Mogi vs Sorocabana Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 17 Mar 2015

Tip-off: 23:00

Final 89-82

25-26 23-18 16-20 25-18

Position#4

Record17-7

FormWWLWW

Points / game85.0

Allowed / game80.9

Mogi 🏆

Sorocabana

Position#15

Record6-20

FormWLWLW

Points / game77.7

Allowed / game84.2

NBBRound 27

Other2014-15

Meetings · Mogi v Sorocabana

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mogi winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Sorocabana winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mogi

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Brasilia

#11

88-86

A16/01

NBB

Unitri Universo

#13

86-80

A21/01

NBB

Minas

76-66

+10

A23/01

NBB

Palmeiras

#10

84-68

+16

A27/01

NBB

Pinheiros

88-81

A29/01

NBB

Limeira

98-82

+16

H04/02

NBB

Rio Claro

#14

93-80

+13

H06/02

NBB

Cearense

#16

80-84

-4

H10/02

NBB

Brasilia

#11

108-99

108

H12/02

NBB

Sao Jose

89-79

+10

A13/03

NBB

21-20

17-24

23-26

27-16

25-24

13-20

14-25

34-11

18-17

23-16

21-22

14-11

20-17

20-14

21-21

23-16

25-13

19-20

20-18

24-30

22-18

22-15

19-20

35-29

26-24

21-19

21-20

25-17

25-21

20-18

23-25

12-20

21-28

28-15

20-22

39-34

20-21

22-21

21-19

26-18

169.5Avg total

89.0Scored

80.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (24)	85.0	80.9	165.8	+4.1	71%
Season at home (13)	86.2	83.3	169.5	+2.8	54%
Season away (11)	83.5	78.0	161.5	+5.5	91%
Last 10 (10)	89.0	80.5	169.5	+8.5	90%
Last 5 (5)	93.6	84.8	178.4	+8.8	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	76.2	91.8	168.0	-15.5	0%
vs Similar (10)	78.8	74.6	153.4	+4.2	70%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	88.7	79.9	168.6	+8.8	88%

This opponent (Sorocabana) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Sorocabana Brazil

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Macae

#12

73-80

-7

A19/01

NBB

Rio Claro

#14

70-82

-12

A28/01

NBB

Limeira

73-85

-12

A30/01

NBB

Franca

88-67

+21

H03/02

NBB

Minas

80-89

-9

A11/02

NBB

Unitri Universo

#13

72-66

A13/02

NBB

Pinheiros

79-85

-6

A24/02

NBB

Palmeiras

#10

102-81

102

+21

H26/02

NBB

Bauru

71-110

110

-39

H02/03

NBB

Paulistano

78-76

H13/03

NBB

14-16

19-17

18-26

22-21

12-21

22-17

16-16

20-28

13-19

23-24

15-15

22-27

15-13

22-16

26-17

25-21

17-22

16-21

20-19

27-27

14-14

18-18

18-21

22-13

19-23

17-22

15-24

28-16

26-17

19-18

28-22

29-24

21-23

17-24

19-32

14-31

28-31

18-13

15-20

17-12

160.7Avg total

78.6Scored

82.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (26)	77.7	84.2	161.8	-6.5	23%
Season at home (13)	81.8	83.4	165.2	-1.6	38%
Season away (13)	73.5	84.9	158.5	-11.4	8%
Last 10 (10)	78.6	82.1	160.7	-3.5	40%
Last 5 (5)	80.4	83.6	164.0	-3.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	76.4	87.5	163.8	-11.1	12%
vs Similar (12)	78.1	78.5	156.6	-0.4	42%
vs Weaker (1)	81.0	70.0	151.0	+11.0	100%

