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Mersin W vs Gallardo W Prediction & Stats

Date: Mon 14 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Scheduled
Position#5
Record3-2
FormWWLLW
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game79.2
Mersin W
Turkey
vs
Form · last 5 games
3.3/10
Below normal
5.1/10
Around normal
Gallardo W
Turkey
Position#3
Record3-1
FormLWWLW
Points / game65.0
Allowed / game62.8
TurkeyTKBL WomenRound 9· Edip Buran Spor Salonu
Women2026-27
Meetings · Mersin W v Gallardo W
14 Dec 2026
MERS v GALL
upcoming
14 Mar 2025
MERS73
GALL61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mersin W win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Gallardo W win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mersin WTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Istanbul GSK W
#4
L
55-76
55
76
-21
38avg 48
A21/03
TKBL Women
Darica W
#7
L
62-67
62
67
-5
50avg 48
H29/03
TKBL Women
Emlak Konut Gelisim 2 W
#11
L
46-74
46
74
-28
35avg 48
A05/04
TKBL Women
Urla Bld W
#14
W
20-0
20
0
+20
no box
H11/04
TKBL Women
Bodrum W
#12
W
75-68
75
68
+7
58avg 48
A18/04
TKBL Women
Bodrum W
#6
W
79-69
79
69
+10
37avg 48
A10/10
TKBL Women
Fenerbahce 2 W
#10
W
76-72
76
72
+4
62avg 48
H19/10
TKBL Women
Kirklareli W
#1
L
62-91
62
91
-29
38avg 48
H24/10
TKBL Women
TED Ankara W
#2
L
81-93
81
93
-12
no box
A02/11
TKBL Women
Darica W
#11
W
97-71
97
71
+26
no box
H08/11
TKBL Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-27
14-15
11-23
18-11
19-17
16-14
16-20
11-16
19-25
5-17
14-18
8-14
–
–
–
–
22-18
21-18
14-16
18-16
27-18
16-10
17-22
19-19
13-17
17-12
25-13
21-30
17-21
13-27
15-15
17-28
16-29
18-25
15-18
32-21
23-14
28-12
22-22
24-23
133.4Avg total
65.3Scored
68.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)79.079.2158.2-0.260%
Season at home (3)78.378.0156.3+0.367%
Season away (2)80.081.0161.0-1.050%
Last 10 (10)65.368.1133.4-2.850%
Last 5 (5)79.079.2158.2-0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)68.574.2142.8-5.738%
vs Similar ◀ (10)67.271.7138.9-4.540%
vs Weaker (7)47.433.180.6+14.386%
This opponent (Gallardo W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Gallardo WTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Edirne W
#12
W
77-76
77
76
+1
no box
H07/03
TKBL Women
Mersin W
#8
L
61-73
61
73
-12
no box
A14/03
TKBL Women
Kirklareli W
#7
W
87-76
87
76
+11
no box
H22/03
TKBL Women
Yalova W
#11
W
86-83
86
83
+3
no box
A29/03
TKBL Women
Emlak Konut Gelisim 2 W
#9
W
84-67
84
67
+17
no box
H04/04
TKBL Women
Fenerbahce 2 W
#6
L
63-76
63
76
-13
no box
H12/04
TKBL Women
Istanbul Utku W
#4
W
59-51
59
51
+8
52avg 58
H12/10
TKBL Women
Burhaniye W
#8
W
78-76
78
76
+2
72avg 58
H23/10
TKBL Women
Kirklareli W
#1
L
61-69
61
69
-8
49avg 58
A01/11
TKBL Women
Konya Basket W
#7
W
62-55
62
55
+7
no box
A07/11
TKBL Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-22
17-22
24-8
18-24
14-22
8-16
25-14
14-21
21-19
25-23
23-21
18-13
24-26
15-22
21-15
26-20
26-18
19-16
20-22
19-11
20-12
13-20
12-28
18-16
15-18
16-9
11-12
17-12
22-22
18-20
22-19
16-15
14-15
24-22
10-11
13-21
18-12
18-14
11-22
15-7
142.0Avg total
71.8Scored
70.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)65.062.8127.8+2.275%
Season at home (2)68.563.5132.0+5.0100%
Season away (2)61.562.0123.5-0.550%
Last 10 (10)71.870.2142.0+1.670%
Last 5 (5)64.665.4130.0-0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)65.577.5142.9-12.020%
vs Similar ◀ (9)75.073.8148.8+1.267%
vs Weaker (1)79.044.0123.0+35.0100%
This opponent (Mersin W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +1.4+1.4
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +1.4+1.4
Mersin WGallardo W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mersin WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Istanbul GSK W
#4
L
26-42
26
42
-16
A21/03
TKBL Women
Darica W
#7
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H29/03
TKBL Women
Emlak Konut Gelisim 2 W
#11
L
24-42
24
42
-18
A05/04
TKBL Women
Bodrum W
#12
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A18/04
TKBL Women
Bodrum W
#6
W
43-28
43
28
+15
A10/10
TKBL Women
Fenerbahce 2 W
#10
W
30-29
30
29
+1
H19/10
TKBL Women
Kirklareli W
#1
L
30-48
30
48
-18
H24/10
TKBL Women
TED Ankara W
#2
L
34-54
34
54
-20
A02/11
TKBL Women
Darica W
#11
W
51-26
51
26
+25
H08/11
TKBL Women
72.4Avg total
35.1Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (26)35.536.371.8-0.854%-
Last 30 at home (13)36.833.870.6+2.969%-
Last 30 away (13)34.238.873.1-4.638%-
Last 10 (9)35.137.372.4-2.256%-
Last 5 (5)37.637.074.6+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)34.737.472.1-2.746%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)35.835.170.9+0.760%-
vs Weaker (3)38.036.074.0+2.067%-
This opponent (Gallardo W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Gallardo WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Edirne W
#12
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H07/03
