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North Dakota vs Troy Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 19 Nov 2021
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 74-72
38-33 36-39
Position#351
Record1-1
FormLWLLW
Points / game69.5
Allowed / game76.0
vs
Position#99
Record2-1
FormWLWLW
Points / game77.3
Allowed / game59.0
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

North Dakota winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Troy winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

North DakotaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Western Illinois
#297
L
87-99
87
99
-12
H31/01
NCAA
Denver
#351
W
85-82 OT
85
82
+3
A05/02
NCAA
Denver
#351
L
81-85 OT
81
85
-4
A06/02
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#141
W
85-76
85
76
+9
H13/02
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#141
W
85-81
85
81
+4
H14/02
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#335
L
62-72
62
72
-10
A20/02
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#335
W
81-69
81
69
+12
A21/02
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#114
L
65-76
65
76
-11
A07/03
NCAA
Wisc. Milwaukee
#315
L
60-75
60
75
-15
H10/11
NCAA
Montana
#153
W
79-77
79
77
+2
H16/11
NCAA
1H
2H
42-46
45-53
34-29
41-46
45-37
24-32
38-32
47-44
36-24
49-57
33-41
29-31
38-44
43-25
29-39
36-37
28-36
32-39
42-44
37-33
156.2Avg total
77.0Scored
79.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)69.576.0145.5-6.550%
Season at home (2)69.576.0145.5-6.550%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)77.079.2156.2-2.250%
Last 5 (5)69.473.8143.2-4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)65.174.9140.0-9.833%
vs Similar (9)76.177.0153.1-0.944%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Troy) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TroyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Alabama
#115
L
51-58
51
58
-7
H13/02
NCAA
Georgia State
#38
L
66-80
66
80
-14
A19/02
NCAA
Georgia State
#38
L
53-65
53
65
-12
A20/02
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#59
L
59-75
59
75
-16
H27/02
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#59
L
71-76
71
76
-5
H27/02
NCAA
UT Arlington
#197
W
91-86
91
86
+5
A06/03
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#59
L
68-86
68
86
-18
A07/03
NCAA
Carver Bible
#629
W
104-42
104
42
+62
H10/11
NCAA
Butler
#250
L
59-70
59
70
-11
A14/11
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#73
W
69-65 OT
69
65
+4
H17/11
NCAA
1H
2H
19-31
32-27
34-37
32-43
21-33
32-32
33-28
26-47
30-35
41-41
39-31
52-55
26-33
42-53
64-19
40-23
23-23
36-47
22-20
27-29
139.4Avg total
69.1Scored
70.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)77.359.0136.3+18.367%
Season at home (2)86.553.5140.0+33.0100%
Season away (1)59.070.0129.0-11.00%
Last 10 (10)69.170.3139.4-1.230%
Last 5 (5)78.269.8148.0+8.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)62.872.0134.8-9.126%
vs Similar (2)74.068.0142.0+6.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)78.047.8125.8+30.275%
This opponent (North Dakota) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: -0.7-0.71st half: +2.1+2.12nd half2nd half: -1.4-1.42nd half: -3.7-3.7
-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: -0.7-0.71st half: +2.1+2.12nd half2nd half: -1.4-1.42nd half: -3.7-3.7
North DakotaTroy
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
North DakotaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Western Illinois
#297
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H31/01
NCAA
Denver
#351
W
34-29
34
29
+5
A05/02
NCAA
Denver
#351
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A06/02
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#141
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H13/02
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#141
W
36-24
36
24
+12
H14/02
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#335
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A20/02
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#335
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A21/02
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#114
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A07/03
NCAA
Wisc. Milwaukee
#315
L
28-36
28
36
-8
H10/11
NCAA
Montana
#153
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H16/11
NCAA
73.7Avg total
36.5Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.634.965.6-4.333%-
Last 30 at home (13)30.631.862.5-1.246%-
Last 30 away (17)30.637.367.9-6.624%-
Last 10 (10)36.537.273.7-0.740%-
Last 5 (5)34.040.874.8-6.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)29.034.563.5-5.529%-
vs Similar (9)34.435.970.3-1.444%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Troy) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TroyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Alabama
#115
L
19-31
19
31
-12
H13/02
NCAA
Georgia State
#38
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A19/02
NCAA
Georgia State
#38
L
21-33
21
33
-12
A20/02
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#59
W
33-28
33
28
+5
H27/02
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#59
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H27/02
NCAA
UT Arlington
#197
W
39-31
39
31
+8
A06/03
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#59
L
26-33
26
33
-7
A07/03
NCAA
Carver Bible
#629
W
64-19
64
19
+45
H10/11
NCAA
Butler
#250
D
23-23
23
23
+0
A14/11
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#73
W
22-20
22
20
+2
H17/11
NCAA
60.1Avg total
31.1Scored
29.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.831.863.6+0.050%-
Last 30 at home (13)35.427.763.1+7.777%-
Last 30 away (17)29.134.964.1-5.829%-
Last 10 (10)31.129.060.1+2.140%-
Last 5 (5)34.825.260.0+9.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)29.434.163.5-4.739%-
vs Similar (2)34.530.064.5+4.5100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)41.220.261.5+21.075%-
This opponent (North Dakota) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
North Dakota wins
0
Troy wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/11/21HMontana79-77
10/11/21HWisc. Milwaukee60-75
07/03/21AOral Roberts65-76
21/02/21ANebraska O.81-69
20/02/21ANebraska O.62-72
14/02/21HSouth Dakota Coyotes85-81
13/02/21HSouth Dakota Coyotes85-76
06/02/21ADenver81-85 OT
05/02/21ADenver85-82 OT
31/01/21HWestern Illinois87-99
Troylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/11/21HJacksonville State69-65 OT
14/11/21AButler59-70
10/11/21HCarver Bible104-42
07/03/21ACoastal Carolina68-86
06/03/21AUT Arlington91-86
27/02/21HCoastal Carolina71-76
27/02/21HCoastal Carolina59-75
20/02/21AGeorgia State53-65
19/02/21AGeorgia State66-80
13/02/21HSouth Alabama51-58

