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Miami (FL) vs Southern Miss Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 06 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 88-64
34-34 54-30
Position#38
Record7-2
FormWWLWW
Points / game85.3
Allowed / game65.4
vs
Position#174
Record5-3
FormLWWWW
Points / game80.9
Allowed / game72.1
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami (FL) winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Southern Miss winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami (FL)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NC State
#293
W
72-70
72
70
+2
H08/03
NCAA
Jacksonville Dolphins
#289
W
86-69
86
69
+17
H04/11
NCAA
Bethune-Cookman
#185
W
101-61
101
61
+40
H07/11
NCAA
Stetson
#304
W
102-61
102
61
+41
H11/11
NCAA
Florida
#28
L
68-82
68
82
-14
A17/11
NCAA
Elon
#256
W
99-72
99
72
+27
H21/11
NCAA
Delaware State
#353
W
97-41
97
41
+56
H23/11
NCAA
Brigham Young
#76
L
62-72
62
72
-10
H27/11
NCAA
Georgetown
#225
W
78-65
78
65
+13
A29/11
NCAA
Ole Miss
#259
W
75-66
75
66
+9
A03/12
NCAA
1H
2H
31-41
41-29
41-35
45-34
50-31
51-30
55-36
47-25
29-39
39-43
48-41
51-31
50-19
47-22
33-29
29-43
41-20
37-45
42-26
33-40
149.9Avg total
84.0Scored
65.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)85.365.4150.8+19.978%
Season at home (6)91.262.7153.8+28.583%
Season away (3)73.771.0144.7+2.767%
Last 10 (10)84.065.9149.9+18.180%
Last 5 (5)82.263.2145.4+19.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)70.884.3155.1-13.617%
vs Similar (5)74.880.2155.0-5.420%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)91.162.1153.3+29.0100%
This opponent (Southern Miss) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Southern MissUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Coastal Carolina
#326
W
66-63
66
63
+3
H04/03
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#201
L
64-78
64
78
-14
A05/03
NCAA
Buffalo
#180
L
79-85
79
85
-6
A03/11
NCAA
Tougaloo
#443
W
93-57
93
57
+36
H07/11
NCAA
South Carolina
#278
L
79-83 OT
79
83
-4
A09/11
NCAA
Grambling St.
#260
L
70-75
70
75
-5
A14/11
NCAA
William Carey
#444
W
82-59
82
59
+23
H19/11
NCAA
North Florida
#361
W
92-83
92
83
+9
H23/11
NCAA
UT Martin
#72
W
70-60
70
60
+10
H23/11
NCAA
Radford
#176
W
82-75
82
75
+7
A04/12
NCAA
1H
2H
29-29
37-34
24-33
40-45
38-36
41-49
52-35
41-22
34-38
36-32
30-42
40-33
38-28
44-31
35-46
57-37
41-22
29-38
31-29
51-46
149.5Avg total
77.7Scored
71.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)80.972.1153.0+8.862%
Season at home (4)84.264.8149.0+19.5100%
Season away (4)77.579.5157.0-2.025%
Last 10 (10)77.771.8149.5+5.960%
Last 5 (5)79.270.4149.6+8.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)70.577.2147.7-6.823%
vs Similar (13)72.873.6146.4-0.838%
vs Weaker (4)86.867.2154.0+19.5100%
This opponent (Miami (FL)) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-13-6+0+6+131st half1st half: +10.3+10.31st half: +1.4+1.42nd half2nd half: +7.8+7.82nd half: +4.9+4.9
-13-6+0+6+131st half1st half: +10.3+10.31st half: +1.4+1.42nd half2nd half: +7.8+7.82nd half: +4.9+4.9
Miami (FL)Southern Miss
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Miami (FL)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NC State
#293
L
31-41
31
41
-10
H08/03
NCAA
Jacksonville Dolphins
#289
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H04/11
NCAA
Bethune-Cookman
#185
W
50-31
50
31
+19
H07/11
NCAA
Stetson
#304
W
55-36
55
36
+19
H11/11
NCAA
Florida
#28
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A17/11
NCAA
Elon
#256
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H21/11
NCAA
Delaware State
#353
W
50-19
50
19
+31
H23/11
NCAA
Brigham Young
#76
W
33-29
33
29
+4
H27/11
NCAA
Georgetown
#225
W
41-20
41
20
+21
A29/11
NCAA
Ole Miss
#259
W
42-26
42
26
+16
A03/12
NCAA
73.7Avg total
42.0Scored
31.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.137.373.3-1.240%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.937.074.9+0.953%-
Last 30 away (13)33.737.671.3-3.923%-
Last 10 (10)42.031.773.7+10.380%-
Last 5 (5)42.827.069.8+15.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)31.240.972.1-9.811%-
vs Similar (5)38.834.673.4+4.260%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)46.729.776.4+17.0100%-
This opponent (Southern Miss) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Southern MissLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Coastal Carolina
#326
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H04/03
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#201
L
24-33
24
33
-9
A05/03
NCAA
Buffalo
#180
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A03/11
NCAA
Tougaloo
#443
W
52-35
52
35
+17
H07/11
NCAA
South Carolina
#278
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A09/11
NCAA
Grambling St.
