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Missouri State vs IPFW Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 11 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 61-65
29-30 32-35
Position#177
Record4-5
FormLWWLL
Points / game63.0
Allowed / game59.8
vs
IPFW 🏆
USA
Position#173
Record6-4
FormWWLWL
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game63.6
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Missouri State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
IPFW winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Missouri StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma
#10
L
72-89
72
89
-17
A15/03
NIT
Missouri S&T
#521
W
82-47
82
47
+35
H10/11
NCAA
Brigham Young
#156
L
64-66
64
66
-2
A17/11
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#143
W
75-51
75
51
+24
H19/11
NCAA
NC Wilmington
#58
L
54-68
54
68
-14
A25/11
NCAA
Ball State
#103
L
64-67
64
67
-3
A26/11
NCAA
Oakland
#270
W
76-64
76
64
+12
A27/11
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#289
W
66-51
66
51
+15
A01/12
NCAA
Bradley
#45
L
40-58
40
58
-18
H04/12
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#32
L
46-66
46
66
-20
A08/12
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
41-47
0-0
31-42
0-0
51-25
0-0
31-22
0-0
35-36
0-0
29-30
0-0
41-22
0-0
34-29
0-0
28-29
0-0
26-39
0-0
38-35
0-0
26-32
0-0
33-33
0-0
43-31
0-0
32-26
0-0
34-25
0-0
18-26
0-0
22-32
0-0
21-26
0-0
25-40
126.6Avg total
63.9Scored
62.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)63.059.8122.8+3.244%
Season at home (3)65.752.0117.7+13.767%
Season away (6)61.763.7125.3-2.033%
Last 10 (10)63.962.7126.6+1.240%
Last 5 (5)58.461.2119.6-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)43.062.0105.0-19.00%
vs Similar ◀ (9)64.865.0129.8-0.244%
vs Weaker (16)76.868.0144.8+8.881%
This opponent (IPFW) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IPFWUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bluffton
#674
W
106-41
106
41
+65
H27/11
NCAA
Motor City Cruise
#20
W
103-102
103
102
+1
A27/11
NBA - G League
Motor City Cruise
#20
W
115-103
115
103
+12
A29/11
NBA - G League
Detroit
#262
L
66-75
66
75
-9
H02/12
NCAA
Oakland
#270
W
79-73 OT
79
73
+6
H03/12
NCAA
Windy City Bulls
#11
W
121-115
121
115
+6
H04/12
NBA - G League
Iowa Wolves
#22
W
132-127
132
127
+5
H06/12
NBA - G League
Cleveland Charge
#9
L
105-115
105
115
-10
A08/12
NBA - G League
Southeast Missouri State
#187
W
89-68
89
68
+21
A08/12
NCAA
Windy City Bulls
#11
L
119-129
119
129
-10
A10/12
NBA - G League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
58-21
0-0
48-20
33-22
25-27
30-26
15-27
19-22
31-25
43-19
22-37
0-0
26-37
0-0
40-38
0-0
38-31
0-0
33-40
30-37
36-19
25-26
30-33
35-31
38-38
22-27
37-31
23-31
21-27
27-34
34-23
0-0
41-29
0-0
48-39
32-40
32-30
30-26
25-33
198.3Avg total
103.5Scored
94.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)77.263.6140.8+13.660%
Season at home (5)88.659.2147.8+29.480%
Season away (5)65.868.0133.8-2.240%
Last 10 (10)103.594.8198.3+8.770%
Last 5 (5)113.2110.8224.0+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)94.095.5189.5-1.550%
vs Similar ◀ (18)102.5100.2202.7+2.344%
vs Weaker (8)113.6106.4220.0+7.288%
This opponent (Missouri State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +3.3+3.31st half: +5.1+5.12nd half2nd half: -2.1-2.12nd half: +3.0+3.0
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +3.3+3.31st half: +5.1+5.12nd half2nd half: -2.1-2.12nd half: +3.0+3.0
Missouri StateIPFW
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Missouri StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma
#10
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A15/03
NIT
Missouri S&T
#521
W
51-25
51
25
+26
H10/11
NCAA
Brigham Young
#156
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A17/11
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#143
W
41-22
41
22
+19
H19/11
NCAA
NC Wilmington
#58
L
28-29
28
29
-1
A25/11
NCAA
Ball State
#103
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A26/11
NCAA
Oakland
#270
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A27/11
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#289
W
32-26
32
26
+6
A01/12
NCAA
Bradley
#45
L
18-26
18
26
-8
H04/12
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#32
L
21-26
21
26
-5
A08/12
NCAA
