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Samford vs Mercer Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 69-49
40-22 29-27
Position#149
Record12-12
FormLWLWW
Points / game77.7
Allowed / game75.8
Samford 🏆
USA
vs
Mercer
USA
Position#117
Record15-9
FormWLWWL
Points / game85.4
Allowed / game75.8
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Samford v Mercer
07 Feb 2026
SAMF69
MERC49
05 Feb 2025
SAMF100
MERC79
09 Mar 2024
SAMF70
MERC57
20 Jan 2024
SAMF87
MERC80
28 Dec 2022
SAMF78
MERC69
26 Jan 2022
SAMF75
MERC61
10 Feb 2021
SAMF70
MERC77
18 Jan 2020
SAMF75
MERC90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Samford winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mercer winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SamfordUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NC Greensboro
#252
L
82-89
82
89
-7
A03/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#221
W
82-77
82
77
+5
H08/01
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#273
L
79-88
79
88
-9
A10/01
NCAA
Furman
#93
L
73-77
73
77
-4
H15/01
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#61
L
75-76
75
76
-1
H17/01
NCAA
Wofford
#126
L
78-88
78
88
-10
A21/01
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#273
W
75-64
75
64
+11
H24/01
NCAA
Furman
#93
L
73-78
73
78
-5
A29/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#221
W
88-74
88
74
+14
A01/02
NCAA
Citadel
#302
W
78-64
78
64
+14
H06/02
NCAA
1H
2H
35-43
47-46
34-38
48-39
28-49
51-39
40-40
33-37
31-38
44-38
41-38
37-50
32-32
43-32
33-35
40-43
41-39
47-35
39-32
39-32
155.8Avg total
78.3Scored
77.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)77.775.8153.5+1.950%
Season at home (10)81.169.7150.8+11.470%
Season away (14)75.380.1155.4-4.936%
Last 10 (10)78.377.5155.8+0.840%
Last 5 (5)78.473.6152.0+4.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)63.081.8144.8-18.80%
vs Similar ◀ (14)79.282.4161.6-3.236%
vs Weaker (11)85.670.5156.2+15.182%
This opponent (Mercer) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MercerUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
East Tennessee St
#61
L
71-77
71
77
-6
A03/01
NCAA
Citadel
#302
W
101-63
101
63
+38
H08/01
NCAA
Wofford
#126
W
109-97
109
97
+12
H10/01
NCAA
VMI
#364
W
77-67
77
67
+10
A15/01
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#252
W
102-92
102
92
+10
A17/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#221
W
88-76
88
76
+12
H22/01
NCAA
Wofford
#126
L
77-80
77
80
-3
A24/01
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#252
W
95-77
95
77
+18
H30/01
NCAA
VMI
#364
W
95-81
95
81
+14
H31/01
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#273
L
75-79
75
79
-4
A06/02
NCAA
1H
2H
35-32
36-45
54-31
47-32
58-46
51-51
36-33
41-34
51-37
51-55
41-24
47-52
43-36
34-44
43-29
52-48
43-37
52-44
37-34
38-45
167.9Avg total
89.0Scored
78.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)85.475.8161.2+9.762%
Season at home (11)96.069.6165.6+26.4100%
Season away (13)76.580.9157.4-4.531%
Last 10 (10)89.078.9167.9+10.170%
Last 5 (5)86.078.6164.6+7.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)60.071.0131.0-11.00%
vs Similar ◀ (7)71.978.0149.9-6.129%
vs Weaker (18)85.375.6160.8+9.778%
This opponent (Samford) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-13-6+0+6+131st half1st half: -3.0-3.01st half: +10.2+10.22nd half2nd half: +3.8+3.82nd half: -0.1-0.1
-13-6+0+6+131st half1st half: -3.0-3.01st half: +10.2+10.22nd half2nd half: +3.8+3.82nd half: -0.1-0.1
SamfordMercer
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
SamfordLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NC Greensboro
#252
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A03/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#221
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H08/01
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#273
L
28-49
28
49
-21
A10/01
NCAA
Furman
#93
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H15/01
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#61
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H17/01
NCAA
Wofford
#126
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A21/01
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#273
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H24/01
NCAA
Furman
#93
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A29/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#221
