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Mindoro Tamaraws vs GenSan Warriors Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 11 Aug 2025
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 76-72
17-19 17-17 23-15 19-21
Position#16
Record12-10
FormWWLWL
Points / game81.4
Allowed / game79.4
vs
Position#13
Record13-8
FormWLWWL
Points / game84.2
Allowed / game75.6
PhilippinesMPBL
Other2025
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mindoro Tamaraws winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
GenSan Warriors winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mindoro TamarawsPhilippinesLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Manila Batang Quiapo
#28
W
95-56
95
56
+39
H22/05
MPBL
Bacolod Masskara
#26
W
76-63
76
63
+13
A28/05
MPBL
Basilan Viva Portmasters
#11
L
77-84
77
84
-7
A05/06
MPBL
Sarangani Marlins
#22
W
79-65
79
65
+14
H11/06
MPBL
Ilagan Isabela Cowboys
#15
W
86-77
86
77
+9
A17/06
MPBL
Muntinlupa Cagers
#21
W
94-76
94
76
+18
H21/06
MPBL
Bulacan Kuyas
#29
W
103-72
103
72
+31
A26/06
MPBL
Quezon City
#24
L
85-96
85
96
-11
A07/07
MPBL
Bataan Risers
#17
W
86-84
86
84
+2
A14/07
MPBL
Pasay Voyagers
#6
L
75-108
75
108
-33
A31/07
MPBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-9
24-10
24-15
32-22
23-17
15-12
11-11
27-23
20-20
17-30
25-13
15-21
17-13
10-18
30-17
22-17
23-18
24-13
17-21
22-25
27-18
26-19
19-22
22-17
29-16
23-24
28-16
23-16
24-23
26-19
14-34
21-20
21-19
19-18
21-27
25-20
11-26
21-24
24-31
19-27
163.7Avg total
85.6Scored
78.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)81.479.4160.7+2.055%
Season at home (7)82.073.9155.9+8.157%
Season away (15)81.181.9163.0-0.953%
Last 10 (10)85.678.1163.7+7.570%
Last 5 (5)88.687.2175.8+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)75.587.9163.4-12.425%
vs Similar (3)78.776.7155.3+2.067%
vs Weaker (11)86.473.9160.3+12.573%
This opponent (GenSan Warriors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GenSan WarriorsPhilippinesLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basilan Viva Portmasters
#11
L
72-75
72
75
-3
A21/05
MPBL
Binan Tatak Gel
#12
W
75-69
75
69
+6
H27/05
MPBL
Rizal Golden Coolers
#10
W
96-89
96
89
+7
A03/06
MPBL
Muntinlupa Cagers
#21
W
90-72
90
72
+18
H09/06
MPBL
Manila Batang Quiapo
#28
W
99-45
99
45
+54
H16/06
MPBL
Pasay Voyagers
#6
W
79-73
79
73
+6
A23/06
MPBL
Quezon Huskers
#4
L
82-86
82
86
-4
A01/07
MPBL
Paranaque Patriots
#30
W
106-59
106
59
+47
H10/07
MPBL
Marikina Verdiamonds
#27
W
101-72
101
72
+29
A16/07
MPBL
Cebu Classic
#20
L
94-100
94
100
-6
H02/08
MPBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-22
19-15
16-21
26-17
20-20
18-16
15-11
22-22
24-22
23-24
26-11
23-32
23-14
28-19
20-19
19-20
28-9
29-8
20-18
22-10
23-17
19-11
13-25
24-20
17-23
23-28
17-17
25-18
33-22
28-12
30-17
15-8
17-18
33-17
31-24
20-13
23-23
23-23
23-27
25-27
163.4Avg total
89.4Scored
74.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)84.275.6159.8+8.662%
Season at home (9)88.073.9161.9+14.156%
Season away (12)81.376.8158.2+4.567%
Last 10 (10)89.474.0163.4+15.470%
Last 5 (5)92.478.0170.4+14.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)70.380.7151.0-10.30%
vs Similar (8)79.076.2155.2+2.862%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)92.573.5166.0+19.080%
This opponent (Mindoro Tamaraws) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: +7.0+7.0Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +3.4+3.4
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: +7.0+7.0Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +3.4+3.4
Mindoro TamarawsGenSan Warriors
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mindoro TamarawsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Manila Batang Quiapo
#28
W
39-19
39
19
+20
H22/05
MPBL
Bacolod Masskara
#26
W
38-29
38
29
+9
A28/05
MPBL
Basilan Viva Portmasters
#11
L
37-50
37
50
-13
A05/06
MPBL
Sarangani Marlins
#22
L
27-31
27
31
-4
H11/06
MPBL
Ilagan Isabela Cowboys
#15
W
47-31
47
31
+16
A17/06
MPBL
Muntinlupa Cagers
#21
W
53-37
53
37
+16
H21/06
MPBL
Bulacan Kuyas
#29
W
52-40
52
40
+12
A26/06
MPBL
Quezon City
#24
W
50-42
50
42
+8
A07/07
MPBL
Bataan Risers
#17
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A14/07
MPBL
Pasay Voyagers
#6
L
32-50
32
50
-18
A31/07
MPBL
78.1Avg total
41.5Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (22)40.137.677.8+2.559%-
Last 30 at home (7)38.633.071.6+5.671%-
Last 30 away (15)40.939.880.7+1.153%-
Last 10 (10)41.536.678.1+4.970%-
Last 5 (5)45.441.286.6+4.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)37.442.479.8-5.038%-
