Mogi vs Flamengo Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 May 2016

Tip-off: 17:10

Final 91-93

20-23 25-31 25-24 21-15

Position#3

Record27-11

FormWWWLW

Points / game80.2

Allowed / game76.6

Mogi

Flamengo 🏆

Position#1

Record27-7

FormWWLWL

Points / game84.6

Allowed / game72.0

NBBNBB - Semi-finals

Other2015-16

Meetings · Mogi v Flamengo

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mogi winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Flamengo winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mogi

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Universo/Vitoria

#13

74-72 OT

A05/04

NBB

Universo/Vitoria

#13

81-67

+14

H07/04

NBB

Universo/Vitoria

#13

81-58

+23

H09/04

NBB

Cearense

67-64

H16/04

NBB

Cearense

55-76

-21

A19/04

NBB

Cearense

64-63

A21/04

NBB

Cearense

95-80

+15

H24/04

NBB

Flamengo

86-81

H30/04

NBB

Flamengo

71-81

-10

A07/05

NBB

Flamengo

83-77

A10/05

NBB

12-26

25-17

16-8

11-13

20-17

23-19

16-24

22-7

16-14

22-6

27-9

16-29

14-18

21-19

16-14

16-13

10-20

11-14

13-19

21-23

13-15

15-10

7-23

29-15

26-26

25-11

24-17

20-26

20-18

19-16

27-17

20-30

11-10

17-28

31-21

12-22

24-13

13-18

24-31

22-15

147.6Avg total

75.7Scored

71.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (38)	80.2	76.6	156.8	+3.6	71%
Season at home (19)	82.3	73.6	155.9	+8.7	89%
Season away (19)	78.2	79.6	157.8	-1.5	53%
Last 10 (10)	75.7	71.9	147.6	+3.8	80%
Last 5 (5)	79.8	76.4	156.2	+3.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	82.0	81.2	163.2	+0.8	60%
vs Similar (12)	74.3	75.0	149.3	-0.7	58%
vs Weaker (13)	82.5	74.2	156.7	+8.2	92%

This opponent (Flamengo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Flamengo

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sao Jose

#14

88-80

A23/03

NBB

Mogi

88-85

A25/03

NBB

Minas

#10

76-65

+11

H27/03

NBB

Macae

#15

92-62

+30

A29/03

NBB

Rio Claro

88-79

A18/04

NBB

Rio Claro

93-73

+20

H21/04

NBB

Rio Claro

93-82

+11

H23/04

NBB

Mogi

81-86

-5

A30/04

NBB

Mogi

81-71

+10

H07/05

NBB

Mogi

77-83

-6

H10/05

NBB

20-22

23-21

29-15

16-22

19-12

19-23

25-27

25-23

22-17

15-17

23-21

16-10

28-11

18-15

23-17

23-19

27-13

16-19

22-26

23-21

24-20

16-14

27-18

26-21

11-16

29-14

34-27

19-25

18-20

16-19

17-27

30-20

10-11

28-17

21-31

22-12

13-24

18-13

31-24

15-22

162.3Avg total

85.7Scored

76.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (34)	84.6	72.0	156.5	+12.6	79%
Season at home (18)	84.2	69.7	153.8	+14.5	78%
Season away (16)	85.0	74.6	159.6	+10.4	81%
Last 10 (10)	85.7	76.6	162.3	+9.1	80%
Last 5 (5)	85.0	79.0	164.0	+6.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	79.0	82.5	161.5	-3.5	0%
vs Similar (4)	84.5	75.8	160.2	+8.8	75%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	83.1	72.0	155.1	+11.1	83%

This opponent (Mogi) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

MogiFlamengo

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.6	18.5	35.1	-1.8	43%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	17.6	18.2	35.8	-0.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	15.3	18.8	34.2	-3.5	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.6	17.7	34.3	-1.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	16.4	35.2	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	17.0	15.4	32.4	+1.6	80%	-
vs Similar (12)	16.1	19.9	36.0	-3.8	17%	-
vs Weaker (13)	17.0	18.3	35.3	-1.3	54%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	16.9	35.9	+2.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	17.8	16.9	34.7	+0.9	56%	-
Last 30 away (12)	21.0	16.8	37.8	+4.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	16.6	35.8	+2.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.2	18.2	33.4	-3.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	17.0	21.5	38.5	-4.5	50%	-
vs Similar (4)	21.2	18.0	39.2	+3.2	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	18.9	16.3	35.2	+2.6	54%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	16.8	36.5	+2.9	60%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.2	16.7	36.9	+3.5	71%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.2	16.9	36.1	+2.2	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	15.8	34.9	+3.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	16.6	34.4	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	17.8	20.8	38.6	-3.0	40%	-
vs Similar (12)	18.7	16.5	35.2	+2.2	58%	-
vs Weaker (13)	21.5	15.5	37.0	+5.9	69%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	16.6	35.8	+2.5	63%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	19.9	15.3	35.2	+4.6	78%	-
Last 30 away (12)	18.0	18.6	36.6	-0.6	42%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	17.2	37.0	+2.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	15.4	36.8	+6.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	16.5	26.0	42.5	-9.5	0%	-
vs Similar (4)	19.8	16.0	35.8	+3.8	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	19.2	16.0	35.2	+3.3	67%	-

MogiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Universo/Vitoria

#13

37-43

-6

A05/04

NBB

Universo/Vitoria

#13

43-36

H07/04

NBB

Universo/Vitoria

#13

38-20

+18

H09/04

NBB

Cearense

35-37

-2

H16/04

NBB

Cearense

21-34

-13

A19/04

NBB

Cearense

28-25

A21/04

NBB

Cearense

51-37

+14

H24/04

NBB

Flamengo

39-34

H30/04

NBB

Flamengo

28-38

-10

A07/05

NBB

Flamengo

37-31

A10/05

NBB

69.2Avg total

35.7Scored

33.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.4	35.3	71.6	+1.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	37.8	34.9	72.7	+2.9	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	34.5	35.8	70.2	-1.3	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.7	33.5	69.2	+2.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.6	33.0	69.6	+3.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	34.8	36.2	71.0	-1.4	40%	-
vs Similar (12)	34.8	36.4	71.2	-1.7	33%	-
vs Weaker (13)	38.5	33.8	72.3	+4.6	85%	-

This opponent (Flamengo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

FlamengoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sao Jose

#14

43-43

A23/03

NBB

Mogi

38-35

A25/03

NBB

Minas

#10

37-34

H27/03

NBB

Macae

#15

46-26

+20

A29/03

NBB

Rio Claro

43-32

+11

A18/04

NBB

Rio Claro

40-34

H21/04

NBB

Rio Claro

40-30

+10

H23/04

NBB

Mogi

34-39

-5

A30/04

NBB

Mogi

38-28

+10

H07/05

NBB

Mogi

31-37

-6

H10/05

NBB

72.8Avg total

39.0Scored

33.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.2	33.5	71.7	+4.7	67%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	37.7	32.2	69.9	+5.4	78%	-
Last 30 away (12)	39.0	35.4	74.4	+3.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.0	33.8	72.8	+5.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.6	33.6	70.2	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	33.5	47.5	81.0	-14.0	0%	-
vs Similar (4)	41.0	34.0	75.0	+7.0	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	38.1	32.2	70.4	+5.9	71%	-

This opponent (Mogi) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	19.7	40.8	+1.4	53%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.9	18.4	40.4	+3.5	71%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.0	21.4	41.4	-1.4	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	18.3	38.4	+1.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	21.8	44.4	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	26.2	23.4	49.6	+2.8	60%	-
vs Similar (12)	18.7	19.0	37.7	-0.3	42%	-
vs Weaker (13)	21.4	18.9	40.3	+2.5	62%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.9	20.4	43.3	+2.5	70%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	23.2	20.6	43.8	+2.6	78%	-
Last 30 away (12)	22.3	20.1	42.4	+2.2	58%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.2	23.3	48.5	+1.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.0	25.4	51.4	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	22.5	21.5	44.0	+1.0	100%	-
vs Similar (4)	21.2	22.8	44.0	-1.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	23.2	19.9	43.1	+3.2	71%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	20.5	41.8	+0.9	43%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.2	20.2	41.5	+1.0	47%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.5	20.8	42.2	+0.7	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	19.3	38.2	-0.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	21.6	42.2	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	21.0	21.6	42.6	-0.6	40%	-
vs Similar (12)	20.9	19.6	40.5	+1.3	42%	-
vs Weaker (13)	21.8	20.8	42.7	+1.0	46%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.0	19.3	41.3	+2.7	63%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	20.8	18.3	39.1	+2.6	61%	-
Last 30 away (12)	23.7	20.8	44.5	+2.8	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.5	19.5	41.0	+2.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	20.0	42.4	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	23.0	13.5	36.5	+9.5	100%	-
vs Similar (4)	22.2	19.0	41.2	+3.2	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	21.8	19.8	41.7	+2.0	62%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.4	40.2	82.6	+2.3	60%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	43.2	38.6	81.8	+4.5	76%	-
Last 30 away (13)	41.5	42.2	83.6	-0.7	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.0	37.6	76.6	+1.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.2	43.4	86.6	-0.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	47.2	45.0	92.2	+2.2	20%	-
vs Similar (12)	39.6	38.6	78.2	+1.0	58%	-
vs Weaker (13)	43.2	39.8	83.0	+3.5	77%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.8	39.7	84.5	+5.1	60%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	44.1	38.9	82.9	+5.2	61%	-
Last 30 away (12)	46.0	40.9	86.9	+5.1	58%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.7	42.8	89.5	+3.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	48.4	45.4	93.8	+3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	45.5	35.0	80.5	+10.5	100%	-
vs Similar (4)	43.5	41.8	85.2	+1.8	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	45.0	39.8	84.8	+5.2	58%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Mogi wins

