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Mindoro Tamaraws vs Sarangani Marlins Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 11 Jun 2025
Tip-off: 08:00
Final 79-65
17-13 10-18 30-17 22-17
Position#16
Record7-8
FormWLWWL
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game77.9
vs
Position#22
Record4-10
FormWLLWW
Points / game85.1
Allowed / game89.7
PhilippinesMPBL
Other2025
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mindoro Tamaraws winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sarangani Marlins winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mindoro TamarawsPhilippinesLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rizal Golden Coolers
#10
L
61-77
61
77
-16
A01/04
MPBL
Paranaque Patriots
#30
W
68-58
68
58
+10
H05/04
MPBL
Zamboanga Sikat
#14
W
81-79
81
79
+2
A12/04
MPBL
Pampanga Giant Lanterns
#7
L
90-94
90
94
-4
H23/04
MPBL
Marikina Verdiamonds
#27
W
101-80
101
80
+21
A01/05
MPBL
Davao Tigers
#19
W
101-79
101
79
+22
A07/05
MPBL
Cebu Classic
#20
L
73-85
73
85
-12
H16/05
MPBL
Manila Batang Quiapo
#28
W
95-56
95
56
+39
H22/05
MPBL
Bacolod Masskara
#26
W
76-63
76
63
+13
A28/05
MPBL
Basilan Viva Portmasters
#11
L
77-84
77
84
-7
A05/06
MPBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-20
15-20
21-18
16-19
11-11
21-11
14-25
22-11
24-12
11-17
22-32
24-18
17-26
34-20
17-25
22-23
21-19
24-17
32-20
24-24
27-23
33-15
16-19
25-22
11-19
16-25
23-21
23-20
15-9
24-10
24-15
32-22
23-17
15-12
11-11
27-23
20-20
17-30
25-13
15-21
157.8Avg total
82.3Scored
75.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)78.877.9156.7+0.947%
Season at home (5)80.275.2155.4+5.040%
Season away (10)78.179.2157.3-1.150%
Last 10 (10)82.375.5157.8+6.860%
Last 5 (5)84.473.4157.8+11.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)73.885.2159.0-11.317%
vs Similar (2)75.076.5151.5-1.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)84.172.0156.1+12.171%
This opponent (Sarangani Marlins) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sarangani MarlinsPhilippinesLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rizal Golden Coolers
#10
L
77-106
77
106
-29
A26/03
MPBL
Imus Braderhood
#23
L
89-94
89
94
-5
A31/03
MPBL
Pasay Voyagers
#6
L
83-91
83
91
-8
A08/04
MPBL
Valenzuela City Darkhorse
#25
W
102-93
102
93
+9
A22/04
MPBL
Binan Tatak Gel
#12
L
73-88
73
88
-15
A29/04
MPBL
Bulacan Kuyas
#29
W
148-111
148
111
+37
H05/05
MPBL
Abra Weavers
#1
L
75-103
75
103
-28
A09/05
MPBL
Batangas City
#8
L
60-75
60
75
-15
H20/05
MPBL
Manila Batang Quiapo
#28
W
111-87
111
87
+24
A28/05
MPBL
Cebu Classic
#20
W
119-95
119
95
+24
H05/06
MPBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-25
18-20
25-32
19-29
27-34
22-29
18-16
22-15
11-21
24-29
28-20
20-21
33-24
13-21
33-19
23-29
14-29
19-19
21-10
19-30
30-23
35-21
42-35
41-32
9-28
11-18
19-28
36-29
11-29
13-13
17-14
19-19
22-15
24-20
37-30
28-22
35-19
31-22
21-28
32-26
188.0Avg total
93.7Scored
94.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)85.189.7174.9-4.629%
Season at home (5)92.287.6179.8+4.640%
Season away (9)81.290.9172.1-9.722%
Last 10 (10)93.794.3188.0-0.640%
Last 5 (5)102.694.2196.8+8.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)68.486.5154.9-18.10%
vs Similar (4)96.591.5188.0+5.050%
vs Weaker (2)129.599.0228.5+30.5100%
This opponent (Mindoro Tamaraws) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -4.0-4.0Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: +0.7+0.7
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -4.0-4.0Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: +0.7+0.7
Mindoro TamarawsSarangani Marlins
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mindoro TamarawsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rizal Golden Coolers
#10
L
24-40
24
40
-16
A01/04
MPBL
Paranaque Patriots
#30
W
32-22
32
22
+10
H05/04
MPBL
Zamboanga Sikat
#14
W
35-29
35
29
+6
A12/04
MPBL
Pampanga Giant Lanterns
#7
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H23/04
MPBL
Marikina Verdiamonds
#27
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A01/05
MPBL
Davao Tigers
#19
W
60-38
60
38
+22
A07/05
MPBL
Cebu Classic
#20
L
27-44
27
44
-17
H16/05
MPBL
Manila Batang Quiapo
#28
W
39-19
39
19
+20
H22/05
MPBL
Bacolod Masskara
#26
W
38-29
38
29
+9
A28/05
MPBL
Basilan Viva Portmasters
#11
L
37-50
37
50
-13
A05/06
MPBL
74.1Avg total
38.8Scored
35.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (15)38.837.376.1+1.553%-
Last 30 at home (5)38.032.670.6+5.480%-
