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Mercer vs Western Carolina Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 01 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 21:30
Final 81-69
36-28 45-41
Position#264
Record12-18
FormLLWLL
Points / game76.7
Allowed / game75.8
Mercer 🏆
USA
vs
Position#338
Record8-20
FormWWLLL
Points / game69.8
Allowed / game79.4
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Mercer v Western Carolina
06 Jan 2027
MERC v WEST
upcoming
07 Mar 2026
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WEST77
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MERC88
WEST76
07 Mar 2025
MERC67
WEST66
01 Mar 2025
MERC81
WEST69
13 Jan 2024
MERC52
WEST64
18 Feb 2023
MERC68
WEST71
04 Mar 2022
MERC81
WEST53
22 Jan 2022
MERC72
WEST64
16 Jan 2021
MERC78
WEST76
07 Mar 2020
MERC56
WEST70
22 Jan 2020
MERC85
WEST79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mercer winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Western Carolina winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MercerUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Furman
#40
L
74-79
74
79
-5
H25/01
NCAA
Citadel
#361
W
80-46
80
46
+34
H30/01
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#46
L
84-93
84
93
-9
A01/02
NCAA
Samford
#61
L
79-100
79
100
-21
A06/02
NCAA
Wofford
#169
L
66-77
66
77
-11
H08/02
NCAA
Furman
#40
L
72-96
72
96
-24
A13/02
NCAA
VMI
#250
L
71-80
71
80
-9
H15/02
NCAA
Citadel
#361
W
62-52
62
52
+10
A20/02
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#105
L
61-78
61
78
-17
H22/02
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#130
L
58-59
58
59
-1
A26/02
NCAA
1H
2H
38-41
36-38
34-18
46-28
48-41
36-52
42-52
37-48
27-38
39-39
35-52
37-44
34-36
37-44
29-25
33-27
29-26
32-52
31-28
27-31
146.7Avg total
70.7Scored
76.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)76.775.8152.5+0.940%
Season at home (14)81.671.1152.6+10.550%
Season away (16)72.579.9152.4-7.431%
Last 10 (10)70.776.0146.7-5.320%
Last 5 (5)64.873.0137.8-8.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)73.281.3154.5-8.113%
vs Similar (7)72.079.4151.4-7.443%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)87.562.2149.8+25.288%
This opponent (Western Carolina) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Western CarolinaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Citadel
#361
W
80-78 OT
80
78
+2
A25/01
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#46
L
60-84
60
84
-24
H30/01
NCAA
VMI
#250
L
76-80 OT
76
80
-4
H01/02
NCAA
Furman
#40
L
75-84 OT
75
84
-9
A06/02
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#105
L
70-74
70
74
-4
A08/02
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#130
W
76-67
76
67
+9
H12/02
NCAA
Citadel
#361
W
76-73
76
73
+3
H15/02
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#46
L
86-91
86
91
-5
A20/02
NCAA
Samford
#61
L
72-93
72
93
-21
A22/02
NCAA
Wofford
#169
L
67-90
67
90
-23
H27/02
NCAA
1H
2H
36-27
36-45
25-44
35-40
34-37
37-34
33-31
33-35
26-29
44-45
31-38
45-29
30-35
46-38
47-45
39-46
36-44
36-49
31-46
36-44
155.2Avg total
73.8Scored
81.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)69.879.4149.2-9.629%
Season at home (14)75.477.1152.5-1.650%
Season away (14)64.281.7145.9-17.57%
Last 10 (10)73.881.4155.2-7.630%
Last 5 (5)75.482.8158.2-7.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)65.182.4147.5-17.210%
vs Similar (5)78.472.4150.8+6.080%
vs Weaker (4)88.268.2156.5+20.075%
This opponent (Mercer) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -1.0-1.01st half: -4.7-4.72nd half2nd half: -4.3-4.32nd half: -1.8-1.8
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -1.0-1.01st half: -4.7-4.72nd half2nd half: -4.3-4.32nd half: -1.8-1.8
MercerWestern Carolina
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
MercerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Furman
#40
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H25/01
NCAA
Citadel
#361
W
34-18
34
18
+16
H30/01
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#46
W
48-41
48
41
+7
A01/02
NCAA
Samford
#61
L
42-52
42
52
-10
A06/02
NCAA
Wofford
#169
L
27-38
27
38
-11
H08/02
NCAA
Furman
#40
L
35-52
35
52
-17
A13/02
NCAA
VMI
#250
