Minas vs Vila Velha Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 07 Mar 2013

Tip-off: 22:30

Final 95-72

23-14 17-15 21-18 34-25

Position#10

Record13-12

FormWWLLW

Points / game83.6

Allowed / game82.6

Minas 🏆

Vila Velha

Position#16

Record8-17

FormWLWLL

Points / game79.9

Allowed / game84.1

NBBRound 27

Other2012-13

Meetings · Minas v Vila Velha

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minas winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Vila Velha winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Minas

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sorocabana

#12

84-82

A24/01

NBB

Bauru

59-91

-32

A26/01

NBB

Tijuca

#17

75-65

+10

A31/01

NBB

Flamengo

77-90

-13

A02/02

NBB

Joinville

#14

78-69

H05/02

NBB

Limeira

#11

81-61

+20

H07/02

NBB

Suzano

#18

97-76

+21

A14/02

NBB

Palmeiras

#13

87-96

-9

A16/02

NBB

Paulistano

109-114 OT

109

114

-5

H20/02

NBB

Pinheiros

101-75

101

+26

H23/02

NBB

21-11

24-20

22-23

17-28

21-29

12-22

8-23

18-17

24-16

20-17

12-17

19-15

14-17

15-18

20-27

28-28

27-19

14-13

18-13

19-24

20-23

16-20

22-12

23-6

20-12

19-27

26-19

32-18

18-15

22-30

21-17

26-34

24-25

17-15

19-19

15-16

27-15

28-17

17-20

29-23

166.7Avg total

84.8Scored

81.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (25)	83.6	82.6	166.2	+1.0	52%
Season at home (12)	89.0	81.3	170.3	+7.7	67%
Season away (13)	78.7	83.8	162.5	-5.1	38%
Last 10 (10)	84.8	81.9	166.7	+2.9	60%
Last 5 (5)	95.0	84.4	179.4	+10.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	77.3	89.3	166.7	-12.0	0%
vs Similar (14)	84.1	82.6	166.8	+1.5	57%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	84.3	75.6	159.9	+8.7	86%

This opponent (Vila Velha) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Vila Velha Brazil

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bauru

70-85

-15

A24/01

NBB

Sorocabana

#12

76-82

-6

A26/01

NBB

Flamengo

77-96

-19

A31/01

NBB

Tijuca

#17

74-82

-8

A02/02

NBB

Limeira

#11

72-64

H05/02

NBB

Joinville

#14

67-59

H07/02

NBB

Palmeiras

#13

65-87

-22

A14/02

NBB

Suzano

#18

94-88

A16/02

NBB

Pinheiros

74-78

-4

H21/02

NBB

Paulistano

120-126 OT

120

126

-6

H23/02

NBB

16-25

17-16

23-20

14-24

13-33

16-16

22-13

25-20

30-25

14-19

18-24

15-28

22-24

9-18

21-28

22-12

11-23

14-15

16-7

31-19

23-17

12-21

18-10

14-11

17-18

16-23

16-25

16-21

17-23

26-13

19-19

32-33

19-20

24-9

17-29

14-20

23-21

21-19

28-29

13-16

163.6Avg total

78.9Scored

84.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (25)	79.9	84.1	164.0	-4.2	32%
Season at home (13)	80.4	81.1	161.5	-0.7	46%
Season away (12)	79.4	87.3	166.8	-7.9	17%
Last 10 (10)	78.9	84.7	163.6	-5.8	30%
Last 5 (5)	84.0	87.6	171.6	-3.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	79.8	85.7	165.4	-6.0	15%
vs Similar (8)	72.5	76.1	148.6	-3.6	50%
vs Weaker (2)	90.0	88.5	178.5	+1.5	50%

This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

MinasVila Velha

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	20.1	41.6	+1.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	24.0	21.3	45.3	+2.7	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	19.6	19.2	38.8	+0.5	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	18.2	39.8	+3.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	18.0	39.8	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	21.8	23.1	44.9	-1.3	22%	-
vs Similar (14)	20.9	17.7	38.6	+3.2	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	22.4	21.0	43.4	+1.4	57%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.3	20.7	39.0	-2.5	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	17.9	19.6	37.5	-1.8	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.7	22.0	40.7	-3.3	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	22.9	42.0	-3.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	19.8	39.6	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	18.4	21.1	39.5	-2.7	40%	-
vs Similar (8)	17.5	19.8	37.2	-2.2	38%	-
vs Weaker (2)	19.5	21.0	40.5	-1.5	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	17.5	35.9	+0.8	53%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.2	16.6	36.8	+3.6	69%	-
Last 30 away (17)	16.9	18.2	35.2	-1.3	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	19.9	38.6	-1.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	21.8	42.2	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	16.4	18.2	34.7	-1.8	44%	-
vs Similar (14)	17.7	17.8	35.5	-0.1	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	22.1	16.1	38.3	+6.0	86%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	18.8	37.2	-0.4	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.4	17.8	36.2	+0.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.4	20.0	38.4	-1.6	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.9	16.9	33.8	+0.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	17.0	36.8	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	18.6	19.2	37.8	-0.6	35%	-
vs Similar (8)	16.6	18.0	34.6	-1.4	38%	-
vs Weaker (2)	23.0	18.5	41.5	+4.5	50%	-

MinasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sorocabana

#12

45-31

+14

A24/01

NBB

Bauru

33-51

-18

A26/01

NBB

Tijuca

#17

44-33

+11

A31/01

NBB

Flamengo

29-35

-6

A02/02

NBB

Joinville

#14

41-32

H05/02

NBB

Limeira

#11

36-43

-7

H07/02

NBB

Suzano

#18

39-39

A14/02

NBB

Palmeiras

#13

40-45

-5

A16/02

NBB

Paulistano

41-40

H20/02

NBB

Pinheiros

55-32

+23

H23/02

NBB

78.4Avg total

40.3Scored

38.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.9	37.6	77.5	+2.3	60%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	44.2	37.9	82.2	+6.3	77%	-
Last 30 away (17)	36.6	37.4	74.0	-0.8	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.3	38.1	78.4	+2.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.2	39.8	82.0	+2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	38.2	41.3	79.6	-3.1	44%	-
vs Similar (14)	38.6	35.5	74.1	+3.1	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	44.6	37.1	81.7	+7.4	86%	-

This opponent (Vila Velha) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Vila VelhaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bauru

33-41

-8

A24/01

NBB

Sorocabana

#12

29-49

-20

A26/01

NBB

Flamengo

44-44

A31/01

NBB

Tijuca

#17

31-42

-11

A02/02

NBB

Limeira

#11

25-38

-13

H05/02

NBB

Joinville

#14

35-38

-3

H07/02

NBB

Palmeiras

#13

33-41

-8

A14/02

NBB

Suzano

#18

43-36

A16/02

NBB

Pinheiros

43-29

+14

H21/02

NBB

Paulistano

44-40

H23/02

NBB

75.8Avg total

36.0Scored

39.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.7	39.6	76.2	-2.9	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	36.3	37.4	73.8	-1.1	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.1	42.0	79.1	-4.9	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.0	39.8	75.8	-3.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.6	36.8	76.4	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	37.1	40.3	77.4	-3.2	30%	-
vs Similar (8)	34.1	37.8	71.9	-3.6	38%	-
vs Weaker (2)	42.5	39.5	82.0	+3.0	50%	-

This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	21.2	40.5	-1.9	23%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.8	19.3	39.1	+0.5	31%	-
Last 30 away (17)	18.9	22.6	41.5	-3.6	18%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	19.0	37.5	-0.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	17.4	38.4	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	19.9	25.0	44.9	-5.1	11%	-
vs Similar (14)	19.6	20.7	40.4	-1.1	29%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	17.9	17.1	35.0	+0.7	29%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	20.7	39.9	-1.5	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.6	20.1	38.6	-1.5	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.0	21.4	41.4	-1.4	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	20.4	40.2	-0.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	22.4	42.0	-2.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	19.9	21.4	41.4	-1.5	30%	-
vs Similar (8)	17.4	19.0	36.4	-1.6	50%	-
vs Weaker (2)	19.5	20.0	39.5	-0.5	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	22.4	43.6	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.2	20.4	41.5	+0.8	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	21.3	23.9	45.2	-2.6	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.6	20.9	43.5	+1.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.0	19.4	44.4	+5.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	19.2	23.0	42.2	-3.8	33%	-
vs Similar (14)	22.2	22.6	44.8	-0.4	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	21.9	21.3	43.1	+0.6	43%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	21.7	43.1	-0.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.6	20.2	40.8	+0.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.4	23.4	45.9	-1.0	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	20.4	40.0	-0.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	20.2	38.0	-2.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	20.9	21.9	42.8	-0.9	50%	-
vs Similar (8)	21.0	19.4	40.4	+1.6	62%	-
vs Weaker (2)	28.0	29.0	57.0	-1.0	0%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.5	43.6	84.1	-3.0	27%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	40.9	39.7	80.6	+1.2	38%	-
Last 30 away (17)	40.2	46.5	86.8	-6.3	18%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.1	39.9	81.0	+1.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.0	36.8	82.8	+9.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	39.1	48.0	87.1	-8.9	11%	-
vs Similar (14)	41.9	43.3	85.1	-1.4	29%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	39.7	38.4	78.1	+1.3	43%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.7	42.4	83.1	-1.7	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	39.1	40.2	79.4	-1.1	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	42.4	44.9	87.3	-2.4	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.4	40.8	80.2	-1.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.4	42.6	80.0	-5.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	40.9	43.4	84.2	-2.5	40%	-
vs Similar (8)	38.4	38.4	76.8	+0.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (2)	47.5	49.0	96.5	-1.5	0%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Minas wins

