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Michigan vs Western Kentucky Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 30 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 112-64
59-31 53-33
Position#44
Record9-3
FormWWLLW
Points / game81.7
Allowed / game66.8
Michigan 🏆
USA
vs
Western Kentucky
USA
Position#182
Record9-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game73.2
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Michigan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Western Kentucky winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MichiganUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
TCU
#210
W
76-64
76
64
+12
H15/11
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#41
W
94-67
94
67
+27
H18/11
NCAA
Tarleton
#308
W
72-49
72
49
+23
H22/11
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#286
W
75-63
75
63
+12
A25/11
NCAA
Xavier
#82
W
78-53
78
53
+25
H28/11
NCAA
Wisconsin
#43
W
67-64
67
64
+3
A04/12
NCAA
Iowa
#192
W
85-83
85
83
+2
H07/12
NCAA
Arkansas
#118
L
87-89
87
89
-2
H11/12
NCAA
Oklahoma
#136
L
86-87
86
87
-1
H19/12
NCAA
IPFW
#128
W
89-58
89
58
+31
H22/12
NCAA
1H
2H
34-31
42-33
44-36
50-31
40-30
32-19
34-33
41-30
41-30
37-23
26-32
41-32
40-37
45-46
49-45
38-44
43-38
43-49
54-29
35-29
148.6Avg total
80.9Scored
67.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)81.766.8148.5+14.875%
Season at home (9)85.367.0152.3+18.378%
Season away (3)70.766.3137.0+4.367%
Last 10 (10)80.967.7148.6+13.280%
Last 5 (5)82.876.2159.0+6.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)65.779.3144.9-13.611%
vs Similar (8)85.969.2155.1+16.675%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)73.262.0135.2+11.275%
This opponent (Western Kentucky) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Western KentuckyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Campbellsville
#458
W
104-76
104
76
+28
H13/11
NCAA
Lipscomb
#51
W
66-61
66
61
+5
H17/11
NCAA
Jackson State
#221
W
79-62
79
62
+17
H21/11
NCAA
Kentucky
#71
L
68-87
68
87
-19
A26/11
NCAA
Marshall
#124
W
90-82
90
82
+8
H01/12
NCAA
Evansville
#319
W
79-65
79
65
+14
A07/12
NCAA
Tennessee State
#188
W
84-60
84
60
+24
H11/12
NCAA
Murray State
#214
W
81-76 OT
81
76
+5
H14/12
NCAA
Seattle
#252
W
86-73
86
73
+13
H18/12
NCAA
Kentucky Wesleyan Panthers
#405
W
91-71
91
71
+20
H21/12
NCAA
1H
2H
49-32
55-44
30-31
36-30
40-28
39-34
33-45
35-42
36-40
54-42
32-33
47-32
44-31
40-29
33-39
34-28
38-32
48-41
46-41
45-30
154.1Avg total
82.8Scored
71.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)82.073.2155.2+8.875%
Season at home (9)85.072.4157.4+12.689%
Season away (3)73.075.3148.3-2.333%
Last 10 (10)82.871.3154.1+11.590%
Last 5 (5)84.269.0153.2+15.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)75.874.7150.5+1.250%
vs Similar (13)80.877.2158.0+3.562%
vs Weaker (9)82.670.3152.9+12.267%
This opponent (Michigan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +6.4+6.41st half: +2.9+2.92nd half2nd half: +6.8+6.82nd half: +8.1+8.1
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +6.4+6.41st half: +2.9+2.92nd half2nd half: +6.8+6.82nd half: +8.1+8.1
MichiganWestern Kentucky
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
MichiganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
TCU
#210
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H15/11
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#41
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H18/11
NCAA
Tarleton
#308
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H22/11
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#286
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A25/11
NCAA
Xavier
#82
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H28/11
NCAA
Wisconsin
#43
L
26-32
26
32
-6
A04/12
NCAA
Iowa
#192
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H07/12
NCAA
Arkansas
#118
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H11/12
NCAA
Oklahoma
#136
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H19/12
NCAA
IPFW
#128
W
54-29
54
29
+25
H22/12
NCAA
74.6Avg total
40.5Scored
34.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.635.772.4+0.960%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.635.877.4+5.976%-
Last 30 away (13)30.135.765.8-5.638%-
Last 10 (10)40.534.174.6+6.490%-
