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Florida vs Merrimack Warriors Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 22 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 80-45
44-17 36-28
Position#28
Record3-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game87.8
Allowed / game75.2
Florida 🏆
USA
vs
Position#66
Record2-3
FormLLLWW
Points / game69.6
Allowed / game78.0
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Florida v Merrimack Warriors
13 Nov 2026
FLOR v MERR
upcoming
21 Nov 2025
FLOR80
MERR45
05 Dec 2023
FLOR77
MERR57
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Florida winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Merrimack Warriors winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FloridaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Norfolk State
#64
W
95-69
95
69
+26
H21/03
NCAA
Uconn
#63
W
77-75
77
75
+2
H23/03
NCAA
Maryland
#35
W
87-71
87
71
+16
H27/03
NCAA
Texas Tech
#33
W
84-79
84
79
+5
H29/03
NCAA
Auburn
#12
W
79-73
79
73
+6
A05/04
NCAA
Houston
#9
W
65-63
65
63
+2
A08/04
NCAA
Arizona
#7
L
87-93
87
93
-6
A04/11
NCAA
North Florida
#361
W
104-64
104
64
+40
H07/11
NCAA
Florida State
#167
W
78-76
78
76
+2
H12/11
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#38
W
82-68
82
68
+14
H17/11
NCAA
1H
2H
53-32
42-37
31-31
46-44
40-38
47-33
40-37
44-42
38-46
41-27
28-31
37-32
46-50
41-43
52-28
52-36
37-40
41-36
39-29
43-39
156.9Avg total
83.8Scored
73.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)87.875.2163.0+12.575%
Season at home (3)88.069.3157.3+18.7100%
Season away (1)87.093.0180.0-6.00%
Last 10 (10)83.873.1156.9+10.790%
Last 5 (5)83.272.8156.0+10.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)82.076.7158.7+5.383%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)83.970.6154.5+13.388%
This opponent (Merrimack Warriors) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Merrimack WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rider
#276
L
78-83
78
83
-5
H01/03
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#126
W
73-63
73
63
+10
H02/03
NCAA
Marist
#80
W
75-53
75
53
+22
A07/03
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#240
W
66-62 OT
66
62
+4
H13/03
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#112
L
55-57
55
57
-2
H15/03
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#254
L
66-75
66
75
-9
H04/11
NCAA
Auburn
#188
L
57-95
57
95
-38
A07/11
NCAA
Tarleton
#255
L
62-76
62
76
-14
A12/11
NCAA
Boston University
#211
W
91-79
91
79
+12
A15/11
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#355
W
72-65
72
65
+7
H20/11
NCAA
1H
2H
42-40
36-43
30-27
43-36
32-27
43-26
32-28
27-31
24-25
31-32
33-38
33-37
22-39
35-56
31-34
31-42
48-34
43-45
34-27
38-38
140.3Avg total
69.5Scored
70.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)69.678.0147.6-8.440%
Season at home (2)69.070.0139.0-1.050%
Season away (3)70.083.3153.3-13.333%
Last 10 (10)69.570.8140.3-1.350%
Last 5 (5)69.678.0147.6-8.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)68.073.0141.0-5.00%
vs Similar (20)66.566.7133.2-0.250%
vs Weaker (9)70.160.4130.6+9.789%
This opponent (Florida) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +4.2+4.21st half: +0.9+0.92nd half2nd half: +6.5+6.52nd half: -2.6-2.6
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +4.2+4.21st half: +0.9+0.92nd half2nd half: +6.5+6.52nd half: -2.6-2.6
FloridaMerrimack Warriors
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
FloridaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Norfolk State
#64
W
53-32
53
32
+21
H21/03
NCAA
Uconn
#63
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H23/03
NCAA
Maryland
#35
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H27/03
NCAA
Texas Tech
#33
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H29/03
NCAA
Auburn
#12
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A05/04
NCAA
Houston
#9
L
28-31
28
31
-3
A08/04
NCAA
Arizona
#7
L
46-50
46
50
-4
A04/11
NCAA
North Florida
#361
W
52-28
52
28
+24
H07/11
NCAA
Florida State
#167
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H12/11
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#38
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H17/11
NCAA
76.6Avg total
