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Mindoro Tamaraws vs Abra Weavers Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 30 Sep 2025
Tip-off: 08:00
Final 82-104
23-29 21-18 21-34 17-23
Position#16
Record15-13
FormLWLWL
Points / game81.1
Allowed / game79.0
vs
Position#1
Record27-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game90.3
Allowed / game68.9
PhilippinesMPBL
Other2025
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mindoro Tamaraws winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Abra Weavers winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mindoro TamarawsPhilippinesLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bulacan Kuyas
#29
W
103-72
103
72
+31
A26/06
MPBL
Quezon City
#24
L
85-96
85
96
-11
A07/07
MPBL
Bataan Risers
#17
W
86-84
86
84
+2
A14/07
MPBL
Pasay Voyagers
#6
L
75-108
75
108
-33
A31/07
MPBL
GenSan Warriors
#13
W
76-72
76
72
+4
H11/08
MPBL
Quezon Huskers
#4
L
72-88
72
88
-16
A01/09
MPBL
Valenzuela City Darkhorse
#25
W
100-74
100
74
+26
H10/09
MPBL
Pasig City
#18
L
78-81
78
81
-3
A13/09
MPBL
Pangasinan Heatwaves
#9
W
89-79
89
79
+10
H16/09
MPBL
Batangas City
#8
L
66-73
66
73
-7
A25/09
MPBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-16
23-24
28-16
23-16
24-23
26-19
14-34
21-20
21-19
19-18
21-27
25-20
11-26
21-24
24-31
19-27
17-19
17-17
23-15
19-21
17-18
18-32
12-22
25-16
15-10
26-13
32-19
27-32
24-27
18-17
16-16
20-21
26-12
19-22
21-27
23-18
14-15
15-22
17-14
20-22
165.7Avg total
83.0Scored
82.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)81.179.0160.1+2.154%
Season at home (10)83.974.2158.1+9.770%
Season away (18)79.681.7161.3-2.244%
Last 10 (10)83.082.7165.7+0.350%
Last 5 (5)81.079.0160.0+2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)75.684.6160.2-9.033%
vs Similar (3)78.776.7155.3+2.067%
vs Weaker (13)86.874.5161.2+12.369%
This opponent (Abra Weavers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Abra WeaversPhilippinesLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nueva Ecija Vanguards
#2
W
82-71
82
71
+11
A12/07
MPBL
Zamboanga Sikat
#14
W
80-60
80
60
+20
A26/07
MPBL
Manila Batang Quiapo
#28
W
117-63
117
63
+54
H04/08
MPBL
Pampanga Giant Lanterns
#7
W
94-80
94
80
+14
A09/08
MPBL
Ilagan Isabela Cowboys
#15
W
76-59
76
59
+17
H16/08
MPBL
Muntinlupa Cagers
#21
W
126-70
126
70
+56
H01/09
MPBL
Batangas City
#8
W
74-58
74
58
+16
A09/09
MPBL
San Juan Knights
#3
W
84-77
84
77
+7
H18/09
MPBL
Pasig City
#18
W
101-77
101
77
+24
A22/09
MPBL
Davao Tigers
#19
W
92-56
92
56
+36
H25/09
MPBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-14
22-15
18-19
18-23
24-4
20-19
18-19
18-18
39-21
27-25
24-8
27-9
30-18
20-17
20-21
24-24
22-15
22-13
20-12
12-19
28-23
28-11
37-17
33-19
23-5
16-13
16-16
19-24
15-12
16-24
30-24
23-17
20-21
34-14
31-20
16-22
20-6
28-15
21-14
23-21
159.7Avg total
92.6Scored
67.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)90.368.9159.2+21.496%
Season at home (16)90.167.4157.5+22.694%
Season away (12)90.770.9161.6+19.8100%
Last 10 (10)92.667.1159.7+25.5100%
Last 5 (5)95.467.6163.0+27.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)82.071.0153.0+11.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)90.668.9159.5+21.896%
This opponent (Mindoro Tamaraws) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-13-7+0+7+13Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +10.6+10.6Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +6.7+6.7Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +6.5+6.5Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +1.7+1.7
-13-7+0+7+13Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +10.6+10.6Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +6.7+6.7Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +6.5+6.5Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +1.7+1.7
Mindoro TamarawsAbra Weavers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mindoro TamarawsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bulacan Kuyas
#29
W
52-40
52
40
+12
A26/06
MPBL
Quezon City
#24
W
50-42
50
42
+8
A07/07
MPBL
Bataan Risers
#17
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A14/07
MPBL
Pasay Voyagers
#6
L
32-50
32
50
-18
A31/07
MPBL
GenSan Warriors
#13
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H11/08
MPBL
Quezon Huskers
#4
L
35-50
35
50
-15
A01/09
MPBL
Valenzuela City Darkhorse
#25
W
41-23
41
23
+18
H10/09
MPBL
Pasig City
#18
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A13/09
MPBL
Pangasinan Heatwaves
#9
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H16/09
MPBL
Batangas City
#8
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A25/09
MPBL
