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Mersch W vs Esch W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 27 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 50-99
13-31 12-23 14-25 11-20
Position#9
Record3-4
FormWLLLW
Points / game66.0
Allowed / game71.0
Mersch W
Luxembourg
vs
Esch W 🏆
Luxembourg
Position#6
Record9-13
FormWWWLW
Points / game73.3
Allowed / game73.2
LuxembourgTotal League WomenRound 9· Hall Omnisports
Women2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mersch W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Esch W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mersch WLuxembourgLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Soleuvre W
#9
L
39-74
39
74
-35
no box
A03/05
Total League Women
Hesperange W
#13
W
71-50
71
50
+21
no box
H06/05
Total League Women
Ettelbruck W
#12
W
68-49
68
49
+19
no box
A21/05
Total League Women
Schieren W
#10
W
76-59
76
59
+17
no box
A24/02
Total League Women
Musel Pikes W
#8
L
64-93
64
93
-29
49avg 49
A02/03
Total League Women
Soleuvre W
#11
W
72-67
72
67
+5
no box
H08/03
Total League Women
Esch W
#6
L
62-96
62
96
-34
no box
A24/03
Total League Women
Schieren W
#10
L
46-60
46
60
-14
no box
H06/04
Total League Women
Musel Pikes W
#8
L
62-72
62
72
-10
no box
H13/04
Total League Women
Soleuvre W
#11
W
80-50
80
50
+30
no box
A21/04
Total League Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-29
6-13
17-20
7-12
27-14
16-11
16-12
12-13
19-12
19-13
11-13
19-11
14-16
23-6
28-20
11-17
19-19
15-30
17-16
13-28
–
–
–
–
20-27
14-25
13-23
15-21
8-12
17-18
13-17
8-13
11-31
17-18
17-14
17-9
19-16
19-16
23-14
19-4
131.0Avg total
64.0Scored
67.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)66.071.0137.0-5.043%
Season at home (3)60.066.3126.3-6.333%
Season away (4)70.574.5145.0-4.050%
Last 10 (10)64.067.0131.0-3.050%
Last 5 (5)64.469.0133.4-4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)62.787.0149.7-24.30%
vs Similar (4)54.086.0140.0-32.00%
vs Weaker (8)70.253.4123.6+16.988%
This opponent (Esch W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Esch WLuxembourgLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Musel Pikes W
#8
W
63-61
63
61
+2
44avg 60
A13/01
Total League Women
Dudelange W
#2
L
76-91
76
91
-15
71avg 60
H28/01
Total League Women
Soleuvre W
#11
W
98-43
98
43
+55
90avg 60
A06/02
Total League Women
Contern W
#4
L
55-77
55
77
-22
43avg 60
H18/02
Total League Women
Musel Pikes W
#8
W
73-66
73
66
+7
73avg 60
H25/02
Total League Women
Soleuvre W
#11
W
99-68
99
68
+31
87avg 60
A03/03
Total League Women
Mersch W
#9
W
96-62
96
62
+34
no box
H24/03
Total League Women
Schieren W
#10
W
92-65
92
65
+27
no box
A30/03
Total League Women
Musel Pikes W
#8
L
64-74
64
74
-10
54avg 60
A06/04
Total League Women
Soleuvre W
#11
W
118-48
118
48
+70
118avg 60
H17/04
Total League Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-18
18-16
14-7
14-20
20-27
17-21
19-25
20-18
31-11
20-14
25-10
22-8
19-23
9-29
11-13
16-12
20-14
15-18
26-13
12-21
25-17
29-16
18-18
27-17
27-20
25-14
23-13
21-15
26-17
23-15
26-11
17-22
20-21
16-23
14-17
14-13
39-18
20-7
29-13
30-10
148.9Avg total
83.4Scored
65.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)73.373.2146.5+0.141%
Season at home (11)74.473.3147.6+1.145%
Season away (11)72.273.1145.3-0.936%
Last 10 (10)83.465.5148.9+17.970%
Last 5 (5)93.863.4157.2+30.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)62.885.3148.2-22.58%
vs Similar (6)65.775.5141.2-9.833%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)85.865.8151.5+20.075%
This opponent (Mersch W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: +5.8+5.8Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: +6.5+6.5Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +3.7+3.7
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: +5.8+5.8Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: +6.5+6.5Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +3.7+3.7
Mersch WEsch W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mersch WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Soleuvre W
#9
L
15-42
15
42
-27
A03/05
Total League Women
Hesperange W
#13
W
43-25
43
25
+18
H06/05
Total League Women
Ettelbruck W
#12
W
38-25
38
25
+13
A21/05
Total League Women
Schieren W
#10
W
37-22
37
22
+15
A24/02
Total League Women
Musel Pikes W
#8
L
34-49
34
49
-15
A02/03
Total League Women
Esch W
#6
L
34-52
34
52
-18
A24/03
Total League Women
Schieren W
#10
L
25-30
25
30
-5
H06/04
Total League Women
Musel Pikes W
#8
L
28-49
28
49
-21
H13/04
Total League Women
Soleuvre W
#11
W
38-32
38
32
+6
A21/04
Total League Women
68.7Avg total
32.4Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (14)32.436.568.9-4.143%-
Last 30 at home (6)34.736.871.5-2.233%-
Last 30 away (8)30.836.267.0-5.550%-
Last 10 (9)32.436.268.7-3.844%-
Last 5 (5)31.842.474.2-10.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)32.050.082.0-18.00%-
vs Similar (4)25.844.870.5-19.00%-
vs Weaker (7)36.426.062.4+10.486%-
This opponent (Esch W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Esch WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Musel Pikes W
#8
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A13/01
Total League Women
