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Mercer vs Troy Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 22 Dec 2021
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 65-69
33-38 32-31
Position#198
Record7-5
FormWWWWL
Points / game72.3
Allowed / game69.8
vs
Troy 🏆
USA
Position#99
Record8-4
FormWLWWW
Points / game73.8
Allowed / game66.1
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mercer winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Troy winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MercerUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Life University
#460
W
78-50
78
50
+28
H17/11
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#75
L
58-75
58
75
-17
A20/11
NCAA
Bucknell
#328
W
78-68
78
68
+10
H23/11
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#65
L
58-82
58
82
-24
H24/11
NCAA
Milligan
#549
W
88-49
88
49
+39
H27/11
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#253
W
73-71
73
71
+2
A02/12
NCAA
Georgia State
#100
W
83-77
83
77
+6
H04/12
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#160
W
74-69
74
69
+5
A07/12
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#229
W
77-68
77
68
+9
H11/12
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#88
L
55-67
55
67
-12
A19/12
NCAA
1H
2H
43-17
35-33
35-38
23-37
37-32
41-36
27-38
31-44
46-21
42-28
39-34
34-37
36-38
47-39
35-30
39-39
37-30
40-38
26-18
29-49
139.8Avg total
72.2Scored
67.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)72.369.8142.2+2.558%
Season at home (6)77.065.7142.7+11.383%
Season away (6)67.774.0141.7-6.333%
Last 10 (10)72.267.6139.8+4.670%
Last 5 (5)72.470.4142.8+2.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)68.476.4144.9-8.029%
vs Similar ◀ (15)72.168.7140.9+3.460%
vs Weaker (7)79.769.9149.6+9.986%
This opponent (Troy) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TroyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jacksonville State
#73
W
69-65 OT
69
65
+4
H17/11
NCAA
North Dakota
#351
L
72-74
72
74
-2
A19/11
NCAA
UT Martin
#329
W
80-67
80
67
+13
A20/11
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#145
W
83-78 OT
83
78
+5
A23/11
NCAA
Florida
#131
L
45-84
45
84
-39
A28/11
NCAA
Rust College
#495
W
81-48
81
48
+33
H02/12
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#149
L
68-72
68
72
-4
H05/12
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#295
W
75-72
75
72
+3
A11/12
NCAA
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
#268
W
66-57
66
57
+9
H15/12
NCAA
Arkansas Baptist
#408
W
84-64
84
64
+20
H18/12
NCAA
1H
2H
22-20
27-29
33-38
39-36
42-39
38-28
32-35
41-38
20-49
25-35
47-17
34-31
31-33
37-39
37-39
38-33
28-28
38-29
47-19
37-45
140.4Avg total
72.3Scored
68.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)73.866.1139.9+7.867%
Season at home (6)78.758.0136.7+20.783%
Season away (6)69.074.2143.2-5.250%
Last 10 (10)72.368.1140.4+4.270%
Last 5 (5)74.862.6137.4+12.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)66.072.6138.6-6.624%
vs Similar ◀ (4)66.274.8141.0-8.550%
vs Weaker (7)77.163.7140.9+13.471%
This opponent (Mercer) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.5+6.51st half: +2.2+2.22nd half2nd half: -1.9-1.92nd half: +1.1+1.1
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.5+6.51st half: +2.2+2.22nd half2nd half: -1.9-1.92nd half: +1.1+1.1
MercerTroy
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
MercerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Life University
#460
W
43-17
43
17
+26
H17/11
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#75
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A20/11
NCAA
Bucknell
#328
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H23/11
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#65
L
27-38
27
38
-11
H24/11
NCAA
Milligan
#549
W
46-21
46
21
+25
H27/11
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#253
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A02/12
NCAA
Georgia State
#100
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H04/12
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#160
W
35-30
35
30
+5
A07/12
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#229
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H11/12
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#88
W
26-18
26
18
+8
A19/12
NCAA
65.7Avg total
36.1Scored