Last 5 (5)42.436.278.6+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)33.437.370.7-3.839%-
vs Similar (8)43.934.178.0+9.888%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)36.532.068.5+4.5100%-
This opponent (Western Kentucky) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Western KentuckyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Campbellsville
#458
W
49-32
49
32
+17
H13/11
NCAA
Lipscomb
#51
L
30-31
30
31
-1
H17/11
NCAA
Jackson State
#221
W
40-28
40
28
+12
H21/11
NCAA
Kentucky
#71
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A26/11
NCAA
Marshall
#124
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H01/12
NCAA
Evansville
#319
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A07/12
NCAA
Tennessee State
#188
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H11/12
NCAA
Murray State
#214
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H14/12
NCAA
Seattle
#252
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H18/12
NCAA
Kentucky Wesleyan Panthers
#405
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H21/12
NCAA
73.3Avg total
38.1Scored
35.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.136.474.5+1.750%-
Last 30 at home (19)39.836.576.3+3.353%-
Last 30 away (11)35.336.271.5-0.945%-
Last 10 (10)38.135.273.3+2.950%-
Last 5 (5)38.635.273.8+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)37.237.774.8-0.550%-
vs Similar (13)37.237.174.3+0.238%-
vs Weaker (9)38.034.672.6+3.456%-
This opponent (Michigan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Michigan wins
0
Western Kentucky wins
No previous meetings.
Michiganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/12/24HIPFW89-58
19/12/24HOklahoma86-87
11/12/24HArkansas87-89
07/12/24HIowa85-83
04/12/24AWisconsin67-64
28/11/24HXavier78-53
25/11/24AVirginia Tech75-63
22/11/24HTarleton72-49
18/11/24HMiami (Ohio)94-67
15/11/24HTCU76-64
Western Kentuckylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/24HKentucky Wesleyan Panthers91-71
18/12/24HSeattle86-73
14/12/24HMurray State81-76 OT
11/12/24HTennessee State84-60
07/12/24AEvansville79-65
01/12/24HMarshall90-82
26/11/24AKentucky68-87
21/11/24HJackson State79-62
17/11/24HLipscomb66-61
13/11/24HCampbellsville104-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Michigan
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW75%
HomeWWLLW78%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1293
Win %75%78%67%
Points / game81.785.370.7
Allowed / game66.867.066.3
Point differential+14.8+18.3+4.3
Avg total148.5152.3137.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+58%67%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Western Kentucky
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW75%
HomeWWWWW89%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1293
Win %75%89%33%
Points / game82.085.073.0
Allowed / game73.272.475.3
Point differential+8.8+12.6-2.3
Avg total155.2157.4148.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%56%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %8%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oregon1312192%79.565.6+13.9
2 Maryland1311285%87.261.1+26.2
3 Penn State1311285%88.267.0+21.2
4 UCLA1311285%77.458.7+18.7
5 Michigan State1210283%82.267.5+14.7
6 Nebraska1210283%77.866.9+10.8
7 Northwestern1310377%74.663.8+10.8
8 Wisconsin1310377%81.570.9+10.5
9 Indiana1310377%78.769.9+8.8
10 Illinois129375%86.465.6+20.8
11 Michigan129375%81.766.8+14.8
12 Iowa129375%87.874.5+13.3
13 Ohio State139469%82.869.8+12.9
14 USC139469%76.468.4+8.0
15 Purdue139469%77.071.2+5.8
16 Washington128467%73.969.1+4.8
17 Minnesota138562%67.963.8+4.1
18 Rutgers127558%78.875.2+3.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liberty1312192%81.458.2+23.2
2 Louisiana Tech1311285%80.567.0+13.5
3 UTEP1310377%74.565.9+8.5
4 Western Kentucky129375%82.073.2+8.8
5 Middle Tenn. St.139469%79.571.1+8.5
6 Kennesaw State138562%81.174.8+6.2
7 Jacksonville State127558%79.169.7+9.4
8 New Mexico State137654%74.570.3+4.2
9 Sam Houston St.137654%81.278.2+2.9
10 Missouri State137654%72.370.7+1.6
11 Delaware137654%78.076.5+1.5
12 Florida International125742%73.870.6+3.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Michigan5953112
Western Kentucky313364
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