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Missouri vs Florida Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 76-74
39-39 37-35
Position#111
Record10-3
FormLLWWL
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game71.5
Missouri 🏆
USA
vs
Florida
USA
Position#28
Record9-4
FormLWWWW
Points / game85.1
Allowed / game70.4
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Missouri v Florida
03 Jan 2026
MISS76
FLOR74
20 Jan 2024
MISS67
FLOR79
02 Feb 2022
MISS65
FLOR66
11 Jan 2020
MISS91
FLOR75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Missouri winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Florida winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MissouriUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota
#235
W
83-60
83
60
+23
H13/11
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#198
W
91-73
91
73
+18
H18/11
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#214
W
102-68
102
68
+34
H21/11
NCAA
South Carolina St
#336
W
98-66
98
66
+32
H26/11
NCAA
Cleveland State
#303
W
86-59
86
59
+27
H28/11
NCAA
Notre Dame
#269
L
71-76
71
76
-5
A03/12
NCAA
Kansas
#58
L
60-80
60
80
-20
A07/12
NCAA
Alabama State
#330
W
85-77
85
77
+8
H12/12
NCAA
Bethune-Cookman
#185
W
82-60
82
60
+22
H14/12
NCAA
Illinois
#35
L
48-91
48
91
-43
A23/12
NCAA
1H
2H
32-30
51-30
49-27
42-46
53-42
49-26
55-30
43-36
46-24
40-35
40-33
31-43
25-33
35-47
52-39
33-38
39-25
43-35
25-41
23-50
151.6Avg total
80.6Scored
71.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)83.871.5155.2+12.377%
Season at home (9)91.368.3159.7+23.0100%
Season away (4)66.878.5145.2-11.825%
Last 10 (10)80.671.0151.6+9.670%
Last 5 (5)69.276.8146.0-7.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)72.384.3156.7-12.033%
vs Similar (8)81.879.8161.5+2.050%
vs Weaker (19)85.271.8156.9+13.468%
This opponent (Florida) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FloridaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami (FL)
#38
W
82-68
82
68
+14
H17/11
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#66
W
80-45
80
45
+35
H22/11
NCAA
TCU
#77
L
80-84
80
84
-4
H27/11
NCAA
Providence
#246
W
90-78
90
78
+12
H28/11
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
66-67
66
67
-1
A03/12
NCAA
Uconn
#11
L
73-77
73
77
-4
A10/12
NCAA
George Washington
#160
W
80-70
80
70
+10
H13/12
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#359
W
102-61
102
61
+41
H17/12
NCAA
Colgate
#168
W
90-60
90
60
+30
H21/12
NCAA
Dartmouth
#272
W
94-72
94
72
+22
H29/12
NCAA
1H
2H
39-29
43-39
44-17
36-28
44-39
36-45
45-39
45-39
24-36
42-31
32-39
41-38
30-27
50-43
47-23
55-38
43-31
47-29
53-27
41-45
151.9Avg total
83.7Scored
68.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)85.170.4155.5+14.769%
Season at home (10)88.067.8155.8+20.290%
Season away (3)75.379.0154.3-3.70%
Last 10 (10)83.768.2151.9+15.570%
Last 5 (5)87.868.0155.8+19.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)78.074.3152.3+3.767%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)87.771.9159.5+15.888%
This opponent (Missouri) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +9.2+9.21st half: +9.4+9.42nd half2nd half: +0.4+0.42nd half: +6.1+6.1
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +9.2+9.21st half: +9.4+9.42nd half2nd half: +0.4+0.42nd half: +6.1+6.1
MissouriFlorida
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
MissouriLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota
#235
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H13/11
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#198
W
49-27
49
27
+22
H18/11
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#214
W
53-42
53
42
+11
H21/11
NCAA
South Carolina St
#336
W
55-30
55
30
+25
H26/11
NCAA
Cleveland State
#303
W
46-24
46
24
+22
H28/11
NCAA
Notre Dame
#269
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A03/12
NCAA
Kansas
#58
L
25-33
25
33
-8
A07/12
NCAA
Alabama State
#330
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H12/12
NCAA
Bethune-Cookman
#185
W
39-25
39
25
+14
H14/12
NCAA
Illinois
#35
L
25-41
25
41
-16
A23/12
NCAA
74.0Avg total
41.6Scored
