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Mercer vs Appalachian State Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 26 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 75-67
26-29 49-38
Position#117
Record3-2
FormLWWLW
Points / game83.6
Allowed / game80.6
Mercer 🏆
USA
vs
Position#119
Record4-3
FormWLWWL
Points / game70.0
Allowed / game69.3
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mercer winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Appalachian State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MercerUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NC Greensboro
#105
L
61-78
61
78
-17
H22/02
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#130
L
58-59
58
59
-1
A26/02
NCAA
Western Carolina
#338
W
81-69
81
69
+12
H01/03
NCAA
Western Carolina
#338
W
67-66
67
66
+1
H07/03
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#46
L
61-76
61
76
-15
A08/03
NCAA
Tennessee
#67
L
61-76
61
76
-15
A04/11
NCAA
La Grange
#604
W
101-62
101
62
+39
H06/11
NCAA
Lipscomb
#121
W
92-77
92
77
+15
H09/11
NCAA
Winthrop
#62
L
69-105
69
105
-36
A15/11
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#313
W
95-83
95
83
+12
A22/11
NCAA
1H
2H
29-26
32-52
31-28
27-31
36-28
45-41
29-29
38-37
34-28
27-48
21-33
40-43
56-28
45-34
46-35
46-42
39-50
30-55
53-38
42-45
149.7Avg total
74.6Scored
75.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)83.680.6164.2+3.060%
Season at home (2)96.569.5166.0+27.0100%
Season away (3)75.088.0163.0-13.033%
Last 10 (10)74.675.1149.7-0.550%
Last 5 (5)83.680.6164.2+3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)72.981.9154.8-8.914%
vs Similar ◀ (7)71.478.0149.4-6.643%
vs Weaker (9)81.367.7149.0+13.789%
This opponent (Appalachian State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Appalachian StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia Southern
#201
L
59-61
59
61
-2
A26/02
NCAA
Marshall
#124
L
57-75
57
75
-18
A01/03
NCAA
Old Dominion
#261
L
56-61
56
61
-5
H08/03
NCAA
Central Michigan
#323
L
66-82
66
82
-16
A04/11
NCAA
Carolina University
#612
W
92-46
92
46
+46
H05/11
NCAA
N. Carolina Central
#258
W
76-54
76
54
+22
H09/11
NCAA
Ohio State
#104
L
53-75
53
75
-22
A11/11
NCAA
Dartmouth
#272
W
85-77
85
77
+8
A16/11
NCAA
Charlotte
#216
W
65-63
65
63
+2
H21/11
NCAA
Elon
#256
L
53-88
53
88
-35
H24/11
NCAA
1H
2H
27-32
32-29
26-39
31-36
36-30
20-31
26-38
40-44
53-19
39-27
38-18
38-36
25-30
28-45
41-37
44-40
30-37
35-26
23-44
30-44
134.4Avg total
66.2Scored
68.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)70.069.3139.3+0.757%
Season at home (4)71.562.8134.2+8.875%
Season away (3)68.078.0146.0-10.033%
Last 10 (10)66.268.2134.4-2.040%
Last 5 (5)66.471.4137.8-5.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)59.366.0125.3-6.70%
vs Similar ◀ (8)64.865.5130.2-0.850%
vs Weaker (19)69.863.0132.8+6.863%
This opponent (Mercer) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +5.1+5.11st half: +0.1+0.12nd half2nd half: -5.6-5.62nd half: -2.1-2.1
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +5.1+5.11st half: +0.1+0.12nd half2nd half: -5.6-5.62nd half: -2.1-2.1
MercerAppalachian State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
MercerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NC Greensboro
#105
W
29-26
29
26
+3
H22/02
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#130
W
31-28
31
28
+3
A26/02
NCAA
Western Carolina
#338
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H01/03
NCAA
Western Carolina
#338
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H07/03
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#46
W
34-28
34
28
+6
A08/03
NCAA
Tennessee
#67
L
21-33
21
33
-12
A04/11
NCAA
La Grange
#604
W
56-28
56
28
+28
H06/11
NCAA
Lipscomb
#121
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H09/11
NCAA
Winthrop
#62
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A15/11
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#313
W
53-38
53
38
+15
A22/11
NCAA
69.7Avg total
37.4Scored
