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Mexico City Capitanes vs Sioux Falls Skyforce Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 30 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 102-105 (OT)
18-23 28-31 20-20 31-23 5-8
Position#18
Record16-11
FormWWLLW
Points / game105.8
Allowed / game104.1
vs
Position#8
Record18-11
FormLWLWL
Points / game113.4
Allowed / game107.7
USANBA - G League
Other2024-25
Meetings · Mexico City Capitanes v Sioux Falls Skyforce
21 Mar 2027
MEXI v SIOU
upcoming
29 Jan 2025
MEXI102
SIOU105
27 Jan 2025
MEXI117
SIOU110
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mexico City Capitanes winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sioux Falls Skyforce winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mexico City CapitanesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iowa Wolves
#27
L
122-126 OT
122
126
-4
H29/12
NBA - G League
South Bay Lakers
#23
W
114-96
114
96
+18
H04/01
NBA - G League
South Bay Lakers
#23
L
98-106
98
106
-8
H05/01
NBA - G League
Delaware Blue Coats
#20
W
105-93
105
93
+12
H10/01
NBA - G League
Delaware Blue Coats
#20
W
123-97
123
97
+26
H11/01
NBA - G League
Santa Cruz Warriors
#14
W
121-113
121
113
+8
A18/01
NBA - G League
Oklahoma City Blue
#6
W
92-90
92
90
+2
H20/01
NBA - G League
Oklahoma City Blue
#6
L
107-112
107
112
-5
H22/01
NBA - G League
Rio Grande Valley Vipers
#11
L
109-113
109
113
-4
A26/01
NBA - G League
Sioux Falls Skyforce
#8
W
117-110
117
110
+7
H28/01
NBA - G League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-25
31-28
20-25
31-39
26-24
33-21
37-19
18-32
23-30
24-30
24-28
27-18
18-22
25-24
32-28
30-19
26-26
44-25
32-19
21-27
28-25
31-27
27-26
35-35
19-28
27-17
27-29
19-16
33-28
25-26
27-31
22-27
36-25
19-33
24-28
30-27
26-25
33-23
27-30
31-32
216.4Avg total
110.8Scored
105.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)105.8104.1209.9+1.659%
Season at home (16)106.8104.6211.4+2.262%
Season away (11)104.3103.5207.7+0.855%
Last 10 (10)110.8105.6216.4+5.260%
Last 5 (5)109.2107.6216.8+1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)105.7109.2214.9-3.644%
vs Similar (19)108.2102.1210.2+6.174%
vs Weaker (2)96.0102.5198.5-6.550%
This opponent (Sioux Falls Skyforce) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sioux Falls SkyforceUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Santa Cruz Warriors
#14
L
96-110
96
110
-14
H04/01
NBA - G League
San Diego Clippers
#21
L
100-113
100
113
-13
H05/01
NBA - G League
Long Island Nets
#25
W
98-96
98
96
+2
A07/01
NBA - G League
Westchester
#1
L
97-118
97
118
-21
A09/01
NBA - G League
Westchester
#1
W
152-102
152
102
+50
A11/01
NBA - G League
Osceola Magic
#12
L
105-123
105
123
-18
H18/01
NBA - G League
Osceola Magic
#12
W
113-102
113
102
+11
H19/01
NBA - G League
Memphis Hustle
#24
L
114-124
114
124
-10
H25/01
NBA - G League
Memphis Hustle
#24
W
124-111
124
111
+13
H26/01
NBA - G League
Mexico City Capitanes
#18
L
110-117
110
117
-7
A28/01
NBA - G League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-32
30-27
17-24
19-27
34-29
24-23
18-27
24-34
26-20
25-29
18-23
29-24
25-30
16-38
28-21
28-29
37-24
43-24
35-25
37-29
28-33
22-26
32-25
23-39
25-20
42-37
21-27
25-18
28-32
32-31
27-35
27-26
41-25
30-32
33-28
20-26
25-26
23-33
30-27
32-31
222.5Avg total
110.9Scored
111.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)113.4107.7221.1+5.862%
Season at home (15)109.6107.5217.1+2.153%
Season away (14)117.5107.8225.3+9.771%
Last 10 (10)110.9111.6222.5-0.740%
Last 5 (5)113.2115.4228.6-2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)93.0111.0204.0-18.00%
vs Similar (14)116.2109.3225.5+6.964%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)110.8106.1216.9+4.760%
This opponent (Mexico City Capitanes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -1.9-1.9
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -1.9-1.9
Mexico City CapitanesSioux Falls Skyforce
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mexico City CapitanesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iowa Wolves
#27
W
66-53
66
53
+13
H29/12
NBA - G League
South Bay Lakers
#23
W
59-45
59
45
+14
H04/01
NBA - G League
South Bay Lakers
#23
L
47-60
47
60
-13
H05/01
NBA - G League
Delaware Blue Coats
#20
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H10/01
NBA - G League
Delaware Blue Coats
#20
W
70-51
70
51
+19
H11/01
NBA - G League
Santa Cruz Warriors
#14
W
59-52
59
52
+7
A18/01
NBA - G League
Oklahoma City Blue
#6
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H20/01
NBA - G League
Oklahoma City Blue
#6
W
58-54
58
54
+4
H22/01
NBA - G League
Rio Grande Valley Vipers
#11
L
55-58
55
58
-3
A26/01
NBA - G League
Sioux Falls Skyforce
#8
W
59-48
59
48
+11
H28/01
NBA - G League
107.4Avg total
56.2Scored
51.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.551.1105.6+3.470%-
