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Missouri State vs Middle Tenn. St. Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 19 Nov 2022
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 75-51
41-22 34-29
Position#177
Record1-1
FormWWLWL
Points / game73.0
Allowed / game56.5
Missouri State 🏆
USA
vs
Middle Tenn. St.
USA
Position#143
Record2-1
FormWLWLW
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game58.0
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Missouri State v Middle Tenn. St.
07 Mar 2026
MISS63
MIDD75
19 Nov 2022
MISS75
MIDD51
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Missouri State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Middle Tenn. St. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Missouri StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Drake
#64
W
66-62
66
62
+4
A10/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#242
W
84-66
84
66
+18
H12/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#291
W
79-70
79
70
+9
H16/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#110
L
75-95
75
95
-20
A20/02
NCAA
Bradley
#164
W
83-67
83
67
+16
H24/02
NCAA
Evansville
#349
W
88-79
88
79
+9
A26/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#242
W
67-58
67
58
+9
H05/03
NCAA
Oklahoma
#10
L
72-89
72
89
-17
A15/03
NIT
Missouri S&T
#521
W
82-47
82
47
+35
H10/11
NCAA
Brigham Young
#156
L
64-66
64
66
-2
A17/11
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
29-30
0-0
37-32
0-0
41-36
0-0
43-30
0-0
31-33
0-0
48-37
0-0
33-49
0-0
42-46
0-0
43-33
0-0
40-34
0-0
37-29
0-0
51-50
0-0
35-28
0-0
32-30
0-0
41-47
0-0
31-42
0-0
51-25
0-0
31-22
0-0
35-36
0-0
29-30
145.9Avg total
76.0Scored
69.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)73.056.5129.5+16.550%
Season at home (1)82.047.0129.0+35.0100%
Season away (1)64.066.0130.0-2.00%
Last 10 (10)76.069.9145.9+6.170%
Last 5 (5)74.667.8142.4+6.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (9)66.966.2133.1+0.756%
vs Weaker (18)78.968.4147.3+10.578%
This opponent (Middle Tenn. St.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Middle Tenn. St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Old Dominion
#255
L
64-68
64
68
-4
A05/03
NCAA
UTEP
#136
W
66-59 OT
66
59
+7
H11/03
NCAA
UAB
#27
L
98-102 OT
98
102
-4
H11/03
NCAA
California Baptist
#12
W
64-58
64
58
+6
A19/03
CBI
Boston University
#8
W
76-46
76
46
+30
A21/03
CBI
Abilene Christian
#3
W
85-69
85
69
+16
H23/03
CBI
NC Wilmington
#1
L
90-96 OT
90
96
-6
A23/03
CBI
Brescia
#536
W
79-52
79
52
+27
H07/11
NCAA
Winthrop
#232
L
68-76
68
76
-8
A12/11
NCAA
Rice
#164
W
81-46
81
46
+35
H16/11
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
32-35
0-0
32-33
0-0
25-21
0-0
27-31
0-0
31-35
0-0
31-27
0-0
30-31
0-0
34-27
0-0
38-24
0-0
38-22
0-0
39-46
0-0
46-23
0-0
34-30
0-0
36-40
0-0
36-19
0-0
43-33
0-0
28-41
0-0
40-35
0-0
44-18
0-0
37-28
144.3Avg total
77.1Scored
67.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)76.058.0134.0+18.067%
Season at home (2)80.049.0129.0+31.0100%
Season away (1)68.076.0144.0-8.00%
Last 10 (10)77.167.2144.3+9.960%
Last 5 (5)80.667.8148.4+12.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)86.599.5186.0-13.00%
vs Similar ◀ (10)77.071.8148.8+5.260%
vs Weaker (17)70.160.8130.9+9.276%
This opponent (Missouri State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +3.0+3.01st half: +3.7+3.72nd half2nd half: +3.1+3.12nd half: +6.5+6.5
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +3.0+3.01st half: +3.7+3.72nd half2nd half: +3.1+3.12nd half: +6.5+6.5
Missouri StateMiddle Tenn. St.
