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Mercer vs Fairfield Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 27 Nov 2022
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 60-58
24-24 36-34
Position#261
Record3-3
FormWLWLW
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game73.5
Mercer 🏆
USA
vs
Position#267
Record1-4
FormLLLLW
Points / game64.2
Allowed / game73.8
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mercer winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Fairfield winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MercerUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Western Carolina
#302
L
65-69
65
69
-4
A19/02
NCAA
Citadel
#254
L
67-71
67
71
-4
H24/02
NCAA
Wofford
#128
L
67-74
67
74
-7
A27/02
NCAA
Western Carolina
#302
W
81-53
81
53
+28
H05/03
NCAA
East Carolina
#220
L
75-77
75
77
-2
A09/11
NCAA
Milligan
#551
W
118-64
118
64
+54
H11/11
NCAA
Georgia State
#320
L
83-85 OT
83
85
-2
A16/11
NCAA
Winthrop
#232
W
77-68
77
68
+9
H19/11
NCAA
Florida State
#342
L
72-81
72
81
-9
A21/11
NCAA
Robert Morris
#216
W
72-66
72
66
+6
A26/11
NCAA
1H
2H
33-29
32-40
30-37
37-34
34-25
33-49
43-25
38-28
39-30
36-47
66-38
52-26
40-43
37-34
40-31
37-37
34-42
38-39
29-27
43-39
148.5Avg total
77.7Scored
70.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)82.873.5156.3+9.350%
Season at home (2)97.566.0163.5+31.5100%
Season away (4)75.577.2152.8-1.825%
Last 10 (10)77.770.8148.5+6.940%
Last 5 (5)84.472.8157.2+11.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)72.377.0149.3-4.740%
vs Similar ◀ (14)68.867.6136.4+1.257%
vs Weaker (6)81.869.3151.2+12.550%
This opponent (Fairfield) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FairfieldUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Manhattan
#200
W
66-62
66
62
+4
A27/02
NCAA
Rider
#248
W
65-59
65
59
+6
H04/03
NCAA
St. Peters
#95
L
41-57
41
57
-16
A05/03
NCAA
Canisius
#299
W
72-50
72
50
+22
H09/03
NCAA
St. Peters
#95
L
63-77
63
77
-14
A10/03
NCAA
Wake Forest
#142
L
59-71
59
71
-12
A08/11
NCAA
New Hampshire
#211
L
71-83
71
83
-12
A11/11
NCAA
Xavier
#46
L
65-78
65
78
-13
A16/11
NCAA
Wagner
#167
L
52-68
52
68
-16
A19/11
NCAA
Towson
#94
W
74-69
74
69
+5
A25/11
NCAA
1H
2H
31-29
35-33
30-27
35-32
22-28
19-29
31-20
41-30
19-44
44-33
25-32
34-39
35-43
36-40
37-35
28-43
23-37
29-31
34-33
40-36
130.2Avg total
62.8Scored
67.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)64.273.8138.0-9.620%
Season at homeno games
Season away (5)64.273.8138.0-9.620%
Last 10 (10)62.867.4130.2-4.640%
Last 5 (5)64.273.8138.0-9.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)64.673.2137.8-8.620%
vs Similar ◀ (17)61.966.2128.1-4.429%
vs Weaker (8)69.961.8131.6+8.162%
This opponent (Mercer) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.1+6.11st half: -4.1-4.12nd half2nd half: +1.0+1.02nd half: -0.5-0.5
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.1+6.11st half: -4.1-4.12nd half2nd half: +1.0+1.02nd half: -0.5-0.5
MercerFairfield
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
MercerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Western Carolina
#302
W
33-29
33
29
+4
A19/02
NCAA
Citadel
#254
L
30-37
30
37
-7
H24/02
NCAA
Wofford
#128
W
34-25
34
25
+9
A27/02
NCAA
Western Carolina
#302
W
43-25
43
25
+18
H05/03
NCAA
East Carolina
#220
W
39-30
39
30
+9
A09/11
NCAA
Milligan
#551
W
66-38
66
38
+28
H11/11
NCAA
Georgia State
#320
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A16/11
NCAA
Winthrop
#232
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H19/11
NCAA
Florida State
#342
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A21/11
NCAA
Robert Morris
#216
W
29-27
29
27
+2
A26/11
NCAA
71.5Avg total
38.8Scored
32.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.732.667.3+2.157%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.333.970.3+2.447%-