📊 11. Overall Statistics

North Dakota
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeLW50%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %50%50%-
Points / game69.569.5-
Allowed / game76.076.0-
Point differential-6.5-6.5-
Avg total145.5145.5-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
Troy
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game77.386.559.0
Allowed / game59.053.570.0
Point differential+18.3+33.0-11.0
Avg total136.3140.0129.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %33%50%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Summit League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 South Dakota St.54180%88.475.2+13.2
2 Oral Roberts32167%96.768.3+28.3
3 UMKC42250%73.065.5+7.5
4 North Dakota St42250%63.865.5-1.8
5 North Dakota21150%69.576.0-6.5
6 South Dakota Coyotes21150%54.576.0-21.5
7 Denver52340%66.666.2+0.4
8 St. Thomas (Minn.)31233%80.378.0+2.3
9 Nebraska O.31233%66.769.7-3.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 James Madison330100%90.757.0+33.7
2 Georgia Southern330100%79.354.3+25.0
3 Louisiana Lafayette330100%77.054.7+22.3
4 Georgia State32167%86.065.0+21.0
5 Troy32167%77.359.0+18.3
6 Marshall32167%80.371.0+9.3
7 Arkansas State32167%74.770.0+4.7
8 Appalachian State42250%71.562.0+9.5
9 Coastal Carolina21150%77.069.0+8.0
10 Old Dominion42250%62.063.2-1.2
11 Texas State42250%69.871.2-1.5
12 South Alabama31233%76.059.3+16.7
13 Louisiana Monroe31233%72.784.3-11.7
14 Southern Miss31233%59.072.0-13.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
North Dakota383674
Troy333972
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