32.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.735.275.9+5.567%-
Last 30 at home (18)43.734.578.2+9.278%-
Last 30 away (12)36.236.272.4-0.150%-
Last 10 (10)41.632.474.0+9.280%-
Last 5 (5)36.234.270.4+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)34.739.073.7-4.333%-
vs Similar (8)37.135.472.5+1.850%-
vs Weaker (19)43.234.577.7+8.679%-
This opponent (Florida) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FloridaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami (FL)
#38
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H17/11
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#66
W
44-17
44
17
+27
H22/11
NCAA
TCU
#77
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H27/11
NCAA
Providence
#246
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H28/11
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
24-36
24
36
-12
A03/12
NCAA
Uconn
#11
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A10/12
NCAA
George Washington
#160
W
30-27
30
27
+3
H13/12
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#359
W
47-23
47
23
+24
H17/12
NCAA
Colgate
#168
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H21/12
NCAA
Dartmouth
#272
W
53-27
53
27
+26
H29/12
NCAA
70.8Avg total
40.1Scored
30.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.334.574.8+5.767%-
Last 30 at home (21)42.932.074.9+10.990%-
Last 30 away (9)34.240.474.7-6.211%-
Last 10 (10)40.130.770.8+9.480%-
Last 5 (5)41.029.470.4+11.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)36.039.775.7-3.733%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)41.333.274.6+8.175%-
This opponent (Missouri) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Missouri wins
5
Florida wins
DateGameScore
14/03/25Florida v Missouri95-81
15/01/25Florida v Missouri82-83
28/02/24Florida v Missouri83-74
21/01/24Missouri v Florida67-79
14/01/23Florida v Missouri73-64
02/02/22Missouri v Florida65-66
03/03/21Florida v Missouri70-72
12/01/20Missouri v Florida91-75
Missourilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/25AIllinois48-91
14/12/25HBethune-Cookman82-60
12/12/25HAlabama State85-77
07/12/25AKansas60-80
03/12/25ANotre Dame71-76
28/11/25HCleveland State86-59
26/11/25HSouth Carolina St98-66
21/11/25HSouth Dakota Coyotes102-68
18/11/25HPrairie View A&M91-73
13/11/25HMinnesota83-60
Floridalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/25HDartmouth94-72
21/12/25HColgate90-60
17/12/25HSt. Francis (PA)102-61
13/12/25HGeorge Washington80-70
10/12/25AUconn73-77
03/12/25ADuke66-67
28/11/25HProvidence90-78
27/11/25HTCU80-84
22/11/25HMerrimack Warriors80-45
17/11/25HMiami (FL)82-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Missouri
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL77%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1394
Win %77%100%25%
Points / game83.891.366.8
Allowed / game71.568.378.5
Point differential+12.3+23.0-11.8
Avg total155.2159.7145.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%78%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Florida
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW69%
HomeWWWWW90%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games13103
Win %69%90%0%
Points / game85.188.075.3
Allowed / game70.467.879.0
Point differential+14.7+20.2-3.7
Avg total155.5155.8154.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%80%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)50% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Vanderbilt14140100%93.470.7+22.7
2 Georgia1413193%99.474.0+25.4
3 LSU1412286%87.871.3+16.5
4 Texas A&M1411379%94.776.8+17.9
5 Arkansas1411379%90.274.9+15.4
6 Oklahoma1411379%87.372.2+15.1
7 Alabama1411379%94.181.1+13.1
8 Missouri1310377%83.871.5+12.3
9 Tennessee1410471%83.365.3+18.0
10 Mississippi St.1410471%82.676.3+6.3
11 Florida139469%85.170.4+14.7
12 Texas149564%88.673.4+15.2
13 Kentucky149564%84.169.3+14.9
14 South Carolina149564%80.369.3+11.0
15 Auburn149564%86.978.7+8.2
16 Ole Miss148657%74.367.9+6.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Missouri393776
Florida393574
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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