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Mexico vs Dominican Republic Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 29 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 02:40
Final 85-92
23-17 20-25 15-26 27-24
Position#10
Record-
FormLLLWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#9
Record-
FormWWWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
EuropeWorld CupRound 1· Gimnasio Marcelino Gonzalez
Other2027
Meetings · Mexico v Dominican Republic
29 Nov 2025
MEXI85
DOMI92
01 Aug 2019
MEXI61
DOMI65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mexico winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dominican Republic winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Canada
#5
L
77-82
77
82
-5
H08/09
AmeriCup
Uruguay
#40
W
80-60
80
60
+20
H12/11
World Cup
Brazil
#23
L
56-102
56
102
-46
H15/11
World Cup
Colombia
#58
W
113-54
113
54
+59
A24/02
World Cup
Uruguay
#40
W
82-69
82
69
+13
A27/02
World Cup
Montenegro
#14
L
71-91
71
91
-20
H25/08
World Cup
Lithuania
#9
L
66-96
66
96
-30
A27/08
World Cup
Egypt
#27
L
72-100
72
100
-28
A29/08
World Cup
New Zealand
#11
W
108-100
108
100
+8
A31/08
World Cup
Jordan
#37
W
93-80
93
80
+13
A02/09
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-17
11-13
22-24
25-28
18-12
22-14
26-22
14-12
10-29
16-21
12-16
18-36
26-17
31-7
31-16
25-14
18-26
28-12
17-18
19-13
19-19
20-29
19-20
13-23
17-32
17-21
17-23
15-20
16-30
19-29
21-18
16-23
31-22
26-19
21-27
30-32
24-24
19-19
25-22
25-15
165.2Avg total
81.8Scored
83.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)81.883.4165.2-1.650%
Last 5 (5)82.093.4175.4-11.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)73.886.7160.5-12.927%
vs Similar ◀ (13)77.671.7149.3+5.969%
vs Weaker (6)85.373.0158.3+12.367%
This opponent (Dominican Republic) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dominican RepublicLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brazil
#1
L
68-80
68
80
-12
A08/09
AmeriCup
Argentina
#16
W
80-69
80
69
+11
H11/11
World Cup
Venezuela
#43
W
72-68
72
68
+4
H13/11
World Cup
Panama
#61
W
93-67
93
67
+26
A24/02
World Cup
Argentina
#16
W
79-75
79
75
+4
A27/02
World Cup
Philippines
#44
W
87-81
87
81
+6
H25/08
World Cup
Italy
#17
W
87-82
87
82
+5
A27/08
World Cup
Angola
#19
W
75-67
75
67
+8
A29/08
World Cup
Puerto Rico
#10
L
97-102
97
102
-5
H01/09
World Cup
Serbia
#13
L
79-112
79
112
-33
H03/09
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-18
17-16
18-21
13-25
20-20
21-13
20-19
19-17
17-20
18-17
12-19
25-12
20-14
18-25
26-19
29-9
19-24
16-18
19-22
25-11
22-18
20-24
24-22
21-17
13-19
25-20
31-17
18-26
20-11
17-21
12-18
26-17
12-17
33-28
29-24
23-33
15-29
20-27
18-31
26-25
162.0Avg total
81.7Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)81.780.3162.0+1.470%
Last 5 (5)85.088.8173.8-3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)70.085.3155.3-15.30%
vs Similar ◀ (10)80.182.4162.5-2.360%
vs Weaker (13)88.970.9159.8+18.092%
This opponent (Mexico) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: +3.3+3.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: +3.3+3.3
MexicoDominican Republic
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MexicoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Canada
#5
D
30-30
30
30
+0
H08/09
AmeriCup
Uruguay
#40
W
40-26
40
26
+14
H12/11
World Cup
Brazil
#23
L
26-50
26
50
-24
H15/11
World Cup
Colombia
#58
W
57-24
57
24
+33
A24/02
World Cup
Uruguay
#40
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A27/02
World Cup
Montenegro
#14
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H25/08
World Cup
Lithuania
#9
L
34-53
34
53
-19
A27/08
World Cup
Egypt
#27
L
35-59
35
59
-24
A29/08
World Cup
New Zealand
#11
W
57-41
57
41
+16
A31/08
World Cup
Jordan
#37
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A02/09
World Cup
81.9Avg total
40.7Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.638.076.7+0.650%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.836.572.3-0.740%-
Last 30 away (15)41.539.681.1+1.960%-
Last 10 (10)40.741.281.9-0.540%-
Last 5 (5)41.648.890.4-7.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)36.543.479.8-6.936%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)37.536.573.9+1.046%-
vs Weaker (6)45.231.776.8+13.583%-
This opponent (Dominican Republic) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dominican RepublicLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brazil
#1
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A08/09
AmeriCup
Argentina
#16
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H11/11
World Cup
Venezuela
#43