Flamengo wins

Date	Game	Score
10/05/16	Flamengo v Mogi	77-83
07/05/16	Flamengo v Mogi	81-71
30/04/16	Mogi v Flamengo	86-81
25/03/16	Mogi v Flamengo	85-88
12/03/16	Flamengo v Mogi	71-73
22/12/15	Flamengo v Mogi	79-77
25/03/15	Flamengo v Mogi	87-83
10/12/14	Mogi v Flamengo	94-98
19/05/14	Mogi v Flamengo	71-79
17/05/14	Mogi v Flamengo	78-80

Mogilast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
10/05/16	A	Flamengo	83-77
07/05/16	A	Flamengo	71-81
30/04/16	H	Flamengo	86-81
24/04/16	H	Cearense	95-80
21/04/16	A	Cearense	64-63
19/04/16	A	Cearense	55-76
16/04/16	H	Cearense	67-64
09/04/16	H	Universo/Vitoria	81-58
07/04/16	H	Universo/Vitoria	81-67
05/04/16	A	Universo/Vitoria	74-72 OT

Flamengolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
10/05/16	H	Mogi	77-83
07/05/16	H	Mogi	81-71
30/04/16	A	Mogi	81-86
23/04/16	H	Rio Claro	93-82
21/04/16	H	Rio Claro	93-73
18/04/16	A	Rio Claro	88-79
29/03/16	A	Macae	92-62
27/03/16	H	Minas	76-65
25/03/16	A	Mogi	88-85
23/03/16	A	Sao Jose	88-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mogi

NBB 2015-16

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLW	71%
Home	WWWWW	89%
Away	WLWLW	53%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	38	19	19
Win %	71%	89%	53%
Points / game	80.2	82.3	78.2
Allowed / game	76.6	73.6	79.6
Point differential	+3.6	+8.7	-1.5
Avg total	156.8	155.9	157.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	21%	32%	11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	73% (15)	75% (8)	71% (7)
Overtime %	5%	0%	11%

Flamengo

NBB 2015-16

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWL	79%
Home	WWWWL	78%
Away	WWWWL	81%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	34	18	16
Win %	79%	78%	81%
Points / game	84.6	84.2	85.0
Allowed / game	72.0	69.7	74.6
Point differential	+12.6	+14.5	+10.4
Avg total	156.5	153.8	159.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	56%	72%	38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	29% (7)	25% (4)	33% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Flamengo	34	27	7	79%	84.6	72.0	+12.6
2	Bauru	35	27	8	77%	87.7	77.3	+10.4
3	Mogi	38	27	11	71%	80.2	76.6	+3.6
4	Paulistano	32	21	11	66%	81.3	75.3	+6.0
5	Cearense	32	20	12	62%	78.5	73.3	+5.2
6	Brasilia	39	24	15	62%	85.8	82.6	+3.2
7	Pinheiros	37	18	19	49%	81.6	80.5	+1.1
8	Franca	33	15	18	45%	76.8	80.8	-4.0
9	Rio Claro	36	16	20	44%	74.5	75.4	-0.8
10	Minas	33	14	19	42%	72.9	74.9	-2.0
11	Caxias do Sul	32	10	22	31%	71.6	78.9	-7.3
12	Sorocabana	28	8	20	29%	68.6	76.6	-8.0
13	Universo/Vitoria	31	8	23	26%	71.1	80.7	-9.5
14	Sao Jose	28	7	21	25%	74.9	82.6	-7.8
15	Macae	28	6	22	21%	75.2	84.5	-9.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Mogi	20	25	25	21	91
Flamengo	23	31	24	15	93

← all games of the day

Mogi vs Flamengo Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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