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Mersin SK vs Darussafaka Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 18 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 95-82
24-21 26-19 24-22 21-20
Position#1
Record5-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game89.0
Allowed / game75.4
Mersin SK 🏆
Turkey
vs
Darussafaka
Turkey
Position#12
Record2-4
FormWWLLL
Points / game70.3
Allowed / game79.8
TurkeyTBLRound 7· Servet Tazegül Spor Salonu
Other2026-27
Meetings · Mersin SK v Darussafaka
18 Oct 2026
MES95
DAR82
18 May 2025
MES105
DAR89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mersin SK winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Darussafaka winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mersin SKTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSK
Date
Competition
Esenler Erokspor
#8
L
78-88
78
88
-10
78avg 82
A11/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bursaspor
#12
L
84-86
84
86
-2
81avg 82
H18/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Merkezefendi
#10
L
93-101
93
101
-8
91avg 82
A27/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#4
L
86-88
86
88
-2
84avg 82
H02/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Trabzonspor
#6
L
80-90
80
90
-10
79avg 82
A10/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
MKE Ankaragucu
#13
W
100-70
100
70
+30
111avg 82
A19/09
TBL
Konya BBSK
#16
W
87-82
87
82
+5
88avg 82
H26/09
TBL
iLab Basketbol
#8
W
81-78
81
78
+3
84avg 82
A04/10
TBL
Gaziantep
#5
W
92-70
92
70
+22
87avg 82
H08/10
TBL
Fenerbahce 2
#10
W
85-77
85
77
+8
89avg 82
A11/10
TBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-20
21-26
23-25
22-17
29-18
18-20
19-21
18-27
18-26
26-25
17-31
32-19
25-29
25-23
18-19
18-17
20-25
13-24
22-17
25-24
38-18
17-23
29-17
16-12
15-26
24-11
24-26
24-19
21-23
23-14
19-23
18-18
27-13
19-15
28-16
18-26
20-19
16-21
20-16
29-21
169.6Avg total
86.6Scored
83.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)89.075.4164.4+13.6100%
Season at home (2)89.576.0165.5+13.5100%
Season away (3)88.775.0163.7+13.7100%
Last 10 (10)86.683.0169.6+3.650%
Last 5 (5)89.075.4164.4+13.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)80.290.5170.7-10.215%
vs Similar (10)89.988.1178.0+1.860%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)87.079.9166.9+7.171%
This opponent (Darussafaka) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DarussafakaTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDarussafaka
Date
Competition
Gaziantep
#3
L
68-101
68
101
-33
53avg 66
H08/04
TBL
Kocaeli BŞB Kağıtspor
#17
L
65-83
65
83
-18
50avg 66
A13/04
TBL
Ankara Kolejliler
#9
W
110-105
110
105
+5
112avg 66
H18/04
TBL
CO Basket
#10
L
80-84
80
84
-4
65avg 66
A22/04
TBL
Ankara Kolejliler
#15
L
69-88
69
88
-19
39avg 66
A12/09
TBL
Balikesir
#14
W
67-65
67
65
+2
60avg 66
H20/09
TBL
Kecioren Baglum
#17
W
91-83
91
83
+8
81avg 66
A26/09
TBL
Final Spor
#6
L
75-83
75
83
-8
66avg 66
H04/10
TBL
CO Basket
#11
L
73-81
73
81
-8
65avg 66
A07/10
TBL
Harem Spor
#2
L
47-79
47
79
-32
27avg 66
H11/10
TBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-17
10-23
13-31
20-30
19-25
16-25
21-22
9-11
26-20
25-29
28-21
31-35
16-19
19-21
18-20
27-24
11-29
17-31
17-12
24-16
22-11
17-20
10-15
18-19
30-20
18-27
17-14
26-22
14-13
21-26
23-19
17-25
14-16
22-25
17-24
20-16
11-27
9-13
9-21
18-18
159.7Avg total
74.5Scored
85.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)70.379.8150.2-9.533%
Season at home (3)63.075.7138.7-12.733%
Season away (3)77.784.0161.7-6.333%
Last 10 (10)74.585.2159.7-10.730%
Last 5 (5)70.678.2148.8-7.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)65.281.2146.5-16.08%
vs Similar (17)81.184.5165.5-3.441%
vs Weaker (1)20.00.020.0+20.0100%
This opponent (Mersin SK) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: -6.6-6.6Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: -0.6-0.6
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: -6.6-6.6Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: -0.6-0.6
Mersin SKDarussafaka
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mersin SKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Esenler Erokspor
#8
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A11/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bursaspor
#12
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H18/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Merkezefendi
#10
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A27/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#4
L
50-52
50
52
-2
H02/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Trabzonspor
#6
L
33-49
33
49
-16
A10/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
MKE Ankaragucu
#13
W
55-41
55
41
+14
A19/09
TBL
Konya BBSK
#16
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H26/09
TBL
iLab Basketbol
#8
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A04/10
TBL
Gaziantep
#5
W
46-28
46
28
+18
H08/10
TBL
Fenerbahce 2
#10
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A11/10
TBL
84.6Avg total