vs Similar (3)40.039.779.7+0.333%-
vs Weaker (11)42.233.675.8+8.582%-
This opponent (GenSan Warriors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GenSan WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basilan Viva Portmasters
#11
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A21/05
MPBL
Binan Tatak Gel
#12
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H27/05
MPBL
Rizal Golden Coolers
#10
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A03/06
MPBL
Muntinlupa Cagers
#21
W
51-33
51
33
+18
H09/06
MPBL
Manila Batang Quiapo
#28
W
57-17
57
17
+40
H16/06
MPBL
Pasay Voyagers
#6
W
42-28
42
28
+14
A23/06
MPBL
Quezon Huskers
#4
L
40-51
40
51
-11
A01/07
MPBL
Paranaque Patriots
#30
W
61-34
61
34
+27
H10/07
MPBL
Marikina Verdiamonds
#27
W
50-35
50
35
+15
A16/07
MPBL
Cebu Classic
#20
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H02/08
MPBL
82.5Avg total
46.2Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (21)41.536.077.4+5.562%-
Last 30 at home (9)45.133.378.4+11.878%-
Last 30 away (12)38.837.976.7+0.850%-
Last 10 (10)46.236.382.5+9.970%-
Last 5 (5)47.838.886.6+9.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)29.046.375.3-17.30%-
vs Similar (8)38.434.572.9+3.975%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)47.734.081.7+13.770%-
This opponent (Mindoro Tamaraws) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Mindoro Tamaraws wins
0
GenSan Warriors wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/07/25APasay Voyagers75-108
14/07/25ABataan Risers86-84
07/07/25AQuezon City85-96
26/06/25ABulacan Kuyas103-72
21/06/25HMuntinlupa Cagers94-76
17/06/25AIlagan Isabela Cowboys86-77
11/06/25HSarangani Marlins79-65
05/06/25ABasilan Viva Portmasters77-84
28/05/25ABacolod Masskara76-63
22/05/25HManila Batang Quiapo95-56
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/08/25HCebu Classic94-100
16/07/25AMarikina Verdiamonds101-72
10/07/25HParanaque Patriots106-59
01/07/25AQuezon Huskers82-86
23/06/25APasay Voyagers79-73
16/06/25HManila Batang Quiapo99-45
09/06/25HMuntinlupa Cagers90-72
03/06/25ARizal Golden Coolers96-89
27/05/25HBinan Tatak Gel75-69
21/05/25ABasilan Viva Portmasters72-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mindoro Tamaraws
MPBL 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL55%
HomeLLWWW57%
AwayWWLWL53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22715
Win %55%57%53%
Points / game81.482.081.1
Allowed / game79.473.981.9
Point differential+2.0+8.1-0.9
Avg total160.7155.9163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%57%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)0% (1)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
GenSan Warriors
MPBL 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL62%
HomeWWWWL56%
AwayLWWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21912
Win %62%56%67%
Points / game84.288.081.3
Allowed / game75.673.976.8
Point differential+8.6+14.1+4.5
Avg total159.8161.9158.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%44%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)0% (2)25% (4)
Overtime %5%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Abra Weavers2221195%89.869.7+20.1
2 San Juan Knights2221195%82.769.2+13.5
3 Nueva Ecija Vanguards2120195%90.072.6+17.3
4 Quezon Huskers2117481%82.767.0+15.7
5 Pangasinan Heatwaves2115671%85.575.4+10.0
6 Batang Kankaloo2316770%78.972.0+6.9
7 Zamboanga Sikat2215768%81.973.1+8.8
8 Pampanga Giant Lanterns2215768%80.977.1+3.8
9 Rizal Golden Coolers2114767%84.075.4+8.6
10 Pasay Voyagers2315865%80.474.0+6.4
11 GenSan Warriors2113862%84.275.6+8.6
12 Batangas City2113862%78.771.0+7.7
13 Binan Tatak Gel2113862%75.870.0+5.9
14 Ilagan Isabela Cowboys22121055%81.574.9+6.7
15 Mindoro Tamaraws22121055%81.479.4+2.0
16 Basilan Viva Portmasters21101148%77.776.2+1.5
17 Muntinlupa Cagers22101245%74.475.0-0.5
18 Sarangani Marlins2291341%82.085.7-3.7
19 Imus Braderhood2291341%78.282.6-4.5
20 Pasig City2181338%78.182.0-3.9
21 Davao Tigers2181338%75.581.6-6.0
22 Bataan Risers2281436%78.278.9-0.7
23 Cebu Classic2271532%73.881.5-7.6
24 Quezon City2261627%75.580.3-4.8
25 Valenzuela City Darkhorse2351822%71.784.7-13.0
26 Marikina Verdiamonds2241818%74.087.3-13.3
27 Bacolod Masskara2131814%71.383.0-11.7
28 Bulacan Kuyas2231914%72.495.2-22.8
29 Manila Batang Quiapo2121910%78.7106.1-27.4
30 Paranaque Patriots211205%67.190.7-23.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mindoro Tamaraws1717231976
GenSan Warriors1917152172
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