Last 30 away (10)39.239.778.9-0.540%-
Last 10 (10)38.835.374.1+3.570%-
Last 5 (5)40.236.076.2+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)37.842.079.8-4.233%-
vs Similar (2)36.544.080.5-7.50%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)40.331.471.7+8.986%-
This opponent (Sarangani Marlins) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sarangani MarlinsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rizal Golden Coolers
#10
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A26/03
MPBL
Imus Braderhood
#23
L
49-63
49
63
-14
A31/03
MPBL
Pasay Voyagers
#6
L
35-50
35
50
-15
A08/04
MPBL
Valenzuela City Darkhorse
#25
W
46-45
46
45
+1
A22/04
MPBL
Binan Tatak Gel
#12
L
33-48
33
48
-15
A29/04
MPBL
Bulacan Kuyas
#29
W
65-44
65
44
+21
H05/05
MPBL
Abra Weavers
#1
L
20-46
20
46
-26
A09/05
MPBL
Batangas City
#8
L
24-42
24
42
-18
H20/05
MPBL
Manila Batang Quiapo
#28
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A28/05
MPBL
Cebu Classic
#20
W
66-41
66
41
+25
H05/06
MPBL
87.6Avg total
41.7Scored
45.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (14)38.243.781.9-5.529%-
Last 30 at home (5)42.641.283.8+1.440%-
Last 30 away (9)35.845.180.9-9.322%-
Last 10 (10)41.745.987.6-4.240%-
Last 5 (5)44.241.685.8+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)29.143.872.9-14.60%-
vs Similar (4)47.845.893.5+2.050%-
vs Weaker (2)55.539.595.0+16.0100%-
This opponent (Mindoro Tamaraws) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Mindoro Tamaraws wins
0
Sarangani Marlins wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/06/25ABasilan Viva Portmasters77-84
28/05/25ABacolod Masskara76-63
22/05/25HManila Batang Quiapo95-56
16/05/25HCebu Classic73-85
07/05/25ADavao Tigers101-79
01/05/25AMarikina Verdiamonds101-80
23/04/25HPampanga Giant Lanterns90-94
12/04/25AZamboanga Sikat81-79
05/04/25HParanaque Patriots68-58
01/04/25ARizal Golden Coolers61-77
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/06/25HCebu Classic119-95
28/05/25AManila Batang Quiapo111-87
20/05/25HBatangas City60-75
09/05/25AAbra Weavers75-103
05/05/25HBulacan Kuyas148-111
29/04/25ABinan Tatak Gel73-88
22/04/25AValenzuela City Darkhorse102-93
08/04/25APasay Voyagers83-91
31/03/25AImus Braderhood89-94
26/03/25ARizal Golden Coolers77-106

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mindoro Tamaraws
MPBL 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL47%
HomeLWLLW40%
AwayWWWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games15510
Win %47%40%50%
Points / game78.880.278.1
Allowed / game77.975.279.2
Point differential+0.9+5.0-1.1
Avg total156.7155.4157.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%40%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sarangani Marlins
MPBL 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW29%
HomeLLWLW40%
AwayLWLLW22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1459
Win %29%40%22%
Points / game85.192.281.2
Allowed / game89.787.690.9
Point differential-4.6+4.6-9.7
Avg total174.9179.8172.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%40%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nueva Ecija Vanguards14140100%88.569.7+18.8
2 Abra Weavers1413193%87.169.4+17.6
3 San Juan Knights1312192%81.170.6+10.5
4 Zamboanga Sikat1513287%83.670.9+12.7
5 Quezon Huskers1411379%80.066.1+13.9
6 Pampanga Giant Lanterns1511473%84.178.4+5.7
7 Muntinlupa Cagers1410471%80.472.6+7.9
8 Binan Tatak Gel139469%75.569.6+5.9
9 Pangasinan Heatwaves139469%85.279.8+5.4
10 Batang Kankaloo1510567%73.772.5+1.3
11 Rizal Golden Coolers159660%83.675.8+7.8
12 GenSan Warriors159660%80.576.8+3.7
13 Pasay Voyagers169756%78.975.0+3.9
14 Ilagan Isabela Cowboys147750%80.976.0+4.9
15 Batangas City147750%75.873.8+2.0
16 Pasig City126650%76.578.6-2.1
17 Mindoro Tamaraws157847%78.877.9+0.9
18 Basilan Viva Portmasters136746%75.773.8+1.8
19 Bataan Risers156940%78.177.7+0.3
20 Imus Braderhood156940%78.982.1-3.2
21 Davao Tigers114736%75.781.7-6.0
22 Sarangani Marlins1441029%85.189.7-4.6
23 Cebu Classic1441029%70.877.1-6.4
24 Valenzuela City Darkhorse1641225%72.981.9-9.0
25 Quezon City1431121%73.177.1-3.9
26 Marikina Verdiamonds1531220%75.086.1-11.1
27 Bacolod Masskara1321115%72.582.5-10.0
28 Bulacan Kuyas1621412%70.896.3-25.5
29 Paranaque Patriots131128%64.981.3-16.4
30 Manila Batang Quiapo141137%82.4107.8-25.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mindoro Tamaraws1710302279
Sarangani Marlins1318171765
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