This opponent (Mogi) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

MogiSorocabana

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	19.1	39.6	+1.4	63%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.4	19.4	39.7	+1.0	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.7	18.7	39.4	+2.0	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.3	20.3	42.6	+2.0	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	22.4	45.2	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	17.8	22.8	40.5	-5.0	25%	-
vs Similar (10)	19.6	16.1	35.7	+3.5	70%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	21.8	20.0	41.8	+1.8	69%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.2	20.9	39.1	-2.7	23%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.9	22.0	41.9	-2.1	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.4	19.8	36.2	-3.4	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.9	19.9	37.8	-2.0	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	21.6	43.2	+0.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	18.1	22.4	40.4	-4.3	18%	-
vs Similar (12)	17.4	19.2	36.7	-1.8	25%	-
vs Weaker (1)	29.0	16.0	45.0	+13.0	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	18.3	38.2	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.3	18.2	38.5	+2.1	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.4	18.5	37.8	+0.9	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	18.2	38.7	+2.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	17.6	40.2	+5.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	19.5	21.5	41.0	-2.0	25%	-
vs Similar (10)	19.3	18.1	37.4	+1.2	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	20.4	17.6	38.0	+2.8	69%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.7	19.4	36.1	-2.7	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	16.9	19.2	36.1	-2.3	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.5	19.6	36.1	-3.1	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	19.0	38.1	+0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	19.0	36.8	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	16.5	21.3	37.8	-4.8	24%	-
vs Similar (12)	17.5	17.2	34.7	+0.3	58%	-
vs Weaker (1)	9.0	14.0	23.0	-5.0	0%	-

MogiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Brasilia

#11

38-44

-6

A16/01

NBB

Unitri Universo

#13

38-44

-6

A21/01

NBB

Minas

41-33

A23/01

NBB

Palmeiras

#10

40-31

A27/01

NBB

Pinheiros

44-33

+11

A29/01

NBB

Limeira

44-33

+11

H04/02

NBB

Rio Claro

#14

47-43

H06/02

NBB

Cearense

#16

45-39

H10/02

NBB

Brasilia

#11

49-43

H12/02

NBB

Sao Jose

42-42

A13/03

NBB

81.3Avg total

42.8Scored

38.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.4	37.4	77.8	+3.0	70%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	40.6	37.5	78.2	+3.1	71%	-
Last 30 away (13)	40.1	37.2	77.2	+2.9	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.8	38.5	81.3	+4.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.4	40.0	85.4	+5.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	37.2	44.2	81.5	-7.0	50%	-
vs Similar (10)	38.9	34.2	73.1	+4.7	70%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	42.1	37.6	79.8	+4.5	75%	-

This opponent (Sorocabana) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

SorocabanaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Macae

#12

33-33

A19/01

NBB

Rio Claro

#14

34-38

-4

A28/01

NBB

Limeira

36-43

-7

A30/01

NBB

Franca

37-29

H03/02

NBB

Minas

33-43

-10

A11/02

NBB

Unitri Universo

#13

32-32

A13/02

NBB

Pinheiros

36-45

-9

A24/02

NBB

Palmeiras

#10

45-35

+10

H26/02

NBB

Bauru

38-47

-9

H02/03

NBB

Paulistano

46-44

H13/03

NBB

75.9Avg total

37.0Scored

38.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	34.8	40.3	75.1	-5.5	20%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	36.8	41.2	78.0	-4.4	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	32.9	39.4	72.3	-6.5	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.0	38.9	75.9	-1.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.4	40.6	80.0	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	34.6	43.6	78.2	-9.1	12%	-
vs Similar (12)	34.9	36.4	71.3	-1.5	25%	-
vs Weaker (1)	38.0	30.0	68.0	+8.0	100%	-

This opponent (Mogi) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	20.8	40.2	-1.4	27%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	18.4	21.0	39.4	-2.6	18%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.7	20.5	41.2	+0.2	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	21.8	42.1	-1.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	21.2	42.0	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	15.8	23.5	39.2	-7.8	0%	-
vs Similar (10)	18.1	19.7	37.8	-1.6	20%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	21.1	20.8	41.9	+0.2	38%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	20.2	40.2	-0.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.8	19.6	39.4	+0.2	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.2	20.9	41.1	-0.7	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	21.2	40.2	-2.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	23.8	42.8	-4.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	19.1	20.9	40.0	-1.8	41%	-
vs Similar (12)	21.0	19.3	40.3	+1.7	50%	-
vs Weaker (1)	23.0	20.0	43.0	+3.0	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.2	20.9	44.2	+2.3	60%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	24.2	22.5	46.7	+1.6	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	22.0	18.8	40.8	+3.2	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.9	20.2	46.1	+5.7	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	27.4	23.6	51.0	+3.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	23.2	24.0	47.2	-0.8	25%	-
vs Similar (10)	20.6	19.7	40.3	+0.9	70%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	24.9	20.9	45.8	+3.9	62%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.1	22.4	44.5	-0.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.0	21.9	44.9	+1.1	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.2	23.0	44.2	-1.8	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.6	22.0	44.6	+0.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	19.2	41.2	+2.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	22.2	22.4	44.5	-0.2	47%	-
vs Similar (12)	22.2	22.8	44.9	-0.6	50%	-
vs Weaker (1)	20.0	20.0	40.0	+0.0	0%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.6	41.7	84.3	+0.9	53%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	42.5	43.5	86.1	-1.0	41%	-
Last 30 away (13)	42.7	39.4	82.1	+3.3	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.2	42.0	88.2	+4.2	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	48.2	44.8	93.0	+3.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	39.0	47.5	86.5	-8.5	0%	-
vs Similar (10)	38.7	39.4	78.1	-0.7	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	45.9	41.8	87.7	+4.2	75%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.1	42.7	84.8	-0.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.8	41.5	84.3	+1.3	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.4	43.9	85.3	-2.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.6	43.2	84.8	-1.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.0	43.0	84.0	-2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	41.3	43.2	84.5	-1.9	47%	-
vs Similar (12)	43.2	42.1	85.2	+1.1	50%	-
vs Weaker (1)	43.0	40.0	83.0	+3.0	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Mogi wins

