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Mistelbach vs Celovec Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 89-63
20-12 25-15 18-17 26-19
Position#1
Record-
FormWLLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Mistelbach 🏆
Austria
vs
Celovec
Austria
Position#11
Record-
FormWLWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
AustriaZweite LigaRound 1· Sporthalle Mistelbach
Other2023-24
Meetings · Mistelbach v Celovec
13 Dec 2025
MIST102
CELO78
07 Oct 2023
MIST89
CELO63
09 Oct 2021
MIST77
CELO69
10 Oct 2020
MIST v CELO
upcoming
14 Dec 2019
MIST102
CELO81
24 Nov 2018
MIST84
CELO64
28 Oct 2017
MIST62
CELO72
19 Nov 2016
MIST76
CELO67
31 Oct 2015
MIST73
CELO68
14 Feb 2015
MIST87
CELO62
09 Nov 2013
MIST94
CELO88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mistelbach winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Celovec winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MistelbachAustriaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMistelbach
Date
Competition
Worthersee Piraten
#9
W
91-81
91
81
+10
no box
H11/03
Zweite Liga
Worthersee Piraten
#9
L
78-87
78
87
-9
no box
A18/03
Zweite Liga
Worthersee Piraten
#9
W
71-70
71
70
+1
no box
H25/03
Zweite Liga
Mattersburg
#6
L
91-95 OT
91
95
-4
no box
H01/04
Zweite Liga
Mattersburg
#6
W
69-67
69
67
+2
no box
A08/04
Zweite Liga
Mattersburg
#6
W
81-64
81
64
+17
no box
H14/04
Zweite Liga
Gussing Blackbirds
#2
L
60-71
60
71
-11
no box
H22/04
Zweite Liga
Gussing Blackbirds
#2
L
77-79
77
79
-2
no box
A29/04
Zweite Liga
Vienna United
#19
W
63-57
63
57
+6
56avg 55
A23/09
Austria Cup
Salzburg
#6
L
67-73
67
73
-6
55avg 55
A01/10
Austria Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-23
22-21
27-14
17-23
19-24
23-23
15-16
21-24
24-18
12-14
24-17
11-21
19-24
21-24
25-17
18-18
23-14
15-25
16-14
15-14
17-17
17-17
29-16
18-14
23-11
12-23
10-17
15-20
15-18
17-25
17-13
28-23
17-26
15-12
15-10
16-9
18-20
15-11
13-18
21-24
149.2Avg total
74.8Scored
74.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)74.874.4149.2+0.450%
Last 5 (5)69.668.8138.4+0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (15)77.675.0152.6+2.647%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)91.477.4168.8+13.986%
This opponent (Celovec) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CelovecAustriaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCelovec
Date
Competition
Raiders Tirol
#3
W
76-50
76
50
+26
no box
A28/01
Zweite Liga
Dornbirn Lions
#10
W
69-68
69
68
+1
no box
H04/02
Zweite Liga
Upper Austrian Ballers
#14
W
100-86
100
86
+14
no box
A11/02
Zweite Liga
Kufstein
#12
W
103-94
103
94
+9
no box
H18/02
Zweite Liga
Worthersee Piraten
#9
L
59-90
59
90
-31
no box
H25/02
Zweite Liga
Salzburg
#4
W
81-76
81
76
+5
no box
A04/03
Zweite Liga
Gussing Blackbirds
#2
L
66-76
66
76
-10
no box
A11/03
Zweite Liga
Gussing Blackbirds
#2
W
67-65
67
65
+2
no box
H19/03
Zweite Liga
Gussing Blackbirds
#2
L
64-76
64
76
-12
no box
A25/03
Zweite Liga
Raiders Tirol
#12
L
72-77
72
77
-5
64avg 64
H23/09
Austria Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-14
10-5
31-15
22-16
18-14
17-17
21-13
13-24
33-25
18-23
22-16
27-22
19-23
32-19
21-26
31-26
11-26
22-24
12-21
14-19
23-19
19-21
18-21
21-15
18-18
15-19
16-15
17-24
13-13
21-18
21-11
12-23
13-19
13-19
16-14
22-24
13-25
21-18
14-19
24-15
151.5Avg total
75.7Scored
75.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)75.775.8151.5-0.160%
Last 5 (5)70.074.0144.0-4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)80.373.2153.5+7.250%
vs Similar (14)74.878.3153.1-3.543%
vs Weaker (8)94.078.8172.8+15.288%
This opponent (Mistelbach) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +3.9+3.9Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: -0.5-0.5
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +3.9+3.9Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: -0.5-0.5
MistelbachCelovec
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MistelbachLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Worthersee Piraten
#9
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H11/03
Zweite Liga
Worthersee Piraten
#9
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A18/03
Zweite Liga
Worthersee Piraten
#9
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H25/03
Zweite Liga
Mattersburg
#6
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H01/04
Zweite Liga
Mattersburg
#6
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A08/04
Zweite Liga
Mattersburg
#6
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H14/04
Zweite Liga
Gussing Blackbirds
#2
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H22/04
Zweite Liga
Gussing Blackbirds
#2
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A29/04
Zweite Liga
Vienna United
#19
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A23/09
Austria Cup
