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Middle Tenn. St. vs UTSA Roadrunners Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 84-60
35-29 49-31
Position#143
Record14-9
FormWWLLW
Points / game70.4
Allowed / game67.0
vs
Position#331
Record7-17
FormLLLLL
Points / game67.5
Allowed / game74.4
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Middle Tenn. St. v UTSA Roadrunners
04 Feb 2023
MIDD84
UTSA60
07 Feb 2022
MIDD84
UTSA75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Middle Tenn. St. winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UTSA Roadrunners winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Middle Tenn. St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Western Kentucky
#199
W
65-60
65
60
+5
H31/12
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#331
L
72-75
72
75
-3
A06/01
NCAA
North Texas
#19
L
51-56
51
56
-5
H07/01
NCAA
Rice
#164
W
71-68
71
68
+3
A12/01
NCAA
UAB
#44
W
74-73 OT
74
73
+1
H17/01
NCAA
Charlotte
#149
W
62-58
62
58
+4
H20/01
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#237
W
68-51
68
51
+17
A21/01
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#6
L
67-85
67
85
-18
A27/01
NCAA
Florida International
#255
L
74-82
74
82
-8
A29/01
NCAA
UTEP
#250
W
84-72
84
72
+12
H03/02
NCAA
1H
2H
19-27
46-33
28-34
44-41
37-31
14-25
22-36
49-32
31-31
35-35
26-27
36-31
43-24
25-27
30-38
37-47
39-44
35-38
38-31
46-41
136.8Avg total
68.8Scored
68.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)70.467.0137.3+3.461%
Season at home (13)71.761.5133.2+10.285%
Season away (10)68.774.0142.7-5.330%
Last 10 (10)68.868.0136.8+0.860%
Last 5 (5)71.069.6140.6+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)71.672.0143.6-0.457%
vs Similar (14)72.369.9142.2+2.457%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)73.764.4138.1+9.357%
This opponent (UTSA Roadrunners) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UTSA RoadrunnersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Middle Tenn. St.
#143
W
75-72
75
72
+3
H06/01
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#199
L
64-74
64
74
-10
H07/01
NCAA
UTEP
#250
L
57-69
57
69
-12
A12/01
NCAA
Charlotte
#149
L
54-72
54
72
-18
A14/01
NCAA
Rice
#164
L
81-88 OT
81
88
-7
H17/01
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#6
L
64-83
64
83
-19
H20/01
NCAA
Florida International
#255
L
72-77
72
77
-5
H21/01
NCAA
North Texas
#19
L
59-63
59
63
-4
A27/01
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#237
L
55-66
55
66
-11
H28/01
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#199
L
74-81
74
81
-7
A03/02
NCAA
1H
2H
34-28
41-44
20-38
44-36
27-30
30-39
22-34
32-38
45-32
27-40
30-46
34-37
31-43
41-34
27-34
32-29
18-25
37-41
40-39
34-42
140.0Avg total
65.5Scored
74.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)67.574.4141.8-6.929%
Season at home (15)69.270.6139.8-1.447%
Season away (9)64.680.7145.2-16.10%
Last 10 (10)65.574.5140.0-9.010%
Last 5 (5)64.874.0138.8-9.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)65.876.1142.0-10.320%
vs Similar (1)90.069.0159.0+21.0100%
vs Weaker (4)75.563.0138.5+12.575%
This opponent (Middle Tenn. St.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: -1.0-1.01st half: -5.5-5.52nd half2nd half: +1.7+1.72nd half: -2.8-2.8
-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: -1.0-1.01st half: -5.5-5.52nd half2nd half: +1.7+1.72nd half: -2.8-2.8
Middle Tenn. St.UTSA Roadrunners
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Middle Tenn. St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Western Kentucky
#199
L
19-27
19
27
-8
H31/12
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#331
L
28-34
28
34
-6
A06/01
NCAA
North Texas
#19
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H07/01
NCAA
Rice
#164
L
22-36
22
36
-14
A12/01
NCAA
UAB
#44
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H17/01
NCAA
Charlotte
#149
L
26-27
26
27
-1
H20/01
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#237
W
43-24
43
24
+19
A21/01
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#6
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A27/01
NCAA
Florida International
#255
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A29/01
NCAA
UTEP
#250
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H03/02
NCAA
63.6Avg total
31.3Scored
32.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.331.364.6+2.147%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.829.264.1+5.662%-
Last 30 away (14)31.633.665.2-1.929%-
Last 10 (10)31.332.363.6-1.030%-
Last 5 (5)35.232.868.0+2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)33.631.364.9+2.357%-
vs Similar (14)32.631.464.1+1.243%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)33.931.965.7+2.043%-
This opponent (UTSA Roadrunners) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UTSA RoadrunnersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Middle Tenn. St.