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H13/11
World Cup
Panama
#61
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A24/02
World Cup
Argentina
#16
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A27/02
World Cup
Philippines
#44
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H25/08
World Cup
Italy
#17
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A27/08
World Cup
Angola
#19
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A29/08
World Cup
Puerto Rico
#10
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H01/09
World Cup
Serbia
#13
L
35-56
35
56
-21
H03/09
World Cup
78.2Avg total
38.3Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.138.177.2+1.047%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.938.378.2+1.547%-
Last 30 away (15)38.337.876.1+0.547%-
Last 10 (10)38.339.978.2-1.630%-
Last 5 (5)39.442.882.2-3.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)35.742.478.1-6.714%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)37.640.377.9-2.740%-
vs Weaker (13)42.134.076.1+8.169%-
This opponent (Mexico) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Mexico wins
2
Dominican Republic wins
Mexicolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/09/23AJordan93-80
31/08/23ANew Zealand108-100
29/08/23AEgypt72-100
27/08/23ALithuania66-96
25/08/23HMontenegro71-91
27/02/23AUruguay82-69
24/02/23AColombia113-54
15/11/22HBrazil56-102
12/11/22HUruguay80-60
08/09/22HCanada77-82
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/09/23HSerbia79-112
01/09/23HPuerto Rico97-102
29/08/23AAngola75-67
27/08/23AItaly87-82
25/08/23HPhilippines87-81
27/02/23AArgentina79-75
24/02/23APanama93-67
13/11/22HVenezuela72-68
11/11/22HArgentina80-69
08/09/22ABrazil68-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mexico
World Cup 2027
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Dominican Republic
World Cup 2027
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Philippines110100%87.046.0+41.0
2 Canada110100%111.075.0+36.0
3 Uruguay110100%93.060.0+33.0
4 Croatia550100%96.465.6+30.8
5 Greece110100%91.064.0+27.0
6 South Sudan220100%94.067.0+27.0
7 Costa Rica550100%81.455.4+26.0
8 Iran110100%94.068.0+26.0
9 Japan110100%90.064.0+26.0
10 Saudi Arabia110100%75.051.0+24.0
11 Turkey110100%93.071.0+22.0
12 Portugal110100%83.062.0+21.0
13 Germany110100%89.069.0+20.0
14 Czech Republic110100%97.080.0+17.0
15 Brazil110100%82.066.0+16.0
16 France110100%79.063.0+16.0
17 Jordan110100%74.059.0+15.0
18 Argentina110100%80.068.0+12.0
19 Guinea110100%82.070.0+12.0
20 Poland110100%90.078.0+12.0
21 Spain110100%74.064.0+10.0
22 Tunisia110100%88.078.0+10.0
23 Australia110100%84.079.0+5.0
24 Iceland110100%81.076.0+5.0
25 Serbia110100%90.086.0+4.0
26 South Korea110100%80.076.0+4.0
27 Colombia110100%80.078.0+2.0
28 Jamaica110100%92.090.0+2.0
29 Estonia110100%94.093.0+1.0
30 Lebanon110100%75.074.0+1.0
31 Lithuania110100%89.088.0+1.0
32 Ukraine54180%81.473.2+8.2
33 Netherlands54180%79.873.0+6.8
34 Switzerland118373%76.864.8+12.0
35 Romania96367%75.774.0+1.7
36 Hungary53260%82.072.8+9.2
37 El Salvador53260%64.871.8-7.0
38 Austria95456%88.077.8+10.2
39 Cameroon21150%77.076.5+0.5
40 Ireland63350%75.778.3-2.7
41 Armenia42250%86.596.0-9.5
42 Cape Verde21150%80.593.0-12.5
43 Denmark52340%75.878.8-3.0
44 Kosovo62433%73.781.5-7.8
45 Slovakia41325%75.580.8-5.2
46 Luxembourg41325%67.874.0-6.2
47 Bulgaria41325%75.886.0-10.2
48 Albania41325%72.585.2-12.8
49 North Macedonia41325%69.582.5-13.0
50 Norway82625%66.981.0-14.1
51 Honduras51420%61.870.6-8.8
52 Guatemala51420%62.873.0-10.2
53 Azerbaijan61517%67.580.8-13.3
54 Great Britain1010%88.089.0-1.0
55 Qatar1010%74.075.0-1.0
56 Slovenia1010%93.094.0-1.0
57 Puerto Rico1010%90.092.0-2.0
58 Venezuela1010%78.080.0-2.0
59 China1010%76.080.0-4.0
60 Italy1010%76.081.0-5.0
61 New Zealand1010%79.084.0-5.0
62 Finland1010%82.089.0-7.0
63 Latvia1010%78.086.0-8.0
64 Nigeria1010%78.088.0-10.0
65 Cuba1010%68.080.0-12.0
66 Rwanda1010%70.082.0-12.0
67 Georgia1010%79.092.0-13.0
68 Libya2020%63.078.0-15.0
69 Syria1010%59.074.0-15.0
70 Belgium1010%63.079.0-16.0
71 Chile1010%66.082.0-16.0
72 Sweden1010%80.097.0-17.0
73 Israel1010%69.089.0-20.0
74 Montenegro1010%62.083.0-21.0
75 Bosnia & Herzegovina1010%71.093.0-22.0
76 India1010%51.075.0-24.0
77 Chinese Taipei1010%64.090.0-26.0
78 Iraq1010%68.094.0-26.0
79 Panama1010%60.093.0-33.0
80 Bahamas1010%75.0111.0-36.0
81 Cyprus1010%60.0100.0-40.0
82 Guam1010%46.087.0-41.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 82 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mexico2320152785
Dominican Republic1725262492
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