#260
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A14/11
NCAA
William Carey
#444
W
38-28
38
28
+10
H19/11
NCAA
North Florida
#361
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H23/11
NCAA
UT Martin
#72
W
41-22
41
22
+19
H23/11
NCAA
Radford
#176
W
31-29
31
29
+2
A04/12
NCAA
69.0Avg total
35.2Scored
33.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.935.470.3-0.540%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.433.169.5+3.353%-
Last 30 away (15)33.437.671.0-4.227%-
Last 10 (10)35.233.869.0+1.450%-
Last 5 (5)35.033.468.4+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)35.236.571.8-1.338%-
vs Similar (13)33.034.367.3-1.331%-
vs Weaker (4)40.035.075.0+5.075%-
This opponent (Miami (FL)) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Miami (FL) wins
0
Southern Miss wins
No previous meetings.
Miami (FL)last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/12/25AOle Miss75-66
29/11/25AGeorgetown78-65
27/11/25HBrigham Young62-72
23/11/25HDelaware State97-41
21/11/25HElon99-72
17/11/25AFlorida68-82
11/11/25HStetson102-61
07/11/25HBethune-Cookman101-61
04/11/25HJacksonville Dolphins86-69
08/03/25HNC State72-70
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/12/25ARadford82-75
23/11/25HUT Martin70-60
23/11/25HNorth Florida92-83
19/11/25HWilliam Carey82-59
14/11/25AGrambling St.70-75
09/11/25ASouth Carolina79-83 OT
07/11/25HTougaloo93-57
03/11/25ABuffalo79-85
05/03/25AGeorgia Southern64-78
04/03/25HCoastal Carolina66-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami (FL)
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW78%
HomeWWWWL83%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games963
Win %78%83%67%
Points / game85.391.273.7
Allowed / game65.462.771.0
Point differential+19.9+28.5+2.7
Avg total150.8153.8144.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%83%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Southern Miss
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW62%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %62%100%25%
Points / game80.984.277.5
Allowed / game72.164.879.5
Point differential+8.8+19.5-2.0
Avg total153.0149.0157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%75%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %12%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke990100%89.159.6+29.6
2 SMU Mustangs98189%89.475.6+13.9
3 Louisville87188%94.666.2+28.4
4 North Carolina87188%81.265.5+15.8
5 California87188%83.869.9+13.9
6 Stanford87188%82.971.9+11.0
7 Miami (FL)97278%85.365.4+19.9
8 Clemson97278%85.166.7+18.4
9 Virginia97278%83.972.0+11.9
10 Virginia Tech97278%83.074.9+8.1
11 Notre Dame107370%76.669.4+7.2
12 Wake Forest96367%85.273.4+11.8
13 NC State85362%91.077.4+13.6
14 Syracuse85362%73.264.6+8.6
15 Florida State85362%86.478.0+8.4
16 Pittsburgh95456%71.768.1+3.6
17 Georgia Tech95456%71.769.4+2.2
18 Boston College94544%70.367.0+3.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Arkansas State96367%79.879.8+0.0
2 Southern Miss85362%80.972.1+8.8
3 Marshall85362%80.078.5+1.5
4 South Alabama106460%74.470.1+4.3
5 James Madison106460%75.874.9+0.9
6 Coastal Carolina95456%75.269.0+6.2
7 Texas State116555%73.565.5+8.1
8 Appalachian State105550%74.567.2+7.3
9 Troy105550%88.182.8+5.3
10 Georgia Southern105550%79.579.6-0.1
11 Old Dominion93633%75.177.8-2.7
12 Louisiana Monroe82625%70.478.2-7.9
13 Georgia State91811%63.675.2-11.7
14 Louisiana Lafayette91811%56.871.9-15.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Miami (FL)345488
Southern Miss343064
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