40.4Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.834.673.4+4.260%-
Last 30 at home (19)41.332.974.3+8.479%-
Last 30 away (11)34.437.571.8-3.127%-
Last 10 (10)40.436.276.6+4.250%-
Last 5 (5)40.435.676.0+4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)40.040.080.0+0.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)38.533.271.7+5.262%-
This opponent (Merrimack Warriors) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Merrimack WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rider
#276
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H01/03
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#126
W
30-27
30
27
+3
H02/03
NCAA
Marist
#80
W
32-27
32
27
+5
A07/03
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#240
W
32-28
32
28
+4
H13/03
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#112
L
24-25
24
25
-1
H15/03
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#254
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H04/11
NCAA
Auburn
#188
L
22-39
22
39
-17
A07/11
NCAA
Tarleton
#255
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A12/11
NCAA
Boston University
#211
W
48-34
48
34
+14
A15/11
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#355
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H20/11
NCAA
64.7Avg total
32.8Scored
31.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.130.462.5+1.750%-
Last 30 at home (15)30.829.059.8+1.860%-
Last 30 away (15)33.431.765.1+1.740%-
Last 10 (10)32.831.964.7+0.960%-
Last 5 (5)33.634.468.0-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)26.032.058.0-6.00%-
vs Similar (20)31.231.362.5-0.145%-
vs Weaker (9)34.828.162.9+6.767%-
This opponent (Florida) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Florida wins
0
Merrimack Warriors wins
DateGameScore
06/12/23Florida v Merrimack Warriors77-57
Floridalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/11/25HMiami (FL)82-68
12/11/25HFlorida State78-76
07/11/25HNorth Florida104-64
04/11/25AArizona87-93
08/04/25AHouston65-63
05/04/25AAuburn79-73
29/03/25HTexas Tech84-79
27/03/25HMaryland87-71
23/03/25HUconn77-75
21/03/25HNorfolk State95-69
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/11/25HMaine Black Bears72-65
15/11/25ABoston University91-79
12/11/25ATarleton62-76
07/11/25AAuburn57-95
04/11/25HSouth Dakota St.66-75
15/03/25HMount St. Mary's55-57
13/03/25HSacred Heart66-62 OT
07/03/25AMarist75-53
02/03/25HQuinnipiac73-63
01/03/25HRider78-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Florida
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWW75%
HomeWWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %75%100%0%
Points / game87.888.087.0
Allowed / game75.269.393.0
Point differential+12.5+18.7-6.0
Avg total163.0157.3180.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Merrimack Warriors
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW40%
HomeLW50%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %40%50%33%
Points / game69.669.070.0
Allowed / game78.070.083.3
Point differential-8.4-1.0-13.3
Avg total147.6139.0153.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Georgia550100%99.462.6+36.8
2 Vanderbilt550100%103.073.0+30.0
3 LSU440100%98.570.0+28.5
4 Tennessee550100%90.061.8+28.2
5 Missouri660100%93.270.0+23.2
6 Ole Miss550100%82.265.0+17.2
7 Auburn54180%93.469.6+23.8
8 Texas54180%84.062.6+21.4
9 Arkansas54180%86.272.0+14.2
10 South Carolina54180%82.869.8+13.0
11 Florida43175%87.875.2+12.5
12 Alabama43175%91.082.8+8.2
13 Mississippi St.43175%83.577.0+6.5
14 Kentucky53260%87.468.4+19.0
15 Oklahoma53260%91.878.8+13.0
16 Texas A&M53260%85.078.4+6.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Metro Atlantic Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Iona54180%85.280.0+5.2
2 Quinnipiac53260%77.474.0+3.4
3 Manhattan53260%84.681.4+3.2
4 Fairfield53260%71.872.8-1.0
5 Marist42250%71.059.8+11.2
6 Siena42250%69.864.8+5.0
7 Niagara42250%66.568.2-1.8
8 Merrimack Warriors52340%69.678.0-8.4
9 Canisius52340%62.073.6-11.6
10 Sacred Heart41325%76.878.2-1.5
11 St. Peters41325%68.579.8-11.2
12 Mount St. Mary's51420%67.075.2-8.2
13 Rider51420%60.482.4-22.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Florida443680
Merrimack Warriors172845
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