PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Mindoro Tamaraws vs Cebu Classic Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 16 May 2025
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 73-85
11-19 16-25 23-21 23-20
Position#16
Record5-6
FormWWLWW
Points / game78.3
Allowed / game80.0
vs
Position#20
Record3-7
FormLWLLL
Points / game67.6
Allowed / game69.4
PhilippinesMPBL
Other2025
Meetings · Mindoro Tamaraws v Cebu Classic
06 Oct 2025
MIND92
CEBU89
16 May 2025
MIND73
CEBU85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mindoro Tamaraws winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cebu Classic winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mindoro TamarawsPhilippinesLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Binan Tatak Gel
#12
W
73-69
73
69
+4
A14/03
MPBL
Batang Kankaloo
#5
L
67-80
67
80
-13
A18/03
MPBL
Nueva Ecija Vanguards
#2
L
72-104
72
104
-32
A24/03
MPBL
San Juan Knights
#3
L
72-77
72
77
-5
A27/03
MPBL
Rizal Golden Coolers
#10
L
61-77
61
77
-16
A01/04
MPBL
Paranaque Patriots
#30
W
68-58
68
58
+10
H05/04
MPBL
Zamboanga Sikat
#14
W
81-79
81
79
+2
A12/04
MPBL
Pampanga Giant Lanterns
#7
L
90-94
90
94
-4
H23/04
MPBL
Marikina Verdiamonds
#27
W
101-80
101
80
+21
A01/05
MPBL
Davao Tigers
#19
W
101-79
101
79
+22
A07/05
MPBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-18
23-20
23-12
14-19
20-19
17-18
12-22
18-21
22-30
22-23
17-30
11-21
18-24
18-23
13-17
23-13
9-20
15-20
21-18
16-19
11-11
21-11
14-25
22-11
24-12
11-17
22-32
24-18
17-26
34-20
17-25
22-23
21-19
24-17
32-20
24-24
27-23
33-15
16-19
25-22
158.3Avg total
78.6Scored
79.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)78.380.0158.3-1.745%
Season at home (3)77.778.3156.0-0.733%
Season away (8)78.580.6159.1-2.150%
Last 10 (10)78.679.7158.3-1.150%
Last 5 (5)88.278.0166.2+10.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)73.885.2159.0-11.317%
vs Similar (1)73.069.0142.0+4.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)86.275.0161.2+11.275%
This opponent (Cebu Classic) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cebu ClassicPhilippinesLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Batang Kankaloo
#5
W
77-76
77
76
+1
H13/03
MPBL
Quezon Huskers
#4
L
45-58
45
58
-13
A17/03
MPBL
Bataan Risers
#17
L
69-79
69
79
-10
H20/03
MPBL
San Juan Knights
#3
L
61-63
61
63
-2
A24/03
MPBL
Manila Batang Quiapo
#28
W
79-51
79
51
+28
A29/03
MPBL
Muntinlupa Cagers
#21
L
70-77
70
77
-7
H04/04
MPBL
Quezon City
#24
W
69-54
69
54
+15
A14/04
MPBL
Abra Weavers
#1
L
72-76
72
76
-4
H25/04
MPBL
Paranaque Patriots
#30
L
54-69
54
69
-15
A01/05
MPBL
Rizal Golden Coolers
#10
L
80-91
80
91
-11
H06/05
MPBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-19
16-23
13-21
32-13
11-14
8-12
11-9
15-23
15-15
16-13
19-28
19-23
6-14
19-22
24-7
12-20
21-16
26-9
14-14
18-12
26-13
8-21
19-18
17-25
12-19
19-13
18-8
20-14
13-15
22-22
11-20
26-19
12-15
11-15
14-20
17-19
13-30
26-22
20-26
21-13
137.0Avg total
67.6Scored
69.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)67.669.4137.0-1.830%
Season at home (5)73.679.8153.4-6.220%
Season away (5)61.659.0120.6+2.640%
Last 10 (10)67.669.4137.0-1.830%
Last 5 (5)69.073.4142.4-4.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)67.373.8141.2-6.517%
vs Similar (2)69.565.5135.0+4.050%
vs Weaker (2)66.560.0126.5+6.550%
This opponent (Mindoro Tamaraws) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +1.6+1.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +1.6+1.6
Mindoro TamarawsCebu Classic
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mindoro TamarawsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Binan Tatak Gel
#12
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A14/03
MPBL
Batang Kankaloo
#5
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A18/03
MPBL
Nueva Ecija Vanguards
#2
L
44-53
44
53
-9
A24/03
MPBL
San Juan Knights
#3
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A27/03
MPBL
Rizal Golden Coolers
#10
L
24-40
24
40
-16
A01/04
MPBL
Paranaque Patriots
#30
W
32-22
32
22
+10
H05/04
MPBL
Zamboanga Sikat
#14
W
35-29
35
29
+6
A12/04
MPBL
Pampanga Giant Lanterns
#7
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H23/04
MPBL
Marikina Verdiamonds
#27
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A01/05
MPBL
Davao Tigers
#19
W
60-38
60
38
+22
A07/05
MPBL
78.6Avg total
40.0Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (11)40.138.078.1+2.155%-
Last 30 at home (3)41.333.374.7+8.0100%-
Last 30 away (8)39.639.879.4-0.138%-