#143
W
34-28
34
28
+6
H06/01
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#199
L
20-38
20
38
-18
H07/01
NCAA
UTEP
#250
L
27-30
27
30
-3
A12/01
NCAA
Charlotte
#149
L
22-34
22
34
-12
A14/01
NCAA
Rice
#164
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H17/01
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#6
L
30-46
30
46
-16
H20/01
NCAA
Florida International
#255
L
31-43
31
43
-12
H21/01
NCAA
North Texas
#19
L
27-34
27
34
-7
A27/01
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#237
L
18-25
18
25
-7
H28/01
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#199
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A03/02
NCAA
64.3Avg total
29.4Scored
34.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.734.665.3-4.037%-
Last 30 at home (19)30.232.362.5-2.147%-
Last 30 away (11)31.538.770.2-7.318%-
Last 10 (10)29.434.964.3-5.530%-
Last 5 (5)29.237.466.6-8.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)29.735.565.2-5.832%-
vs Similar (1)49.038.087.0+11.0100%-
vs Weaker (4)32.228.260.5+4.050%-
This opponent (Middle Tenn. St.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Middle Tenn. St. wins
1
UTSA Roadrunners wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/02/23HUTEP84-72
29/01/23AFlorida International74-82
27/01/23AFlorida Atlantic67-85
21/01/23ALouisiana Tech68-51
20/01/23HCharlotte62-58
17/01/23HUAB74-73 OT
12/01/23ARice71-68
07/01/23HNorth Texas51-56
06/01/23AUTSA Roadrunners72-75
31/12/22HWestern Kentucky65-60
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/02/23AWestern Kentucky74-81
28/01/23HLouisiana Tech55-66
27/01/23ANorth Texas59-63
21/01/23HFlorida International72-77
20/01/23HFlorida Atlantic64-83
17/01/23HRice81-88 OT
14/01/23ACharlotte54-72
12/01/23AUTEP57-69
07/01/23HWestern Kentucky64-74
06/01/23HMiddle Tenn. St.75-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Middle Tenn. St.
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW61%
HomeWLWWW85%
AwayLWWLL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231310
Win %61%85%30%
Points / game70.471.768.7
Allowed / game67.061.574.0
Point differential+3.4+10.2-5.3
Avg total137.3133.2142.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%54%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)80% (5)50% (2)
Overtime %9%8%10%
UTSA Roadrunners
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL29%
HomeLLLLL47%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games24159
Win %29%47%0%
Points / game67.569.264.6
Allowed / game74.470.680.7
Point differential-6.9-1.4-16.1
Avg total141.8139.8145.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%13%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %8%13%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liberty2519676%74.658.8+15.8
2 Kennesaw State2418675%76.268.9+7.2
3 Sam Houston St.2317674%75.659.3+16.3
4 Middle Tenn. St.2314961%70.467.0+3.4
5 Louisiana Tech23131057%74.668.6+6.0
6 Western Kentucky24131154%73.169.8+3.3
7 Missouri State23121152%66.263.2+3.0
8 Florida International24121250%71.873.5-1.8
9 Delaware25121348%69.870.8-0.9
10 UTEP23111248%68.566.8+1.7
11 Jacksonville State25101540%68.869.9-1.2
12 New Mexico State2281436%73.671.2+2.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
American Conference conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Florida Atlantic2422292%77.064.0+13.0
2 North Texas2318578%61.854.7+7.0
3 Memphis2317674%80.273.0+7.3
4 UAB2417771%81.970.8+11.2
5 Tulane2215768%81.474.9+6.5
6 Rice2215768%79.073.3+5.7
7 Temple2314961%69.468.1+1.3
8 Charlotte23131057%66.761.6+5.1
9 Wichita State22111150%68.066.1+1.9
10 East Carolina24121250%69.570.1-0.6
11 South Florida23101343%72.370.7+1.6
12 UTSA Roadrunners2471729%67.574.4-6.9
13 Tulsa2151624%68.676.5-7.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Middle Tenn. St.354984
UTSA Roadrunners293160
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