79.3Avg total
40.0Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)39.637.677.2+2.054%-
Last 30 at home (10)39.032.471.4+6.670%-
Last 30 away (18)39.940.480.4-0.544%-
Last 10 (10)40.039.379.3+0.750%-
Last 5 (5)38.437.676.0+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)36.841.378.2-4.533%-
vs Similar (3)40.039.779.7+0.333%-
vs Weaker (13)42.133.675.7+8.577%-
This opponent (Abra Weavers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Abra WeaversLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nueva Ecija Vanguards
#2
W
46-29
46
29
+17
A12/07
MPBL
Zamboanga Sikat
#14
W
44-23
44
23
+21
A26/07
MPBL
Manila Batang Quiapo
#28
W
66-46
66
46
+20
H04/08
MPBL
Pampanga Giant Lanterns
#7
W
50-35
50
35
+15
A09/08
MPBL
Ilagan Isabela Cowboys
#15
W
44-28
44
28
+16
H16/08
MPBL
Muntinlupa Cagers
#21
W
56-34
56
34
+22
H01/09
MPBL
Batangas City
#8
W
39-18
39
18
+21
A09/09
MPBL
San Juan Knights
#3
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H18/09
MPBL
Pasig City
#18
W
54-35
54
35
+19
A22/09
MPBL
Davao Tigers
#19
W
48-21
48
21
+27
H25/09
MPBL
78.3Avg total
47.8Scored
30.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)45.430.776.1+14.793%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.930.675.5+14.288%-
Last 30 away (12)46.130.876.8+15.3100%-
Last 10 (10)47.830.578.3+17.390%-
Last 5 (5)45.628.874.4+16.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)46.029.075.0+17.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)45.430.776.1+14.693%-
This opponent (Mindoro Tamaraws) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Mindoro Tamaraws wins
0
Abra Weavers wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/09/25ABatangas City66-73
16/09/25HPangasinan Heatwaves89-79
13/09/25APasig City78-81
10/09/25HValenzuela City Darkhorse100-74
01/09/25AQuezon Huskers72-88
11/08/25HGenSan Warriors76-72
31/07/25APasay Voyagers75-108
14/07/25ABataan Risers86-84
07/07/25AQuezon City85-96
26/06/25ABulacan Kuyas103-72
Abra Weaverslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/09/25HDavao Tigers92-56
22/09/25APasig City101-77
18/09/25HSan Juan Knights84-77
09/09/25ABatangas City74-58
01/09/25HMuntinlupa Cagers126-70
16/08/25HIlagan Isabela Cowboys76-59
09/08/25APampanga Giant Lanterns94-80
04/08/25HManila Batang Quiapo117-63
26/07/25AZamboanga Sikat80-60
12/07/25ANueva Ecija Vanguards82-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mindoro Tamaraws
MPBL 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL54%
HomeWWWWW70%
AwayWLLLL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281018
Win %54%70%44%
Points / game81.183.979.6
Allowed / game79.074.281.7
Point differential+2.1+9.7-2.2
Avg total160.1158.1161.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%60%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)50% (2)60% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Abra Weavers
MPBL 2025
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW96%
HomeWWWWW94%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281612
Win %96%94%100%
Points / game90.390.190.7
Allowed / game68.967.470.9
Point differential+21.4+22.6+19.8
Avg total159.2157.5161.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+82%75%92%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Abra Weavers2827196%90.368.9+21.4
2 Nueva Ecija Vanguards2927293%91.070.3+20.7
3 San Juan Knights2926390%82.769.9+12.8
4 Quezon Huskers2824486%83.067.5+15.5
5 Pasay Voyagers2921872%82.774.2+8.5
6 Pangasinan Heatwaves2820871%86.675.9+10.8
7 Pampanga Giant Lanterns2820871%85.276.8+8.4
8 Batang Kankaloo2820871%78.571.6+6.9
9 Batangas City2920969%78.269.9+8.2
10 Rizal Golden Coolers29191066%84.975.9+9.0
11 Basilan Viva Portmasters29181162%79.574.4+5.1
12 GenSan Warriors28171161%83.073.8+9.2
13 Zamboanga Sikat29171259%78.873.0+5.8
14 Binan Tatak Gel29171259%76.570.8+5.7
15 Mindoro Tamaraws28151354%81.179.0+2.1
16 Ilagan Isabela Cowboys29151452%79.474.5+4.9
17 Bataan Risers29131645%83.478.7+4.8
18 Pasig City28121643%77.681.4-3.7
19 Davao Tigers29121741%76.582.1-5.6
20 Cebu Classic29111838%74.879.9-5.1
21 Muntinlupa Cagers27101737%73.878.2-4.4
22 Sarangani Marlins29101934%80.788.5-7.9
23 Imus Braderhood2992031%75.785.2-9.6
24 Quezon City2972224%74.882.6-7.8
25 Valenzuela City Darkhorse2972224%75.687.2-11.6
26 Bacolod Masskara2942514%72.582.4-9.9
27 Marikina Verdiamonds2942514%74.087.8-13.8
28 Manila Batang Quiapo2832511%79.6108.3-28.7
29 Bulacan Kuyas2932610%71.796.3-24.6
30 Paranaque Patriots281274%70.997.8-26.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mindoro Tamaraws2321211782
Abra Weavers29183423104
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