TKBL Women
Mersin W
#8
L
22-38
22
38
-16
A14/03
TKBL Women
Kirklareli W
#7
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H22/03
TKBL Women
Yalova W
#11
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A29/03
TKBL Women
Emlak Konut Gelisim 2 W
#9
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H04/04
TKBL Women
Fenerbahce 2 W
#6
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H12/04
TKBL Women
Istanbul Utku W
#4
W
31-27
31
27
+4
H12/10
TKBL Women
Burhaniye W
#8
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H23/10
TKBL Women
Kirklareli W
#1
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A01/11
TKBL Women
Konya Basket W
#7
W
36-26
36
26
+10
A07/11
TKBL Women
73.5Avg total
36.5Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.639.173.7-4.537%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.938.676.5-0.747%-
Last 30 away (15)31.339.771.0-8.327%-
Last 10 (10)36.537.073.5-0.560%-
Last 5 (5)35.632.868.4+2.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)32.940.473.2-7.530%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)37.038.975.9-1.944%-
vs Weaker (1)47.017.064.0+30.0100%-
This opponent (Mersin W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mersin Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mersin W: 57.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers25.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 68.0 points a game
52%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.212.9
42.7%
45.1%25.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.57.5
26.3%
28.2%22.5
🏀 Free throws14.18.7
61.7%
67.0%8.7
They take 58.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Gallardo Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gallardo W: 66.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀62%
🏀🏀🏀20%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.7 pts a game · 62% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers13.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 68.0 points a game
52%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.020.3
50.8%
45.1%40.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.04.3
18.8%
28.2%13.0
🏀 Free throws19.712.3
62.7%
67.0%12.3
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/3 games with a box score before 14 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mersin W
WLLWWWWLLL
Gallardo W
WLWWLWWWLW
#5
League position
#3
-23.7
Net rating
+0.8
63.4
Offensive rating
75.0
87.1
Defensive rating
74.2
41.1%
Effective FG%
42.6%
48.4%
Opp. effective FG%
47.0%
18.5%
Turnover %
22.1%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.31
26.3%
3-point %
18.8%
60.8%
Assist %
52.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence63.4 · 75.0Defence87.1 · 74.2Shooting41.1% · 42.6%3-point %26.3% · 18.8%Ball care18.5% · 22.1%Free throws0.24 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Mersin W   ■ Gallardo W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Mersin W wins
0
Gallardo W wins
DateGameScore
14/03/25Mersin W v Gallardo W73-61
22/11/24Gallardo W v Mersin W61-86
Mersin Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/26HDarica W97-71
02/11/26ATED Ankara W81-93
24/10/26HKirklareli W62-91
19/10/26HFenerbahce 2 W76-72
10/10/26ABodrum W79-69
18/04/26ABodrum W75-68
11/04/26HUrla Bld W20-0
05/04/26AEmlak Konut Gelisim 2 W46-74
29/03/26HDarica W62-67
21/03/26AIstanbul GSK W55-76
Gallardo Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26AKonya Basket W62-55
01/11/26AKirklareli W61-69
23/10/26HBurhaniye W78-76
12/10/26HIstanbul Utku W59-51
12/04/25HFenerbahce 2 W63-76
04/04/25HEmlak Konut Gelisim 2 W84-67
29/03/25AYalova W86-83
22/03/25HKirklareli W87-76
14/03/25AMersin W61-73
07/03/25HEdirne W77-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mersin W
TKBL Women 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW60%
HomeWLW67%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %60%67%50%
Points / game79.078.380.0
Allowed / game79.278.081.0
Point differential-0.2+0.3-1.0
Avg total158.2156.3161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%33%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Gallardo W
TKBL Women 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLW75%
HomeWW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game65.068.561.5
Allowed / game62.863.562.0
Point differential+2.2+5.0-0.5
Avg total127.8132.0123.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kirklareli W550100%82.068.4+13.6
2 TED Ankara W54180%86.678.0+8.6
3 Gallardo W43175%65.062.8+2.2
4 Istanbul Utku W53260%62.462.6-0.2
5 Mersin W53260%79.079.2-0.2
6 Bodrum W42250%75.070.8+4.2
7 Konya Basket W42250%55.853.2+2.5
8 Burhaniye W41325%72.870.5+2.2
9 Emlak Konut Gelisim 2 W41325%61.563.8-2.2
10 Fenerbahce 2 W51420%73.271.0+2.2
11 Darica W5050%44.075.2-31.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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