke107370%81.666.1+15.5
9 Wake Forest107370%79.968.4+11.5
10 North Carolina107370%84.975.0+9.9
11 NC State107370%79.370.6+8.7
12 Georgia Tech96367%72.271.4+0.8
13 SMU Mustangs117464%73.862.8+11.0
14 Stanford95456%80.474.7+5.8
15 Louisville115645%74.573.6+0.8
16 Florida State94544%75.774.6+1.1
17 Notre Dame114736%62.867.5-4.7
18 California103730%76.576.8-0.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Memphis383977
Virginia322254
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