Vila Velha wins

Date	Game	Score
20/12/12	Vila Velha v Minas	82-84
15/03/12	Minas v Vila Velha	73-72
07/01/12	Vila Velha v Minas	78-84
13/02/11	Vila Velha v Minas	71-73
21/11/10	Minas v Vila Velha	95-86
22/04/09	Minas v Vila Velha	101-70
04/03/09	Vila Velha v Minas	69-99

Minaslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
23/02/13	H	Pinheiros	101-75
20/02/13	H	Paulistano	109-114 OT
16/02/13	A	Palmeiras	87-96
14/02/13	A	Suzano	97-76
07/02/13	H	Limeira	81-61
05/02/13	H	Joinville	78-69
02/02/13	A	Flamengo	77-90
31/01/13	A	Tijuca	75-65
26/01/13	A	Bauru	59-91
24/01/13	A	Sorocabana	84-82

Vila Velhalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
23/02/13	H	Paulistano	120-126 OT
21/02/13	H	Pinheiros	74-78
16/02/13	A	Suzano	94-88
14/02/13	A	Palmeiras	65-87
07/02/13	H	Joinville	67-59
05/02/13	H	Limeira	72-64
02/02/13	A	Tijuca	74-82
31/01/13	A	Flamengo	77-96
26/01/13	A	Sorocabana	76-82
24/01/13	A	Bauru	70-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minas

NBB 2012-13

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLW	52%
Home	LWWLW	67%
Away	LWLWL	38%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	25	12	13
Win %	52%	67%	38%
Points / game	83.6	89.0	78.7
Allowed / game	82.6	81.3	83.8
Point differential	+1.0	+7.7	-5.1
Avg total	166.2	170.3	162.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	28%	42%	15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	44% (9)	25% (4)	60% (5)
Overtime %	8%	8%	8%

Vila Velha

NBB 2012-13

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLL	32%
Home	WWWLL	46%
Away	LLLLW	17%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	25	13	12
Win %	32%	46%	17%
Points / game	79.9	80.4	79.4
Allowed / game	84.1	81.1	87.3
Point differential	-4.2	-0.7	-7.9
Avg total	164.0	161.5	166.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	4%	0%	8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	17% (6)	25% (4)	0% (2)
Overtime %	4%	8%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Flamengo	25	23	2	92%	90.8	75.2	+15.7
2	Brasilia	24	20	4	83%	89.1	78.3	+10.8
3	Franca	25	17	8	68%	80.0	72.4	+7.7
4	Unitri Universo	25	17	8	68%	82.9	78.1	+4.8
5	Bauru	25	16	9	64%	82.5	76.8	+5.7
6	Pinheiros	25	16	9	64%	86.6	84.1	+2.5
7	Sao Jose	26	16	10	62%	80.1	77.0	+3.1
8	Paulistano	24	14	10	58%	82.5	82.1	+0.4
9	Minas	25	13	12	52%	83.6	82.6	+1.0
10	Cearense	24	11	13	46%	79.6	81.0	-1.4
11	Sorocabana	24	11	13	46%	76.4	79.8	-3.4
12	Limeira	25	11	14	44%	80.4	79.3	+1.1
13	Mogi	25	9	16	36%	74.6	81.2	-6.6
14	Vila Velha	25	8	17	32%	79.9	84.1	-4.2
15	Joinville	25	8	17	32%	73.2	77.6	-4.4
16	Palmeiras	24	6	18	25%	75.5	82.8	-7.2
17	Tijuca	26	4	22	15%	69.1	78.2	-9.0
18	Suzano	24	3	21	12%	74.3	91.2	-16.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Minas	23	17	21	34	95
Vila Velha	14	15	18	25	72

← all games of the day

Minas vs Vila Velha Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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