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Western Kentucky vs Tennessee State Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 11 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 84-60
44-31 40-29
Position#182
Record5-3
FormWWLWW
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game74.8
vs
Position#188
Record3-6
FormWWLLL
Points / game83.7
Allowed / game77.8
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Western Kentucky v Tennessee State
16 Nov 2025
WEST95
TENN82
10 Dec 2024
WEST84
TENN60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Western Kentucky winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tennessee State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Western KentuckyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UTEP
#185
W
78-71
78
71
+7
H17/03
NCAA
Marquette
#36
L
69-87
69
87
-18
A22/03
NCAA
Wichita State
#147
L
84-91
84
91
-7
H05/11
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#29
L
72-74
72
74
-2
A10/11
NCAA
Campbellsville
#458
W
104-76
104
76
+28
H13/11
NCAA
Lipscomb
#51
W
66-61
66
61
+5
H17/11
NCAA
Jackson State
#221
W
79-62
79
62
+17
H21/11
NCAA
Kentucky
#71
L
68-87
68
87
-19
A26/11
NCAA
Marshall
#124
W
90-82
90
82
+8
H01/12
NCAA
Evansville
#319
W
79-65
79
65
+14
A07/12
NCAA
1H
2H
40-36
38-35
43-36
26-51
38-43
46-48
36-35
36-39
49-32
55-44
30-31
36-30
40-28
39-34
33-45
35-42
36-40
54-42
32-33
47-32
154.5Avg total
78.9Scored
75.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)80.274.8155.0+5.562%
Season at home (5)84.674.4159.0+10.280%
Season away (3)73.075.3148.3-2.333%
Last 10 (10)78.975.6154.5+3.360%
Last 5 (5)76.471.4147.8+5.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)74.277.6151.8-3.440%
vs Similar (13)79.077.0156.0+2.054%
vs Weaker (11)82.071.5153.5+10.573%
This opponent (Tennessee State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Tennessee StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Western Illinois
#92
L
59-61
59
61
-2
A08/03
NCAA
Fisk
#487
W
96-66
96
66
+30
H05/11
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
L
79-87 OT
79
87
-8
A09/11
NCAA
Wyoming
#306
L
66-81
66
81
-15
A10/11
NCAA
Howard
#302
L
84-88 OT
84
88
-4
H14/11
NCAA
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
#328
W
81-71
81
71
+10
H17/11
NCAA
EWU Phantoms
#670
W
110-33
110
33
+77
H20/11
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#46
L
78-85
78
85
-7
A26/11
NCAA
Bryant University
#81
L
85-97
85
97
-12
A26/11
NCAA
UNC Asheville
#86
L
74-92
74
92
-18
H01/12
NCAA
1H
2H
30-30
29-31
48-31
48-35
32-30
38-40
28-43
38-38
41-42
34-33
38-36
43-35
59-15
51-18
37-31
41-54
40-46
45-51
37-41
37-51
157.3Avg total
81.2Scored
76.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)83.777.8161.4+5.933%
Season at home (5)89.070.0159.0+19.060%
Season away (4)77.087.5164.5-10.50%
Last 10 (10)81.276.1157.3+5.130%
Last 5 (5)85.675.6161.2+10.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)62.078.7140.7-16.70%
vs Similar (14)73.178.9152.1-5.836%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)77.966.0143.9+11.969%
This opponent (Western Kentucky) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +1.8+1.81st half: +4.5+4.52nd half2nd half: +1.5+1.52nd half: +1.8+1.8
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +1.8+1.81st half: +4.5+4.52nd half2nd half: +1.5+1.52nd half: +1.8+1.8
Western KentuckyTennessee State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Western KentuckyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UTEP
#185
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H17/03
NCAA
Marquette
#36
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A22/03
NCAA
Wichita State
#147
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H05/11
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#29
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A10/11
NCAA
Campbellsville
#458
W
49-32
49
32
+17
H13/11
NCAA
Lipscomb
#51
L
30-31
30
31
-1
H17/11
NCAA
Jackson State
#221
W
40-28
40
28
+12
H21/11
NCAA
Kentucky
#71
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A26/11
NCAA
Marshall
#124
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H01/12
NCAA
Evansville
#319
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A07/12
NCAA
73.6Avg total
37.7Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.836.474.2+1.347%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.637.176.7+2.547%-
