Minas vs Joinville Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 26 Jan 2012

Tip-off: 22:00

Final 72-75

16-10 15-25 19-19 22-21

Position#12

Record5-9

FormLWLWL

Points / game77.7

Allowed / game80.7

Minas

Joinville 🏆

Position#8

Record5-9

FormWWLLL

Points / game74.1

Allowed / game77.9

NBBRound 16

Other2011-12

Meetings · Minas v Joinville

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minas winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Joinville winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Minas

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Unitri Universo

73-86

-13

A03/12

NBB

Limeira

96-93 OT

H08/12

NBB

Lupo Araraquara

#14

83-72

+11

H10/12

NBB

Joinville

70-81

-11

A13/12

NBB

Paulistano

83-88

-5

A15/12

NBB

Pinheiros

90-97

-7

A17/12

NBB

Vila Velha

#15

84-78

A07/01

NBB

Bauru

70-78

-8

H12/01

NBB

Sorocabana

#11

84-75

H14/01

NBB

Brasilia

69-81

-12

H19/01

NBB

11-27

30-13

15-21

17-25

24-20

17-21

14-26

31-19

22-16

13-16

26-24

22-16

19-25

14-19

16-15

21-22

17-30

23-14

23-19

20-25

17-21

21-22

23-26

29-28

19-21

16-15

20-18

29-24

15-23

17-18

11-18

27-19

16-6

14-15

29-23

25-31

21-22

18-18

20-18

10-23

163.1Avg total

80.2Scored

82.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (14)	77.7	80.7	158.4	-3.0	36%
Season at home (7)	76.3	79.3	155.6	-3.0	43%
Season away (7)	79.1	82.1	161.3	-3.0	29%
Last 10 (10)	80.2	82.9	163.1	-2.7	40%
Last 5 (5)	79.4	81.8	161.2	-2.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	74.5	83.9	158.5	-9.4	18%
vs Similar (3)	78.3	69.7	148.0	+8.7	67%
vs Weaker (5)	74.4	69.8	144.2	+4.6	80%

This opponent (Joinville) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Joinville

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Flamengo

65-88

-23

H08/12

NBB

Tijuca

#13

74-72

H10/12

NBB

Minas

#12

81-70

+11

H13/12

NBB

Franca

#10

87-91 OT

-4

A15/12

NBB

Unitri Universo

76-83

-7

A17/12

NBB

Limeira

70-55

+15

H05/01

NBB

Lupo Araraquara

#14

69-50

+19

H07/01

NBB

Paulistano

79-90

-11

A12/01

NBB

Pinheiros

76-89

-13

A14/01

NBB

Sao Jose

81-86

-5

H19/01

NBB

17-15

9-21

17-21

22-31

20-18

11-19

23-17

20-18

25-19

19-14

15-16

22-21

17-25

17-22

19-9

19-16

20-25

20-27

16-8

20-23

14-16

13-15

26-11

17-13

11-8

14-13

24-19

20-10

12-22

17-19

26-23

24-26

26-25

18-22

14-20

18-22

19-18

22-20

19-22

21-26

153.2Avg total

75.8Scored

77.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (14)	74.1	77.9	151.9	-3.8	36%
Season at home (8)	73.2	71.9	145.1	+1.4	62%
Season away (6)	75.2	85.8	161.0	-10.7	0%
Last 10 (10)	75.8	77.4	153.2	-1.6	40%
Last 5 (5)	75.0	74.0	149.0	+1.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	75.1	86.1	161.3	-11.0	0%
vs Similar (10)	79.1	83.4	162.5	-4.3	30%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	79.4	69.2	148.6	+10.2	77%

This opponent (Minas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

MinasJoinville

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (14)	16.6	19.7	36.4	-3.1	21%	-
Last 30 at home (7)	17.3	16.7	34.0	+0.6	43%	-
Last 30 away (7)	16.0	22.7	38.7	-6.7	0%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	21.1	39.2	-3.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	18.6	36.2	-1.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	16.7	22.1	38.8	-5.4	10%	-
vs Similar (2)	12.5	9.0	21.5	+3.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (2)	20.5	18.5	39.0	+2.0	50%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (15)	17.8	19.8	37.6	-2.0	53%	-
Last 30 at home (8)	17.8	15.8	33.5	+2.0	88%	-
Last 30 away (7)	17.9	24.4	42.3	-6.6	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	19.1	37.2	-1.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.4	17.8	34.2	-1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	19.3	20.7	40.0	-1.3	67%	-
vs Similar (4)	15.5	21.8	37.2	-6.2	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	17.8	17.2	35.0	+0.6	80%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (14)	18.5	18.8	37.3	-0.3	21%	-
Last 30 at home (7)	16.4	19.6	36.0	-3.1	0%	-
Last 30 away (7)	20.6	18.0	38.6	+2.6	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	17.1	35.4	+1.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	17.6	34.8	-0.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	19.5	19.5	39.0	+0.0	20%	-
vs Similar (2)	17.5	18.5	36.0	-1.0	0%	-
vs Weaker (2)	14.5	15.5	30.0	-1.0	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (15)	15.3	18.9	34.1	-3.6	27%	-
Last 30 at home (8)	14.2	18.1	32.4	-3.9	38%	-
Last 30 away (7)	16.4	19.7	36.1	-3.3	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.0	19.2	35.2	-3.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	17.8	34.6	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	17.0	22.2	39.2	-5.2	33%	-
vs Similar (4)	15.5	18.5	34.0	-3.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	13.0	15.2	28.2	-2.2	40%	-

MinasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Unitri Universo

41-40

A03/12

NBB

Limeira

41-41

H08/12

NBB

Lupo Araraquara

#14

35-32

H10/12

NBB

Joinville

33-44

-11

A13/12

NBB

Paulistano

40-44

-4

A15/12

NBB

Pinheiros

38-43

-5

A17/12

NBB

Vila Velha

#15

35-36

-1

A07/01

NBB

Bauru

32-41

-9

H12/01

NBB

Sorocabana

#11

30-21

H14/01

NBB

Brasilia

39-40

-1

H19/01

NBB

74.6Avg total

36.4Scored

38.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (14)	35.1	38.5	73.6	-3.4	21%	-
Last 30 at home (7)	33.7	36.3	70.0	-2.6	29%	-
Last 30 away (7)	36.6	40.7	77.3	-4.1	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.4	38.2	74.6	-1.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.8	36.2	71.0	-1.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	36.2	41.6	77.8	-5.4	10%	-
vs Similar (2)	30.0	27.5	57.5	+2.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (2)	35.0	34.0	69.0	+1.0	50%	-

This opponent (Joinville) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

JoinvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Flamengo

26-36

-10

H08/12

NBB

Tijuca

#13

31-37

-6

H10/12

NBB

Minas

#12

44-33

+11

H13/12

NBB

Franca

#10

34-47

-13

A15/12

NBB

Unitri Universo

40-52

-12

A17/12

NBB

Limeira

27-31

-4

H05/01

NBB

Lupo Araraquara

#14

25-21

H07/01

NBB

Paulistano

29-41

-12

A12/01

NBB

Pinheiros

44-47

-3

A14/01

NBB

Sao Jose

41-38

H19/01

NBB

72.4Avg total

34.1Scored

38.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (15)	33.1	38.7	71.7	-5.6	20%	-
Last 30 at home (8)	32.0	33.9	65.9	-1.9	38%	-
Last 30 away (7)	34.3	44.1	78.4	-9.9	0%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.1	38.3	72.4	-4.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.2	35.6	68.8	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	36.3	42.8	79.2	-6.5	17%	-
vs Similar (4)	31.0	40.2	71.2	-9.2	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	30.8	32.4	63.2	-1.6	40%	-

This opponent (Minas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (14)	18.5	19.4	37.9	-0.9	50%	-
Last 30 at home (7)	17.9	20.7	38.6	-2.9	43%	-
Last 30 away (7)	19.1	18.0	37.1	+1.1	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	20.8	40.5	-1.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	20.6	41.2	+0.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	17.7	19.4	37.1	-1.7	40%	-
vs Similar (2)	18.0	17.5	35.5	+0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (2)	23.0	21.0	44.0	+2.0	100%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (15)	19.3	17.7	36.9	+1.6	47%	-
Last 30 at home (8)	20.2	17.9	38.1	+2.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (7)	18.1	17.4	35.6	+0.7	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	16.6	36.5	+3.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	19.0	40.8	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	17.3	19.3	36.7	-2.0	17%	-
vs Similar (4)	22.0	15.5	37.5	+6.5	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	19.4	17.4	36.8	+2.0	60%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (14)	23.4	22.4	45.7	+1.0	57%	-
Last 30 at home (7)	23.3	21.3	44.6	+2.0	57%	-
Last 30 away (7)	23.4	23.4	46.9	+0.0	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.1	23.2	46.3	-0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.0	25.0	49.0	-1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	22.6	21.5	44.1	+1.1	60%	-
vs Similar (2)	25.0	29.0	54.0	-4.0	0%	-
vs Weaker (2)	25.5	20.0	45.5	+5.5	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (15)	19.7	20.1	39.8	-0.5	40%	-
Last 30 at home (8)	19.5	19.1	38.6	+0.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (7)	19.9	21.3	41.1	-1.4	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	20.6	40.9	-0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	19.4	39.4	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	19.3	23.3	42.7	-4.0	0%	-
vs Similar (4)	19.8	19.5	39.2	+0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	20.0	16.8	36.8	+3.2	80%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (14)	41.9	41.7	83.6	+0.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (7)	41.1	42.0	83.1	-0.9	43%	-
Last 30 away (7)	42.6	41.4	84.0	+1.1	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.8	44.0	86.8	-1.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.6	45.6	90.2	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	40.3	40.9	81.2	-0.6	40%	-
vs Similar (2)	43.0	46.5	89.5	-3.5	0%	-
vs Weaker (2)	48.5	41.0	89.5	+7.5	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (15)	38.9	37.8	76.7	+1.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (8)	39.8	37.0	76.8	+2.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (7)	38.0	38.7	76.7	-0.7	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.2	37.2	77.4	+3.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.8	38.4	80.2	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	36.7	42.7	79.3	-6.0	17%	-
vs Similar (4)	41.8	35.0	76.8	+6.8	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	39.4	34.2	73.6	+5.2	60%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Minas wins