Dudelange W
#2
L
37-48
37
48
-11
H28/01
Total League Women
Soleuvre W
#11
W
51-25
51
25
+26
A06/02
Total League Women
Contern W
#4
L
28-52
28
52
-24
H18/02
Total League Women
Musel Pikes W
#8
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H25/02
Total League Women
Soleuvre W
#11
W
54-33
54
33
+21
A03/03
Total League Women
Mersch W
#9
W
52-34
52
34
+18
H24/03
Total League Women
Schieren W
#10
W
49-32
49
32
+17
A30/03
Total League Women
Musel Pikes W
#8
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A06/04
Total League Women
Soleuvre W
#11
W
59-25
59
25
+34
H17/04
Total League Women
79.5Avg total
43.6Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.139.875.8-3.733%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.840.977.7-4.131%-
Last 30 away (14)35.238.573.7-3.336%-
Last 10 (10)43.635.979.5+7.770%-
Last 5 (5)50.033.683.6+16.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)29.544.373.8-14.80%-
vs Similar (6)33.242.876.0-9.733%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)44.133.777.8+10.467%-
This opponent (Mersch W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mersch Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mersch W: 61.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀20%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers12.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.4 points a game
57%
29%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.518.5
38.9%
47.4%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.04.0
23.5%
29.8%12.0
🏀 Free throws19.512.0
61.5%
71.5%12.0
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 17.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 26% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Esch Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Esch W: 79.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀63%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.4 pts a game · 63% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.6 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.6 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.4 points a game
57%
29%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.525.2
52.0%
47.4%50.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.26.2
26.7%
29.8%18.6
🏀 Free throws14.110.6
75.2%
71.5%10.6
They take 71.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 2/10 games with a box score before 27 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mersch W
WLLLWLWWWL
Esch W
WLWWWWLWLW
#9
League position
#6
-40.1
Net rating
+15.5
73.1
Offensive rating
99.5
113.2
Defensive rating
84.0
38.0%
Effective FG%
48.1%
50.3%
Opp. effective FG%
42.5%
26.2%
Turnover %
16.7%
28.4%
Off. rebound %
26.0%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.20
23.5%
3-point %
26.7%
66.7%
Assist %
54.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence73.1 · 99.5Defence113.2 · 84.0Shooting38.0% · 48.1%3-point %23.5% · 26.7%Ball care26.2% · 16.7%Off. rebounds28.4% · 26.0%Free throws0.30 · 0.20Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Mersch W   ■ Esch W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Mersch W wins
1
Esch W wins
DateGameScore
24/03/24Esch W v Mersch W96-62
Mersch Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/04/24ASoleuvre W80-50
13/04/24HMusel Pikes W62-72
06/04/24HSchieren W46-60
24/03/24AEsch W62-96
08/03/24HSoleuvre W72-67
02/03/24AMusel Pikes W64-93
24/02/24ASchieren W76-59
21/05/23AEttelbruck W68-49
06/05/23HHesperange W71-50
03/05/23ASoleuvre W39-74
Esch Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/04/24HSoleuvre W118-48
06/04/24AMusel Pikes W64-74
30/03/24ASchieren W92-65
24/03/24HMersch W96-62
03/03/24ASoleuvre W99-68
25/02/24HMusel Pikes W73-66
18/02/24HContern W55-77
06/02/24ASoleuvre W98-43
28/01/24HDudelange W76-91
13/01/24AMusel Pikes W63-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mersch W
Total League Women 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW43%
HomeWLL33%
AwayWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %43%33%50%
Points / game66.060.070.5
Allowed / game71.066.374.5
Point differential-5.0-6.3-4.0
Avg total137.0126.3145.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Esch W
Total League Women 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW41%
HomeLLWWW45%
AwayWWWWL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %41%45%36%
Points / game73.374.472.2
Allowed / game73.273.373.1
Point differential+0.1+1.1-0.9
Avg total146.5147.6145.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%27%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Grengewald Hueschtert W2625196%87.565.3+22.2
2 Dudelange W2719870%81.664.1+17.5
3 Bertrange W2415962%78.268.9+9.3
4 Contern W21111052%68.665.7+2.9
5 Amicale Steesel W23111248%79.778.3+1.3
6 Mersch W73443%66.071.0-5.0
7 Esch W2291341%73.373.2+0.1
8 Les Sangliers Wooltz W2181338%70.079.3-9.3
9 Musel Pikes W2381535%67.572.9-5.3
10 Schieren W72529%65.176.7-11.6
11 Soleuvre W231224%58.799.1-40.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mersch W1312141150
Esch W3123252099
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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