Last 30 away (15)33.131.364.4+1.767%-
Last 10 (10)38.832.771.5+6.170%-
Last 5 (5)41.836.278.0+5.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)34.135.069.1-0.950%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)32.830.363.1+2.564%-
vs Weaker (6)40.234.274.3+6.050%-
This opponent (Fairfield) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FairfieldLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Manhattan
#200
W
31-29
31
29
+2
A27/02
NCAA
Rider
#248
W
30-27
30
27
+3
H04/03
NCAA
St. Peters
#95
L
22-28
22
28
-6
A05/03
NCAA
Canisius
#299
W
31-20
31
20
+11
H09/03
NCAA
St. Peters
#95
L
19-44
19
44
-25
A10/03
NCAA
Wake Forest
#142
L
25-32
25
32
-7
A08/11
NCAA
New Hampshire
#211
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A11/11
NCAA
Xavier
#46
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A16/11
NCAA
Wagner
#167
L
23-37
23
37
-14
A19/11
NCAA
Towson
#94
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A25/11
NCAA
61.5Avg total
28.7Scored
32.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.330.861.2-0.550%-
Last 30 at home (13)30.830.261.1+0.654%-
Last 30 away (17)29.931.361.2-1.447%-
Last 10 (10)28.732.861.5-4.150%-
Last 5 (5)30.836.066.8-5.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)33.432.866.2+0.660%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)28.531.960.4-3.441%-
vs Weaker (8)32.227.459.6+4.962%-
This opponent (Mercer) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Mercer wins
0
Fairfield wins
DateGameScore
24/03/12Fairfield v Mercer59-64
Mercerlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/11/22ARobert Morris72-66
21/11/22AFlorida State72-81
19/11/22HWinthrop77-68
16/11/22AGeorgia State83-85 OT
11/11/22HMilligan118-64
09/11/22AEast Carolina75-77
05/03/22HWestern Carolina81-53
27/02/22AWofford67-74
24/02/22HCitadel67-71
19/02/22AWestern Carolina65-69
Fairfieldlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/11/22ATowson74-69
19/11/22AWagner52-68
16/11/22AXavier65-78
11/11/22ANew Hampshire71-83
08/11/22AWake Forest59-71
10/03/22ASt. Peters63-77
09/03/22HCanisius72-50
05/03/22ASt. Peters41-57
04/03/22HRider65-59
27/02/22AManhattan66-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mercer
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW50%
HomeWW100%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %50%100%25%
Points / game82.897.575.5
Allowed / game73.566.077.2
Point differential+9.3+31.5-1.8
Avg total156.3163.5152.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %17%0%25%
Fairfield
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW20%
Home--
AwayLLLLW20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games5-5
Win %20%-20%
Points / game64.2-64.2
Allowed / game73.8-73.8
Point differential-9.6--9.6
Avg total138.0-138.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Samford76186%85.162.7+22.4
2 Furman64267%84.369.7+14.7
3 Wofford64267%80.066.7+13.3
4 Western Carolina74357%79.372.1+7.1
5 Citadel74357%72.469.3+3.1
6 Chattanooga Mocs63350%78.766.2+12.5
7 Mercer63350%82.873.5+9.3
8 East Tennessee St63350%76.371.7+4.7
9 NC Greensboro63350%69.566.3+3.2
10 VMI72529%77.376.6+0.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Metro Atlantic Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Quinnipiac76186%74.668.3+6.3
2 Iona32167%75.761.0+14.7
3 St. Peters53260%71.064.4+6.6
4 Siena63350%74.272.0+2.2
5 Niagara63350%66.566.0+0.5
6 Sacred Heart63350%74.379.7-5.3
7 Mount St. Mary's73443%67.469.7-2.3
8 Canisius52340%78.072.2+5.8
9 Manhattan52340%71.065.8+5.2
10 Marist62433%62.766.2-3.5
11 Rider51420%70.272.0-1.8
12 Fairfield51420%64.273.8-9.6
13 Merrimack Warriors71614%57.172.3-15.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Mercer243660
Fairfield243458
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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