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Missouri StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Drake
#64
L
29-30
29
30
-1
A10/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#242
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H12/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#291
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H16/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#110
L
33-49
33
49
-16
A20/02
NCAA
Bradley
#164
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H24/02
NCAA
Evansville
#349
W
37-29
37
29
+8
A26/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#242
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H05/03
NCAA
Oklahoma
#10
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A15/03
NIT
Missouri S&T
#521
W
51-25
51
25
+26
H10/11
NCAA
Brigham Young
#156
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A17/11
NCAA
72.2Avg total
37.6Scored
34.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.831.667.3+4.273%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.429.866.1+6.682%-
Last 30 away (13)35.033.968.9+1.162%-
Last 10 (10)37.634.672.2+3.050%-
Last 5 (5)39.833.072.8+6.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (9)31.231.362.6-0.156%-
vs Weaker (18)36.031.367.3+4.783%-
This opponent (Middle Tenn. St.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Middle Tenn. St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Old Dominion
#255
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A05/03
NCAA
UTEP
#136
W
25-21
25
21
+4
H11/03
NCAA
UAB
#27
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H11/03
NCAA
California Baptist
#12
L
30-31
30
31
-1
A19/03
CBI
Boston University
#8
W
38-24
38
24
+14
A21/03
CBI
Abilene Christian
#3
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H23/03
CBI
NC Wilmington
#1
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A23/03
CBI
Brescia
#536
W
36-19
36
19
+17
H07/11
NCAA
Winthrop
#232
L
28-41
28
41
-13
A12/11
NCAA
Rice
#164
W
44-18
44
18
+26
H16/11
NCAA
63.7Avg total
33.7Scored
30.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.931.365.2+2.650%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.729.163.7+5.660%-
Last 30 away (15)33.133.566.7-0.440%-
Last 10 (10)33.730.063.7+3.750%-
Last 5 (5)36.230.867.0+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)35.041.576.5-6.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)36.932.068.9+4.970%-
vs Weaker (17)32.229.761.9+2.547%-
This opponent (Missouri State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Missouri State wins
0
Middle Tenn. St. wins
No previous meetings.
Missouri Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/11/22ABrigham Young64-66
10/11/22HMissouri S&T82-47
15/03/22AOklahoma72-89
05/03/22HValparaiso67-58
26/02/22AEvansville88-79
24/02/22HBradley83-67
20/02/22ANorthern Iowa75-95
16/02/22HIndiana State79-70
12/02/22HValparaiso84-66
10/02/22ADrake66-62
Middle Tenn. St.last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/11/22HRice81-46
12/11/22AWinthrop68-76
07/11/22HBrescia79-52
23/03/22ANC Wilmington90-96 OT
23/03/22HAbilene Christian85-69
21/03/22ABoston University76-46
19/03/22ACalifornia Baptist64-58
11/03/22HUAB98-102 OT
11/03/22HUTEP66-59 OT
05/03/22AOld Dominion64-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Missouri State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game73.082.064.0
Allowed / game56.547.066.0
Point differential+16.5+35.0-2.0
Avg total129.5129.0130.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Middle Tenn. St.
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game76.080.068.0
Allowed / game58.049.076.0
Point differential+18.0+31.0-8.0
Avg total134.0129.0144.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sam Houston St.440100%80.246.8+33.5
2 Western Kentucky330100%87.057.0+30.0
3 Kennesaw State43175%86.062.0+24.0
4 Middle Tenn. St.32167%76.058.0+18.0
5 UTEP32167%74.365.0+9.3
6 Florida International32167%82.082.3-0.3
7 New Mexico State21150%82.559.5+23.0
8 Missouri State21150%73.056.5+16.5
9 Liberty42250%78.568.0+10.5
10 Jacksonville State31233%77.773.0+4.7
11 Louisiana Tech31233%73.773.0+0.7
12 Delaware31233%69.073.7-4.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Missouri State413475
Middle Tenn. St.222951
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