Last 30 at home (17)53.651.5105.2+2.159%-
Last 30 away (13)55.650.5106.1+5.285%-
Last 10 (10)56.251.2107.4+5.070%-
Last 5 (5)55.451.4106.8+4.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)55.654.2109.8+1.367%-
vs Similar (19)54.448.9103.3+5.579%-
vs Weaker (2)51.057.5108.5-6.50%-
This opponent (Sioux Falls Skyforce) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sioux Falls SkyforceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Santa Cruz Warriors
#14
W
60-59
60
59
+1
H04/01
NBA - G League
San Diego Clippers
#21
W
58-52
58
52
+6
H05/01
NBA - G League
Long Island Nets
#25
W
51-49
51
49
+2
A07/01
NBA - G League
Westchester
#1
L
41-68
41
68
-27
A09/01
NBA - G League
Westchester
#1
W
80-48
80
48
+32
A11/01
NBA - G League
Osceola Magic
#12
L
50-59
50
59
-9
H18/01
NBA - G League
Osceola Magic
#12
W
67-57
67
57
+10
H19/01
NBA - G League
Memphis Hustle
#24
L
60-63
60
63
-3
H25/01
NBA - G League
Memphis Hustle
#24
W
71-57
71
57
+14
H26/01
NBA - G League
Mexico City Capitanes
#18
L
48-59
48
59
-11
A28/01
NBA - G League
115.7Avg total
58.6Scored
57.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.754.2111.9+3.467%-
Last 30 at home (16)56.854.4111.2+2.469%-
Last 30 away (14)58.654.1112.7+4.664%-
Last 10 (10)58.657.1115.7+1.560%-
Last 5 (5)59.259.0118.2+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)49.055.0104.0-6.00%-
vs Similar (14)59.955.4115.2+4.571%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)56.253.1109.3+3.167%-
This opponent (Mexico City Capitanes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Mexico City Capitanes wins
2
Sioux Falls Skyforce wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/01/25HSioux Falls Skyforce117-110
26/01/25ARio Grande Valley Vipers109-113
22/01/25HOklahoma City Blue107-112
20/01/25HOklahoma City Blue92-90
18/01/25ASanta Cruz Warriors121-113
11/01/25HDelaware Blue Coats123-97
10/01/25HDelaware Blue Coats105-93
05/01/25HSouth Bay Lakers98-106
04/01/25HSouth Bay Lakers114-96
29/12/24HIowa Wolves122-126 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/01/25AMexico City Capitanes110-117
26/01/25HMemphis Hustle124-111
25/01/25HMemphis Hustle114-124
19/01/25HOsceola Magic113-102
18/01/25HOsceola Magic105-123
11/01/25AWestchester152-102
09/01/25AWestchester97-118
07/01/25ALong Island Nets98-96
05/01/25HSan Diego Clippers100-113
04/01/25HSanta Cruz Warriors96-110

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mexico City Capitanes
NBA - G League 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW59%
HomeWWWLW62%
AwayLWLWL55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271611
Win %59%62%55%
Points / game105.8106.8104.3
Allowed / game104.1104.6103.5
Point differential+1.6+2.2+0.8
Avg total209.9211.4207.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%44%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)50% (4)20% (5)
Overtime %7%6%9%
Sioux Falls Skyforce
NBA - G League 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL62%
HomeLLWLW53%
AwayWWLWL71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %62%53%71%
Points / game113.4109.6117.5
Allowed / game107.7107.5107.8
Point differential+5.8+2.1+9.7
Avg total221.1217.1225.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%33%57%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %3%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Westchester3223972%120.3114.9+5.4
2 Capital City Go-Go2719870%115.1108.1+7.0
3 Stockton Kings3021970%114.4111.2+3.2
4 Austin Toros Spurs29191066%113.5103.2+10.3
5 Sioux Falls Skyforce29181162%113.4107.7+5.8
6 Greensboro Swarm29181162%105.5103.6+1.9
7 Valley Suns31191261%116.3115.2+1.1
8 Grand Rapids Gold30181260%110.6110.6+0.0
9 Mexico City Capitanes27161159%105.8104.1+1.6
10 College Park Skyhawks29171259%109.9106.6+3.3
11 Oklahoma City Blue29171259%110.3107.5+2.8
12 Santa Cruz Warriors28151354%112.3114.2-2.0
13 IPFW30161453%111.2110.8+0.4
14 San Diego Clippers29151452%111.6108.3+3.2
15 Delaware Blue Coats30151550%110.9112.5-1.6
16 Salt Lake City Stars29141548%114.8114.9-0.0
17 Cleveland Charge29141548%109.6110.3-0.8
18 Raptors 90529141548%113.9116.3-2.4
19 Iowa Wolves29141548%110.1112.7-2.6
20 Maine Celtics32151747%110.8109.7+1.1
21 Rio Grande Valley Vipers26121446%114.9115.1-0.2
22 Motor City Cruise29121741%110.9111.9-1.0
23 Memphis Hustle27111641%110.5112.0-1.5
24 Osceola Magic27101737%112.1114.0-1.9
25 Texas Legends28101836%100.9105.4-4.5
26 Wisconsin Herd31112035%103.9110.4-6.5
27 Rip City Remix2691735%115.1120.4-5.3
28 Windy City Bulls29101934%103.8107.6-3.8
29 Birmingham Squadron2992031%102.0107.9-5.9
30 Long Island Nets2882029%111.1116.0-4.9
31 South Bay Lakers2571828%105.1109.1-4.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 31 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Mexico City Capitanes182820315102
Sioux Falls Skyforce233120238105
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