Sorocabana wins

Date	Game	Score
16/12/14	Sorocabana v Mogi	85-87 OT
15/02/14	Mogi v Sorocabana	89-61
07/12/13	Sorocabana v Mogi	81-79
31/01/13	Sorocabana v Mogi	81-74
24/11/12	Mogi v Sorocabana	71-59

Mogilast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
13/03/15	A	Sao Jose	89-79
12/02/15	H	Brasilia	108-99
10/02/15	H	Cearense	80-84
06/02/15	H	Rio Claro	93-80
04/02/15	H	Limeira	98-82
29/01/15	A	Pinheiros	88-81
27/01/15	A	Palmeiras	84-68
23/01/15	A	Minas	76-66
21/01/15	A	Unitri Universo	86-80
16/01/15	A	Brasilia	88-86

Sorocabanalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
13/03/15	H	Paulistano	78-76
02/03/15	H	Bauru	71-110
26/02/15	H	Palmeiras	102-81
24/02/15	A	Pinheiros	79-85
13/02/15	A	Unitri Universo	72-66
11/02/15	A	Minas	80-89
03/02/15	H	Franca	88-67
30/01/15	A	Limeira	73-85
28/01/15	A	Rio Claro	70-82
19/01/15	A	Macae	73-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mogi

NBB 2014-15

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWW	71%
Home	LWWLW	54%
Away	WWWWW	91%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	24	13	11
Win %	71%	54%	91%
Points / game	85.0	86.2	83.5
Allowed / game	80.9	83.3	78.0
Point differential	+4.1	+2.8	+5.5
Avg total	165.8	169.5	161.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	33%	31%	36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (10)	17% (6)	100% (4)
Overtime %	4%	0%	9%

Sorocabana

NBB 2014-15

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLW	23%
Home	LWWLW	38%
Away	LLLWL	8%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	26	13	13
Win %	23%	38%	8%
Points / game	77.7	81.8	73.5
Allowed / game	84.2	83.4	84.9
Point differential	-6.5	-1.6	-11.4
Avg total	161.8	165.2	158.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	12%	23%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	20% (5)	25% (4)	0% (1)
Overtime %	4%	8%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Bauru	25	23	2	92%	91.0	75.5	+15.4
2	Limeira	26	22	4	85%	84.0	77.2	+6.7
3	Flamengo	23	17	6	74%	88.8	79.5	+9.3
4	Mogi	24	17	7	71%	85.0	80.9	+4.1
5	Minas	26	17	9	65%	76.2	73.3	+2.9
6	Paulistano	26	14	12	54%	81.7	79.5	+2.2
7	Franca	25	13	12	52%	76.5	76.2	+0.3
8	Pinheiros	25	12	13	48%	81.5	83.0	-1.4
9	Brasilia	26	11	15	42%	82.2	83.2	-1.0
10	Palmeiras	26	11	15	42%	77.3	79.3	-1.9
11	Sao Jose	24	10	14	42%	75.9	78.9	-3.0
12	Macae	24	8	16	33%	77.0	83.0	-6.0
13	Cearense	26	8	18	31%	76.9	83.8	-6.8
14	Unitri Universo	26	7	19	27%	74.2	82.2	-8.0
15	Rio Claro	26	6	20	23%	78.6	83.7	-5.1
16	Sorocabana	26	6	20	23%	77.7	84.2	-6.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Mogi	25	23	16	25	89
Sorocabana	26	18	20	18	82

← all games of the day

Mogi vs Sorocabana Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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