32.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.435.471.8+0.953%-
Last 30 at home (13)36.832.869.6+3.954%-
Last 30 away (17)36.137.473.5-1.453%-
Last 10 (10)37.432.369.7+5.170%-
Last 5 (5)43.036.879.8+6.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)35.038.773.7-3.736%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)34.735.370.0-0.643%-
vs Weaker (9)39.830.470.2+9.389%-
This opponent (Appalachian State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Appalachian StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia Southern
#201
L
27-32
27
32
-5
A26/02
NCAA
Marshall
#124
L
26-39
26
39
-13
A01/03
NCAA
Old Dominion
#261
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H08/03
NCAA
Central Michigan
#323
L
26-38
26
38
-12
A04/11
NCAA
Carolina University
#612
W
53-19
53
19
+34
H05/11
NCAA
N. Carolina Central
#258
W
38-18
38
18
+20
H09/11
NCAA
Ohio State
#104
L
25-30
25
30
-5
A11/11
NCAA
Dartmouth
#272
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A16/11
NCAA
Charlotte
#216
L
30-37
30
37
-7
H21/11
NCAA
Elon
#256
L
23-44
23
44
-21
H24/11
NCAA
64.9Avg total
32.5Scored
32.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.830.062.8+2.857%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.529.567.0+7.980%-
Last 30 away (15)28.130.558.5-2.433%-
Last 10 (10)32.532.464.9+0.140%-
Last 5 (5)31.433.264.6-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)27.327.755.0-0.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)31.030.961.9+0.138%-
vs Weaker (19)34.430.064.4+4.468%-
This opponent (Mercer) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Mercer wins
0
Appalachian State wins
No previous meetings.
Mercerlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/11/25AEastern Kentucky95-83
15/11/25AWinthrop69-105
09/11/25HLipscomb92-77
06/11/25HLa Grange101-62
04/11/25ATennessee61-76
08/03/25AChattanooga Mocs61-76
07/03/25HWestern Carolina67-66
01/03/25HWestern Carolina81-69
26/02/25AEast Tennessee St58-59
22/02/25HNC Greensboro61-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/11/25HElon53-88
21/11/25HCharlotte65-63
16/11/25ADartmouth85-77
11/11/25AOhio State53-75
09/11/25HN. Carolina Central76-54
05/11/25HCarolina University92-46
04/11/25ACentral Michigan66-82
08/03/25HOld Dominion56-61
01/03/25AMarshall57-75
26/02/25AGeorgia Southern59-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mercer
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW60%
HomeWW100%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %60%100%33%
Points / game83.696.575.0
Allowed / game80.669.588.0
Point differential+3.0+27.0-13.0
Avg total164.2166.0163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%100%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Appalachian State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL57%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %57%75%33%
Points / game70.071.568.0
Allowed / game69.362.878.0
Point differential+0.7+8.8-10.0
Avg total139.3134.2146.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 East Tennessee St65183%82.262.0+20.2
2 Wofford64267%75.876.7-0.8
3 Mercer53260%83.680.6+3.0
4 Furman63350%74.068.8+5.2
5 Chattanooga Mocs63350%74.873.5+1.3
6 Samford84450%77.278.0-0.8
7 Western Carolina63350%71.775.7-4.0
8 Citadel62433%76.376.7-0.3
9 VMI93633%77.078.4-1.4
10 NC Greensboro71614%71.985.7-13.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Marshall65183%84.078.0+6.0
2 Texas State86275%76.462.4+14.0
3 South Alabama75271%74.667.9+6.7
4 James Madison85362%78.175.6+2.5
5 Southern Miss74357%80.771.7+9.0
6 Coastal Carolina74357%76.068.0+8.0
7 Appalachian State74357%70.069.3+0.7
8 Arkansas State74357%78.682.1-3.6
9 Troy95456%88.081.7+6.3
10 Old Dominion83538%75.176.5-1.4
11 Georgia Southern83538%79.883.1-3.4
12 Georgia State71614%63.974.6-10.7
13 Louisiana Monroe71614%71.082.0-11.0
14 Louisiana Lafayette71614%58.775.9-17.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Mercer264975
Appalachian State293867
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