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Miami (FL) vs Pittsburgh Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 31 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 76-69
33-43 43-26
Position#38
Record11-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game89.5
Allowed / game67.7
Miami (FL) 🏆
USA
vs
Pittsburgh
USA
Position#282
Record7-6
FormLLLWW
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game67.8
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Miami (FL) v Pittsburgh
30 Dec 2025
MIAM76
PITT69
27 Jan 2024
MIAM72
PITT68
04 Mar 2023
MIAM78
PITT76
16 Dec 2020
MIAM55
PITT70
12 Jan 2020
MIAM66
PITT58
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami (FL) winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pittsburgh winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami (FL)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida
#28
L
68-82
68
82
-14
A17/11
NCAA
Elon
#256
W
99-72
99
72
+27
H21/11
NCAA
Delaware State
#353
W
97-41
97
41
+56
H23/11
NCAA
Brigham Young
#76
L
62-72
62
72
-10
H27/11
NCAA
Georgetown
#225
W
78-65
78
65
+13
A29/11
NCAA
Ole Miss
#259
W
75-66
75
66
+9
A03/12
NCAA
Southern Miss
#174
W
88-64
88
64
+24
H06/12
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#369
W
104-79
104
79
+25
H13/12
NCAA
Florida International
#232
W
98-81
98
81
+17
H17/12
NCAA
North Florida
#361
W
105-67
105
67
+38
H21/12
NCAA
1H
2H
29-39
39-43
48-41
51-31
50-19
47-22
33-29
29-43
41-20
37-45
42-26
33-40
34-34
54-30
49-38
55-41
43-43
55-38
51-35
54-32
156.3Avg total
87.4Scored
68.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)89.567.7157.2+21.885%
Season at home (10)94.266.7160.9+27.590%
Season away (3)73.771.0144.7+2.767%
Last 10 (10)87.468.9156.3+18.580%
Last 5 (5)94.071.4165.4+22.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)69.185.3154.4-16.212%
vs Similar (3)73.779.0152.7-5.333%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)93.966.0159.9+27.9100%
This opponent (Pittsburgh) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PittsburghUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
West Virginia
#147
L
49-71
49
71
-22
A13/11
NCAA
Bucknell
#339
W
84-50
84
50
+34
H18/11
NCAA
UCF Knights
#92
L
67-77
67
77
-10
A21/11
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#123
L
75-83
75
83
-8
H23/11
NCAA
Ohio State
#104
W
67-66
67
66
+1
H29/11
NCAA
Texas A&M
#82
L
73-81
73
81
-8
H03/12
NCAA
Hofstra
#54
L
73-80
73
80
-7
H07/12
NCAA
Villanova
#46
L
61-79
61
79
-18
A13/12
NCAA
Binghamton
#352
W
103-63
103
63
+40
H18/12
NCAA
Penn State
#298
W
80-46
80
46
+34
A21/12
NCAA
1H
2H
25-34
24-37
38-25
46-25
36-38
31-39
37-47
38-36
34-24
33-42
33-35
40-46
23-36
50-44
32-41
29-38
57-34
46-29
40-20
40-26
142.8Avg total
73.2Scored
69.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)74.067.8141.8+6.254%
Season at home (9)78.367.6145.9+10.867%
Season away (4)64.268.2132.5-4.025%
Last 10 (10)73.269.6142.8+3.640%
Last 5 (5)78.069.8147.8+8.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)69.473.0142.4-3.633%
vs Similar (9)70.875.2146.0-4.422%
vs Weaker (12)75.365.1140.4+10.258%
This opponent (Miami (FL)) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +9.6+9.61st half: +2.1+2.12nd half2nd half: +8.9+8.92nd half: +1.5+1.5
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +9.6+9.61st half: +2.1+2.12nd half2nd half: +8.9+8.92nd half: +1.5+1.5
Miami (FL)Pittsburgh
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Miami (FL)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida
#28
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A17/11
NCAA
Elon
#256
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H21/11
NCAA
Delaware State
#353
W
50-19
50
19
+31
H23/11
NCAA
Brigham Young
#76
W
33-29
33
29
+4
H27/11
NCAA
Georgetown
#225
W
41-20
41
20
+21
A29/11
NCAA
Ole Miss
#259
W
42-26
42
26
+16
A03/12
NCAA
Southern Miss
#174
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H06/12
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#369
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H13/12
NCAA
Florida International
#232
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H17/12
NCAA
North Florida
#361
W
51-35
51
35
+16
H21/12
NCAA
74.4Avg total
