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Mexico City Capitanes vs Sioux Falls Skyforce Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 28 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 117-110
26-25 33-23 27-30 31-32
Position#18
Record15-11
FormWWWLL
Points / game105.3
Allowed / game103.9
vs
Position#8
Record18-10
FormWLWLW
Points / game113.5
Allowed / game107.3
USANBA - G League
Other2024-25
Meetings · Mexico City Capitanes v Sioux Falls Skyforce
21 Mar 2027
MEXI v SIOU
upcoming
29 Jan 2025
MEXI102
SIOU105
27 Jan 2025
MEXI117
SIOU110
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mexico City Capitanes winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sioux Falls Skyforce winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mexico City CapitanesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iowa Wolves
#27
W
105-94
105
94
+11
H28/12
NBA - G League
Iowa Wolves
#27
L
122-126 OT
122
126
-4
H29/12
NBA - G League
South Bay Lakers
#23
W
114-96
114
96
+18
H04/01
NBA - G League
South Bay Lakers
#23
L
98-106
98
106
-8
H05/01
NBA - G League
Delaware Blue Coats
#20
W
105-93
105
93
+12
H10/01
NBA - G League
Delaware Blue Coats
#20
W
123-97
123
97
+26
H11/01
NBA - G League
Santa Cruz Warriors
#14
W
121-113
121
113
+8
A18/01
NBA - G League
Oklahoma City Blue
#6
W
92-90
92
90
+2
H20/01
NBA - G League
Oklahoma City Blue
#6
L
107-112
107
112
-5
H22/01
NBA - G League
Rio Grande Valley Vipers
#11
L
109-113
109
113
-4
A26/01
NBA - G League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-19
29-28
23-19
30-28
35-25
31-28
20-25
31-39
26-24
33-21
37-19
18-32
23-30
24-30
24-28
27-18
18-22
25-24
32-28
30-19
26-26
44-25
32-19
21-27
28-25
31-27
27-26
35-35
19-28
27-17
27-29
19-16
33-28
25-26
27-31
22-27
36-25
19-33
24-28
30-27
213.6Avg total
109.6Scored
104.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)105.3103.9209.3+1.458%
Season at home (15)106.1104.3210.4+1.960%
Season away (11)104.3103.5207.7+0.855%
Last 10 (10)109.6104.0213.6+5.660%
Last 5 (5)110.4105.0215.4+5.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)104.2109.1213.4-4.938%
vs Similar (20)108.7103.0211.7+5.770%
vs Weaker (2)96.0102.5198.5-6.550%
This opponent (Sioux Falls Skyforce) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sioux Falls SkyforceUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valley Suns
#7
W
114-101
114
101
+13
A01/01
NBA - G League
Santa Cruz Warriors
#14
L
96-110
96
110
-14
H04/01
NBA - G League
San Diego Clippers
#21
L
100-113
100
113
-13
H05/01
NBA - G League
Long Island Nets
#25
W
98-96
98
96
+2
A07/01
NBA - G League
Westchester
#1
L
97-118
97
118
-21
A09/01
NBA - G League
Westchester
#1
W
152-102
152
102
+50
A11/01
NBA - G League
Osceola Magic
#12
L
105-123
105
123
-18
H18/01
NBA - G League
Osceola Magic
#12
W
113-102
113
102
+11
H19/01
NBA - G League
Memphis Hustle
#24
L
114-124
114
124
-10
H25/01
NBA - G League
Memphis Hustle
#24
W
124-111
124
111
+13
H26/01
NBA - G League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-26
24-27
31-15
24-33
30-32
30-27
17-24
19-27
34-29
24-23
18-27
24-34
26-20
25-29
18-23
29-24
25-30
16-38
28-21
28-29
37-24
43-24
35-25
37-29
28-33
22-26
32-25
23-39
25-20
42-37
21-27
25-18
28-32
32-31
27-35
27-26
41-25
30-32
33-28
20-26
221.3Avg total
111.3Scored
110.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)113.5107.3220.9+6.264%
Season at home (15)109.6107.5217.1+2.153%
Season away (13)118.1107.1225.2+11.077%
Last 10 (10)111.3110.0221.3+1.350%
Last 5 (5)121.6112.4234.0+9.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)93.0111.0204.0-18.00%
vs Similar (15)114.5108.8223.3+5.760%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)110.9105.4216.2+5.564%
This opponent (Mexico City Capitanes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +3.8+3.8Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -2.9-2.9
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +3.8+3.8Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -2.9-2.9
Mexico City CapitanesSioux Falls Skyforce
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mexico City CapitanesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iowa Wolves
#27
W
52-47
52
47
+5
H28/12
NBA - G League
Iowa Wolves
#27
W
66-53
66
53
+13
H29/12
NBA - G League
South Bay Lakers
#23
W
59-45
59
45
+14
H04/01
NBA - G League
South Bay Lakers
#23
L
47-60
47
60
-13
H05/01
NBA - G League
Delaware Blue Coats
#20
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H10/01
NBA - G League
Delaware Blue Coats
#20
W
70-51
70
51
+19
H11/01
NBA - G League
Santa Cruz Warriors
#14
W
59-52
59
52
+7
A18/01
NBA - G League
Oklahoma City Blue
#6
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H20/01
NBA - G League
Oklahoma City Blue
#6
W
58-54
58
54
+4
H22/01
NBA - G League
Rio Grande Valley Vipers
#11
L
55-58
55
58
-3
A26/01
NBA - G League
106.6Avg total
55.5Scored
