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Mercer vs Reinhardt Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 02 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 90-53
0-0 39-21 0-0 51-32
Position#53
Record-
FormLWLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Mercer 🏆
USA
Vs
99%
■ MERC 99%■ REIN 1%
Pythia win probability
Projected 89-62
Projected total 150.7
Position#316
Record-
FormLLLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off
Mercer host Reinhardt in the NCAA. Pythia makes Mercer the favourite at 99% and projects 89-62, about 151 points in all. Overtime chance: 0%.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mercer winWon
98.6%fair 1.01
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Reinhardt winLost
1.4%fair 73.31
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 01 Nov 07:04 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MercerUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
VMI
#364
W
95-81
95
81
+14
H31/01
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#273
L
75-79
75
79
-4
A06/02
NCAA
Samford
#149
L
49-69
49
69
-20
A07/02
NCAA
Furman
#93
W
69-64
69
64
+5
H12/02
NCAA
Citadel
#302
W
70-54
70
54
+16
A14/02
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#273
L
90-94
90
94
-4
H20/02
NCAA
Samford
#149
W
89-86
89
86
+3
H21/02
NCAA
Western Carolina
#221
L
74-78
74
78
-4
A26/02
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#61
W
82-76
82
76
+6
H28/02
NCAA
Western Carolina
#221
L
73-77
73
77
-4
H08/03
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
43-37
0-0
52-44
0-0
37-34
0-0
38-45
0-0
22-40
0-0
27-29
0-0
29-31
0-0
40-33
0-0
18-25
0-0
52-29
0-0
39-44
0-0
51-50
0-0
44-41
0-0
45-45
0-0
32-33
0-0
42-45
0-0
49-35
0-0
33-41
0-0
35-36
0-0
38-41
152.4Avg total
76.6Scored
75.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)76.675.8152.4+0.850%
Last 5 (5)81.682.2163.8-0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)73.176.5149.6-3.450%
vs Weaker (18)85.178.6163.6+6.561%
ReinhardtUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tennessee Tech
#301
L
47-86
47
86
-39
A03/12
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#266
L
63-97
63
97
-34
A15/12
NCAA
Troy
#98
L
46-111
46
111
-65
A15/11
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#271
L
47-84
47
84
-37
A04/01
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#228
L
39-114
39
114
-75
A10/11
NCAA
Samford
#149
L
49-85
49
85
-36
A19/12
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
20-44
0-0
27-42
0-0
20-61
0-0
43-36
0-0
20-58
0-0
26-53
0-0
21-47
0-0
26-37
0-0
19-49
0-0
20-65
0-0
17-41
0-0
32-44
144.7Avg total
48.5Scored
96.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (6)48.596.2144.7-47.70%
Last 5 (5)48.898.2147.0-49.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)45.298.5143.8-53.20%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
Over/Under 142Actual: Over 142
Over 142
71.0%
Under 142
29.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 147Actual: Under 147
Over 147
59.2%
Under 147
40.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 152Actual: Under 152
Over 152
46.6%
Under 152
53.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Mercer total 73Actual: Mercer over 73
Over 73
95.0%
Under 73
5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mercer total 77Actual: Mercer over 77
Over 77
89.3%
Under 77
10.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mercer total 81Actual: Mercer over 81
Over 81
79.6%
Under 81
20.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Reinhardt total 66Actual: Reinhardt under 66
Over 66
32.8%
Under 66
67.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Reinhardt total 70Actual: Reinhardt under 70
Over 70
19.5%
Under 70
80.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Reinhardt total 74Actual: Reinhardt under 74
Over 74
10.3%
Under 74
89.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Mercer -3Actual: Mercer -3
MERC -3
98.0%
REIN +3
2.0%
Best 5 market prices
MERC
No market prices yet.
REIN
No market prices yet.
Spread Mercer 0Actual: Mercer 0
MERC 0
98.6%
REIN 0
1.4%
Best 5 market prices
MERC
No market prices yet.
REIN
No market prices yet.
Spread Mercer +3Actual: Mercer +3
MERC +3
99.2%
REIN -3
0.8%
Best 5 market prices
MERC
No market prices yet.
REIN
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-38-19+0+19+38Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: -30.5-30.5Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -17.2-17.2
-38-19+0+19+38Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: -30.5-30.5Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -17.2-17.2
MercerReinhardt
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MercerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
VMI
#364
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H31/01
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#273
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A06/02
NCAA
Samford
#149
L
22-40
22
40
-18
A07/02
NCAA
Furman
#93
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H12/02
NCAA
Citadel
#302
L
18-25
18
25
-7
A14/02
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#273
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H20/02
NCAA
Samford
#149
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H21/02
NCAA
Western Carolina
#221
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A26/02
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#61
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H28/02
NCAA
Western Carolina
#221
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H08/03
NCAA
70.4Avg total
34.8Scored
35.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.735.275.9+5.457%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.833.978.7+10.967%-
Last 30 away (15)36.536.673.1-0.147%-
Last 10 (10)34.835.670.4-0.840%-
Last 5 (5)39.837.877.6+2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)36.436.272.6+0.250%-
vs Weaker (18)40.936.277.1+4.856%-
ReinhardtLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tennessee Tech
#301
L
20-44
20
44
-24
A03/12
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#266
L
20-61
20
61
-41
A15/12
NCAA
Troy
#98
L
20-58
20
58
-38
A15/11
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#271
L
21-47
21
47
-26
A04/01
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#228
L
19-49
19
49
-30
A10/11
NCAA
Samford
#149
L
17-41
17
41
-24
A19/12
NCAA
69.5Avg total
19.5Scored
50.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (6)19.550.069.5-30.50%-
Last 30 at homeno games
Last 30 away (6)19.550.069.5-30.50%-
Last 10 (6)19.550.069.5-30.50%-
Last 5 (5)19.451.270.6-31.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)19.248.868.0-29.50%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Mercer wins
0
Reinhardt wins
No previous meetings.
Mercerlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/26HWestern Carolina73-77
28/02/26HEast Tennessee St82-76
26/02/26AWestern Carolina74-78
21/02/26HSamford89-86
20/02/26HChattanooga Mocs90-94
14/02/26ACitadel70-54
12/02/26HFurman69-64
07/02/26ASamford49-69
06/02/26AChattanooga Mocs75-79
31/01/26HVMI95-81
Reinhardtlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/12/25ASamford49-85
10/11/25AJacksonville State39-114
04/01/24AMiddle Tenn. St.47-84
15/11/23ATroy46-111
15/12/22AJacksonville State63-97
03/12/19ATennessee Tech47-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mercer
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Reinhardt
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 0 Wins / 6 Losses (last 6)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 High Point110100%72.057.0+15.0
2 Merrimack Warriors110100%63.049.0+14.0
3 Queens Royals110100%103.098.0+5.0
4 Grambling St.110100%89.087.0+2.0
5 Notre Dame110100%74.072.0+2.0
6 Northern Illinois1010%87.089.0-2.0
7 Villanova1010%72.074.0-2.0
8 Winthrop1010%98.0103.0-5.0
9 Appalachian State1010%49.063.0-14.0
10 Liberty1010%57.072.0-15.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mercer03905190
Reinhardt02103253
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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