64.3Avg total
33.8Scored
30.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.631.466.0+3.263%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.129.465.6+6.779%-
Last 30 away (16)33.233.166.3+0.150%-
Last 10 (10)33.830.564.3+3.340%-
Last 5 (5)28.429.257.6-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)19.526.045.5-6.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)32.730.663.2+2.156%-
vs Weaker (16)35.032.167.1+2.975%-
This opponent (IPFW) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IPFWLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bluffton
#674
W
58-21
58
21
+37
H27/11
NCAA
Motor City Cruise
#20
W
58-49
58
49
+9
A27/11
NBA - G League
Motor City Cruise
#20
W
50-47
50
47
+3
A29/11
NBA - G League
Detroit
#262
L
26-37
26
37
-11
H02/12
NCAA
Oakland
#270
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H03/12
NCAA
Windy City Bulls
#11
W
66-56
66
56
+10
H04/12
NBA - G League
Iowa Wolves
#22
W
73-69
73
69
+4
H06/12
NBA - G League
Cleveland Charge
#9
L
44-58
44
58
-14
A08/12
NBA - G League
Southeast Missouri State
#187
W
41-29
41
29
+12
A08/12
NCAA
Windy City Bulls
#11
L
64-70
64
70
-6
A10/12
NBA - G League
98.5Avg total
51.8Scored
46.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.848.5101.2+4.363%-
Last 30 at home (17)58.149.2107.4+8.976%-
Last 30 away (13)45.847.593.2-1.746%-
Last 10 (10)51.846.798.5+5.170%-
Last 5 (5)57.656.4114.0+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)41.546.087.5-4.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)51.751.3102.9+0.450%-
vs Weaker (8)56.850.8107.5+6.088%-
This opponent (Missouri State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Missouri State wins
0
IPFW wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/12/22ASt. Marys (CA)46-66
04/12/22HBradley40-58
01/12/22AIllinois (Chi.)66-51
27/11/22AOakland76-64
26/11/22ABall State64-67
25/11/22ANC Wilmington54-68
19/11/22HMiddle Tenn. St.75-51
17/11/22ABrigham Young64-66
10/11/22HMissouri S&T82-47
15/03/22AOklahoma72-89
IPFWlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/12/22AWindy City Bulls119-129
08/12/22ASoutheast Missouri State89-68
08/12/22ACleveland Charge105-115
06/12/22HIowa Wolves132-127
04/12/22HWindy City Bulls121-115
03/12/22HOakland79-73 OT
02/12/22HDetroit66-75
29/11/22AMotor City Cruise115-103
27/11/22AMotor City Cruise103-102
27/11/22HBluffton106-41

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Missouri State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL44%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLLWWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games936
Win %44%67%33%
Points / game63.065.761.7
Allowed / game59.852.063.7
Point differential+3.2+13.7-2.0
Avg total122.8117.7125.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%67%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
IPFW
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW60%
HomeWWWLW80%
AwayLLWLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %60%80%40%
Points / game77.288.665.8
Allowed / game63.659.268.0
Point differential+13.6+29.4-2.2
Avg total140.8147.8133.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%40%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %10%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Western Kentucky98189%76.963.6+13.3
2 Sam Houston St.97278%79.054.6+24.4
3 Louisiana Tech86275%78.066.8+11.2
4 Middle Tenn. St.107370%70.862.9+7.9
5 Liberty96367%75.760.3+15.3
6 Kennesaw State96367%75.465.8+9.7
7 UTEP96367%73.769.6+4.1
8 New Mexico State74357%80.064.6+15.4
9 Delaware95456%71.470.6+0.9
10 Florida International84450%79.677.6+2.0
11 Missouri State94544%63.059.8+3.2
12 Jacksonville State94544%72.974.2-1.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Horizon League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Youngstown State107370%86.572.6+13.9
2 Wisc. Milwaukee117464%78.366.1+12.2
3 IPFW106460%77.263.6+13.6
4 Cleveland State116555%67.465.3+2.1
5 Wright State105550%77.472.9+4.5
6 Northern Kentucky105550%66.567.7-1.2
7 Detroit115645%74.776.4-1.6
8 Robert Morris114736%68.665.5+3.2
9 Oakland112918%74.781.4-6.6
10 IUPUI91811%58.674.4-15.9
11 Wisc. Green Bay91811%58.075.3-17.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Missouri State293261
IPFW303565
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