29.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.631.266.9+4.463%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.629.966.5+6.767%-
Last 30 away (15)34.732.567.2+2.160%-
Last 10 (10)36.129.665.7+6.570%-
Last 5 (5)34.630.064.6+4.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)33.332.365.6+1.043%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)36.132.668.7+3.567%-
vs Weaker (7)36.029.365.3+6.771%-
This opponent (Troy) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TroyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jacksonville State
#73
W
22-20
22
20
+2
H17/11
NCAA
North Dakota
#351
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A19/11
NCAA
UT Martin
#329
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A20/11
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#145
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A23/11
NCAA
Florida
#131
L
20-49
20
49
-29
A28/11
NCAA
Rust College
#495
W
47-17
47
17
+30
H02/12
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#149
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H05/12
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#295
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A11/12
NCAA
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
#268
D
28-28
28
28
+0
H15/12
NCAA
Arkansas Baptist
#408
W
47-19
47
19
+28
H18/12
NCAA
65.6Avg total
33.9Scored
31.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.931.464.3+1.443%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.927.061.9+7.964%-
Last 30 away (16)31.135.366.4-4.225%-
Last 10 (10)33.931.765.6+2.240%-
Last 5 (5)38.027.265.2+10.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)30.432.663.0-2.341%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)26.234.260.5-8.025%-
vs Weaker (7)39.129.368.4+9.943%-
This opponent (Mercer) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Mercer wins
0
Troy wins
No previous meetings.
Mercerlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/12/21AFlorida Gulf Coast55-67
11/12/21HGeorgia Southern77-68
07/12/21ACoastal Carolina74-69
04/12/21HGeorgia State83-77
02/12/21AKennesaw State73-71
27/11/21HMilligan88-49
24/11/21HMiddle Tenn. St.58-82
23/11/21HBucknell78-68
20/11/21ASt. Louis Billikens58-75
17/11/21HLife University78-50
Troylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/21HArkansas Baptist84-64
15/12/21HAlabama A&M Bulldogs66-57
11/12/21ATennessee Tech75-72
05/12/21HSE Louisiana68-72
02/12/21HRust College81-48
28/11/21AFlorida45-84
23/11/21AFlorida Atlantic83-78 OT
20/11/21AUT Martin80-67
19/11/21ANorth Dakota72-74
17/11/21HJacksonville State69-65 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mercer
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL58%
HomeWLWWW83%
AwayLLWWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %58%83%33%
Points / game72.377.067.7
Allowed / game69.865.774.0
Point differential+2.5+11.3-6.3
Avg total142.2142.7141.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)-67% (3)
Overtime %8%0%17%
Troy
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW67%
HomeWWLWW83%
AwayLWWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %67%83%50%
Points / game73.878.769.0
Allowed / game66.158.074.2
Point differential+7.8+20.7-5.2
Avg total139.9136.7143.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %17%17%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Samford1210283%76.772.1+4.6
2 Chattanooga Mocs129375%77.862.7+15.2
3 Wofford128467%78.164.3+13.8
4 NC Greensboro128467%64.464.1+0.3
5 Furman138562%80.174.1+6.0
6 VMI127558%79.465.7+13.8
7 Mercer127558%72.369.8+2.5
8 East Tennessee St127558%69.768.7+1.0
9 Citadel116555%81.971.3+10.6
10 Western Carolina136746%76.877.5-0.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Texas State119282%76.960.9+16.0
2 James Madison119282%76.763.4+13.4
3 South Alabama1310377%75.061.0+14.0
4 Arkansas State129375%74.368.2+6.1
5 Troy128467%73.866.1+7.8
6 Louisiana Monroe128467%80.775.5+5.2
7 Coastal Carolina117464%78.564.5+13.9
8 Georgia Southern117464%72.159.6+12.5
9 Georgia State117464%76.366.6+9.6
10 Marshall137654%78.475.2+3.2
11 Louisiana Lafayette105550%71.269.2+2.0
12 Appalachian State136746%68.061.5+6.5
13 Old Dominion125742%63.064.3-1.3
14 Southern Miss124833%61.370.1-8.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Mercer333265
Troy383169
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