51.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.851.7106.4+3.170%-
Last 30 at home (17)54.152.6106.7+1.559%-
Last 30 away (13)55.650.5106.1+5.285%-
Last 10 (10)55.551.1106.6+4.470%-
Last 5 (5)57.652.0109.6+5.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)55.155.0110.1+0.162%-
vs Similar (20)55.049.8104.8+5.280%-
vs Weaker (2)51.057.5108.5-6.50%-
This opponent (Sioux Falls Skyforce) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sioux Falls SkyforceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valley Suns
#7
W
59-53
59
53
+6
A01/01
NBA - G League
Santa Cruz Warriors
#14
W
60-59
60
59
+1
H04/01
NBA - G League
San Diego Clippers
#21
W
58-52
58
52
+6
H05/01
NBA - G League
Long Island Nets
#25
W
51-49
51
49
+2
A07/01
NBA - G League
Westchester
#1
L
41-68
41
68
-27
A09/01
NBA - G League
Westchester
#1
W
80-48
80
48
+32
A11/01
NBA - G League
Osceola Magic
#12
L
50-59
50
59
-9
H18/01
NBA - G League
Osceola Magic
#12
W
67-57
67
57
+10
H19/01
NBA - G League
Memphis Hustle
#24
L
60-63
60
63
-3
H25/01
NBA - G League
Memphis Hustle
#24
W
71-57
71
57
+14
H26/01
NBA - G League
116.2Avg total
59.7Scored
56.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.853.4111.2+4.370%-
Last 30 at home (17)56.553.2109.7+3.271%-
Last 30 away (13)59.553.7113.2+5.869%-
Last 10 (10)59.756.5116.2+3.270%-
Last 5 (5)65.656.8122.4+8.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)49.055.0104.0-6.00%-
vs Similar (15)59.354.0113.3+5.373%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)56.852.7109.5+4.171%-
This opponent (Mexico City Capitanes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Mexico City Capitanes wins
2
Sioux Falls Skyforce wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/01/25ARio Grande Valley Vipers109-113
22/01/25HOklahoma City Blue107-112
20/01/25HOklahoma City Blue92-90
18/01/25ASanta Cruz Warriors121-113
11/01/25HDelaware Blue Coats123-97
10/01/25HDelaware Blue Coats105-93
05/01/25HSouth Bay Lakers98-106
04/01/25HSouth Bay Lakers114-96
29/12/24HIowa Wolves122-126 OT
28/12/24HIowa Wolves105-94
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/01/25HMemphis Hustle124-111
25/01/25HMemphis Hustle114-124
19/01/25HOsceola Magic113-102
18/01/25HOsceola Magic105-123
11/01/25AWestchester152-102
09/01/25AWestchester97-118
07/01/25ALong Island Nets98-96
05/01/25HSan Diego Clippers100-113
04/01/25HSanta Cruz Warriors96-110
01/01/25AValley Suns114-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mexico City Capitanes
NBA - G League 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL58%
HomeLWWWL60%
AwayLWLWL55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261511
Win %58%60%55%
Points / game105.3106.1104.3
Allowed / game103.9104.3103.5
Point differential+1.4+1.9+0.8
Avg total209.3210.4207.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%47%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)50% (4)20% (5)
Overtime %8%7%9%
Sioux Falls Skyforce
NBA - G League 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW64%
HomeLLWLW53%
AwayWWWLW77%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281513
Win %64%53%77%
Points / game113.5109.6118.1
Allowed / game107.3107.5107.1
Point differential+6.2+2.1+11.0
Avg total220.9217.1225.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%33%62%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Stockton Kings2921872%114.9111.0+3.9
2 Westchester3223972%120.3114.9+5.4
3 Capital City Go-Go2719870%115.1108.1+7.0
4 Austin Toros Spurs28181064%113.1103.4+9.8
5 Sioux Falls Skyforce28181064%113.5107.3+6.2
6 College Park Skyhawks28171161%109.9106.3+3.6
7 Oklahoma City Blue28171161%110.6107.5+3.1
8 Greensboro Swarm28171161%105.6103.8+1.8
9 Valley Suns30181260%116.1115.2+0.9
10 Grand Rapids Gold29171259%110.4111.0-0.6
11 Mexico City Capitanes26151158%105.3103.9+1.4
12 Santa Cruz Warriors28151354%112.3114.2-2.0
13 San Diego Clippers29151452%111.6108.3+3.2
14 IPFW29151452%111.4111.2+0.1
15 Delaware Blue Coats29151452%110.8112.0-1.2
16 Salt Lake City Stars28141450%114.8114.6+0.2
17 Iowa Wolves28141450%110.7112.3-1.6
18 Cleveland Charge29141548%109.6110.3-0.8
19 Raptors 90528131546%113.6116.4-2.8
20 Rio Grande Valley Vipers26121446%114.9115.1-0.2
21 Maine Celtics31141745%110.4110.2+0.2
22 Motor City Cruise28121643%111.3112.1-0.8
23 Memphis Hustle26101638%110.6112.4-1.8
24 Rip City Remix2591636%115.7120.2-4.5
25 Texas Legends28101836%100.9105.4-4.5
26 Osceola Magic2691735%112.0114.2-2.2
27 Windy City Bulls29101934%103.8107.6-3.8
28 Wisconsin Herd30102033%103.1110.2-7.1
29 Birmingham Squadron2891932%101.6107.4-5.8
30 Long Island Nets2781930%111.6116.4-4.8
31 South Bay Lakers2571828%105.1109.1-4.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 31 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mexico City Capitanes26332731117
Sioux Falls Skyforce25233032110
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