Salzburg
#6
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A01/10
Austria Cup
75.9Avg total
36.9Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.037.277.2+2.853%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.436.477.7+5.064%-
Last 30 away (16)38.837.976.8+0.944%-
Last 10 (10)36.939.075.9-2.140%-
Last 5 (5)33.236.069.2-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (15)37.337.374.6-0.140%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)43.537.080.5+6.571%-
This opponent (Celovec) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CelovecLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Raiders Tirol
#3
W
23-19
23
19
+4
A28/01
Zweite Liga
Dornbirn Lions
#10
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H04/02
Zweite Liga
Upper Austrian Ballers
#14
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A11/02
Zweite Liga
Kufstein
#12
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H18/02
Zweite Liga
Worthersee Piraten
#9
L
33-50
33
50
-17
H25/02
Zweite Liga
Salzburg
#4
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A04/03
Zweite Liga
Gussing Blackbirds
#2
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A11/03
Zweite Liga
Gussing Blackbirds
#2
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H19/03
Zweite Liga
Gussing Blackbirds
#2
L
26-38
26
38
-12
A25/03
Zweite Liga
Raiders Tirol
#12
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H23/09
Austria Cup
74.1Avg total
36.2Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.838.478.2+1.453%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.639.481.0+2.156%-
Last 30 away (14)37.837.275.0+0.650%-
Last 10 (10)36.237.974.1-1.760%-
Last 5 (5)33.837.871.6-4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)39.535.875.3+3.750%-
vs Similar (14)37.139.676.8-2.536%-
vs Weaker (8)47.137.084.1+10.1100%-
This opponent (Mistelbach) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mistelbachtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mistelbach: 63.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.016.0
47.1%
48.6%32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.56.5
26.5%
30.4%19.5
🏀 Free throws14.511.5
79.3%
66.5%11.5
They take 58.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Celovectheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Celovec: 72.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.019.0
52.8%
48.6%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.07.0
24.1%
30.4%21.0
🏀 Free throws15.013.0
86.7%
66.5%13.0
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 2/1 games with a box score before 07 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mistelbach
LWLLWWLWLW
Celovec
LLWLWLWWWW
#1
League position
#11
-2.7
Net rating
-3.8
85.4
Offensive rating
91.9
88.1
Defensive rating
95.7
44.0%
Effective FG%
45.4%
48.3%
Opp. effective FG%
45.7%
28.1%
Turnover %
20.6%
35.2%
Off. rebound %
25.0%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.23
26.5%
3-point %
24.1%
37.8%
Assist %
61.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence85.4 · 91.9Defence88.1 · 95.7Shooting44.0% · 45.4%3-point %26.5% · 24.1%Ball care28.1% · 20.6%Off. rebounds35.2% · 25.0%Free throws0.25 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Mistelbach   ■ Celovec
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Mistelbach wins
3
Celovec wins
DateGameScore
29/10/22Celovec v Mistelbach87-96
09/10/21Mistelbach v Celovec77-69
14/12/19Mistelbach v Celovec102-81
05/10/19Celovec v Mistelbach54-99
24/02/19Celovec v Mistelbach88-85
24/11/18Mistelbach v Celovec84-64
11/02/18Celovec v Mistelbach72-100
28/10/17Mistelbach v Celovec62-72
04/03/17Celovec v Mistelbach89-81
19/11/16Mistelbach v Celovec76-67
Mistelbachlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/10/23ASalzburg67-73
23/09/23AVienna United63-57
29/04/23AGussing Blackbirds77-79
22/04/23HGussing Blackbirds60-71
14/04/23HMattersburg81-64
08/04/23AMattersburg69-67
01/04/23HMattersburg91-95 OT
25/03/23HWorthersee Piraten71-70
18/03/23AWorthersee Piraten78-87
11/03/23HWorthersee Piraten91-81
Celoveclast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/09/23HRaiders Tirol72-77
25/03/23AGussing Blackbirds64-76
19/03/23HGussing Blackbirds67-65
11/03/23AGussing Blackbirds66-76
04/03/23ASalzburg81-76
25/02/23HWorthersee Piraten59-90
18/02/23HKufstein103-94
11/02/23AUpper Austrian Ballers100-86
04/02/23HDornbirn Lions69-68
28/01/23ARaiders Tirol76-50

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mistelbach
Zweite Liga 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Celovec
Zweite Liga 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

No league table for this competition yet.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mistelbach2025182689
Celovec1215171963
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