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H15/02
NCAA
Citadel
#361
W
29-25
29
25
+4
A20/02
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#105
W
29-26
29
26
+3
H22/02
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#130
W
31-28
31
28
+3
A26/02
NCAA
70.4Avg total
34.7Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.635.671.2-0.147%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.832.469.1+4.450%-
Last 30 away (16)34.538.573.0-4.044%-
Last 10 (10)34.735.770.4-1.050%-
Last 5 (5)31.633.465.0-1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)34.539.473.9-4.927%-
vs Similar (7)31.636.668.1-5.029%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)41.027.868.8+13.2100%-
This opponent (Western Carolina) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Western CarolinaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Citadel
#361
W
36-27
36
27
+9
A25/01
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#46
L
25-44
25
44
-19
H30/01
NCAA
VMI
#250
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H01/02
NCAA
Furman
#40
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A06/02
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#105
L
26-29
26
29
-3
A08/02
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#130
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H12/02
NCAA
Citadel
#361
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H15/02
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#46
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A20/02
NCAA
Samford
#61
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A22/02
NCAA
Wofford
#169
L
31-46
31
46
-15
H27/02
NCAA
70.5Avg total
32.9Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.438.672.0-5.227%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.838.873.6-4.027%-
Last 30 away (15)31.938.470.3-6.527%-
Last 10 (10)32.937.670.5-4.730%-
Last 5 (5)35.041.676.6-6.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)30.740.371.0-9.610%-
vs Similar (5)37.833.070.8+4.860%-
vs Weaker (4)42.036.878.8+5.275%-
This opponent (Mercer) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Mercer wins
7
Western Carolina wins
Mercerlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/02/25AEast Tennessee St58-59
22/02/25HNC Greensboro61-78
20/02/25ACitadel62-52
15/02/25HVMI71-80
13/02/25AFurman72-96
08/02/25HWofford66-77
06/02/25ASamford79-100
01/02/25AChattanooga Mocs84-93
30/01/25HCitadel80-46
25/01/25HFurman74-79
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/02/25HWofford67-90
22/02/25ASamford72-93
20/02/25AChattanooga Mocs86-91
15/02/25HCitadel76-73
12/02/25HEast Tennessee St76-67
08/02/25ANC Greensboro70-74
06/02/25AFurman75-84 OT
01/02/25HVMI76-80 OT
30/01/25HChattanooga Mocs60-84
25/01/25ACitadel80-78 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mercer
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL40%
HomeLWLLL50%
AwayLLLWL31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301416
Win %40%50%31%
Points / game76.781.672.5
Allowed / game75.871.179.9
Point differential+0.9+10.5-7.4
Avg total152.5152.6152.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%36%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won42% (12)33% (6)50% (6)
Overtime %10%14%6%
Western Carolina
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL29%
HomeLLWWL50%
AwayWLLLL7%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %29%50%7%
Points / game69.875.464.2
Allowed / game79.477.181.7
Point differential-9.6-1.6-17.5
Avg total149.2152.5145.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%21%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)67% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %11%7%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Furman3123874%76.768.4+8.3
2 Chattanooga Mocs3123874%79.072.1+6.9
3 Samford3122971%83.574.5+9.0
4 NC Greensboro31201165%73.465.4+8.0
5 East Tennessee St31191261%72.366.3+6.0
6 Wofford31161552%74.669.8+4.8
7 VMI31131842%73.973.6+0.2
8 Mercer30121840%76.775.8+0.9
9 Western Carolina2882029%69.879.4-9.6
10 Citadel2952417%66.775.1-8.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Mercer364581
Western Carolina284169
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