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A01/02
NCAA
Citadel
#302
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H06/02
NCAA
73.8Avg total
35.4Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.938.474.3-2.630%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.435.573.9+2.831%-
Last 30 away (17)33.940.674.6-6.729%-
Last 10 (10)35.438.473.8-3.030%-
Last 5 (5)37.235.272.4+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)27.839.867.5-12.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)35.141.176.3-6.014%-
vs Weaker (11)40.833.974.7+6.964%-
This opponent (Mercer) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MercerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
East Tennessee St
#61
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A03/01
NCAA
Citadel
#302
W
54-31
54
31
+23
H08/01
NCAA
Wofford
#126
W
58-46
58
46
+12
H10/01
NCAA
VMI
#364
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A15/01
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#252
W
51-37
51
37
+14
A17/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#221
W
41-24
41
24
+17
H22/01
NCAA
Wofford
#126
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A24/01
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#252
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H30/01
NCAA
VMI
#364
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H31/01
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#273
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A06/02
NCAA
78.0Avg total
44.1Scored
33.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.633.273.8+7.370%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.730.975.6+13.979%-
Last 30 away (16)36.935.372.2+1.662%-
Last 10 (10)44.133.978.0+10.2100%-
Last 5 (5)41.432.073.4+9.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)31.327.358.7+4.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)34.435.469.9-1.043%-
vs Weaker (18)42.434.677.0+7.872%-
This opponent (Samford) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Samford wins
3
Mercer wins
DateGameScore
06/02/25Samford v Mercer100-79
16/01/25Mercer v Samford74-75
09/03/24Samford v Mercer70-57
17/02/24Mercer v Samford88-84
20/01/24Samford v Mercer87-80
09/02/23Mercer v Samford69-70 OT
29/12/22Samford v Mercer78-69
27/01/22Samford v Mercer75-61
06/01/22Mercer v Samford83-80
06/03/21Mercer v Samford87-59
Samfordlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/02/26HCitadel78-64
01/02/26AWestern Carolina88-74
29/01/26AFurman73-78
24/01/26HChattanooga Mocs75-64
21/01/26AWofford78-88
17/01/26HEast Tennessee St75-76
15/01/26HFurman73-77
10/01/26AChattanooga Mocs79-88
08/01/26HWestern Carolina82-77
03/01/26ANC Greensboro82-89
Mercerlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/02/26AChattanooga Mocs75-79
31/01/26HVMI95-81
30/01/26HNC Greensboro95-77
24/01/26AWofford77-80
22/01/26HWestern Carolina88-76
17/01/26ANC Greensboro102-92
15/01/26AVMI77-67
10/01/26HWofford109-97
08/01/26HCitadel101-63
03/01/26AEast Tennessee St71-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Samford
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW50%
HomeWLLWW70%
AwayLLLLW36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241014
Win %50%70%36%
Points / game77.781.175.3
Allowed / game75.869.780.1
Point differential+1.9+11.4-4.9
Avg total153.5150.8155.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)50% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %8%0%14%
Mercer
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL62%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWWLL31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241113
Win %62%100%31%
Points / game85.496.076.5
Allowed / game75.869.680.9
Point differential+9.7+26.4-4.5
Avg total161.2165.6157.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+54%91%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)-0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 East Tennessee St2518772%78.867.8+11.0
2 Wofford2517868%78.775.3+3.4
3 Furman2416867%77.370.4+6.9
4 Mercer2415962%85.475.8+9.7
5 Samford24121250%77.775.8+1.9
6 Chattanooga Mocs25101540%75.273.6+1.6
7 Citadel25101540%71.774.9-3.2
8 NC Greensboro2491538%77.881.0-3.2
9 Western Carolina2381535%77.680.4-2.9
10 VMI2561924%72.578.6-6.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Samford402969
Mercer222749
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