Last 10 (10)40.038.678.6+1.450%-
Last 5 (5)44.634.278.8+10.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)37.842.079.8-4.233%-
vs Similar (1)36.038.074.0-2.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)44.532.076.5+12.5100%-
This opponent (Cebu Classic) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cebu ClassicLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Batang Kankaloo
#5
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H13/03
MPBL
Quezon Huskers
#4
L
19-26
19
26
-7
A17/03
MPBL
Bataan Risers
#17
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H20/03
MPBL
San Juan Knights
#3
L
25-36
25
36
-11
A24/03
MPBL
Manila Batang Quiapo
#28
W
47-25
47
25
+22
A29/03
MPBL
Muntinlupa Cagers
#21
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H04/04
MPBL
Quezon City
#24
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A14/04
MPBL
Abra Weavers
#1
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H25/04
MPBL
Paranaque Patriots
#30
L
23-30
23
30
-7
A01/05
MPBL
Rizal Golden Coolers
#10
L
39-52
39
52
-13
H06/05
MPBL
65.8Avg total
31.6Scored
34.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (10)31.634.265.8-2.620%-
Last 30 at home (5)34.238.672.8-4.420%-
Last 30 away (5)29.029.858.8-0.820%-
Last 10 (10)31.634.265.8-2.620%-
Last 5 (5)32.437.069.4-4.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)30.236.867.0-6.717%-
vs Similar (2)32.533.065.5-0.50%-
vs Weaker (2)35.027.562.5+7.550%-
This opponent (Mindoro Tamaraws) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Mindoro Tamaraws wins
0
Cebu Classic wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/05/25ADavao Tigers101-79
01/05/25AMarikina Verdiamonds101-80
23/04/25HPampanga Giant Lanterns90-94
12/04/25AZamboanga Sikat81-79
05/04/25HParanaque Patriots68-58
01/04/25ARizal Golden Coolers61-77
27/03/25ASan Juan Knights72-77
24/03/25ANueva Ecija Vanguards72-104
18/03/25ABatang Kankaloo67-80
14/03/25ABinan Tatak Gel73-69
Cebu Classiclast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/05/25HRizal Golden Coolers80-91
01/05/25AParanaque Patriots54-69
25/04/25HAbra Weavers72-76
14/04/25AQuezon City69-54
04/04/25HMuntinlupa Cagers70-77
29/03/25AManila Batang Quiapo79-51
24/03/25ASan Juan Knights61-63
20/03/25HBataan Risers69-79
17/03/25AQuezon Huskers45-58
13/03/25HBatang Kankaloo77-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mindoro Tamaraws
MPBL 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW45%
HomeLWL33%
AwayLLWWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1138
Win %45%33%50%
Points / game78.377.778.5
Allowed / game80.078.380.6
Point differential-1.7-0.7-2.1
Avg total158.3156.0159.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%33%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cebu Classic
MPBL 2025
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL30%
HomeWLLLL20%
AwayLLWWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %30%20%40%
Points / game67.673.661.6
Allowed / game69.479.859.0
Point differential-1.8-6.2+2.6
Avg total137.0153.4120.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%0%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nueva Ecija Vanguards10100100%90.171.0+19.1
2 San Juan Knights990100%76.169.0+7.1
3 Abra Weavers109190%84.868.1+16.7
4 Pampanga Giant Lanterns109190%87.777.9+9.8
5 Zamboanga Sikat119282%83.770.5+13.2
6 Quezon Huskers108280%81.365.8+15.5
7 Muntinlupa Cagers108280%83.171.2+11.9
8 Rizal Golden Coolers118373%86.375.5+10.8
9 Binan Tatak Gel107370%75.569.4+6.1
10 Pasay Voyagers117464%75.871.9+3.9
11 Batang Kankaloo117464%73.072.2+0.8
12 Pangasinan Heatwaves95456%85.183.7+1.4
13 GenSan Warriors116555%79.577.0+2.5
14 Batangas City105550%75.772.9+2.8
15 Imus Braderhood126650%79.280.5-1.3
16 Ilagan Isabela Cowboys115645%78.474.0+4.4
17 Mindoro Tamaraws115645%78.380.0-1.7
18 Davao Tigers73443%77.983.4-5.6
19 Bataan Risers125742%78.977.6+1.3
20 Pasig City83538%75.080.4-5.4
21 Basilan Viva Portmasters103730%73.875.6-1.8
22 Cebu Classic103730%67.669.4-1.8
23 Quezon City103730%72.975.3-2.4
24 Valenzuela City Darkhorse113827%75.883.6-7.8
25 Bacolod Masskara82625%72.581.2-8.8
26 Sarangani Marlins112918%82.090.8-8.8
27 Paranaque Patriots81712%61.975.2-13.4
28 Marikina Verdiamonds111109%71.882.3-10.5
29 Manila Batang Quiapo111109%83.9107.3-23.4
30 Bulacan Kuyas120120%70.1102.9-32.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mindoro Tamaraws1116232373
Cebu Classic1925212085
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.