Last 30 away (13)35.435.570.9-0.246%-
Last 10 (10)37.735.973.6+1.850%-
Last 5 (5)34.235.469.6-1.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)35.839.074.8-3.240%-
vs Similar (13)36.736.973.6-0.238%-
vs Weaker (11)38.935.174.0+3.855%-
This opponent (Tennessee State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Tennessee StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Western Illinois
#92
D
30-30
30
30
+0
A08/03
NCAA
Fisk
#487
W
48-31
48
31
+17
H05/11
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
W
32-30
32
30
+2
A09/11
NCAA
Wyoming
#306
L
28-43
28
43
-15
A10/11
NCAA
Howard
#302
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H14/11
NCAA
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
#328
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H17/11
NCAA
EWU Phantoms
#670
W
59-15
59
15
+44
H20/11
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#46
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A26/11
NCAA
Bryant University
#81
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A26/11
NCAA
UNC Asheville
#86
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H01/12
NCAA
73.5Avg total
39.0Scored
34.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.635.169.7-0.537%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.834.871.6+2.033%-
Last 30 away (15)32.435.367.7-2.940%-
Last 10 (10)39.034.573.5+4.550%-
Last 5 (5)42.233.876.0+8.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)30.339.770.0-9.30%-
vs Similar (14)33.836.670.4-2.829%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)36.532.468.8+4.154%-
This opponent (Western Kentucky) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Western Kentucky wins
0
Tennessee State wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/24AEvansville79-65
01/12/24HMarshall90-82
26/11/24AKentucky68-87
21/11/24HJackson State79-62
17/11/24HLipscomb66-61
13/11/24HCampbellsville104-76
10/11/24AGrand Canyon72-74
05/11/24HWichita State84-91
22/03/24AMarquette69-87
17/03/24HUTEP78-71
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/12/24HUNC Asheville74-92
26/11/24ABryant University85-97
26/11/24AChattanooga Mocs78-85
20/11/24HEWU Phantoms110-33
17/11/24HAlabama A&M Bulldogs81-71
14/11/24HHoward84-88 OT
10/11/24AWyoming66-81
09/11/24AColorado State79-87 OT
05/11/24HFisk96-66
08/03/24AWestern Illinois59-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Western Kentucky
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW62%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %62%80%33%
Points / game80.284.673.0
Allowed / game74.874.475.3
Point differential+5.5+10.2-2.3
Avg total155.0159.0148.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%40%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Tennessee State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL33%
HomeWLWWL60%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %33%60%0%
Points / game83.789.077.0
Allowed / game77.870.087.5
Point differential+5.9+19.0-10.5
Avg total161.4159.0164.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%60%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %22%20%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liberty109190%77.257.6+19.6
2 Louisiana Tech108280%78.868.2+10.6
3 UTEP86275%75.865.4+10.4
4 Middle Tenn. St.107370%82.871.3+11.5
5 Kennesaw State107370%80.371.3+9.0
6 Western Kentucky85362%80.274.8+5.5
7 Delaware106460%78.275.1+3.1
8 Jacksonville State95456%79.667.4+12.1
9 Missouri State95456%77.074.0+3.0
10 Sam Houston St.105550%78.678.8-0.2
11 New Mexico State94544%73.172.4+0.7
12 Florida International93633%73.970.1+3.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Ohio Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Siu Edwardsville106460%74.168.0+6.1
2 Western Illinois106460%72.067.0+5.0
3 UALR95456%67.670.4-2.9
4 Southern Indiana94544%78.774.8+3.9
5 Lindenwood104640%73.968.8+5.1
6 Tennessee Tech104640%72.078.6-6.6
7 Tennessee State93633%83.777.8+5.9
8 UT Martin93633%73.071.6+1.4
9 Southeast Missouri State93633%71.772.6-0.9
10 Eastern Illinois93633%68.475.3-6.9
11 Morehead State93633%67.674.8-7.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Western Kentucky444084
Tennessee State312960
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