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Virginia vs N. Carolina Central Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 06 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 77-47
41-17 36-30
Position#66
Record7-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game66.9
Allowed / game54.0
vs
Position#142
Record4-5
FormLWLWL
Points / game76.3
Allowed / game69.4
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Virginia v N. Carolina Central
07 Nov 2025
VIRG81
N. C62
05 Dec 2023
VIRG77
N. C47
07 Nov 2022
VIRG73
N. C61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virginia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
N. Carolina Central winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VirginiaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Duke
#39
L
49-59
49
59
-10
H12/03
NCAA
Furman
#22
L
67-68
67
68
-1
H16/03
NCAA
Tarleton
#42
W
80-50
80
50
+30
H07/11
NCAA
Florida
#73
W
73-70
73
70
+3
H11/11
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#356
W
80-51
80
51
+29
H15/11
NCAA
Texas Southern
#210
W
62-33
62
33
+29
H17/11
NCAA
Wisconsin
#117
L
41-65
41
65
-24
A20/11
NCAA
West Virginia
#338
W
56-54
56
54
+2
H22/11
NCAA
Texas A&M
#139
W
59-47
59
47
+12
H30/11
NCAA
Syracuse
#110
W
84-62
84
62
+22
H02/12
NCAA
1H
2H
17-24
32-35
32-27
35-41
43-19
37-31
39-35
34-35
49-19
31-32
26-14
36-19
18-28
23-37
26-23
30-31
27-26
32-21
37-24
47-38
121.0Avg total
65.1Scored
55.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)66.954.0120.9+12.988%
Season at home (7)70.652.4123.0+18.1100%
Season away (1)41.065.0106.0-24.00%
Last 10 (10)65.155.9121.0+9.270%
Last 5 (5)60.452.2112.6+8.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (18)66.359.8126.2+6.567%
vs Weaker (12)67.558.9126.4+8.692%
This opponent (N. Carolina Central) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
N. Carolina CentralUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Norfolk State
#71
L
65-72 OT
65
72
-7
H11/03
NCAA
Kansas
#63
L
56-99
56
99
-43
A07/11
NCAA
Virginia-Lynchburg
#669
W
107-54
107
54
+53
H10/11
NCAA
Georgia
#197
L
54-64
54
64
-10
A12/11
NCAA
Mid-Atlantic
#692
W
113-50
113
50
+63
H15/11
NCAA
Longwood
#129
L
66-73
66
73
-7
A18/11
NCAA
Campbell
#262
W
78-75 OT
78
75
+3
A21/11
NCAA
Citadel
#311
L
61-67
61
67
-6
A21/11
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#330
W
70-58
70
58
+12
A26/11
NCAA
USC Upstate
#317
L
82-85
82
85
-3
H02/12
NCAA
1H
2H
20-22
38-36
18-59
38-40
67-27
40-27
23-27
31-37
58-25
55-25
18-30
48-43
38-34
33-37
37-35
24-32
38-21
32-37
39-46
43-39
144.9Avg total
75.2Scored
69.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)76.369.4145.8+6.944%
Season at home (3)100.763.0163.7+37.767%
Season away (6)64.272.7136.8-8.533%
Last 10 (10)75.269.7144.9+5.540%
Last 5 (5)71.471.6143.0-0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)68.780.8149.5-12.217%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)75.363.6138.9+11.767%
This opponent (Virginia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: +7.5+7.51st half: +3.0+3.02nd half2nd half: +1.7+1.72nd half: +2.9+2.9
-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: +7.5+7.51st half: +3.0+3.02nd half2nd half: +1.7+1.72nd half: +2.9+2.9
VirginiaN. Carolina Central
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
VirginiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Duke
#39
L
17-24
17
24
-7
H12/03
NCAA
Furman
#22
W
32-27
32
27
+5
H16/03
NCAA
Tarleton
#42
W
43-19
43
19
+24
H07/11
NCAA
Florida
#73
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H11/11
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#356
W
49-19
49
19
+30
H15/11
NCAA
Texas Southern
#210
W
26-14
26
14
+12
H17/11
NCAA
Wisconsin
#117
L
18-28
18
28
-10
A20/11
NCAA
West Virginia
#338
W
26-23
26
23
+3
H22/11
NCAA
Texas A&M
#139
W
27-26
27
26
+1
H30/11
NCAA
Syracuse
#110
W
37-24
37
24
+13
H02/12
NCAA
55.3Avg total
31.4Scored
23.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.726.157.8+5.677%-
Last 30 at home (20)32.424.456.8+8.085%-
Last 30 away (10)30.429.660.0+0.860%-
Last 10 (10)31.423.955.3+7.580%-