42.7Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.244.087.2-0.847%-
Last 30 at home (14)47.441.689.0+5.764%-
Last 30 away (16)39.646.185.7-6.431%-
Last 10 (10)42.741.984.6+0.850%-
Last 5 (5)44.036.680.6+7.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)38.747.185.8-8.423%-
vs Similar (10)48.042.590.5+5.570%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)44.940.485.3+4.457%-
This opponent (Darussafaka) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DarussafakaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gaziantep
#3
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H08/04
TBL
Kocaeli BŞB Kağıtspor
#17
L
35-50
35
50
-15
A13/04
TBL
Ankara Kolejliler
#9
W
51-49
51
49
+2
H18/04
TBL
CO Basket
#10
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A22/04
TBL
Ankara Kolejliler
#15
L
28-60
28
60
-32
A12/09
TBL
Balikesir
#14
W
39-31
39
31
+8
H20/09
TBL
Kecioren Baglum
#17
W
48-47
48
47
+1
A26/09
TBL
Final Spor
#6
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H04/10
TBL
CO Basket
#11
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A07/10
TBL
Harem Spor
#2
L
20-40
20
40
-20
H11/10
TBL
79.9Avg total
36.2Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)36.641.778.3-5.131%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.838.174.9-1.436%-
Last 30 away (15)36.545.181.5-8.627%-
Last 10 (10)36.243.779.9-7.530%-
Last 5 (5)35.639.675.2-4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)33.239.772.9-6.417%-
vs Similar (17)39.043.282.2-4.241%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Mersin SK) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mersin SKtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mersin SK: 86.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.1 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.820.2
59.8%
53.0%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.210.5
38.6%
33.0%31.5
🏀 Free throws19.514.1
72.3%
71.2%14.1
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Darussafakatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Darussafaka: 72.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.1 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.316.9
46.6%
53.0%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.48.0
30.3%
33.0%24.0
🏀 Free throws22.814.6
64.0%
71.2%14.6
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mersin SK
WWWWWLLLLL
Darussafaka
LLLWWLLWLL
#1
League position
#12
+4.2
Net rating
-14.4
102.5
Offensive rating
84.8
98.3
Defensive rating
99.3
58.9%
Effective FG%
46.1%
53.5%
Opp. effective FG%
56.5%
16.8%
Turnover %
14.5%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.36
38.6%
3-point %
30.3%
80.5%
Assist %
68.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence102.5 · 84.8Defence98.3 · 99.3Shooting58.9% · 46.1%3-point %38.6% · 30.3%Ball care16.8% · 14.5%Free throws0.32 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Mersin SK   ■ Darussafaka
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Mersin SK wins
1
Darussafaka wins
DateGameScore
18/05/25Mersin SK v Darussafaka105-89
18/01/25Darussafaka v Mersin SK89-81
Mersin SKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/10/26AFenerbahce 285-77
08/10/26HGaziantep92-70
04/10/26AiLab Basketbol81-78
26/09/26HKonya BBSK87-82
19/09/26AMKE Ankaragucu100-70
10/05/26ATrabzonspor80-90
02/05/26HAnadolu Efes86-88
27/04/26AMerkezefendi93-101
18/04/26HBursaspor84-86
11/04/26AEsenler Erokspor78-88
Darussafakalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/10/26HHarem Spor47-79
07/10/26ACO Basket73-81
04/10/26HFinal Spor75-83
26/09/26AKecioren Baglum91-83
20/09/26HBalikesir67-65
12/09/26AAnkara Kolejliler69-88
22/04/26ACO Basket80-84
18/04/26HAnkara Kolejliler110-105
13/04/26AKocaeli BŞB Kağıtspor65-83
08/04/26HGaziantep68-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mersin SK
TBL 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game89.089.588.7
Allowed / game75.476.075.0
Point differential+13.6+13.5+13.7
Avg total164.4165.5163.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Darussafaka
TBL 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL33%
HomeWLL33%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %33%33%33%
Points / game70.363.077.7
Allowed / game79.875.784.0
Point differential-9.5-12.7-6.3
Avg total150.2138.7161.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Mersin SK550100%89.075.4+13.6
2 Kahramanmaras76186%85.473.6+11.9
3 Goztepe65183%85.074.7+10.3
4 Harem Spor75271%82.166.6+15.6
5 Buyukcekmece64267%81.377.2+4.2
6 Gaziantep74357%79.778.7+1.0
7 iLab Basketbol63350%84.282.3+1.8
8 Final Spor63350%80.381.7-1.3
9 MKE Ankaragucu63350%80.293.3-13.2
10 Ankara Kolejliler73443%78.779.7-1.0
11 Fenerbahce 273443%73.379.0-5.7
12 OGM Ormanspor62433%84.284.0+0.2
13 Balikesir62433%75.878.5-2.7
14 Darussafaka62433%70.379.8-9.5
15 CO Basket72529%72.183.4-11.3
16 Konya BBSK61517%76.083.5-7.5
17 Kecioren Baglum71614%83.988.9-5.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mersin SK2426242195
Darussafaka2119222082
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