42.0Scored
32.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.437.974.3-1.537%-
Last 30 at home (19)38.637.876.4+0.847%-
Last 30 away (11)32.538.270.7-5.618%-
Last 10 (10)42.032.474.4+9.670%-
Last 5 (5)43.835.279.0+8.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)29.642.271.9-12.60%-
vs Similar (3)38.034.772.7+3.367%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)45.832.578.4+13.382%-
This opponent (Pittsburgh) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PittsburghLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
West Virginia
#147
L
25-34
25
34
-9
A13/11
NCAA
Bucknell
#339
W
38-25
38
25
+13
H18/11
NCAA
UCF Knights
#92
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A21/11
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#123
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H23/11
NCAA
Ohio State
#104
W
34-24
34
24
+10
H29/11
NCAA
Texas A&M
#82
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H03/12
NCAA
Hofstra
#54
L
23-36
23
36
-13
H07/12
NCAA
Villanova
#46
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A13/12
NCAA
Binghamton
#352
W
57-34
57
34
+23
H18/12
NCAA
Penn State
#298
W
40-20
40
20
+20
A21/12
NCAA
68.9Avg total
35.5Scored
33.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.433.466.7+0.033%-
Last 30 at home (17)35.533.468.8+2.147%-
Last 30 away (13)30.633.464.0-2.815%-
Last 10 (10)35.533.468.9+2.140%-
Last 5 (5)37.033.270.2+3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)31.234.866.0-3.633%-
vs Similar (9)34.236.470.7-2.222%-
vs Weaker (12)34.330.064.3+4.342%-
This opponent (Miami (FL)) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Miami (FL) wins
4
Pittsburgh wins
DateGameScore
15/02/25Pittsburgh v Miami (FL)74-65
27/01/24Miami (FL) v Pittsburgh72-68
04/03/23Miami (FL) v Pittsburgh78-76
28/01/23Pittsburgh v Miami (FL)71-68
23/02/22Pittsburgh v Miami (FL)64-85
09/03/21Pittsburgh v Miami (FL)73-79
16/12/20Miami (FL) v Pittsburgh55-70
02/02/20Pittsburgh v Miami (FL)62-57
12/01/20Miami (FL) v Pittsburgh66-58
Miami (FL)last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/25HNorth Florida105-67
17/12/25HFlorida International98-81
13/12/25HLouisiana Monroe104-79
06/12/25HSouthern Miss88-64
03/12/25AOle Miss75-66
29/11/25AGeorgetown78-65
27/11/25HBrigham Young62-72
23/11/25HDelaware State97-41
21/11/25HElon99-72
17/11/25AFlorida68-82
Pittsburghlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/25APenn State80-46
18/12/25HBinghamton103-63
13/12/25AVillanova61-79
07/12/25HHofstra73-80
03/12/25HTexas A&M73-81
29/11/25HOhio State67-66
23/11/25HQuinnipiac75-83
21/11/25AUCF Knights67-77
18/11/25HBucknell84-50
13/11/25AWest Virginia49-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami (FL)
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW85%
HomeLWWWW90%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games13103
Win %85%90%67%
Points / game89.594.273.7
Allowed / game67.766.771.0
Point differential+21.8+27.5+2.7
Avg total157.2160.9144.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+77%90%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Pittsburgh
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW54%
HomeLWLLW67%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1394
Win %54%67%25%
Points / game74.078.364.2
Allowed / game67.867.668.2
Point differential+6.2+10.8-4.0
Avg total141.8145.9132.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%56%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 North Carolina1312192%81.463.5+17.8
2 California1312192%83.166.7+16.4
3 Duke1211192%87.262.6+24.6
4 Miami (FL)1311285%89.567.7+21.8
5 Virginia1311285%84.669.5+15.1
6 SMU Mustangs1311285%91.176.5+14.6
7 Virginia Tech1311285%83.172.6+10.5
8 Stanford1311285%81.872.3+9.5
9 Louisville1210283%91.668.2+23.4
10 Clemson1310377%79.765.8+13.8
11 NC State139469%88.372.2+16.2
12 Syracuse139469%74.664.8+9.8
13 Wake Forest139469%83.974.3+9.6
14 Notre Dame139469%76.768.4+8.3
15 Georgia Tech139469%76.570.3+6.2
16 Florida State137654%85.078.3+6.7
17 Pittsburgh137654%74.067.8+6.2
18 Boston College137654%70.666.7+3.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Miami (FL)334376
Pittsburgh432669
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