Last 5 (5)26.823.049.8+3.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (18)30.226.356.5+3.967%-
vs Weaker (12)33.925.959.8+8.092%-
This opponent (N. Carolina Central) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
N. Carolina CentralLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Norfolk State
#71
L
20-22
20
22
-2
H11/03
NCAA
Kansas
#63
L
18-59
18
59
-41
A07/11
NCAA
Virginia-Lynchburg
#669
W
67-27
67
27
+40
H10/11
NCAA
Georgia
#197
L
23-27
23
27
-4
A12/11
NCAA
Mid-Atlantic
#692
W
58-25
58
25
+33
H15/11
NCAA
Longwood
#129
L
18-30
18
30
-12
A18/11
NCAA
Campbell
#262
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A21/11
NCAA
Citadel
#311
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A21/11
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#330
W
38-21
38
21
+17
A26/11
NCAA
USC Upstate
#317
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H02/12
NCAA
68.2Avg total
35.6Scored
32.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.230.565.7+4.767%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.427.969.3+13.679%-
Last 30 away (16)29.832.962.6-3.156%-
Last 10 (10)35.632.668.2+3.050%-
Last 5 (5)34.033.267.2+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)25.336.261.5-10.817%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)37.729.166.8+8.579%-
This opponent (Virginia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Virginia wins
0
N. Carolina Central wins
DateGameScore
08/11/22Virginia v N. Carolina Central73-61
Virginialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/12/23HSyracuse84-62
30/11/23HTexas A&M59-47
22/11/23HWest Virginia56-54
20/11/23AWisconsin41-65
17/11/23HTexas Southern62-33
15/11/23HN. Carolina A&T80-51
11/11/23HFlorida73-70
07/11/23HTarleton80-50
16/03/23HFurman67-68
12/03/23HDuke49-59
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/12/23HUSC Upstate82-85
26/11/23ACoastal Carolina70-58
21/11/23ACitadel61-67
21/11/23ACampbell78-75 OT
18/11/23ALongwood66-73
15/11/23HMid-Atlantic113-50
12/11/23AGeorgia54-64
10/11/23HVirginia-Lynchburg107-54
07/11/23AKansas56-99
11/03/23HNorfolk State65-72 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virginia
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW88%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games871
Win %88%100%0%
Points / game66.970.641.0
Allowed / game54.052.465.0
Point differential+12.9+18.1-24.0
Avg total120.9123.0106.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%71%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
N. Carolina Central
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL44%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLLWLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games936
Win %44%67%33%
Points / game76.3100.764.2
Allowed / game69.463.072.7
Point differential+6.9+37.7-8.5
Avg total145.8163.7136.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%67%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %11%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Clemson770100%80.368.7+11.6
2 North Carolina87188%86.272.0+14.2
3 Virginia87188%66.954.0+12.9
4 Miami (FL)86275%80.572.4+8.1
5 NC State75271%78.471.3+7.1
6 SMU Mustangs96367%74.462.0+12.4
7 Virginia Tech96367%74.468.6+5.9
8 Boston College96367%76.370.8+5.6
9 Georgia Tech64267%72.772.8-0.2
10 Pittsburgh85362%82.966.1+16.8
11 Duke85362%80.967.1+13.8
12 Syracuse85362%76.471.2+5.1
13 Wake Forest74357%78.972.7+6.1
14 Florida State74357%78.973.6+5.3
15 Stanford84450%80.276.0+4.2
16 Louisville84450%75.474.6+0.8
17 Notre Dame73443%61.966.1-4.3
18 California83538%74.672.9+1.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Mid-Eastern Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Norfolk State96367%75.466.8+8.7
2 N. Carolina Central94544%76.369.4+6.9
3 Delaware State104640%70.476.1-5.7
4 Howard72529%76.080.9-4.9
5 Md.-East. Shore72529%65.978.1-12.3
6 South Carolina St92722%69.081.7-12.7
7 Morgan State102820%68.181.2-13.1
8 Coppin State91811%55.872.8-17.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Virginia413677
N. Carolina Central173047
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