Joinville wins

Date	Game	Score
13/12/11	Joinville v Minas	81-70
20/04/11	Joinville v Minas	71-66
17/04/11	Minas v Joinville	74-85
14/04/11	Joinville v Minas	78-80
12/04/11	Joinville v Minas	84-77
09/04/11	Minas v Joinville	83-81
13/03/11	Joinville v Minas	80-52
09/01/11	Minas v Joinville	80-81
17/04/09	Joinville v Minas	75-64
05/04/09	Minas v Joinville	110-89

Minaslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
19/01/12	H	Brasilia	69-81
14/01/12	H	Sorocabana	84-75
12/01/12	H	Bauru	70-78
07/01/12	A	Vila Velha	84-78
17/12/11	A	Pinheiros	90-97
15/12/11	A	Paulistano	83-88
13/12/11	A	Joinville	70-81
10/12/11	H	Lupo Araraquara	83-72
08/12/11	H	Limeira	96-93 OT
03/12/11	A	Unitri Universo	73-86

Joinvillelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
19/01/12	H	Sao Jose	81-86
14/01/12	A	Pinheiros	76-89
12/01/12	A	Paulistano	79-90
07/01/12	H	Lupo Araraquara	69-50
05/01/12	H	Limeira	70-55
17/12/11	A	Unitri Universo	76-83
15/12/11	A	Franca	87-91 OT
13/12/11	H	Minas	81-70
10/12/11	H	Tijuca	74-72
08/12/11	H	Flamengo	65-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minas

NBB 2011-12

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWL	36%
Home	WWLWL	43%
Away	LLLLW	29%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	14	7	7
Win %	36%	43%	29%
Points / game	77.7	76.3	79.1
Allowed / game	80.7	79.3	82.1
Point differential	-3.0	-3.0	-3.0
Avg total	158.4	155.6	161.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	14%	14%	14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (3)	100% (1)	0% (2)
Overtime %	7%	14%	0%

Joinville

NBB 2011-12

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLL	36%
Home	WWWWL	62%
Away	LLLLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	14	8	6
Win %	36%	62%	0%
Points / game	74.1	73.2	75.2
Allowed / game	77.9	71.9	85.8
Point differential	-3.8	+1.4	-10.7
Avg total	151.9	145.1	161.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	21%	38%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (4)	67% (3)	0% (1)
Overtime %	14%	12%	17%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Flamengo	14	12	2	86%	91.4	71.6	+19.7
2	Pinheiros	14	11	3	79%	89.1	79.4	+9.8
3	Unitri Universo	14	11	3	79%	89.4	79.9	+9.5
4	Sao Jose	15	11	4	73%	88.5	78.7	+9.7
5	Bauru	14	10	4	71%	84.7	75.9	+8.8
6	Paulistano	14	9	5	64%	87.1	83.2	+3.9
7	Brasilia	15	9	6	60%	83.9	82.5	+1.3
8	Limeira	14	7	7	50%	82.1	76.6	+5.5
9	Sorocabana	15	6	9	40%	74.8	83.6	-8.8
10	Minas	14	5	9	36%	77.7	80.7	-3.0
11	Joinville	14	5	9	36%	74.1	77.9	-3.8
12	Franca	14	5	9	36%	82.0	86.5	-4.5
13	Tijuca	14	4	10	29%	75.9	85.6	-9.8
14	Lupo Araraquara	14	1	13	7%	73.2	88.6	-15.4
15	Vila Velha	15	1	14	7%	63.7	85.3	-21.6

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Minas	16	15	19	22	72
Joinville	10	25	19	21	75

← all games of the day

Minas vs Joinville Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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